Housing Wire

MAY 26, 2022

It’s an excellent time to discuss housing inventory. How can housing inventory be so low today when it skyrocketed back in 2009? If you follow the trend of housing supply since 2014, it’s been falling every year — with a pause in 2018-2019 — and then collapsed lower post-2020. I don’t believe housing inventory below 1.52

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Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 17, 2021

The bidding wars that put smiles on the faces of sellers and simultaneously drove buyers to rip their hair out weren’t as frequent in August, according to the latest report from brokerage Redfin. But buyers shouldn’t get too excited. But buyers shouldn’t get too excited. In August, 58.8% million and 1.92

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 18, 2022

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported today on two trends in existing home sales that we have seen for many months now: sales are declining while total inventory data has fallen directly for the three straight months. Total housing inventory fell in this report, the third report in a row that shows total inventory has decreased.

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Housing Wire

MAY 10, 2022

The relative pressure of supply vs. demand in the housing market is gauged by the level of active inventory. Like dropping barometric pressure, plunging inventory usually foretells stormy conditions: Faster price growth and faster sales. But the market is so overheated right now that it will take some time to achieve this balance.

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Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 7, 2024

With mortgage rates briefly topping 8% and home prices breaking records throughout the year, many would-be sellers simply decided not to bother listing their homes, exacerbating already tight inventories. Mortgage rates followed suit, walloping buyers’ purchasing power. New data from the U.S.

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Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 6, 2023

Despite mortgage rates briefly falling below the 6% threshold, both housing inventory and mortgage demand fell last week. Weekly Housing Inventory A few weeks ago, I was encouraged that we had a slight increase in inventory and a small decline the following week. This week inventory fell 8,664 units from the previous week.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 16, 2024

We are once again expecting mortgage rates to get better gradually, and opportunities for buyers should follow, but be prepared for plenty of bumps on that path,” Zillow chief economist Skylar Olsen said in a statement. For-sale inventory is now about 26% below the norms of 2018 and 2019, the smallest shortfall since September 2020.

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Housing Wire

APRIL 8, 2021

. “As we look ahead to the expected growth in the purchase market, which will be driven by millennials and first-time home buyers, credit availability to qualified borrowers will play an important role in supporting this demand,” said Kan. metros, according to Zillow.

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Appraisal Buzz

JANUARY 22, 2025

While builders response has kept multifamily rent growth steady for several months and stubbornly high mortgage rates are limiting buyer demand and home value increases, detached single-family home rentals are still rising at an accelerating rate. For-sale inventory continues to recover, but is still 25% below pre-pandemic norms.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 22, 2024

Unlike many other metropolitan areas across the country , the housing market in Southwest Florida is comparably flush with for-sale inventory. “I We are seeing a healthy increase in inventory, which we really needed.” Smith attributes the uptick in inventory to a bump in new listings. From 2022 to 2023 alone, rates rose 15%.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 14, 2022

More expensive money also meant fewer investors holding homes so inventory would climb too. That being said, if interest rates continue to rise, we may see some small shifts in the market, and a short window of opportunity for eager buyers. From September 2017 through November 2018, the 30-year mortgage rate rose from 3.8%

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Housing Wire

AUGUST 21, 2023

Buyers in this real estate market notice these affordability changes, and so we can see in the data fewer home purchase offers, slightly climbing unsold inventory, and slightly more price reductions for the homes that are on the market. And every uptick in mortgage rates leads to a downtick in the number of home buyers in the market.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 10, 2021

For example, if buyers are cooled by higher interest rates, the first thing that’s going to happen is they’re not going to make those immediate offers. In a normal market, we tend to see about 30% to 35% of sellers initially over-price their homes and eventually reduce the price to attract buyers.

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 31, 2023

Lack of inventory is an issue builders and mortgage loan originators alike are dealing with across the nation. It’s also what keeps Andrew Marquis, regional vice president at CrossCountry Mortgage and Scotsman Guide ’s seventh top LO, up at night, especially as he sees more buyers entering the market.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 22, 2024

“The sheer amount of additional supply on the market has really given buyers more of a leg up,” she said. “I That’s a factor too of higher inventory.” Using 2017, 2018 as a normal level, delivery should start to look normal by 2027, 2028, so I think the market fundamentals will start to shift pretty soon.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 7, 2020

months, builders will halt the rate of growth for new construction plans as they did in 2018 and again for a brief period this year. For now, though, the low inventory means housing starts have legs to move higher. Existing home inventory is also at all-time lows. Unsold inventory sits at an all-time-low 2.5-month

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Housing Wire

JULY 13, 2021

But recently, we’ve started to see buyers get cold feet. Two of my buyers just had their offers accepted because the sellers’ first buyers backed out. The market is still competitive, but buyers are more trepidatious than they were at the start of 2021, and less willing to pull out every stop in order to win.”

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Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2022

Second, because of the downtrend in inventory since 2014 and the demand pick-up we will see in the years 2020-2024, we had a risk of home prices accelerating too much. It’s also driven more by mortgage buyers who tend to be older and make more money than the new-home buyers. First, total home sales should be 6.2

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Housing Wire

JULY 20, 2021

.” Homes for sale are still being snatched up quickly throughout the country, but a recent slowdown in bidding wars may signal some buyer fatigue in the housing market. New listings are also up 4% year over year, meaning more properties are hitting the housing market for buyers to bid on. in May and a peak of 74.1% million and 1.92

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Housing Wire

OCTOBER 11, 2022

Inventory, which has been falling for years, broke to all-time lows in 2020. We didn’t have a seasonal push in inventory in 2020, and things worsened in 2021. Of course, this has brought back some inventory, as demand weakness always creates inventory through accumulation. million active listings, but at just 1.28

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Sellers Inventory Housing Market New Listings 514

Appraisal Buzz

SEPTEMBER 10, 2024

With mortgage rates on the decline and housing supply ramping up, affordability is on the rise for many, Realtor.com’s latest market analysis found that much anticipated market relief is on the way, and many potential buyers are stepping off the sidelines. According to Zillow , the average U.S. home value is presently $362,481, up 3.3%

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Housing Wire

APRIL 20, 2022

However, the real story of 2022 is that the savagely unhealthy housing market continues as inventory is still lower than last year, sending home prices growth into double digits again. In 2018 when mortgage rates rose, we saw existing home sales trend lower from 5.72 2014 was the last year total inventory grew. million and 6.16

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Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 28, 2020

Compare today’s housing market with that in 2018, when mortgage rates were heading toward 5% and monthly supply went above 6.5 In December 2018, I wrote: “Despite the terrible optics for the new home sales market, I caution everyone not to assume that we have hit our peak and are heading for an epic crash in housing starts and new home sales.

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Eyes on Housing

JANUARY 28, 2022

In early 2018, only 16% of home buyers expected that finding a home would be easier in the months ahead. But in 2021, buyers’ perceptions of housing inventory worsened throughout the year, and by the fourth quarter, only 24% expected easier availability ahead.

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Housing Wire

OCTOBER 10, 2023

Inventory continues to grow faster than last year at this time. Higher rates equal more inventory, and lower rates equal less inventory. If mortgage rates were to fall between now and January, expect to see inventory decline again next year like it did for most of this year. That’s up a fraction from last week.

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Housing Wire

JUNE 8, 2023

It is no secret that housing inventory is low. households earn $75,000 or less, meaning that in a balanced market, 51% of the homes for sale would be affordable to buyers in this income bracket. needs to add at least two homes that are affordable for middle-income buyers (up to $256,000) for every home that is listed above $680,000.

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Housing Wire

APRIL 15, 2022

The home-price growth from 2020 through 2022 has been so unhealthy that I’ve labeled this a savagely unhealthy housing market as inventory has once again collapsed on a year-over-year basis in 2022. Inventory is still showing negative year-over-year data. 2014 was the very last year total housing inventory grew in America.

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Housing Wire

JULY 20, 2022

But, there is one bright spot — inventory is rising. This has been a concern of mine after the summer of 2020 as inventory levels were breaking all-time lows, facilitating unhealthy home price growth during a more prominent demographic patch in U.S. The one positive: Inventory is rising. Once total inventory levels reach 1.52-1.93

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Housing Wire

JUNE 8, 2022

2012: What they said: Shadow inventory will cause prices to fall. The reality: Inventory broke down in 2012, and the monthly supply data got below 6.0 The “shadow inventory” was not an issue as it took years to get rid of the distressed supply from the housing bubble years. million of inventory is normal.

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 13, 2022

The median age of a first-time buyer for the past three years has remained 33 years old. Between 1981 and 2018, the median age of first-time buyers ranged between 28 and 32. There will soon be a wave of potential buyers aging into the first-time buyer age group. There are 23.4 million adults aged 28-32 in the U.S.

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Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 18, 2023

The two-month decline in builder sentiment coincides with when mortgage rates jumped above 7% and significantly eroded buyer purchasing power,” said Alicia Huey, NAHB Chairman and a homebuilder from Birmingham, Alabama. With the lack of existing-home inventory, the new construction buyer mix also shifted.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 12, 2024

Despite elevated interest rates and tight inventory, the national Hispanic homeownership rate reached 49.5% While rising interest rates affected all homebuyers, this impact was more pronounced among Hispanic households, many of whom are first-time buyers with lower median incomes and who live in higher priced markets,” according to NAHREP.

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Eyes on Housing

JULY 27, 2021

In the first quarter of 2018, the starting point of the Housing Trends Report (HTR), only 16% of buyers expected easier availability for a home in the months ahead. The share soared to 36% by the final quarter of 2020 (during the COVID-19 pandemic), but then went on to decline to 33% and 28%, respectively, in the first two quarters.

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Housing Wire

APRIL 12, 2024

Between 2018 and 2023, homeowners insurance rates in Louisiana jumped 24.9%, according to an analysis by S&P Global. I’ve seen buyers ask for and get between $8,000 and $10,000 in closing costs covered. Prices are still higher than they were previously, but at least in my area, sellers are working with buyers.”

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Housing Wire

MAY 13, 2024

In 2023, home purchases slowed across the board due to low levels of inventory, high mortgage rates and soaring home prices. The Redfin analysis relied upon data from the Home Mortgage Disclosure Act (HMDA) covering purchases of second homes, primary homes and investment properties from 2018 to 2023. They took out 88.6%

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Housing Wire

MAY 19, 2022

This is something that I said would change the tone of housing, and we are seeing that result this year as sales decline and inventory picks up. We were told that population growth is slowing, we were told that Americans would panic sell and that massive inventory would hit the marketplace once rates got to 4%. Wait, what? I use the 1.52-1.93

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 4, 2022

The share of Black and Asian first-time buyers is down from 6% in 2021, while the share of white first-time buyers is up from 82% and Hispanic homebuyers up from 7%. Conversely, White and Hispanic Americans experienced gains in buyer shares. NAR found the age of repeat buyers increased to 59 years from 56 years last year.

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