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Weekly housing inventory data Spring is upon us, and for me, the most compelling story in housing for 2024 and 2025 has been the inventory growth. Witnessing a solid week of inventory growth brings a smile to my face. Although we haven’t returned to normal levels yet, I appreciate our progress.
Active weekly housing inventory growth slowed slightly last week, but it’s still running at a healthier clip than in 2023. I have a simple model with mortgage rates being above 7.25%: weekly inventory data should grow between 11,000-17,000 per week. We have now seen it for two weeks as inventory grew by 13,247. 2022: 19.2%
Since 2020, the seasonal bottom for housing inventory has arrived several months later than normal, making it more complicated to track housing inventory data. Still, we have some promising signs that we might have finally hit the inventory bottom for 2023. However, I will take what I can now.
The spring housing market music is playing, and purchase application data and active listing inventory rose together last week. The fear of not having an increase in inventory this spring should be put to rest. Since 2020, the seasonal inventory bump has happened later than usual — not until March or April.
We finally have six weeks of numbers that hit my housing inventory growth model perfectly in 2024. Last year, with higher mortgage rates , we had zero weeks at this level so I am now giving 2024 inventory growth a grade of A. have higher inventory than the national data.
However, the recent drop in housing inventory has more to do with seasonality factors than lower mortgage rates. Higher mortgage rates did push inventory higher during the seasonal period when it would normally be declining. The question now is what will inventory look like in the spring if mortgage rates keep falling?
Total housing inventory growth has been slow in 2023, but with rising mortgage rates over the last few months, inventory has grown a bit faster than average. The question now is: Have we hit the seasonal peak in inventory for 2023? Last year, according to Altos Research , the seasonal peak for housing inventory was Oct.
Last week, housing inventory grew and the number of price cuts fell, which is expected at this time of the year. I hope the next thing we see is housing inventory grow at the level it typically does in January or February instead of being delayed until March or April. So let’s hope for more home sellers in 2024. 2022 21.7%
Just when I thought it was safe to say we were getting more traditional spring housing inventory , we hit a snag last week, as active inventory and new listings declined. Weekly housing inventory The numbers this week are unfortunate: inventory should be growing like it does at this time every year.
The mortgage rate lockdown premise says that if rates rise, inventory can’t grow meaningfully. Let’s take a look at the inventory data this year to test this premise, since for many months it has been a working theory of mine that new listings data behavior last year marked a bottom and even going into 2024 we should see more sellers.
Housing inventory, new listing data and mortgage rates are all rising, but the price cut data percentages are falling. Weekly housing inventory data Here is a look at the first week of the year: Weekly inventory change (Jan. 12-19) : Inventory rose from 505,223 to 506,414 Same week last year (Jan.
How will mortgage rates impact seasonal inventory in 2024? In the last four years, we have had abnormal seasonal inventory data, meaning that the spring inventory bottom happens later in the year. This is due to demand rising late in one year, pushing through the early part of the next year and preventing inventory growth.
But we didnt really see any change in the buyer demand metrics until rates got closer to 6%. Lets look at this weeks data, starting with the active inventory of homes for sale right now. Inventory Total available inventory dipped this week to 639,000 single-family homes on the market. Inventory grew faster last year.
The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported today on two trends in existing home sales that we have seen for many months now: sales are declining while total inventory data has fallen directly for the three straight months. Total housing inventory fell in this report, the third report in a row that shows total inventory has decreased.
Housing inventory finally broke under 2022 levels last week. Since May 15, that trend has continued to the point that inventory in America is now negative year over year. 9, 2022, and today you can see the final result of that dynamic shift as inventory is now negative versus the 2022 data — all before July 4th.
These events led to lower mortgage rates and increased purchase application data last week, but decreased housing inventory. Active inventory fell 1,109, and new listing data made a lovely comeback week to week but was still noticeably down year over year. In a regular market, they would be closer to 5.25%.
Summer is here, and housing inventory is finally growing! The spring housing inventory was like a zombie rising from the grave, very slow, but the summer is showing some promise and let’s hope it continues. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active inventory grew 8,886 weekly.
Despite several indicators of a slowing housing market, prospective home buyers should not get too excited – inventory remains limited and changes are in line with the traditional seasonal slowdown, according to RE/MAX ’s August national housing report. Low inventory is another indication of a still-scorching housing market.
Since the buyer’s commission payout isn’t as transparent as before, I have been anticipating delays in the home-buying process as people adapted to the new rules. Weekly housing inventory data As mortgage rates have dropped recently, inventory growth has slowed below my weekly target level of 11,000-17,000.
Weekly housing inventory data We will start with the price cut data percentage because it deserves a detailed explanation. Now lets take a look at the weekly inventory data. Last year, according to Altos Research , the seasonal peak for housing inventory was Oct. Weekly inventory change (Dec.
Meanwhile, inventory levels have shown year-over-year growth despite the prevailing high mortgage rates. Most home sellers are buyers of homes, so the action we are seeing this year is a healthy step in the right direction to get more balance in the housing market ,” Mohtashami wrote on Saturday. Between Feb. Between Feb.
Weekly housing inventory data As we head into the summer, I still can’t express enough gratitude for the growth in inventory this year. If mortgage rates keep falling and demand picks up, we will have a much better buffer with active inventory than in 2022 and 2023.
It is no secret that the housing market is suffering from an ongoing inventory drought. Existing housing inventory fell by 11,021 homes week over week for the week ending March 6, according to data from Altos Research. of all housing starts, the highest level since 2015. However, an average of 94.5%
Weekly housing inventory data It’s December, which means the seasonal decline in housing inventory is well underway, which means in 2023, I have batted a whopping zero on how much I predicted weekly inventory would grow with higher mortgage rates. Now, we see the seasonal inventory decline. Weekly inventory change (Nov.
PEARL DISTRICT SUMMARY STATISTICS Taking the 35,000-foot view, we can see the average yearly prices have been steadily declining since 2016: Average prices this year are essentially the same as they were in 2015. Question: When do you think the Pearl District will finally absorb all the excess inventory?
One of my critical forecasts for 2024 was the growth of new listings data and active inventory, even with higher mortgage rates. Most sellers are buyers and the housing market needs standard new listing data for the rest of the year. have higher inventory than the national data. have higher inventory than the national data.
Weekly housing inventory data The best story about housing in 2024 has been that we are finally growing inventory and getting off these savagely unhealthy low levels of active listings. Even though we didn’t hit my goal this week of inventory growth between 11,000 – 17,000, it was still a decent week at 10,374.
Weekly housing inventory data Higher rates lead to more inventory. My model has been simple for the last two years; as long as mortgage rates stay above 7.25%, inventory should grow in a normal range of 11,000-17,000 per week. Weekly inventory change (Sept. Weekly inventory change (Sept.
Weekly housing inventory data Two weeks ago was the best week of inventory growth for me in 2024, as we hit my model range without higher mortgage rates; I gave it the chef’s kiss. We couldn’t pull that off this week as inventory growth slowed to 5,768. Weekly inventory change (Sept. Weekly inventory change (Sept.
Weekly housing inventory data Inventory hit another one of my target levels this week, making it four times this year! My rule of thumb has been that inventory should have some weekly positive prints between 11,000 and 17,000 as long as rates are above 7.25%. Last week we saw positive inventory growth of 13,593 !
2012: What they said: Shadow inventory will cause prices to fall. The reality: Inventory broke down in 2012, and the monthly supply data got below 6.0 The “shadow inventory” was not an issue as it took years to get rid of the distressed supply from the housing bubble years. million of inventory is normal.
Weekly housing inventory data This week’s data was hit with the July 4th bug. So, I will not make any statements about the decline in inventory week to week, except that it’s been affected by the holiday and we should get back on trend next week. have higher inventory data than the national data.
Now that we are halfway through the year, we can see that active inventory in America is growing, unlike what happened in 2023. We are currently up to 652,573 single-family homes, and while that isn’t close to average active inventory levels, it’s a much better place today than in 2022.
Weekly housing inventory data The best story for me about housing this year has been the inventory growth. With the inventory growth we’re seeing and demand firming up, this is the best we could have hoped for in 2024. Weekly inventory change (Sept. Weekly inventory change (Sept.
Weekly housing inventory data The best story in 2024 has been inventory growth. We can’t have a functional housing market with the inventory levels we saw from 2020-2023. This year we’ve gotten enough inventory growth to create a buffer so we don’t have another savagely unhealthy housing market when mortgage rates fall.
This can be partly due to a higher percentage of cash buyers in the sales mix that purchase applicatoins won’t account for. Weekly housing inventory data Last week was another week that missed my inventory growth model with higher rates. Rates have fallen recently and inventory growth was higher last week than the previous week.
Housing inventory is growing, but national home prices aren’t dropping dramatically, as the recent S&P CoreLogic Case Shiller index clearly showed. The last time we had a stressed seller market was when national home prices crashed in 2008-2011 and even with more inventory , we’re nowhere close to those levels.
If so, what will this do to inventory levels? Moving the needle doesn’t take much since we all know we have buyers ready to go and home sales are at record lows. Weekly housing inventory data The positive story for housing in 2024 has been the inventory growth we have seen year-over-year.
. — thus, increasing inventory and driving overall prices down. That hasn’t happened yet, as low inventory continues to cripple homebuilders and potential buyers, who don’t want to engage in ultra-competitive bidding wars.
The housing market madness persisted last week as inventory fell and higher mortgage rates took a bigger bite out of purchase application data. Weekly housing inventory decreased by 6,801, while new listing data is still negative year-over-year. Weekly inventory change (Feb. Weekly inventory change (Feb.
Second, because of the downtrend in inventory since 2014 and the demand pick-up we will see in the years 2020-2024, we had a risk of home prices accelerating too much. It’s also driven more by mortgage buyers who tend to be older and make more money than the new-home buyers. First, total home sales should be 6.2
Weekly active inventory grew slowly again and purchase apps were down week to week again. This happened as expected, except we had a lousy bond auction, which meant too much debt supply came online with insufficient buyers. For those calling for a massive inventory spike since 2008, the last few years have not gone as planned.
Per a recent report from Redfin , the typical iBuyer-owned home found a buyer after 13 days on the market — the quickest pace since at least 2015, when Redfin began recording iBuyer data. iBuying appears to be back, after the nation’s top iBuying companies purchased 4,383 homes in the first quarter of 2021 — up 20.6%
According to Redfin , the year-over-year increase in December was the smallest annualized increase since 2015 and the second smallest since 2013. “Prices will keep going up consistently because its unlikely there will be enough new inventory to meet buyer demand, Bokhari said in the report. from Q4 2023 to Q4 2024.
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