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Spring forecast: More inventory and rising home sales

Housing Wire

Total available inventory is gradually climbing about 1% per week — last year it was still declining in April. As we roll into the second quarter, we should have accelerating inventory growth each week. NAR reported 33% all cash buyers, which is the most since 2014 when buyers were still cleaning up distressed properties.

Inventory 488
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Housing Market Tracker: Inventory finally rises

Housing Wire

Since 2020, the seasonal bottom for housing inventory has arrived several months later than normal, making it more complicated to track housing inventory data. Still, we have some promising signs that we might have finally hit the inventory bottom for 2023. Again, I am a bit mindful here due to Easter.

Inventory 545
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Housing Market Tracker: Spring inventory falls

Housing Wire

Just when I thought it was safe to say we were getting more traditional spring housing inventory , we hit a snag last week, as active inventory and new listings declined. Weekly housing inventory The numbers this week are unfortunate: inventory should be growing like it does at this time every year.

Inventory 505
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Purchase apps are at 2009 level: where’s the inventory?

Housing Wire

It’s an excellent time to discuss housing inventory. How can housing inventory be so low today when it skyrocketed back in 2009? If you follow the trend of housing supply since 2014, it’s been falling every year — with a pause in 2018-2019 — and then collapsed lower post-2020. I don’t believe housing inventory below 1.52

Inventory 526
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Housing Market Tracker: Inventory drops as mortgage rates move higher

Housing Wire

The housing market experienced more volatility last week, with housing inventory dropping as mortgage rates moved higher. Weekly housing inventory continues to decline, as we saw a decrease of 13,238 units, double the amount we had this time last year. This means buyers have more say now in the home-buying process.

Inventory 516
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Cash buyers are scooping up homes like mad

Housing Wire

Cash buyers are pouring into the housing market this year, and they’re picking off more than half of available inventory in certain areas in Florida and New York. That represents the largest share since 2014, when 30.6% That represents the largest share since 2014, when 30.6% As of July 14, nearly one-third of U.S.

Buyers 545
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Why purchase application data is below 2008 levels

Housing Wire

But I need to explain why this level has more in common with 2014 housing data than the credit stress markets of 2005-2008, and why you should care. Inventory levels broke to all-time lows and thus created massive housing inflation quickly, which broke my model. We saw this happen in 2013-2014 and 2018-2019.