Housing Wire

JUNE 29, 2024

The rules of supply and demand economics always end up winning and weekly new listing data is key. New listing data is growing year over year, but it will be the second-lowest new listing data ever recorded in history. For the fifth time this year, inventory hit my target level with elevated mortgage rates.

New Listings 368

New Listings Inventory Contracts Sellers 368

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 13, 2024

The recent CoreLogic Homeowner Equity Insights report for Q3 shows a continued positive trend of a lack of underwater mortgages in America today. Underwater mortgages where borrowers owe more on their home than what it is worth pose a risk of foreclosure and hinder people from selling their homes, something that was rampant after 2008.

Sellers 327

Sellers Mortgage New Listings Realtors 327

Appraisal Buzz

JUNE 12, 2024

Home sellers are returning to the market, but buyers are hesitant, according to a recent Zillow market report. In May, new property listings exceeded sales, allowing buyer competition and price rise to slow—and more price relief is expected. The largest drops were in New Orleans (-5.9%), Austin (-4.1%), and San Antonio (-2.2%).

Sellers 397

Sellers Buyers New Listings Home Value 397

Appraisal Buzz

JUNE 14, 2024

There have only been two months in the last decade with fewer home sales: October 2023, when mortgage rates reached a 23-year high, and May 2020, when the pandemic brought the housing market to a halt and home sales to an all-time low. Experts predict sales may increase later this year if mortgage rates gradually fall as projected.

Sellers 435

Sellers Buyers New Listings Mortgage 435

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 13, 2022

The premise of a mortgage rate lockdown is simple: so many American households have such low mortgage rates that some will never move once rates rise, which then locks up housing inventory. Typically we have a natural set of new listings each year; inventory rises in the spring and summer and then falls in the fall and winter.

Mortgage 517

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 517

Housing Wire

JULY 13, 2024

In 2023, following the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank , the spreads between the 30-year mortgage and 10-year yield were at their worst, leading to new cycle highs. This meant mortgage rates were significantly higher than average. Mortgage spreads Last year, the 10-year yield hit 5% and mortgage rates got above 8%.

Mortgage 488

Mortgage New Listings Inventory Contracts 488

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 23, 2024

It has been almost two months since mortgage rates spiked again, and my initial thought was this would tank housing demand. We had a positive 18-week period with purchase applications before mortgage rates started rising in September. Initially, the data showed more robust performance as mortgage rates approached 6%.

Mortgage 474

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Contracts 474

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 26, 2024

Price reductions ticked up this week for the first time since November in the face of rising mortgage rates. We can see the impact of higher mortgage rates slowing homebuyer demand. Now, mortgage rates are 100 basis points higher. We still see more sellers than last year. The pace of sales inched down, too.

Sellers 421

Sellers Inventory New Listings Contracts 421

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 12, 2024

New listings each week, which were record few last year, are growing now. There are still notably not a lot of sellers. But home sellers are gradually easing back into this housing market. There were 66,000 new listings this week, of which 14,000 are already in contract. It’s not a ton of sellers.

Sellers 370

Sellers Housing Market Buyers New Listings 370

Housing Wire

MARCH 2, 2024

The mortgage rate lockdown premise says that if rates rise, inventory can’t grow meaningfully. The idea is that nobody will trade their low mortgage rates to buy another home — even though this happened every week last year. With mortgage rates higher, will this stop inventory from growing year over year?

Inventory 531

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 531

Housing Wire

MAY 14, 2024

reaches its peak homebuying season, mortgage rates continue to ease week over week. HousingWire ’s Mortgage Rates Center showed the average 30-year fixed rate for conforming loans at 7.45% on Tuesday, below the rate of 7.51% one week ago. Since the softer labor reports happened, mortgage pricing has improved. As the U.S.

Mortgage 500

Mortgage New Listings Inventory Sellers 500

Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2024

Mortgage rates had a chance to break to new highs this year, but the Federal Reserve took a moderate tone at the last Fed meeting. We saw the benefit of lower mortgage rates with the last two existing home sales reports, which showed growth. Then mortgage rates rose, facilitating five weeks of negative purchase application data.

Mortgage 507

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 507

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 20, 2024

Mortgage rates are back over 7%. Even as money is more expensive and there are more sellers than a year ago, we can also see slight home sales growth over 2023. The economy has continued to be strong, so mortgage rates have defied expectations and remained very high. Is new supply growing out of balance with demand?

Mortgage 485

Mortgage Inventory Sellers New Listings 485

Housing Wire

JULY 15, 2024

If we look at the housing market right now, sales are down, new listings are down and prices are decelerating. Good inflation data came in last week, the bond market rallied and mortgage rates took a notable dip below 7% for the first time in months. Maybe we’re finally past the peak of mortgage rates ? and stay there.

Housing Market 477

Housing Market New Listings Marketing Mortgage 477

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 30, 2024

However, there are two big trends that stand out as we launch into 2025 affordability and sellers in the market. Home prices finished 2024 up a few percent nationally and mortgage rates are at their highest level in seven months back over 7% as we head into January. These are unsold new listings.

Housing Market 425

Housing Market Marketing New Listings Inventory 425

Housing Wire

APRIL 5, 2022

New listings have not kept up with the large number of families looking to buy, leading to homes selling quickly and often above list price,” Nothaft said. Higher prices and mortgage rates erode buyer affordability and should dampen demand in coming months, leading to the moderation in price growth in our forecast.”.

Sellers 482

Sellers Inventory New Listings Real Estate 482

Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2024

Housing inventory, new listing data and mortgage rates are all rising, but the price cut data percentages are falling. I will watch for rising mortgage rates to see if they change the weekly data. I will watch for rising mortgage rates to see if they change the weekly data. So far, so good in 2024.

Inventory 531

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 531

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 5, 2024

Mortgage rates are back up over 7% this morning on the back of strong economic growth data. The 10-year bond yield jumped back over 4% and that pushes mortgage rates higher too. Mortgage rates are 40 basis points higher than a month ago, and 100 basis points higher than a year ago. There are more buyers than sellers.

Mortgage 423

Mortgage Inventory Sellers New Listings 423

Housing Wire

JUNE 24, 2024

Sellers can just wait it out, and it looks like the U.S. I think it’s worth examining if sellers will indeed just wait it out now. If mortgage rates jump in late summer, we would see another boost in unsold inventory. New listings unchanged You can see the continuation of that theme with the new listings volume each week.

Inventory 352

Inventory Sellers New Listings Property Taxes 352

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 15, 2024

An often misguided premise I see on social media is that lower mortgage rates are doing nothing for housing demand. Purchase application data First, purchase apps is the fastest way to look for positive or negative data at higher or lower mortgage rates. That’s ok — very few people are looking at the data without an agenda.

Mortgage 512

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Retail 512

Housing Wire

JULY 29, 2022

metropolitan areas in February 2022, based on year-over-year growth in median listing price according to the residential real estate listing website, Realtor.com. The table also reports the year-over-year percent change in new listings for each market. Table 1, below, reports the 10 hottest U.S. Bellingham, WA 51.7% -8.3%

Housing Market 411

Housing Market Sellers Marketing New Listings 411

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 14, 2023

The holidays have come early for the mortgage industry. Mortgage rates fell below the 7% threshold this week as markets prepared for Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s announcement on Wednesday. The 30-year, fixed mortgage rate averaged 6.95% for the week ending Dec. on Thursday.

Mortgage 496

Mortgage New Listings Loan Officers Inventory 496

Housing Wire

JUNE 15, 2024

Since May 29, we’ve witnessed a decline in the 10-year yield, which has been favorable for mortgage rates. 10-year yield and mortgage rates After the intense jobs week data , we ran straight into CPI and PPI inflation week, with a Fed meeting thrown in! Once mortgage rates began rising in 2024, some demand was removed.

Mortgage 456

Mortgage Inventory Marketing New Listings 456

Housing Wire

AUGUST 4, 2024

Mortgage rates moved massively lower last week without any Federal Reserve rate cuts, primarily because the labor market is getting softer. Can mortgage rates go even lower? We don’t have that variable this year and spreads have improved earlier than I thought, which has helped mortgage pricing.

Mortgage 486

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 486

Housing Wire

MAY 15, 2024

This is an excerpt of a HousingWire Research report titled: What Everyone Needs to Know about Mortgage Rate Lock-in, by Altos President Mike Simonsen. housing market saw dramatic changes in affordability as mortgage rates skyrocketed 500 basis points. That’s a swing of 17% fewer sellers in just a matter of days.

Mortgage 386

Mortgage New Listings Inventory Sellers 386

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 7, 2022

Since the weaker CPI data was released in November, bond yields and mortgage rates have been heading lower. The question then was: What would lower mortgage rates do to this data? However, mortgage rates have fallen more than 1% since the recent highs, so it’s time to look at the data to explain how to interpret it.

Housing Market 535

Housing Market Mortgage Marketing Inventory 535

Housing Wire

MARCH 6, 2024

Housing professionals already know that high mortgage rates are bad for business. But with mortgage rates ascending past 7% according to HousingWire’s Mortgage Rates Center , those hopes have so far been dashed in 2024. Bad for sellers Prospective home sellers may not notice incremental changes in mortgage rates.

Mortgage 401

Mortgage Sellers New Listings Buyers 401

Housing Wire

AUGUST 6, 2024

Mortgage rates are dropping fast. Mortgage rates are now the lowest they’ve been in over a year. Last year at this time, mortgage rates were rising, eventually peaking at 8% in October 2023. We should be able to measure how demand changes over the next few weeks if rates stay at these new lower levels.

Mortgage 455

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Contracts 455

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 9, 2023

The most underreported housing story I’ve seen this year is that even with mortgage rates rising to 8%, the number of homes that took price cuts before they sold was 4% below 2022 levels. This happened even with higher home prices and higher mortgage rates in 2023. Weekly inventory change (Dec.

Mortgage 510

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 510

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 25, 2023

Lower mortgage rates tend to take housing supply off the market and demand has been picking up lately as rates have fallen. However, the recent drop in housing inventory has more to do with seasonality factors than lower mortgage rates. The question now is what will inventory look like in the spring if mortgage rates keep falling?

Inventory 513

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Buyers 513

Housing Wire

MARCH 11, 2024

Last fall when people were still expecting mortgage rates to be falling this year, it was common to assume rates would be in the low 6s or 5s this year and people asked me if lower rates would bring a flood of inventory. The only way inventory would grow in 2024 is if mortgage rates climbed. But the evidence is the opposite.

Inventory 509

Inventory Sellers New Listings Real Estate 509

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 2, 2023

Mortgage rates almost fell below 7%, the 10-year yield is below 4.25% again, and people are seriously talking about Fed rate cuts in 2024. Mortgage rates have fallen by almost 1% in a short time, and it has created four straight weeks of positive purchase application data. Mortgage rates and the 10-year yield We are back!

Mortgage 542

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 542

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 4, 2024

How will mortgage rates impact seasonal inventory in 2024? Also, when mortgage rates rise, the inventory peak happens later in the year. New listings were trending at the lowest levels ever in 2023, but that should not be the case in 2024. Is the seasonal bottom going to happen later than I want?

Inventory 490

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 490

Housing Wire

APRIL 9, 2023

The housing market welcomed the news of lower mortgage rates last week after four reports showed that the labor market isn’t as tight as it seems and that the fear of 1970s-entrenched inflation was a lousy narrative. Active inventory rose by 823 single-family homes and new listing data is trending at all-time lows.

Housing Market 538

Housing Market Marketing Mortgage Inventory 538

Appraisal Buzz

SEPTEMBER 5, 2024

Simultaneously, home sellers reduced the number of newly listed properties on the market, with a -0.9% In April we noted that rising for-sale inventory was likely to lead to more balance between buyers and sellers. Similar to buyers, sellers reduced their offering in August as newly listed properties dropped 0.9%

Sellers 397

Sellers Housing Market Buyers Marketing 397

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 28, 2024

Housing demand is very seasonal, so the fact that our pending contract data is firming up lately just shows that lower mortgage rates have stabilized and firmed up demand recently. It will likely take mortgage rates to go under 6% and stay there for an extended period to get real sustained demand growth from record-low sales levels.

Mortgage 494

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Contracts 494

Housing Wire

APRIL 15, 2024

We saw a big jump in mortgage rates last week. The 30-year fixed rate mortgage, according to the HousingWire Mortgage Rates Center , is now over 7.2% — that’s 50 basis points above where we were at the start of the year. At that time, most of the voices in the media assumed that mortgage rates had peaked and would fall by now.

Inventory 392

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 392