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Earlier this year, when mortgage rates soared to 7.26%, a cloud of worry hung over the housing market many feared that home sales would tumble in 2025, fueled by concerns about inflation and tariffs. But when it seemed doom and gloom would prevail, the 10-year yield dropped, pulling mortgage rates lower in a lovely slow dance.
It has been almost two months since mortgage rates spiked again, and my initial thought was this would tank housing demand. We had a positive 18-week period with purchase applications before mortgage rates started rising in September. Initially, the data showed more robust performance as mortgage rates approached 6%.
Mortgage applications increased 11.2% on a seasonally adjusted basis from last week, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Associations (MBA) weekly mortgage applications survey for the week ending March 7, 2025. The refinance share of mortgage activity increased to 45.6% of total applications from 43.8% from 16.7%
Mortgage applications increased 20.4% from one week earlier on a seasonally adjusted basis as buyers pounced on lower rates , according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Associations (MBA) weekly mortgage applications survey for the week ending Feb. ” The refinance share of mortgage activity increased to 43.8%
Todays housing starts data exceeded estimates; however, a closer examination of the report with the builder confidence reveals that the recent rise in mortgage rates , approaching 7.25%, has negatively affected builder sentiment. Since late 2022, our analysis indicates that mortgage rates in the 6%-6.5%
The pace of home sales remains near a 30-year low point as home prices and mortgage rates keep potential borrowers in wait-and-see mode. But mortgage rates have posted an unusually large decline in the past week. Mortgage pricing should be down a tad today, he said. This would be a clear headwind to any further rate cuts.
Homebuyers faced worsening affordability conditions in January as the median monthly mortgage payment for purchase applicants increased to $2,205, a 3.7% jump from Decembers $2,127, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA). in December, signaling that mortgage payments have risen at a faster pace than rental costs.
The 10-year yield and mortgage rates have been on a wild ride lately, even testing my top-end forecast at 7.25%, but today, the 10-year yield fell after remarks by Fed President Chris Waller about whether the Fed would do even more rate cuts than the market was anticipating. However, we know that this is unlikely to happen.
Its late December so all the 2025 mortgage rate forecasts have been published. Most housing market analysts expect mortgage rates to spend the year with a 6 handle. The most optimistic predictions assume 2025 will see mostly low 6s for the 30-year fixed rate mortgage. Unfortunately, all of them are already wrong.
The statement was enough to raise mortgage rates to an even higher level, a sharp departure from the optimism lenders experienced during the September rally, which now seems like a distant memory. “We At Mortgage News Daily , rates were at 7.02% on Thursday afternoon. We are moving policy over time to a more neutral setting.
Another jobs week has come to an end, and amid the chaotic headlines about job numbers, tariffs , and the leadership of the Treasury , mortgage rates remained calm. Better mortgage spreads are limiting how high rates can rise in 2025. Mortgage spreads refer to the difference between the 10-year yield and the 30-year mortgage rate.
A 60 basis point increase in mortgage rates in October has strangled mortgage demand, particularly for refinancings , according to the latest survey data from the Mortgage Bankers Association. Mortgage applications overall decreased 0.1% The refinance share of mortgage activity decreased to 43.1% the previous week.
The difference is mortgage rates: even with inventory growing at a healthy clip this year, mortgage rates just heading down toward 6% for a brief period of time resulted in higher prices in a seasonally soft period. However, that didn’t happen. from September to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.96 million in October.
Lower mortgage rates in September had a measurable impact on home sales. Pending home sales data is the latest sign that falling mortgage rates in August and September boosted home sales. According to data released Wednesday by the National Association of Realtors (NAR), pending home sales in September jumped 7.4% year over year.
Higher-for-longer mortgage rates have claimed their first victim of 2025. Ally Financial announced Wednesday that it would exit the mortgage origination business as part of a broader strategy to pursue higher returns on investments. Bloomberg was the first to report the developments.
Mortgage rates continue to rise, serving as a bucket of cold water for lenders and consumers that were warming to lower borrowing costs just a few months ago. According to HousingWire ‘s Mortgage Rates Center , the average 30-year conforming rate was 6.61% on Tuesday. With mortgage rates back above 6.5%
If mortgage rates don’t drop, we may see this sector facing supply issues and shrinking profit margins. I believe the White House wants a shift in mortgage rates to avoid this sector going into a recession because it might take some time to get them out of it. Hopefully, lower mortgage rates can reverse this negative trend.
of Americans under 30 have a mortgage, according to a LendingTree research of anonymised credit reports of platform users. On the LendingTree platform, younger buyers searched for mortgages that would cost an average of $92,332 in 2024 to buy homes in the 50 largest metro areas. of people under 30 have a mortgage, compared to 8.4%
Mortgage rates are declining, and recent purchase application data shows a promising 9% week-to-week increase and a 2% rise compared to the previous year. I’ve noticed that housing data tends to improve when mortgage rates drop from 6.64% to 6%, especially when I adjust for seasonal demand.
As mortgage rates continue to climb past the 7% mark, applications continued to take a step back following the New Year’s Day holiday. from the week prior, the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) reported in its weekly mortgage applications survey for the week ending Jan. Demand decreased by 3.7% the previous week.
The market reacted badly to the FOMC statement and remarks by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell during the Q&A presser, sending the 10-year yield and mortgage rates higher. What he got is higher mortgage rates again. I’ve been cautious about getting to sub-6% mortgage rates until the labor breaks. So what gives?
The rule applies existing protections for residential mortgages to borrowers who seek PACE loans to upgrade or renovate their homes through clean energy technology. PACE borrowers were also more likely to fall behind on payments for their first mortgage compared to those who didnt use the program.
This Valentines weekend brought an unexpected gift to the housing market as a weaker-than-expected retail sales report sent the 10-year yield tumbling, bringing mortgage rates down to under 7%. Its been a rollercoaster week for the bond market, particularly after a relative calm in mortgage pricing.
This gives us a glimpse of what may happen over the next 10 months for mortgage rates, especially since, since Jan. However, there is a limit to the downside on mortgage rates until the labor market breaks, or we get more than 1% rate cuts from the Fed. Additionally, can mortgage rates decrease toward 6% to support builders?
Mortgage rates decreased again today on weak economic data, following last Friday’s similar drop in the 10-year yield. Furthermore, the mortgage spreads in today’s pricing are favorable. According to the latest quote from Mortgage News Daily , mortgage rates are now around 6.89%.
In the modern mortgage industry, lenders are not just setting themselves apart on who has the best Super Bowl ad or the biggest branch footprint, but increasingly also on their approach to technology. Lenders as Tech Providers in the New Era of Mortgage As we move into the era of mortgage digitalization 2.0,
One Florida mortgage broker said the Provident exit gave him “a feeling that we will see other major lenders exiting the condominium market in Florida. Some owners of older condo units have had to list at prices far below what they bought the units for because special assessments are so high (and are difficult to finance).
House of Representatives proposes to relieve Federal Housing Administration (FHA) borrowers of mortgage insurance premiums (MIPs) once they reach a certain level of home equity , aligning FHA policies with those of conventional loans. Mortgage insurance exists as protection from foreclosure on low equity loans. Introduced by Reps.
Reverse mortgage professionals made more inroads into the forward mortgage industry in 2024. This happened through dedicated conversations, partnerships between reverse and forward mortgage companies, and expanded activities in reverse that stemmed from acquisitions and expansions of existing divisions.
Mortgage rates continued their ascent this week after Fridays jobs report showed that employers added more positions than expected in December, which is likely to cement a pause on interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve later this month. Merritt thinks mortgage lenders could take some comfort in that trend.
The Federal Communications Commission (FCC) this week warned consumers in all 50 states that fraudsters are posing as mortgage lenders by calling homeowners and asking them to pony up on payments. The FCC estimates that Green Mirage has impersonated over 400 mortgage lenders.
Economists pointed to lower mortgage rates as the reason for slower growth. Despite the Federal Reserve’s half-point interest rate cut in September, rates for 30-year conforming loans have climbed back up to 6.7%, according to HousingWire ’s Mortgage Rates Center. gain year over year, less than the 4.8% gain from July.
Introduction As part of our ongoing discussion on the concept of movement in the mortgage industry, it is readily apparent that the failure of mortgage companies to pivot or tweak their business models to satisfy changing market and other conditions has resulted in consolidation based on liquidity, buyback, financial and other concerns.
Mortgage applications declined 0.7% 13, driven by slight decline in refinance activity, according to data released Wednesday by the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA). The decline in applications broke a five-week streak of increases in mortgage demand. Adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) activity remained steady at 5.3%
The mortgage servicing landscape has long been a crucible of change, where today’s decisions lay the groundwork for the industry’s future. Formed in 2023, the MSEA is a platform for nurturing the next generation of mortgage leaders. Here’s what our panel of mortgage servicing executives had to share.
Reverse mortgage business and mortgage business generally is not where people want it to be. That was a repeated idea shared by a group of reverse mortgage professionals when asked to assess what they see as the biggest industry challenges of the year. I think that’s true from an industry standpoint.
Higher mortgage rates are forcing many first-time homebuyers to adopt a “wait-and-see” approach to the market. Agents reported that 27% of first-timer buyers requested mortgage rate buydowns from sellers. ” Despite forecasts that predict mortgage rates above 6% in 2025, agents hope for a shift in the market.
This housing market is on hold until mortgage rates come down. We knew that mortgage rates over 7% were possible for the year, and here we are. I still expect well spend most of the year under 7% for the 30-year fixed rate mortgage , but until that happens, home sales are at a standstill. When will that be? I have no idea.
There were a total of 298 consumer complaints submitted to the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) in 2024 that were related to the reverse mortgage industry, according to a database maintained by the bureau. Among the nation’s top 10 reverse mortgage lenders, Onity Group Inc. the parent company of PHH Mortgage Corp.
The labor market is showing signs of softness but is not breaking down yet, which has kept mortgage rates higher for longer. Since 2022, my guiding principle has been that the labor market is more important than inflation in determining mortgage rates. This is the reason mortgage rates are around 7% and not around 6% today.
According to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), approximately 20% ($957 billion) of $4.8 trillion of outstanding commercial mortgages held by lenders and investors will mature in 2025, a 3% increase from the $929 billion that matured in 2024. The post What Percentage of Commercial Mortgage Balances Will Mature in 2025?
At the beginning of 2024, mortgage technology company LoanPASS was announced as a technology partner for reverse mortgage lender Smartfi Home Loans. Getting the hang of reverse Mitchell is a 25-year veteran of the mortgage technology space, primarily working for LOS companies. What does the future hold?
Lessons from California wildfires and other natural disasters Californias wildfires highlighted the chaos that natural disasters continue to unleash not just on homeowners, but also on the mortgage servicers tasked with supporting them and the insurance industry that covers the cost of rebuilding.
If this happens, will we see lower mortgage rates this spring? However, last week saw a decline in mortgage rates due to softer economic data, which led to an influx of money into the bond market as stocks sold off on Friday. If we were experiencing the worst mortgage spreads of 2023, mortgage rates would be 0.77% higher today.
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