Housing Wire

AUGUST 27, 2023

Did the recent move in higher mortgage rates impact the new listings data more than normal? I hope this isn’t the case, but we had a noticeable move lower in new listings last week. The Fed spoke at Jackson Hole last Friday but that didn’t move mortgage rates much. Weekly active listings rose by only 6,618.

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New Listings Mortgage Inventory Marketing 369

Housing Wire

JULY 15, 2024

If we look at the housing market right now, sales are down, new listings are down and prices are decelerating. Good inflation data came in last week, the bond market rallied and mortgage rates took a notable dip below 7% for the first time in months. Maybe we’re finally past the peak of mortgage rates ?

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Housing Market New Listings Marketing Mortgage 496

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 7, 2024

Ironically, a strong employment situation in the country drives the bond market to higher rates. After the recent lows with mortgage rates this week, the 30-year fixed rate jumped back up over 6.5%. The purchase market is slower to respond, and the data now is still showing the positive impact of lower rates of recent weeks.

Housing Market 467

Housing Market Marketing Mortgage Contracts 467

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 11, 2024

Inventory, new listings, sales, and prices all dipped this week. The election took up a lot of peoples’ lives last week, and that obviously delayed some listing and sales activity, plus we’ve had spiking mortgage rates. At that time, mortgage rates rose from 6.5% The autumn seasonal decline is upon us.

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 382

Appraisal Buzz

MARCH 26, 2024

As of March 17, there were roughly 795,645 active listings. There were roughly 88,902 new listings added during that same four weeks – and increase of 15% and the biggest increase since June 2021. The surge in listings is bringing some buyers back to the market, the firm says. The median U.S.

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New Listings Buyers Marketing Inventory 195

Housing Wire

JULY 6, 2024

This is precisely what the doctor ordered for the housing market. In March of 2022, we only had 240,000 active single-family homes available for sale, leading me to call the housing market savagely unhealthy as we simply had too many people chasing too few homes. Let’s take a half-time look at the inventory levels in America today.

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Housing Market Mortgage Inventory Marketing 475

Housing Wire

JULY 13, 2024

In 2023, following the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank , the spreads between the 30-year mortgage and 10-year yield were at their worst, leading to new cycle highs. This meant mortgage rates were significantly higher than average. Mortgage spreads Last year, the 10-year yield hit 5% and mortgage rates got above 8%.

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Mortgage New Listings Inventory Contracts 512

Housing Wire

JUNE 15, 2024

Since May 29, we’ve witnessed a decline in the 10-year yield, which has been favorable for mortgage rates. 10-year yield and mortgage rates After the intense jobs week data , we ran straight into CPI and PPI inflation week, with a Fed meeting thrown in! Once mortgage rates began rising in 2024, some demand was removed.

Mortgage 499

Mortgage Inventory Marketing New Listings 499

Housing Wire

APRIL 9, 2023

The housing market welcomed the news of lower mortgage rates last week after four reports showed that the labor market isn’t as tight as it seems and that the fear of 1970s-entrenched inflation was a lousy narrative. Active inventory rose by 823 single-family homes and new listing data is trending at all-time lows.

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Housing Market Marketing Mortgage Inventory 540

Housing Wire

MAY 28, 2024

Mortgage rates kept sliding toward 7% as HousingWire ’s Mortgage Rates Center showed the average 30-year fixed rate for conforming loans at 7.25% on Tuesday, below the rate of 7.34% one week ago. During the same period, there were 72,329 new listings, according to Altos Research data.

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Marketing Mortgage Inventory New Listings 428

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 7, 2024

Mortgage rates have made almost a 2% move lower from the highs of 2023. Now that the jobs week data is in, the question is: can mortgage rates go even lower? While the Fed can be old and slow, the bond market, thankfully, is doing a lot of the heavy lifting and has already priced in a lot of Fed easing policy.

Mortgage 529

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Marketing 529

Appraisal Buzz

OCTOBER 3, 2024

Following the Federal Reserve ‘s 50 basis point reduction in the jumbo rate in September, mortgage rates significant fell to a 24-month low, prompting sellers to move. The Realtor.com 2024 September Housing Report states that actively listed properties increased by 34.0%, while newly listed homes increased by 11.6%

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Marketing New Listings Sellers Advertising 418

Housing Wire

MARCH 26, 2023

The financial and housing markets are still trying to sort out the banking crisis and whether we have seen the last Fed rate hike in this cycle. These events led to lower mortgage rates and increased purchase application data last week, but decreased housing inventory. In a regular market, they would be closer to 5.25%.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 475

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 15, 2024

An often misguided premise I see on social media is that lower mortgage rates are doing nothing for housing demand. Purchase application data First, purchase apps is the fastest way to look for positive or negative data at higher or lower mortgage rates. That’s ok — very few people are looking at the data without an agenda.

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Mortgage Inventory New Listings Retail 521

Housing Wire

AUGUST 4, 2024

Mortgage rates moved massively lower last week without any Federal Reserve rate cuts, primarily because the labor market is getting softer. Can mortgage rates go even lower? As we can see below, when the market priced economic weakness earlier in 2024, it took the 10-year yield down toward 3.80% but didn’t break that level.

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Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 516

Housing Wire

MAY 14, 2024

reaches its peak homebuying season, mortgage rates continue to ease week over week. HousingWire ’s Mortgage Rates Center showed the average 30-year fixed rate for conforming loans at 7.45% on Tuesday, below the rate of 7.51% one week ago. Since the softer labor reports happened, mortgage pricing has improved. As the U.S.

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Mortgage New Listings Inventory Sellers 529

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 28, 2024

Housing demand is very seasonal, so the fact that our pending contract data is firming up lately just shows that lower mortgage rates have stabilized and firmed up demand recently. It will likely take mortgage rates to go under 6% and stay there for an extended period to get real sustained demand growth from record-low sales levels.

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Mortgage Inventory New Listings Contracts 518

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 1, 2024

The best part about 2024 has been that higher mortgage rates have created an inventory buffer, so if the economy gets softer and rates fall, we have many more homes to work with than we had in 2020-2023. However, as mortgage rates have fallen recently , I haven’t been able to hit my targets, which isn’t a surprise.

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Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 531

Housing Wire

AUGUST 6, 2024

Mortgage rates are dropping fast. Mortgage rates are now the lowest they’ve been in over a year. Last year at this time, mortgage rates were rising, eventually peaking at 8% in October 2023. That late year rise in costs really slowed the housing market. That late year rise in costs really slowed the housing market.

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Mortgage Inventory New Listings Contracts 480

Housing Wire

JUNE 8, 2024

Given last week’s surprising jobs report, how much longer will we have to deal with higher mortgage rates ? It’s essential to track the labor data along with inflation because the key to getting lower mortgage rates for longer lies with the labor data more than inflation. Still, the labor market hasn’t broken yet.

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Mortgage Inventory New Listings Contracts 506

Housing Wire

JULY 29, 2024

Any sales growth momentum in the real estate market we might have had early in the year is gone. New home sales contracts are coming in pretty consistently fewer than last year — 4.9% Our Immediate sales measure of homes that get listed, take offers and go into contract in a few days is also notably lower than last year.

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 400

Housing Wire

APRIL 27, 2024

I have a simple model with mortgage rates being above 7.25%: weekly inventory data should grow between 11,000-17,000 per week. This isn’t saying too much since 2023 had the lowest recorded level of new listings ever, but it’s still a plus in my book. The mortgage spread data got worse last week. 2022: 19.2%

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 513

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 23, 2023

housing market and that they need to be pro-housing again. Even with all the drama we have dealt with in 2022-2023, the housing market stayed intact and never broke. This got tested in 2023 with 8% mortgage rates ; not only did that not happen, but the new listing data was very stable, meaning it was forming a bottom.

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 535

Housing Wire

MAY 25, 2024

The mortgage rate lockdown premise holds that very few people will list their homes when mortgage rates are this high, thus suppressing inventory. 2024 has had healthy inventory growth despite mortgage rates above 7%. When mortgage rates increase, demand falls, and the price-cut percentage grows.

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Inventory Mortgage New Listings Marketing 504

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 5, 2024

18 and mortgage rates and bond yields headed higher. But, we have to remember that mortgage rates had already made an almost 2% move lower since the highs of 2023 without rate cuts, as the bond market always gets ahead of the Fed. This explains the rise in mortgage rates since the Fed cut rates.

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Mortgage Inventory New Listings Retail 505

Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2024

Mortgage rates had a chance to break to new highs this year, but the Federal Reserve took a moderate tone at the last Fed meeting. We saw the benefit of lower mortgage rates with the last two existing home sales reports, which showed growth. Then mortgage rates rose, facilitating five weeks of negative purchase application data.

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Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 520

Housing Wire

AUGUST 17, 2024

Have lower mortgage rates already started to slow down housing inventory? Now, with mortgage rates dropping below that 7.25% level recently, inventory hasn’t been able to hit that growth model once. However, 2024 looks much healthier than 2023 data, as we desperately needed to get off those historically low levels of active listings.

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Inventory Mortgage New Listings Contracts 517

Housing Wire

MAY 15, 2024

This is an excerpt of a HousingWire Research report titled: What Everyone Needs to Know about Mortgage Rate Lock-in, by Altos President Mike Simonsen. housing market saw dramatic changes in affordability as mortgage rates skyrocketed 500 basis points. million in January 2021 (when mortgage rates were 2.7%) fell to 3.9

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Mortgage New Listings Inventory Sellers 438

Housing Wire

MAY 4, 2024

My model for inventory growth with higher mortgage rates came crashing down last week. After two weeks of significant increases , inventory growth slowed dramatically and is far from my 11,000-17,000 growth model with mortgage rates over 7.25%. I wish new listings were growing faster, but I will call it a victory nonetheless.

Inventory 467

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Marketing 467

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 30, 2024

Purchase mortgage applications are up for five weeks in a row. It seems like mortgage rates are getting closer to 6% are shaking loose a few transactions. It’s now the end of the third quarter of 2024, it’s been a really weak year for home sales but maybe, just maybe this market is turning the corner. I mentioned this last week.

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Mortgage Contracts Inventory New Listings 456

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 4, 2023

Now that Thanksgiving is behind us and December is well under way, we can start looking ahead to the 2024 housing market. New listings and home sales remain low this week while available inventory of unsold homes is finally falling across the country after rising with mortgage rates late into November. Inventory is 1.2%

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 505

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 22, 2024

Have we seen the bottom in mortgage rates for 2024 after a crazy roller coaster ride so far this year? My 2024 forecast had a mortgage rate range of 7.25%-5.75%. To get to the lower end of this range, we needed to see two things: the labor market getting softer and the mortgage spreads improving. year over year.

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Mortgage Inventory New Listings Contracts 519

Appraisal Buzz

OCTOBER 16, 2024

The “last call” for homes before the holiday shopping season ends is being boosted by reduced mortgage rates, which is attracting increased interest from both buyers and sellers. According to Zillow ‘s most recent market report, there was a surge in activity throughout September due to another break in mortgage rates.

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Marketing New Listings Sellers Home Value 221

Housing Wire

JANUARY 1, 2024

The 2023 housing market faced one of the same roadblocks we saw in 2022: mortgage rates were too high for home sales growth. Every Saturday I publish a weekly housing market tracker with forward-looking data and insights so you can adjust quickly to market conditions. If the 10-year yield gets above 4.25%, the U.S.

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Housing Market Marketing New Listings Construction 531

Appraisal Buzz

SEPTEMBER 13, 2024

As we near the fourth quarter of 2024, the traditional peak of the home-buying season has passed, and the real estate market is entering a period of transition. As of July, there were approximately 646,000 unsold single-family homes on the market in the U.S., Click here for more on the forecast from Altos Research.

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Inventory Real Estate Marketing New Listings 397

Housing Wire

APRIL 23, 2023

Can we now say that the housing market ‘s spring selling season is finally underway? We didn’t see too much volatility in mortgage rates last week, but purchase apps declined in reaction to rates rising two weeks ago. Mortgage rates started the week off at 6.61% and ended at 6.66%, so a calm week on the rate front.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 545

Housing Wire

MARCH 2, 2024

The mortgage rate lockdown premise says that if rates rise, inventory can’t grow meaningfully. The idea is that nobody will trade their low mortgage rates to buy another home — even though this happened every week last year. With mortgage rates higher, will this stop inventory from growing year over year?

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Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 535