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The past few days have been highly turbulent for the stock and bond markets, resulting in dramatic shifts in mortgage rate pricing. I’ve been concerned over the past few days, emphasizing that without the recent tariff news , we likely wouldnt have seen mortgage rates drop to a year-to-date low last week.
Mortgage rates recently hit a year-to-date low, coinciding with ongoing market disruptions from tariffs. The more encouraging story, however, is that the spring season is shaping up positively for the housing market. In fact, if mortgage rates head toward 6%, we will have a positive year here.
In particular it’s created a glut of 30-plus-year-old units on the market, with few takers. One Florida mortgage broker said the Provident exit gave him “a feeling that we will see other major lenders exiting the condominium market in Florida.
Today, the BLS jobs report showed that the labor market is getting softer, but it’s not breaking. This gives us a glimpse of what may happen over the next 10 months for mortgage rates, especially since, since Jan. Additionally, can mortgage rates decrease toward 6% to support builders? 14, we’ve seen them move lower.
Reverse mortgage professionals have long sought financial advisors as referral sources, but might find that those professionals are not particularly willing to entertain the notion that the product would be right for their clients.
Mortgage rates continue to rise, serving as a bucket of cold water for lenders and consumers that were warming to lower borrowing costs just a few months ago. According to HousingWire ‘s Mortgage Rates Center , the average 30-year conforming rate was 6.61% on Tuesday. 18 to 6.15% on Tuesday. On a yearly basis, prices grew by 6%.
The labor market is showing signs of softness but is not breaking down yet, which has kept mortgage rates higher for longer. Since 2022, my guiding principle has been that the labor market is more important than inflation in determining mortgage rates. percent, the U.S. Below is the headline jobless claims data.
Earlier this year, when mortgage rates soared to 7.26%, a cloud of worry hung over the housing market many feared that home sales would tumble in 2025, fueled by concerns about inflation and tariffs. But when it seemed doom and gloom would prevail, the 10-year yield dropped, pulling mortgage rates lower in a lovely slow dance.
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell played the Grinch last week for the housing market, sending mortgage rates higher after his remarks at the Fed presser on Wednesday. However, we need lower mortgage rates to grow sales in a bigger fashion in 2025. However, this year, mortgage rates rose during this timeframe.
All the housing market data for 2024 is in, and its fair to say that the housing market surprised us again! However, there are two big trends that stand out as we launch into 2025 affordability and sellers in the market. In the last few months, the market finally saw some sales growth over the previous year.
It has been almost two months since mortgage rates spiked again, and my initial thought was this would tank housing demand. We had a positive 18-week period with purchase applications before mortgage rates started rising in September. Initially, the data showed more robust performance as mortgage rates approached 6%.
The 10-year yield and mortgage rates have been on a wild ride lately, even testing my top-end forecast at 7.25%, but today, the 10-year yield fell after remarks by Fed President Chris Waller about whether the Fed would do even more rate cuts than the market was anticipating. It’s not booming. It’s not falling.”
Todays housing starts data exceeded estimates; however, a closer examination of the report with the builder confidence reveals that the recent rise in mortgage rates , approaching 7.25%, has negatively affected builder sentiment. Since late 2022, our analysis indicates that mortgage rates in the 6%-6.5%
The mortgage professional of the future goes beyond the transaction. Our mortgage industry is experiencing a fundamental shift. Traditional loan officers who focus solely on transactions are being replaced by mortgage professionals who act as financial strategists, long-term advisors, and educators.
Mortgage rates have reached the lowest levels of the year today as the 10-year yield dropped significantly on tariff news. The stock market reacted negatively to the news regarding tariffs, resulting in significant selling and a shift towards the bond market. Mortgage rates have reached their low point of the year.
Its late December so all the 2025 mortgage rate forecasts have been published. Most housing market analysts expect mortgage rates to spend the year with a 6 handle. The most optimistic predictions assume 2025 will see mostly low 6s for the 30-year fixed rate mortgage. Unfortunately, all of them are already wrong.
Another jobs week has come to an end, and amid the chaotic headlines about job numbers, tariffs , and the leadership of the Treasury , mortgage rates remained calm. Better mortgage spreads are limiting how high rates can rise in 2025. Mortgage spreads refer to the difference between the 10-year yield and the 30-year mortgage rate.
The bond market and stock futures rose when the initial discussions about the 10% tariffs hit the market. Since we believe in the close relationship between the 10-year yield and mortgage rates , we expect mortgage rates to decrease tomorrow if bond yields continue to decline. But the real game changer? Housing data!
Mortgage applications decreased 6.2% That’s according to the latest data from the Mortgage Bankers Associations (MBA) weekly mortgage applications survey for the week ending March 14, 2025. The Market Composite Index, which measures mortgage loan application volume, decreased 6.2% the previous week.
The statement was enough to raise mortgage rates to an even higher level, a sharp departure from the optimism lenders experienced during the September rally, which now seems like a distant memory. “We Meanwhile, the labor market “is now by many metrics back to more normal levels that are consistent with our employment mandate,” Powell said.
March figures to be a crucial month for gauging consumer interest in the 2025 housing market. The pace of home sales remains near a 30-year low point as home prices and mortgage rates keep potential borrowers in wait-and-see mode. But mortgage rates have posted an unusually large decline in the past week.
Higher prices, higher mortgage rates and limited inventory are making for a slow market among buyers and sellers alike. Real estate investors tend to be more insulated from these dynamics, particularly from mortgage rates, as they are more likely to buy properties with cash. Same with the iBuyers. Theyve dropped out a lot.
If mortgage rates don’t drop, we may see this sector facing supply issues and shrinking profit margins. I believe the White House wants a shift in mortgage rates to avoid this sector going into a recession because it might take some time to get them out of it. Hopefully, lower mortgage rates can reverse this negative trend.
The market reacted badly to the FOMC statement and remarks by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell during the Q&A presser, sending the 10-year yield and mortgage rates higher. What he got is higher mortgage rates again. Powell didn’t seem very confident while answering some questions about inflation and the labor market.
Home prices firmed up in today’s existing home sales report , but we caught on to this trend two months ago with our Housing Market Tracker. As part of our tracker, we focus on purchase application data, and I am always looking to see what level of mortgage rates gives us growth in purchase apps. However, that didn’t happen.
Mortgage applications for new-home purchases increased 7.2% year over year in November, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association ‘s (MBA) builder application survey that was released Tuesday. Applications decreased by 12% from October 2024.
Mortgage rates are declining, and recent purchase application data shows a promising 9% week-to-week increase and a 2% rise compared to the previous year. Does this indicate that the housing market is beginning to wake up just in time for spring? It is important to note that mortgage rates rose to around 6% in late 2022 and early 2023.
This Valentines weekend brought an unexpected gift to the housing market as a weaker-than-expected retail sales report sent the 10-year yield tumbling, bringing mortgage rates down to under 7%. Its been a rollercoaster week for the bond market, particularly after a relative calm in mortgage pricing.
The company’s Auction Market Dispatch for third-quarter 2024 included a survey conducted in late September of more than 140 active buyers on the platform. While 45% said current market conditions were not impacting their desire to purchase distressed property, 34% said conditions were detrimental to their decisions.
Mortgage rates decreased again today on weak economic data, following last Friday’s similar drop in the 10-year yield. Furthermore, the mortgage spreads in today’s pricing are favorable. According to the latest quote from Mortgage News Daily , mortgage rates are now around 6.89%.
Despite the frequency of departures, real estate agents in the state say the housing market remains strong. On the balance, there are still more buyers with their eye on a purchase than there are houses on the market. Statewide, the housing market has a 90-day average Altos Market Action Index score of 44.18 as of Jan.
The Federal Reserve didnt raise or cut interest rates today, but the meeting highlighted something I have been emphasizing since 2022: the Fed is shaping its policy around the labor market more than inflation. However, the Fed only cut rates when they believed the labor market was softening in the second half of 2024.
Realtor.com has revealed its Top Housing Markets for 2025 , highlighting the areas ready for growth in the year ahead. This years list highlights markets characterized by moderately affordable homes, strong inventorymainly boosted by new constructionand a sizable base of younger families, many with military and international connections.
According to Fannie Maes Economic and Strategic Research (ESR) Group , mortgage rates are now expected to end 2025 and 2026 at 6.3% Research from the ESR Group found that the lower mortgage rate outlook resulted in a small upward revision to existing-home sales outlook in 2025, though expectations for total home sales remain subdued.
Higher mortgage rates are forcing many first-time homebuyers to adopt a “wait-and-see” approach to the market. Agents reported that 27% of first-timer buyers requested mortgage rate buydowns from sellers. By comparison, first-time buyers comprised 40% of the market before 2008.
Homebuyers faced worsening affordability conditions in January as the median monthly mortgage payment for purchase applicants increased to $2,205, a 3.7% jump from Decembers $2,127, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA). in December, signaling that mortgage payments have risen at a faster pace than rental costs.
As housing affordability reached its lowest point since 2006, one group stood out in defying market trendssingle women. Each mortgage payment serves as a form of forced savings, helping homeowners build wealth over time. The post Single Women Defying Housing Market Trends first appeared on The MortgagePoint. housing trends.
The rule applies existing protections for residential mortgages to borrowers who seek PACE loans to upgrade or renovate their homes through clean energy technology. PACE loans are typically marketed via door-to-door sales by independent brokers who work with contractors who perform the modernization and enhancement work.
Weve now been in the post-pandemic housing market recession market as long as we were in the pandemic boom. Does the housing market start to get back to normal? The number of unsold homes on the market is finally getting closer to 2019 levels. The MBAs mortgage applications data has been surprisingly strong.
Mortgage applications increased 11.2% on a seasonally adjusted basis from last week, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Associations (MBA) weekly mortgage applications survey for the week ending March 7, 2025. The refinance share of mortgage activity increased to 45.6% of total applications from 43.8% from 16.7%
For those who are within five years of retirement either those who are five years away, or who have recently entered the market volatility being experienced today as a result of the White House s embattled tariff policy are likely to endure challenges as they navigate the potential impacts of market volatility.
Mortgage rates continued their ascent this week after Fridays jobs report showed that employers added more positions than expected in December, which is likely to cement a pause on interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve later this month. when the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) wraps up its next meeting on Jan.
This housing market is on hold until mortgage rates come down. We knew that mortgage rates over 7% were possible for the year, and here we are. I still expect well spend most of the year under 7% for the 30-year fixed rate mortgage , but until that happens, home sales are at a standstill. When will that be?
Self-branded “financial fitness” platform FinLocker announced Wednesday that it will cover 100% of the verification costs for mortgage borrowers who use lenders’ FinLocker-powered apps. This is about fundamentally transforming how the mortgage ecosystem works together.” ”
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