Housing Wire

MAY 18, 2024

New listings data has been moving lower over the last few weeks. But, we need to see more growth in new listings data just to grow from 2023 levels. 2023 new listings data was the lowest ever on record, so it’s already a low bar.

New Listings 501

New Listings Inventory Mortgage Contracts 501

Housing Wire

MARCH 2, 2024

The mortgage rate lockdown premise says that if rates rise, inventory can’t grow meaningfully. The idea is that nobody will trade their low mortgage rates to buy another home — even though this happened every week last year. With mortgage rates higher, will this stop inventory from growing year over year?

Inventory 535

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 535

Housing Wire

MAY 4, 2024

My model for inventory growth with higher mortgage rates came crashing down last week. After two weeks of significant increases , inventory growth slowed dramatically and is far from my 11,000-17,000 growth model with mortgage rates over 7.25%. We saw a slight decline in new listings data week to week.

Inventory 500

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Marketing 500

Housing Wire

MARCH 15, 2024

Mortgage demand has been on the rise for two weeks in a row. Inventory has been trending upward for the last two years despite persistently high mortgage rates, Mike Simonsen, president and founder of Altos Research , wrote on Monday. New listings rose 20% from January, and each of the 50 largest U.S.

New Listings 493

New Listings Inventory Home Value Contracts 493

Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2024

Housing inventory, new listing data and mortgage rates are all rising, but the price cut data percentages are falling. I will watch for rising mortgage rates to see if they change the weekly data. I will watch for rising mortgage rates to see if they change the weekly data. So far, so good in 2024.

Inventory 541

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 541

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 4, 2024

How will mortgage rates impact seasonal inventory in 2024? In the last four years, we have had abnormal seasonal inventory data, meaning that the spring inventory bottom happens later in the year. Also, when mortgage rates rise, the inventory peak happens later in the year.

Inventory 523

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 523

Housing Wire

JUNE 29, 2024

Housing inventory is growing, but national home prices aren’t dropping dramatically, as the recent S&P CoreLogic Case Shiller index clearly showed. The rules of supply and demand economics always end up winning and weekly new listing data is key. Last week, we saw a positive inventory growth of 11,638 !

New Listings 415

New Listings Inventory Contracts Sellers 415

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 25, 2023

Lower mortgage rates tend to take housing supply off the market and demand has been picking up lately as rates have fallen. However, the recent drop in housing inventory has more to do with seasonality factors than lower mortgage rates. Mortgage rates and the 10-year yield The 10-year yield ended the week roughly flat.

Inventory 537

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Buyers 537

Housing Wire

APRIL 15, 2024

We saw a big jump in mortgage rates last week. The 30-year fixed rate mortgage, according to the HousingWire Mortgage Rates Center , is now over 7.2% — that’s 50 basis points above where we were at the start of the year. At that time, most of the voices in the media assumed that mortgage rates had peaked and would fall by now.

Inventory 459

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 459

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 28, 2023

31, 2022, that mortgage rates would hit 8% in 2023, you would reasonably assume housing inventory would sky rocket higher, home prices would fall noticeably, and the number of price cuts would be higher year over year. Last year, the seasonal peak for inventory was Oct. Weekly inventory change (Oct.

Inventory 516

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Marketing 516

Housing Wire

JULY 20, 2024

We finally have six weeks of numbers that hit my housing inventory growth model perfectly in 2024. Last year, with higher mortgage rates , we had zero weeks at this level so I am now giving 2024 inventory growth a grade of A. have higher inventory than the national data.

Inventory 526

Inventory New Listings Contracts Mortgage 526

Housing Wire

APRIL 27, 2024

Active weekly housing inventory growth slowed slightly last week, but it’s still running at a healthier clip than in 2023. I have a simple model with mortgage rates being above 7.25%: weekly inventory data should grow between 11,000-17,000 per week. We have now seen it for two weeks as inventory grew by 13,247.

Inventory 514

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 514

Housing Wire

APRIL 20, 2024

Housing inventory finally hit my target level of growth last week with mortgage rates now over 7.25% , something I couldn’t get all last year. Of course, what is different this year versus last year is that new listing data is growing yearly instead of trending at the lowest levels recorded in history. 2022: 18.7%

Inventory 514

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Finance 514

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 30, 2023

Going into 2023, people thought housing inventory would skyrocket, home prices would crash, and we would see the housing market of 2008 all over again. Looking back on 2023, the inventory story was a big surprise even as mortgage rates headed toward 8%, as the data below will show. Weekly inventory change (Dec.

Inventory 521

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 521

Housing Wire

MAY 28, 2024

It’s the end of May and unsold inventory on the market is increasing across the U.S. Every state in the country has more homes on the market now than a year ago and, in many places, new construction is being completed and added to inventory, so it’s not just resale inventory that’s growing.

Inventory 534

Inventory New Listings Contracts Sellers 534

Housing Wire

AUGUST 27, 2023

Did the recent move in higher mortgage rates impact the new listings data more than normal? I hope this isn’t the case, but we had a noticeable move lower in new listings last week. The Fed spoke at Jackson Hole last Friday but that didn’t move mortgage rates much. Weekly active listings rose by only 6,618.

New Listings 370

New Listings Mortgage Inventory Marketing 370

Housing Wire

JANUARY 28, 2024

But, even with mortgage rates higher this year than last year, demand is rising. Once I make some holiday adjustments, we have eight weeks of a positive trend since mortgage rates fell from the 8% high , and as of now, the slightly higher rates we’ve seen recently haven’t impacted the data just yet. This is common in January.

Inventory 525

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Marketing 525

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 22, 2024

Mortgage interest rates above 6% continued to impact potential homebuyers’ purchase power, while also contributing to a lock-in effect among would-be home sellers who bought their homes years ago with a mortgage rate of 3% to 4.5%,” the association explained in an announcement. ” Closed sales of single-family homes grew 0.6%

New Listings 468

New Listings Real Estate Realtors Inventory 468

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 16, 2023

What’s going on with housing inventory ? The last four weeks of new listings data have been the most volatile since mortgage rates breached 6% in 2022. One week, we had the biggest decline in new listings data all year, which might indicate Americans are giving up on listing their homes.

Inventory 505

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 505

Housing Wire

MARCH 11, 2024

Last fall when people were still expecting mortgage rates to be falling this year, it was common to assume rates would be in the low 6s or 5s this year and people asked me if lower rates would bring a flood of inventory. The only way inventory would grow in 2024 is if mortgage rates climbed.

Inventory 516

Inventory New Listings Sellers Real Estate 516

Housing Wire

APRIL 1, 2024

As mortgage rates rose starting in 2022, payment affordability got dramatically worse and homebuyer demand dried up. New listing volume last week was 18% more than a year ago. Total available inventory is gradually climbing about 1% per week — last year it was still declining in April. Why the difference?

Inventory 488

Inventory New Listings Contracts Sellers 488

Housing Wire

JULY 8, 2024

There have been a few markets; however, that have defied the national trends where inventory has stayed tighter and demand keeps rolling in. Available inventory of unsold homes in the U.S. It was the second half of the year last year when mortgage rates started rising. Inventory is rising everywhere in the country.

Inventory 482

Inventory Contracts Sellers New Listings 482

Housing Wire

MARCH 30, 2024

The best housing story in 2024 is that inventory is growing — both active inventory and new listings. With mortgage rates at the current levels, inventory is still below my expectations, but it’s still such a positive story that I had to discuss it on CNBC last week. 2022: 17.2%

Inventory 500

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Housing Market 500

Housing Wire

MAY 8, 2024

Housing credit channels directly impact housing inventory channels. Home prices escalated out of control after 2020 and when we look at why that happened, we can see that housing credit mattered more to inventory data than most people realize. This matters because inventory was already heading toward all-time lows before COVID-19.

Inventory 518

Inventory Law New Listings Sellers 518

Housing Wire

JULY 13, 2024

In 2023, following the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank , the spreads between the 30-year mortgage and 10-year yield were at their worst, leading to new cycle highs. This meant mortgage rates were significantly higher than average. Mortgage spreads Last year, the 10-year yield hit 5% and mortgage rates got above 8%.

Mortgage 514

Mortgage New Listings Inventory Contracts 514

Housing Wire

AUGUST 26, 2024

Unsold inventory in the two biggest housing markets in the country, Texas and Florida, declined this week. Inventory seems to have peaked for the season and is slowly inching down. First, mortgage rates are falling, whereas last year they were rising. Inventory growth is slowing as mortgage rates fall.

Inventory 468

Inventory Marketing Sellers New Listings 468

Housing Wire

MARCH 18, 2024

real estate market were for inventory growth, sales growth and home-price growth across the U.S. At the time, I observed that even if mortgage rates stayed flat, the momentum seemed to be in the cards for broad, slow growth in the market. However, mortgage rates didn’t stay flat. If mortgage rates continue to rise to 7.5%

Inventory 468

Inventory New Listings Sellers Contracts 468

Housing Wire

AUGUST 19, 2024

Unsold inventory of homes for sale has been on the rise all year. It hasn’t turned the corner yet — inventory rose across the country this week — but at less than 1% rate. There are some signs that inventory growth is slowing with newly lower mortgage rates and the end of the summer. Texas inventory grew by 1.5%

Inventory 424

Inventory New Listings Sellers Buyers 424

Housing Wire

APRIL 6, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data — both active inventory and new listings — are prone to one-week moves that deviate from a trend, especially if people are going Easter egg hunting. So, the fact that active inventory and new listings data fell last week isn’t a big deal.

Inventory 493

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Housing Market 493

Housing Wire

MARCH 26, 2023

These events led to lower mortgage rates and increased purchase application data last week, but decreased housing inventory. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: The 10-year yield had a Lord of Rings battle at a critical technical level, pushing mortgage rates lower at the end of the week with no real break in the bond market.

Inventory 476

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 476

Housing Wire

AUGUST 20, 2023

Last week, mortgage rates hit a 21st-century high, the 10-year yield closed slightly higher than my peak forecast for 2023 , and housing inventory growth was still slow. Weekly active listings rose by only 4,401. Mortgage rates went from 7.19%% to 7.37%. Purchase apps were flat week to week.

Inventory 370

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 370

Appraisal Buzz

SEPTEMBER 13, 2024

With buyer demand notably slow this year, the inventory of unsold homes is expected to continue its climb through the end of Q3, and possibly into Q4, according to a recent study from Altos Research. New listings have also shown signs of tapering off, with just under 71,000 new unsold listings reported in early July.

Inventory 397

Inventory Real Estate Marketing New Listings 397

Housing Wire

APRIL 23, 2023

Since 2020, the seasonal bottom for housing inventory has arrived several months later than normal, making it more complicated to track housing inventory data. Still, we have some promising signs that we might have finally hit the inventory bottom for 2023.

Inventory 545

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 545

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 7, 2023

Mortgage rates were scarier than Freddy Krueger last week, rising to a 23-year high as some of the labor data surprised to the upside. Unfortunately, those higher mortgage rates didn’t spur inventory growth this week, so we didn’t even get the benefit we would usually see when rates rise.

Inventory 508

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Marketing 508

Housing Wire

JANUARY 13, 2024

Last week, housing inventory grew and the number of price cuts fell, which is expected at this time of the year. I hope the next thing we see is housing inventory grow at the level it typically does in January or February instead of being delayed until March or April. So let’s hope for more home sellers in 2024. 2022 21.7%

Inventory 534

Inventory New Listings Retail Mortgage 534

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 11, 2023

Total housing inventory growth has been slow in 2023, but with rising mortgage rates over the last few months, inventory has grown a bit faster than average. The question now is: Have we hit the seasonal peak in inventory for 2023? Last year, according to Altos Research , the seasonal peak for housing inventory was Oct.

Inventory 505

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Retail 505

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 10, 2024

While weekly inventory is still falling, we have year-over-year growth in total active listing and new listings data. This calls into question a mortgage rate lockdown, as mortgage rates are also higher year over year. Last week, inventory fell week to week but was up over this time last year.

Inventory 521

Inventory New Listings Retail Mortgage 521