Housing Wire

APRIL 27, 2024

Active weekly housing inventory growth slowed slightly last week, but it’s still running at a healthier clip than in 2023. I have a simple model with mortgage rates being above 7.25%: weekly inventory data should grow between 11,000-17,000 per week. We have now seen it for two weeks as inventory grew by 13,247.

Inventory 510

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 510

Housing Wire

JULY 20, 2024

We finally have six weeks of numbers that hit my housing inventory growth model perfectly in 2024. Last year, with higher mortgage rates , we had zero weeks at this level so I am now giving 2024 inventory growth a grade of A. have higher inventory than the national data.

Inventory 521

Inventory New Listings Contracts Mortgage 521

Housing Wire

MARCH 11, 2024

Last fall when people were still expecting mortgage rates to be falling this year, it was common to assume rates would be in the low 6s or 5s this year and people asked me if lower rates would bring a flood of inventory. The only way inventory would grow in 2024 is if mortgage rates climbed.

Inventory 513

Inventory Sellers New Listings Real Estate 513

Housing Wire

APRIL 20, 2024

Housing inventory finally hit my target level of growth last week with mortgage rates now over 7.25% , something I couldn’t get all last year. Weekly housing inventory data Higher mortgage rates with duration will likely lead to higher inventory, which we have seen repeatedly for the past 10 years. 2022: 18.7%

Inventory 481

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Finance 481

Housing Wire

MAY 28, 2024

It’s the end of May and unsold inventory on the market is increasing across the U.S. Every state in the country has more homes on the market now than a year ago and, in many places, new construction is being completed and added to inventory, so it’s not just resale inventory that’s growing. Higher rates create more inventory.

Inventory 515

Inventory New Listings Contracts Sellers 515

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 30, 2024

Rising housing inventory levels in 2024 may not be the positive sign of market health that they appear to be. High inventory levels contribute to another problem as active listings are remaining unsold for longer periods. Redfin refers to these listings as “stale inventory.” ” According to the report, 54.5%

Inventory 425

Inventory Sellers Housing Market Contracts 425

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 26, 2024

Since mid-2022 when mortgage rates headed higher , two facts have been apparent: new listings data has been trending at the lowest levels ever recorded in history and inventory has been able to grow from record low levels thanks to mortgage rates staying elevated. Weekly inventory change (Oct.

Inventory 494

Inventory Sellers New Listings Mortgage 494

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 13, 2024

Housing inventory, which saw an excellent pickup a few weeks ago, has been slowing down and last week we saw a slight decline. Has seasonality finally kicked in or did back-to-back hurricanes slow things enough to influence inventory data? Since then, inventory growth has been slowing down and even declined last week.

Inventory 458

Inventory New Listings Retail Mortgage 458

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 30, 2024

Despite rising mortgage rates through much of 2024, recent indications show growing boldness among homebuyers heading into the new year. These increases are persisting despite mortgage rates near 7%. ” Housing industry experts attribute the recent increases in pending home sales to a shift in buyer attitudes about mortgage rates.

Inventory 383

Inventory Buyers Housing Market Mortgage 383

Housing Wire

JULY 8, 2024

There have been a few markets; however, that have defied the national trends where inventory has stayed tighter and demand keeps rolling in. Available inventory of unsold homes in the U.S. It was the second half of the year last year when mortgage rates started rising. Inventory is rising everywhere in the country.

Inventory 468

Inventory Contracts Sellers New Listings 468

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 19, 2024

Altos Research data of inventory by state reflects this trend. High mortgage rates have prompted homeowners with rates in the 3% to 4% range to stay put, stifling inventory and home sales across the nation. Comparing current levels of housing inventory to those of 2019 reveals that listings are down in almost every state.

Inventory 462

Inventory Valuation Housing Market Marketing 462

Housing Wire

JANUARY 9, 2025

While the markets steady conditions certainly give sellers confidence when listing their homes and ensure buyers know what to expect when entering the market the current market conditions, including higher mortgage rates , are not what many buyers would define as ideal. There is no inventory, McCormick said.

Housing Market 400

Housing Market Inventory Marketing Sellers 400

Housing Wire

AUGUST 29, 2024

Unsold inventory of homes on the market has been climbing in the U.S. for two years, right along with rising mortgage rates. In general, inventory rises with rates because more expensive money slows demand. When demand slows, inventory grows. Inventory is climbing but it’s still pretty restricted.

Inventory 479

Inventory Real Estate Housing Market Construction 479

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 23, 2024

It has been almost two months since mortgage rates spiked again, and my initial thought was this would tank housing demand. We had a positive 18-week period with purchase applications before mortgage rates started rising in September. Initially, the data showed more robust performance as mortgage rates approached 6%.

Mortgage 488

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Contracts 488

Housing Wire

JANUARY 8, 2025

Heading into the 2025 housing market, we havent had this many homeowners with mortgage rates over 6% since 2016. of outstanding mortgages, around 8.7 million borrowers, carry a mortgage with an interest rate over 6%. Available inventory of homes for sale fell each year as more and more borrowers had this cheap financing.

Mortgage 468

Mortgage Inventory Finance Sellers 468

Housing Wire

JULY 23, 2024

Sinking sales, rapidly rising inventory and prices at all-time highs — this is the state of the market for existing homes. That’s according to June’s existing-home sales data from the National Association of Realtors (NAR), which reflect the problems that have hampered housing markets since mortgage rates began to rise in 2022.

Inventory 461

Inventory Buyers Sellers Inspection 461

Housing Wire

AUGUST 26, 2024

Unsold inventory in the two biggest housing markets in the country, Texas and Florida, declined this week. Inventory seems to have peaked for the season and is slowly inching down. First, mortgage rates are falling, whereas last year they were rising. Inventory growth is slowing as mortgage rates fall.

Inventory 407

Inventory Marketing Sellers New Listings 407

Housing Wire

JUNE 21, 2024

Both existing housing inventory and home prices have been rising together year over year, which might seem odd at first glance since existing home sales are trending near all-time lows. When you connect the dots, this is a short and simple answer to why housing inventory and home prices are both rising. Sales descended 2.8%

Inventory 448

Inventory Housing Market New Listings Contracts 448

Housing Wire

JULY 13, 2024

In 2023, following the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank , the spreads between the 30-year mortgage and 10-year yield were at their worst, leading to new cycle highs. This meant mortgage rates were significantly higher than average. Mortgage spreads Last year, the 10-year yield hit 5% and mortgage rates got above 8%.

Mortgage 499

Mortgage New Listings Inventory Contracts 499

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 15, 2024

An often misguided premise I see on social media is that lower mortgage rates are doing nothing for housing demand. Purchase application data First, purchase apps is the fastest way to look for positive or negative data at higher or lower mortgage rates. Weekly housing inventory data Higher rates lead to more inventory.

Mortgage 517

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Retail 517

Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2024

Mortgage rates had a chance to break to new highs this year, but the Federal Reserve took a moderate tone at the last Fed meeting. We saw the benefit of lower mortgage rates with the last two existing home sales reports, which showed growth. Then mortgage rates rose, facilitating five weeks of negative purchase application data.

Mortgage 514

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 514

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 7, 2024

Mortgage rates have made almost a 2% move lower from the highs of 2023. Now that the jobs week data is in, the question is: can mortgage rates go even lower? Mortgage spreads Another way for mortgage rates to drop to the lowest level of the forecast or below is to improve mortgage spreads.

Mortgage 525

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Marketing 525

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 30, 2024

Despite initial concerns that tariffs would push mortgage rates up to 8% and reduce housing demand, this week has brought some encouraging news. The 10-year yield has remained stable at a crucial technical level and even reversed direction, resulting in improved mortgage rates. This is what happened in the last two years.

Mortgage 503

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Contracts 503

Appraisal Buzz

JULY 24, 2024

This trend is contributing to a glut of unsold inventory. The growing number of homes sitting on the market without finding buyers is attributed to record-high home prices and elevated mortgage rates in the 7% range, which are deterring potential buyers. The rise in stale inventory is most pronounced in Texas and Florida.

Inventory 435

Inventory Marketing HOA Contracts 435

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 28, 2024

Housing demand is very seasonal, so the fact that our pending contract data is firming up lately just shows that lower mortgage rates have stabilized and firmed up demand recently. It will likely take mortgage rates to go under 6% and stay there for an extended period to get real sustained demand growth from record-low sales levels.

Mortgage 506

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Contracts 506

Appraisal Buzz

SEPTEMBER 13, 2024

With buyer demand notably slow this year, the inventory of unsold homes is expected to continue its climb through the end of Q3, and possibly into Q4, according to a recent study from Altos Research. Looking forward, the real estate market is likely to remain challenging for sellers as inventory grows and buyer demand stays muted.

Inventory 397

Inventory Real Estate Marketing New Listings 397

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 5, 2024

Data released Thursday by Realtor.com and Redfin shows that even as more homes are being listed for sale and mortgage payments are becoming more affordable, fewer transactions are occurring. It was the 10th straight month of annualized growth and for-sale inventory is now at its highest level since May 2020.

Inventory 431

Inventory Buyers Sellers Mortgage 431

Housing Wire

AUGUST 4, 2024

Mortgage rates moved massively lower last week without any Federal Reserve rate cuts, primarily because the labor market is getting softer. Can mortgage rates go even lower? We don’t have that variable this year and spreads have improved earlier than I thought, which has helped mortgage pricing.

Mortgage 498

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 498

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 5, 2024

18 and mortgage rates and bond yields headed higher. But, we have to remember that mortgage rates had already made an almost 2% move lower since the highs of 2023 without rate cuts, as the bond market always gets ahead of the Fed. This explains the rise in mortgage rates since the Fed cut rates.

Mortgage 482

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Retail 482

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 22, 2024

Have we seen the bottom in mortgage rates for 2024 after a crazy roller coaster ride so far this year? My 2024 forecast had a mortgage rate range of 7.25%-5.75%. To get to the lower end of this range, we needed to see two things: the labor market getting softer and the mortgage spreads improving. Weekly inventory change (Sept.

Mortgage 497

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Contracts 497

Housing Wire

AUGUST 2, 2024

properties sold at foreclosure auction, showed that this trend is being fueled by rising levels of inventory on the retail market. Data from Altos Research found that the inventory of single-family homes for sale was up 40% year over year at the end of July. from May to June. On an annualized basis, five major U.S.

Inventory 416

Inventory Retail Buyers Renovations 416

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 23, 2024

And while the slower sales pace may not be great news for real estate professionals, it has resulted in an uptick in inventory , which is good news for homebuyers. For-sale inventory at the end of September was 1.39 month supply of unsold inventory, up from 4.2 million, up 1.5% from August and up 23% from one year ago.

Inventory 367

Inventory Realtors Buyers Real Estate 367

Housing Wire

JUNE 15, 2024

Since May 29, we’ve witnessed a decline in the 10-year yield, which has been favorable for mortgage rates. 10-year yield and mortgage rates After the intense jobs week data , we ran straight into CPI and PPI inflation week, with a Fed meeting thrown in! Once mortgage rates began rising in 2024, some demand was removed.

Mortgage 471

Mortgage Inventory Marketing New Listings 471

Housing Wire

JUNE 8, 2024

Given last week’s surprising jobs report, how much longer will we have to deal with higher mortgage rates ? It’s essential to track the labor data along with inflation because the key to getting lower mortgage rates for longer lies with the labor data more than inflation.

Mortgage 491

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Contracts 491

Housing Wire

JULY 6, 2024

Now that we are halfway through the year, we can see that active inventory in America is growing, unlike what happened in 2023. We are currently up to 652,573 single-family homes, and while that isn’t close to average active inventory levels, it’s a much better place today than in 2022. However, this year, spreads have improved.

Housing Market 465

Housing Market Mortgage Inventory Marketing 465

Housing Wire

AUGUST 10, 2024

Have lower mortgage rates positively impacted the housing demand data yet? Purchase application data My belief has always been that for the existing home sales market to have real growth and make it stick, we need sub-6 % mortgage rates with some duration. Then, once again, mortgage rates headed higher and sales went lower.

Mortgage 472

Mortgage Inventory Marketing Housing Market 472

Housing Wire

JULY 15, 2024

Good inflation data came in last week, the bond market rallied and mortgage rates took a notable dip below 7% for the first time in months. Maybe we’re finally past the peak of mortgage rates ? Inventory dipped during the week, which included the long July 4 holiday weekend. Inventory is 38.5% That was a notable change.

Housing Market 486

Housing Market New Listings Marketing Mortgage 486