Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 4, 2024

How will mortgage rates impact seasonal inventory in 2024? In the last four years, we have had abnormal seasonal inventory data, meaning that the spring inventory bottom happens later in the year. Also, when mortgage rates rise, the inventory peak happens later in the year.

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Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 522

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 28, 2023

31, 2022, that mortgage rates would hit 8% in 2023, you would reasonably assume housing inventory would sky rocket higher, home prices would fall noticeably, and the number of price cuts would be higher year over year. Last year, the seasonal peak for inventory was Oct. Weekly inventory change (Oct.

Inventory 516

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Marketing 516

Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2024

Housing inventory, new listing data and mortgage rates are all rising, but the price cut data percentages are falling. I will watch for rising mortgage rates to see if they change the weekly data. I will watch for rising mortgage rates to see if they change the weekly data. So far, so good in 2024.

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Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 541

Housing Wire

APRIL 15, 2024

We saw a big jump in mortgage rates last week. The 30-year fixed rate mortgage, according to the HousingWire Mortgage Rates Center , is now over 7.2% — that’s 50 basis points above where we were at the start of the year. At that time, most of the voices in the media assumed that mortgage rates had peaked and would fall by now.

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Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 454

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 25, 2023

Lower mortgage rates tend to take housing supply off the market and demand has been picking up lately as rates have fallen. However, the recent drop in housing inventory has more to do with seasonality factors than lower mortgage rates. Mortgage rates and the 10-year yield The 10-year yield ended the week roughly flat.

Inventory 537

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Buyers 537

Housing Wire

JULY 20, 2024

We finally have six weeks of numbers that hit my housing inventory growth model perfectly in 2024. Last year, with higher mortgage rates , we had zero weeks at this level so I am now giving 2024 inventory growth a grade of A. have higher inventory than the national data.

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Inventory New Listings Contracts Mortgage 526

Housing Wire

APRIL 27, 2024

Active weekly housing inventory growth slowed slightly last week, but it’s still running at a healthier clip than in 2023. I have a simple model with mortgage rates being above 7.25%: weekly inventory data should grow between 11,000-17,000 per week. We have now seen it for two weeks as inventory grew by 13,247.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 514

Housing Wire

APRIL 20, 2024

Housing inventory finally hit my target level of growth last week with mortgage rates now over 7.25% , something I couldn’t get all last year. Weekly housing inventory data Higher mortgage rates with duration will likely lead to higher inventory, which we have seen repeatedly for the past 10 years. 2022: 18.7%

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Inventory New Listings Mortgage Finance 512

Housing Wire

MAY 8, 2024

Housing credit channels directly impact housing inventory channels. Home prices escalated out of control after 2020 and when we look at why that happened, we can see that housing credit mattered more to inventory data than most people realize. This matters because inventory was already heading toward all-time lows before COVID-19.

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Inventory Law New Listings Sellers 512

Housing Wire

JANUARY 28, 2024

But, even with mortgage rates higher this year than last year, demand is rising. Once I make some holiday adjustments, we have eight weeks of a positive trend since mortgage rates fell from the 8% high , and as of now, the slightly higher rates we’ve seen recently haven’t impacted the data just yet. This is common in January.

Inventory 525

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Marketing 525

Housing Wire

AUGUST 20, 2023

Last week, mortgage rates hit a 21st-century high, the 10-year yield closed slightly higher than my peak forecast for 2023 , and housing inventory growth was still slow. Mortgage rates went from 7.19%% to 7.37%. Last year, the seasonal decline took longer than usual, but 2022 was an abnormal year with mortgage rates.

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Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 370

Housing Wire

AUGUST 26, 2024

Unsold inventory in the two biggest housing markets in the country, Texas and Florida, declined this week. Inventory seems to have peaked for the season and is slowly inching down. First, mortgage rates are falling, whereas last year they were rising. Inventory growth is slowing as mortgage rates fall.

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Inventory Marketing Sellers New Listings 459

Housing Wire

MAY 28, 2024

It’s the end of May and unsold inventory on the market is increasing across the U.S. Every state in the country has more homes on the market now than a year ago and, in many places, new construction is being completed and added to inventory, so it’s not just resale inventory that’s growing. Higher rates create more inventory.

Inventory 534

Inventory New Listings Contracts Sellers 534

Housing Wire

MARCH 11, 2024

Last fall when people were still expecting mortgage rates to be falling this year, it was common to assume rates would be in the low 6s or 5s this year and people asked me if lower rates would bring a flood of inventory. The only way inventory would grow in 2024 is if mortgage rates climbed.

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Inventory New Listings Sellers Real Estate 516

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 13, 2023

The housing market experienced more volatility last week, with housing inventory dropping as mortgage rates moved higher. The start of 2023 has been good, considering mortgage rates have stayed above 6% most of the time. I am keeping an eye on how much growth we can get with mortgage rates over 6%. Since Nov.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 516

Housing Wire

JULY 8, 2024

There have been a few markets; however, that have defied the national trends where inventory has stayed tighter and demand keeps rolling in. Available inventory of unsold homes in the U.S. It was the second half of the year last year when mortgage rates started rising. Inventory is rising everywhere in the country.

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Inventory Contracts Sellers New Listings 482

Housing Wire

AUGUST 29, 2024

Unsold inventory of homes on the market has been climbing in the U.S. for two years, right along with rising mortgage rates. In general, inventory rises with rates because more expensive money slows demand. When demand slows, inventory grows. Inventory is climbing but it’s still pretty restricted.

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Inventory Real Estate Housing Market Construction 482

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 16, 2023

What’s going on with housing inventory ? The last four weeks of new listings data have been the most volatile since mortgage rates breached 6% in 2022. In reality, the volatility in housing inventory is due to the Labor Day holiday, the start of school and the fact that new listings are trending at the lowest levels ever.

Inventory 504

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 504

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 30, 2023

Going into 2023, people thought housing inventory would skyrocket, home prices would crash, and we would see the housing market of 2008 all over again. Looking back on 2023, the inventory story was a big surprise even as mortgage rates headed toward 8%, as the data below will show. Weekly inventory change (Dec.

Inventory 520

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 520

Housing Wire

JUNE 18, 2024

By now everyone knows that unsold inventory of homes on the market is climbing. But is that unsold inventory surging? As the economy stays surprisingly strong, mortgage rates have stayed higher for longer than anyone expected. In the last few weeks, Inventory is no longer growing compared to last year. Now there are 37.6%

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Inventory Contracts Housing Market New Listings 447

Housing Wire

MARCH 30, 2024

The best housing story in 2024 is that inventory is growing — both active inventory and new listings. With mortgage rates at the current levels, inventory is still below my expectations, but it’s still such a positive story that I had to discuss it on CNBC last week. 2022: 17.2% So far, so good here.

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Inventory New Listings Mortgage Housing Market 486

Housing Wire

APRIL 1, 2024

As mortgage rates rose starting in 2022, payment affordability got dramatically worse and homebuyer demand dried up. Total available inventory is gradually climbing about 1% per week — last year it was still declining in April. As we roll into the second quarter, we should have accelerating inventory growth each week.

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Inventory New Listings Contracts Sellers 488

Housing Wire

AUGUST 19, 2024

Unsold inventory of homes for sale has been on the rise all year. It hasn’t turned the corner yet — inventory rose across the country this week — but at less than 1% rate. There are some signs that inventory growth is slowing with newly lower mortgage rates and the end of the summer. Texas inventory grew by 1.5%

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Inventory New Listings Sellers Buyers 384

Housing Wire

MARCH 4, 2024

At HousingWire , we have a debate about whether home sellers will freeze up again this year as mortgage rates stay stubbornly high. But now it’s March, and mortgage rates are the highest they’ve been all year, the economy continues to report strong numbers so the Fed is growing less likely to cut rates soon. So that rule holds.

Inventory 501

Inventory Sellers Buyers Real Estate 501

Housing Wire

MARCH 26, 2023

These events led to lower mortgage rates and increased purchase application data last week, but decreased housing inventory. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: The 10-year yield had a Lord of Rings battle at a critical technical level, pushing mortgage rates lower at the end of the week with no real break in the bond market.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 476

Housing Wire

JANUARY 13, 2024

Last week, housing inventory grew and the number of price cuts fell, which is expected at this time of the year. I hope the next thing we see is housing inventory grow at the level it typically does in January or February instead of being delayed until March or April. So let’s hope for more home sellers in 2024. 2022 21.7%

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Inventory New Listings Retail Mortgage 534

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 11, 2023

Total housing inventory growth has been slow in 2023, but with rising mortgage rates over the last few months, inventory has grown a bit faster than average. The question now is: Have we hit the seasonal peak in inventory for 2023? Last year, according to Altos Research , the seasonal peak for housing inventory was Oct.

Inventory 502

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Retail 502

Housing Wire

JULY 7, 2022

With a rapid spike in interest rates, inventory at historic lows, home prices rising at unprecedented levels above income, and a purchase market that is both highly anxious and digitally reliant, mortgage and real estate professionals must be strategic to capture the market opportunity today. Inventory rising, historically low.

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Inventory Marketing Mortgage Supply Chain 418

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 20, 2023

Another week down in 2023 and we’re seeing crazier action in the housing market as purchase application data fell, mortgage rates rose again, and weekly inventory took another dive with a noticeable move lower in new listing data. Mortgage rates hit 6.80%, marking the high point for 2023 so far. Weekly inventory change (Feb.10-Feb.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 433

Housing Wire

JULY 24, 2024

Homebuilders are still getting squeezed by high mortgage rates. The drop in sales is causing a rapid rise in unsold inventory. Though new home inventory in June remained elevated at a 9.3-month Though new home inventory in June remained elevated at a 9.3-month That’s according to the U.S. That represents a decline of 7.4%

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Inventory Construction Realtors Marketing 448

Appraisal Buzz

SEPTEMBER 13, 2024

With buyer demand notably slow this year, the inventory of unsold homes is expected to continue its climb through the end of Q3, and possibly into Q4, according to a recent study from Altos Research. Looking forward, the real estate market is likely to remain challenging for sellers as inventory grows and buyer demand stays muted.

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Inventory Real Estate Marketing New Listings 397

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 7, 2023

Mortgage rates were scarier than Freddy Krueger last week, rising to a 23-year high as some of the labor data surprised to the upside. Unfortunately, those higher mortgage rates didn’t spur inventory growth this week, so we didn’t even get the benefit we would usually see when rates rise.

Inventory 505

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Marketing 505

Housing Wire

MARCH 18, 2024

real estate market were for inventory growth, sales growth and home-price growth across the U.S. At the time, I observed that even if mortgage rates stayed flat, the momentum seemed to be in the cards for broad, slow growth in the market. However, mortgage rates didn’t stay flat. If mortgage rates continue to rise to 7.5%

Inventory 464

Inventory New Listings Sellers Contracts 464

Housing Wire

JULY 9, 2023

The slow zombie crawl of housing inventory went lower last week as inventory was negative week to week. In addition, mortgage rates rose to a yearly high as labor data stayed firm and purchase apps had their first negative week after three straight weeks of positive growth. The 10-year yield is close to yearly highs as the U.S.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 500

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 23, 2024

And while the slower sales pace may not be great news for real estate professionals, it has resulted in an uptick in inventory , which is good news for homebuyers. For-sale inventory at the end of September was 1.39 month supply of unsold inventory, up from 4.2 million, up 1.5% from August and up 23% from one year ago.

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Inventory Realtors Buyers Real Estate 386

Housing Wire

JULY 23, 2024

Sinking sales, rapidly rising inventory and prices at all-time highs — this is the state of the market for existing homes. That’s according to June’s existing-home sales data from the National Association of Realtors (NAR), which reflect the problems that have hampered housing markets since mortgage rates began to rise in 2022.

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Inventory Buyers Sellers Inspection 504

Housing Wire

JANUARY 18, 2023

Like its competitors, Tennessee-based First Community Mortgage, Inc. (FCM) FCM) reduced the company’s size through 2022 amid a tough mortgage market. “There is certainly optimism in the air as mortgage applications have started to pick up on,” Keith Canter, CEO at First Community Mortgage, said.

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Inventory Mortgage Retail Training 468