Housing Wire

OCTOBER 21, 2023

The haunted house ride with the bond market and mortgage rates continued this week, but one housing data line hasn’t been spooked. New listing data appears unafraid of the mortgage rate ghost story over the last few months. Last year, the seasonal peak for inventory was Oct. Price cut percentages in recent years: 2023 38.5%

New Listings 538

New Listings Mortgage Inventory Housing Market 538

Housing Wire

MAY 7, 2023

Just when I thought it was safe to say we were getting more traditional spring housing inventory , we hit a snag last week, as active inventory and new listings declined. Weekly housing inventory The numbers this week are unfortunate: inventory should be growing like it does at this time every year.

Inventory 505

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 505

Housing Wire

MAY 18, 2024

New listings data has been moving lower over the last few weeks. But, we need to see more growth in new listings data just to grow from 2023 levels. 2023 new listings data was the lowest ever on record, so it’s already a low bar.

New Listings 501

New Listings Inventory Mortgage Contracts 501

Housing Wire

JULY 27, 2024

One of my critical forecasts for 2024 was the growth of new listings data and active inventory, even with higher mortgage rates. However, the new listings data has slightly disappointed me. New listings data I am pleased that we’ve seen new listings data grow year over year — it’s a big step forward.

New Listings 518

New Listings Inventory Mortgage Sellers 518

Housing Wire

JULY 9, 2023

The slow zombie crawl of housing inventory went lower last week as inventory was negative week to week. This is truly a savagely unhealthy housing market as we have too many people chasing too few homes. As we can see in the chart below, it’s been so slow that year-over-year inventory is now negative versus 2022.

Inventory 501

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 501

Housing Wire

AUGUST 26, 2024

Unsold inventory in the two biggest housing markets in the country, Texas and Florida, declined this week. Inventory seems to have peaked for the season and is slowly inching down. This probably reflects seller discouragement in a low-demand market, pulling their listings to wait until next year.

Inventory 468

Inventory Marketing Sellers New Listings 468

Housing Wire

MAY 28, 2024

It’s the end of May and unsold inventory on the market is increasing across the U.S. Every state in the country has more homes on the market now than a year ago and, in many places, new construction is being completed and added to inventory, so it’s not just resale inventory that’s growing.

Inventory 534

Inventory New Listings Contracts Sellers 534

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 30, 2024

All the housing market data for 2024 is in, and its fair to say that the housing market surprised us again! However, there are two big trends that stand out as we launch into 2025 affordability and sellers in the market. In the last few months, the market finally saw some sales growth over the previous year.

Housing Market 543

Housing Market Marketing New Listings Inventory 543

Housing Wire

JUNE 4, 2023

Last week we saw a noticeable slowdown in housing inventory growth that I hope has more to do with a holiday week than a trend. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active inventory grew 3,180 weekly , and new listing data fell week to week and is still trending at an all-time low in 2023.

Inventory 468

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 468

Housing Wire

JANUARY 9, 2023

The housing market saw inventory fall 4% last week from the week before. Does that mean we are heading back to all-time lows in inventory again for 2023? During the last four weeks and especially this past week, we are seeing inventory decline faster than expected. Weekly housing inventory. 30, 2022-Jan.

Inventory 542

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 542

Housing Wire

MAY 25, 2024

The mortgage rate lockdown premise holds that very few people will list their homes when mortgage rates are this high, thus suppressing inventory. 2024 has had healthy inventory growth despite mortgage rates above 7%. Each time, inventory has squared right into the model as long as rates stay elevated.

Inventory 521

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Marketing 521

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 30, 2023

Going into 2023, people thought housing inventory would skyrocket, home prices would crash, and we would see the housing market of 2008 all over again. We created this weekly tracker at the end of 2022 to give people a live weekly outlook on everything that drives the housing market and which factors to follow.

Inventory 521

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 521

Housing Wire

APRIL 3, 2023

Last week was relatively calm for the housing market after the fiasco of the banking crisis. Housing demand grew and inventory levels fell again while mortgage rates rose. Active inventory fell by 3,141, and new listing data fell again and is still trending at all-time lows. Inventory is incredibly tight.

Inventory 505

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 505

Housing Wire

MARCH 11, 2024

Last fall when people were still expecting mortgage rates to be falling this year, it was common to assume rates would be in the low 6s or 5s this year and people asked me if lower rates would bring a flood of inventory. The only way inventory would grow in 2024 is if mortgage rates climbed. But the evidence is the opposite.

Inventory 516

Inventory New Listings Sellers Real Estate 516

Housing Wire

APRIL 20, 2024

Housing inventory finally hit my target level of growth last week with mortgage rates now over 7.25% , something I couldn’t get all last year. Of course, what is different this year versus last year is that new listing data is growing yearly instead of trending at the lowest levels recorded in history. 2022: 18.7%

Inventory 514

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Finance 514

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 22, 2024

The housing market in the state of Florida saw higher median home prices, more real estate listings and a higher number of active listings during the month of January, according to data released Thursday by Florida Realtors , a state-based trade organization for real estate professionals.

New Listings 468

New Listings Real Estate Realtors Inventory 468

Housing Wire

MARCH 2, 2024

The mortgage rate lockdown premise says that if rates rise, inventory can’t grow meaningfully. Let’s take a look at the inventory data this year to test this premise, since for many months it has been a working theory of mine that new listings data behavior last year marked a bottom and even going into 2024 we should see more sellers.

Inventory 535

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 535

Housing Wire

MARCH 30, 2024

The best housing story in 2024 is that inventory is growing — both active inventory and new listings. With mortgage rates at the current levels, inventory is still below my expectations, but it’s still such a positive story that I had to discuss it on CNBC last week. 2022: 17.2%

Inventory 501

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Housing Market 501

Housing Wire

JANUARY 28, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data Here is a look at last week: Weekly inventory change (Jan. 19-26) : Inventory fell from 506,414 to 503,233 Same week last year (Jan. Weekly housing inventory data Here is a look at last week: Weekly inventory change (Jan. So, inventory falling looks normal.

Inventory 525

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Marketing 525

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 16, 2023

What’s going on with housing inventory ? The last four weeks of new listings data have been the most volatile since mortgage rates breached 6% in 2022. One week, we had the biggest decline in new listings data all year, which might indicate Americans are giving up on listing their homes.

Inventory 505

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 505

Housing Wire

JULY 2, 2023

Housing inventory finally broke under 2022 levels last week. To give you an idea how different this year is from last year, last week in 2022, active listings grew 30,940 while this year they only grew 5,848. Since May 15, that trend has continued to the point that inventory in America is now negative year over year.

Inventory 482

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 482

Housing Wire

MAY 4, 2024

My model for inventory growth with higher mortgage rates came crashing down last week. After two weeks of significant increases , inventory growth slowed dramatically and is far from my 11,000-17,000 growth model with mortgage rates over 7.25%. I wish new listings were growing faster, but I will call it a victory nonetheless.

Inventory 501

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Marketing 501

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 1, 2024

Have we seen the peak in housing inventory for 2024? The best part about 2024 has been that higher mortgage rates have created an inventory buffer, so if the economy gets softer and rates fall, we have many more homes to work with than we had in 2020-2023. Weekly inventory change (Aug. Weekly inventory change (Aug.

Inventory 538

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 538

Housing Wire

JANUARY 16, 2023

Housing inventory increased by 1,339 homes nationwide. The weekly data shows some good news for the housing market ! The weekly inventory data, which had fallen faster than I had anticipated the last few weeks, has now seen a slight uptick. Weekly housing inventory. Weekly inventory change: (Jan.

Inventory 534

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 534

Housing Wire

MARCH 26, 2023

The financial and housing markets are still trying to sort out the banking crisis and whether we have seen the last Fed rate hike in this cycle. These events led to lower mortgage rates and increased purchase application data last week, but decreased housing inventory. In a regular market, they would be closer to 5.25%.

Inventory 476

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 476

Housing Wire

AUGUST 10, 2022

One of the most important housing market stories in recent weeks has been the decline in new listings , which has slowed the growth rate of total inventory. Once that happens, I can finally take the savagely unhealthy housing market theme off my talking points. What does this mean? million to 1.93

Inventory 526

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Sellers 526

Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2024

Housing inventory, new listing data and mortgage rates are all rising, but the price cut data percentages are falling. Weekly housing inventory data Here is a look at the first week of the year: Weekly inventory change (Jan. 12-19) : Inventory rose from 505,223 to 506,414 Same week last year (Jan.

Inventory 541

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 541

Housing Wire

MAY 8, 2024

Housing credit channels directly impact housing inventory channels. Home prices escalated out of control after 2020 and when we look at why that happened, we can see that housing credit mattered more to inventory data than most people realize. This matters because inventory was already heading toward all-time lows before COVID-19.

Inventory 518

Inventory Law New Listings Sellers 518

Housing Wire

APRIL 1, 2024

But now sellers are coming back into the market. New listing volume last week was 18% more than a year ago. Total available inventory is gradually climbing about 1% per week — last year it was still declining in April. As we roll into the second quarter, we should have accelerating inventory growth each week.

Inventory 488

Inventory New Listings Contracts Sellers 488

Housing Wire

JULY 20, 2024

We finally have six weeks of numbers that hit my housing inventory growth model perfectly in 2024. Last year, with higher mortgage rates , we had zero weeks at this level so I am now giving 2024 inventory growth a grade of A. have higher inventory than the national data. So far the weekly high print in 2024 is only 72,329.

Inventory 526

Inventory New Listings Contracts Mortgage 526

Housing Wire

AUGUST 17, 2024

Have lower mortgage rates already started to slow down housing inventory? I have a simple weekly growth model with the Altos inventory data: when rates are high, over 7.25%, inventory should grow between 11,000-17,000 weekly. Still, I would consider the last month of inventory growth healthy.

Inventory 518

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Contracts 518

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 6, 2023

Despite mortgage rates briefly falling below the 6% threshold, both housing inventory and mortgage demand fell last week. Let’s dive into the trend lines of the housing market. The show-me part of the housing market starts with this bounce from an extreme bottom. This week inventory fell 8,664 units from the previous week.

Inventory 488

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 488

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 4, 2024

How will mortgage rates impact seasonal inventory in 2024? In the last four years, we have had abnormal seasonal inventory data, meaning that the spring inventory bottom happens later in the year. This is due to demand rising late in one year, pushing through the early part of the next year and preventing inventory growth.

Inventory 523

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 523

Housing Wire

JUNE 25, 2023

Summer is here, and housing inventory is finally growing! The spring housing inventory was like a zombie rising from the grave, very slow, but the summer is showing some promise and let’s hope it continues. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active inventory grew 8,886 weekly.

Inventory 435

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 435

Housing Wire

JANUARY 16, 2024

real estate housing market signals have been gradually building for a couple of months. Home sellers are starting to ease back into the market, new listings are finally exceeding the levels of a year ago. As a result, we’re starting to see slightly more available supply of homes on the market. That’s a 1.2%

Inventory 482

Inventory New Listings Sellers Real Estate 482

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 26, 2024

Since mid-2022 when mortgage rates headed higher , two facts have been apparent: new listings data has been trending at the lowest levels ever recorded in history and inventory has been able to grow from record low levels thanks to mortgage rates staying elevated. Weekly inventory change (Oct.

Inventory 523

Inventory Sellers New Listings Mortgage 523

Housing Wire

JUNE 29, 2024

Housing inventory is growing, but national home prices aren’t dropping dramatically, as the recent S&P CoreLogic Case Shiller index clearly showed. The rules of supply and demand economics always end up winning and weekly new listing data is key. Last week, we saw a positive inventory growth of 11,638 !

New Listings 415

New Listings Inventory Contracts Sellers 415