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Could the loss of jobs in the government sector and the withdrawal of funding from the economy significantly increase the unemployment rate and a surge in jobless claims? If this happens, will we see lower mortgage rates this spring? Currently, with the economic data available, the 10-year yield and Fed policy align reasonably well.
Today, the BLS jobs report showed that the labor market is getting softer, but it’s not breaking. This gives us a glimpse of what may happen over the next 10 months for mortgage rates, especially since, since Jan. Federal government employment declined. 14, we’ve seen them move lower.
The labor market is showing signs of softness but is not breaking down yet, which has kept mortgage rates higher for longer. Since 2022, my guiding principle has been that the labor market is more important than inflation in determining mortgage rates. percent, the U.S.
The combined cost of mortgages, taxes and insurance now takes up a larger share of household income than it has since the early 1980s, according to an affordability index from John Burns Research & Consulting. Together, FHA and VA loans represented 34% of the market, up from less than 30% in 2022 and the highest share since late 2020.
The 10-year yield and mortgage rates have been on a wild ride lately, even testing my top-end forecast at 7.25%, but today, the 10-year yield fell after remarks by Fed President Chris Waller about whether the Fed would do even more rate cuts than the market was anticipating. It’s not booming. It’s not falling.”
Mortgage applications increased 11.2% on a seasonally adjusted basis from last week, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Associations (MBA) weekly mortgage applications survey for the week ending March 7, 2025. Government purchase applications experienced an 11% increase helped by the FHA rate dropping to 6.34%.
A 60 basis point increase in mortgage rates in October has strangled mortgage demand, particularly for refinancings , according to the latest survey data from the Mortgage Bankers Association. Mortgage applications overall decreased 0.1% The refinance share of mortgage activity decreased to 43.1% the previous week.
The statement was enough to raise mortgage rates to an even higher level, a sharp departure from the optimism lenders experienced during the September rally, which now seems like a distant memory. “We Meanwhile, the labor market “is now by many metrics back to more normal levels that are consistent with our employment mandate,” Powell said.
Realtor.com has revealed its Top Housing Markets for 2025 , highlighting the areas ready for growth in the year ahead. This years list highlights markets characterized by moderately affordable homes, strong inventorymainly boosted by new constructionand a sizable base of younger families, many with military and international connections.
In mid-January, Pennsylvanias former attorney general Michelle Henry filed a kickback lawsuit against Barry Newhart and six mortgage entities he controls: Bright Financial Group , Conquest Mortgage , Flagship Home Loans , Legacy Mortgage Partners , Nittany Home Loans , MCT Financial , Conquest Holdings and Newhart Holdings.
If mortgage rates don’t drop, we may see this sector facing supply issues and shrinking profit margins. I believe the White House wants a shift in mortgage rates to avoid this sector going into a recession because it might take some time to get them out of it. Hopefully, lower mortgage rates can reverse this negative trend.
Mortgage rates decreased again today on weak economic data, following last Friday’s similar drop in the 10-year yield. Furthermore, the mortgage spreads in today’s pricing are favorable. According to the latest quote from Mortgage News Daily , mortgage rates are now around 6.89%.
Department of Housing & Urban Development (HUD) will co-host the “MortgageMarket Resilience and Access to Credit Summit” on Tuesday, October 15 at HUD’s headquarters. Ginnie Mae and the U.S.
As mortgage rates continue to climb past the 7% mark, applications continued to take a step back following the New Year’s Day holiday. from the week prior, the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) reported in its weekly mortgage applications survey for the week ending Jan. Demand decreased by 3.7% the previous week.
The Federal Communications Commission (FCC) this week warned consumers in all 50 states that fraudsters are posing as mortgage lenders by calling homeowners and asking them to pony up on payments. The FCC estimates that Green Mirage has impersonated over 400 mortgage lenders.
The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) on Tuesday announced a final rule governing the Property Assessed Clean Energy ( PACE ) loan program. The rule applies existing protections for residential mortgages to borrowers who seek PACE loans to upgrade or renovate their homes through clean energy technology.
Mortgage applications declined 0.7% 13, driven by slight decline in refinance activity, according to data released Wednesday by the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA). The decline in applications broke a five-week streak of increases in mortgage demand. Adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) activity remained steady at 5.3%
job market performed better than expected in November, gaining 227,000 nonfarm payroll jobs from a month prior according to data released Friday by the U.S. There have been signs that the labor market was cooling some, which could give the Fed confidence to go ahead with another rate cut this month. A year ago, the jobless rate was 3.7%
Mortgage rates are declining, and recent purchase application data shows a promising 9% week-to-week increase and a 2% rise compared to the previous year. Does this indicate that the housing market is beginning to wake up just in time for spring? It is important to note that mortgage rates rose to around 6% in late 2022 and early 2023.
Mortgage rates fell this week and they are now far from the levels widely discussed after the election. With the final jobs report for 2024, mortgage rates made a nice move lower today, and its been a positive story this week. Economic data has played a significant role in the market, unlike speculative theories.
ATTOM has released its latest Special Housing Market Impact Risk Report , a study examining county-level housing markets around the U.S. The report shows that California, New Jersey, and Illinois once again had high concentrations of the most-at-risk markets in the country, with parts of Florida also joining that mix.
Lessons from California wildfires and other natural disasters Californias wildfires highlighted the chaos that natural disasters continue to unleash not just on homeowners, but also on the mortgage servicers tasked with supporting them and the insurance industry that covers the cost of rebuilding.
When reverse mortgage professionals from Australia and New Zealand made the long journey to San Diego last year to attend the National Reverse Mortgage Lenders Association (NRMLA) Annual Meeting and Expo, they were ready to learn about the core differences between the businesses in a different part of the world.
Mortgage applications increased 5.4% 6, stemming from a 27% jump in refinance activity, according to a report released Wednesday by the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA). This is the latest weekly increase in mortgage applications, following a trend of steady demand increases over the past several weeks. share a week prior.
Expensive mortgages, rents and other housing expenses are already challenging for many Americans. The report from the Seattle-based real estate brokerage highlighted household capabilities for handling mortgage and rent payments. . High home prices and mortgage rates may place even more strain on single, divorced or separated people.
There is constant movement in the mortgage industry with the desire for growth and expansion. Thus, it has never been more important to focus on due diligence in analyzing a mortgage industry acquisition target. Regulatory compliance The mortgage industry is heavily regulated and subject to scrutiny by both State and Federal agencies.
The government-sponsored enterprise (GSE) had net income of $4.1 In 2024, Fannie Mae provided $381 billion of liquidity to the single-family and multifamily mortgagemarkets. As a result, mortgage rates are expected to remain elevated at above 6%, and we predict home sales will remain suppressed. billion profit in 2023.
House of Representatives proposes to relieve Federal Housing Administration (FHA) borrowers of mortgage insurance premiums (MIPs) once they reach a certain level of home equity , aligning FHA policies with those of conventional loans. Mortgage insurance exists as protection from foreclosure on low equity loans. Introduced by Reps.
The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 2.0% on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Associations (MBA) latest weekly mortgage applications survey. The refinance share of mortgage activity decreased to 37.1%
The newest weekly mortgage applications survey data, released Wednesday by the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) included the lowest mortgage rates in months, which created a stir in the number of applications. On-the-ground observations Loan officers say they’re seeing an increase in government loan demand.
As the industry works to support the American Dream of homeownership, ensuring clear lines of communication between mortgage industry stakeholders and their government partners is more critical than ever. The 15th Annual Five Star Government Forum , set for Wednesday, April 16 from 8:00 a.m.-5:00 5:00 p.m., 5:00 p.m.,
With fluctuating mortgage rates and economic pressure in the housing market, foreclosure activity ramped up in October 2024. Foreclosure Market Report on Tuesday. “As we approach 2024, the recent Fed rate cut , and the new administration could impact mortgage rates and market stability.
Just waiting for the market to correct and find balance,” wrote one Auction.com buyer, in response to a survey regarding the impact of market conditions on bidding and purchasing behavior at auction. The remaining 45% claimed that their inclination to purchase was unaffected by market conditions.
Mortgage applications decreased 1.6% from last week , according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Associations (MBA) weekly mortgage applications survey for the week ending March 28, 2025. The refinance share of mortgage activity also saw a decrease, dropping to 38.6% of total applications from 40.4% the previous week.
The current reverse mortgage industry market leader, Mutual of Omaha Mortgage , announced on Tuesday that it has launched a new proprietary reverse mortgage product, with initial availability in California and Florida. It will also exclude broker-network borrowers from the companys outbound marketing campaigns.
The Tech100 Mortgage award recognizes the most innovative and impactful organizations driving the mortgage industry forward. More than just an accolade, this award highlights organizations that are transforming the housing sectorenhancing efficiency, transparency, and accessibility in ways that reshape the future of mortgage lending.
real estate market. While the Sun Belt region is the most dramatic example of this phenomena, insurance markets responding to the increasing awareness of climate risk are materially changing the calculus behind home ownership and the desirability of entire communities across the country. The post How the Climate Is Reshaping the U.S.
While the unemployment rate was up compared to the start of the year, the job market ended the year up, with 256,000 jobs added to the economy in December according to data released Friday by the U.S. This will push mortgage rates higher in the near term, Fratantoni said. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). the month prior.
Fluctuating interest rates have been a feature of the housing market over the last three years. As mortgage rates rose, homebuyer demand slowed and inventory grew. In 2025, mortgage rates have stayed stubbornly high for yet another spring buying season. How will the housing market change as these economic assumptions change?
The housing market in Washington D.C. is being closely watched amid widespread layoffs of federal government workers. Sweeping cuts by Elon Musks DOGE agency have sent many government employees packing, while other staff need to find housing in the area to comply with return-to-work mandates. housing market. Lets dive in.
TransUnion has expanded its partnership with Truework to provide mortgage lenders with broader access to income and employment verification data. The mortgage addition follows similar integrations for rental screening and auto lending. The mortgage addition follows similar integrations for rental screening and auto lending.
Michigan-based United Wholesale Mortgage (UWM) has extended its 60 basis points (bps) pricing incentive until March 31 “due to its strong success and the substantial competitive edge its offered independent mortgage brokers in todays market,” a spokesperson from UWM confirmed. Initially set to end on Oct.
But that only represents part of how consumers feel about market conditions. Higher mortgage rates and home prices are still keeping many buyers and sellers away from the market, according to Fannie Mae. The portion of respondents who expect rates to increase ramped up, growing from 25% to 32%.
Mortgage rates are a big variable here. In 2024, we saw a notable increase in buyer demand when mortgage rates got close to 6%. housing market. more homes on the market now than a year ago. However, mortgage rates were climbing to their highest level of the year at this time in 2024. This year its 2%. There are 28.7%
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