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Can government job cuts lead to lower mortgage rates for spring?

Housing Wire

Could the loss of jobs in the government sector and the withdrawal of funding from the economy significantly increase the unemployment rate and a surge in jobless claims? If this happens, will we see lower mortgage rates this spring? Currently, with the economic data available, the 10-year yield and Fed policy align reasonably well.

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2025 labor market holds key for mortgage rates

Housing Wire

Today, the BLS jobs report showed that the labor market is getting softer, but it’s not breaking. This gives us a glimpse of what may happen over the next 10 months for mortgage rates, especially since, since Jan. Federal government employment declined. 14, we’ve seen them move lower.

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Mortgage rates remain high due to labor market resilience

Housing Wire

The labor market is showing signs of softness but is not breaking down yet, which has kept mortgage rates higher for longer. Since 2022, my guiding principle has been that the labor market is more important than inflation in determining mortgage rates. percent, the U.S.

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More homebuyers seek government-backed loans as an affordability lifeline

Housing Wire

The combined cost of mortgages, taxes and insurance now takes up a larger share of household income than it has since the early 1980s, according to an affordability index from John Burns Research & Consulting. Together, FHA and VA loans represented 34% of the market, up from less than 30% in 2022 and the highest share since late 2020.

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Mortgage rates fall after remarks by Fed President Waller

Housing Wire

The 10-year yield and mortgage rates have been on a wild ride lately, even testing my top-end forecast at 7.25%, but today, the 10-year yield fell after remarks by Fed President Chris Waller about whether the Fed would do even more rate cuts than the market was anticipating. It’s not booming. It’s not falling.”

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Mortgage applications climb as rates continue to decline

Housing Wire

Mortgage applications increased 11.2% on a seasonally adjusted basis from last week, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Associations (MBA) weekly mortgage applications survey for the week ending March 7, 2025. Government purchase applications experienced an 11% increase helped by the FHA rate dropping to 6.34%.

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That refi mini boom appears all but dead as mortgage rates surge

Housing Wire

A 60 basis point increase in mortgage rates in October has strangled mortgage demand, particularly for refinancings , according to the latest survey data from the Mortgage Bankers Association. Mortgage applications overall decreased 0.1% The refinance share of mortgage activity decreased to 43.1% the previous week.

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