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Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell played the Grinch last week for the housingmarket, sending mortgage rates higher after his remarks at the Fed presser on Wednesday. Weekly pending sales The latest weekly pending contract data from Altos Research offers an exciting glimpse into the real-time dynamics of housing demand.
The housingmarket got some much needed relief in the fall when mortgage rates began to drop, but it was short lived. The turbulence in rates has trickled down to individual markets like Cincinnati, where real estate agents say they dont know what to expect from sale to sale.
Weve now been in the post-pandemic housingmarket recession market as long as we were in the pandemic boom. As we look into 2025, the question everyone is asking is: Do we have a new era starting? Does the housingmarket start to get back to normal? Two and a half years.
Earlier this year, when mortgage rates soared to 7.26%, a cloud of worry hung over the housingmarket many feared that home sales would tumble in 2025, fueled by concerns about inflation and tariffs. housingmarket revolves around the direction of the 10-year yield. Only time will tell because, as always for me, the U.S.
Active housing inventory grew while newlisting data fell. This dynamic changed the housingmarket from one where home sales were crashing to one that is now stabilized. 9 is a critical date because that’s when the housingmarket turned. I explain how this happened in this recent podcast.
The 2023 housingmarket faced one of the same roadblocks we saw in 2022: mortgage rates were too high for home sales growth. Now that we’re in 2024, the Federal Reserve ‘s rate hike cycle is over, so let’s look at what that means for housing demand and home prices. What could make home prices decline?
This isn’t saying too much since 2023 had the lowest recorded level of newlistings ever, but it’s still a plus in my book. This week’s growth makes more sense with the data we have had over the past 14 days. 2022: 19.2%
Local markets spotlights 5 different areas across the country, showcasing what is uniquely happening in those housingmarkets. Local real estate agents, loan officers and appraisers share what characteristics are currently defining their housingmarkets. Aspen, Colorado. This content is exclusively for HW+ members.
On the one hand, elevated mortgage rates continue to erode buyers’ purchasing power, and in some markets, home prices are falling. All major housingmarket metrics point to a restrained housingmarket. The number of newlistings coming on the market this spring is lower than it has been in more than a decade.
14, a move that suspended open houses , although private showings are allowed with no more than five people. What is this second lockdown going to do to the red-hot Seattle housingmarket? Members of the MLS added 10,428 newlistings to supply in October, up 24% from last year, but pending home sales were only at 11,039.
The financial and housingmarkets are still trying to sort out the banking crisis and whether we have seen the last Fed rate hike in this cycle. These events led to lower mortgage rates and increased purchase application data last week, but decreased housing inventory. In a regular market, they would be closer to 5.25%.
For months I have been saying we were going to have challenging comps from October to January because last year at this time mortgage volume was rising — a rare event this late in the year. One issue that has created a waterfall dive in purchase application data and sales is that newlisting data is declining faster than usual.
This article is part of our 2022-23 HousingMarket Forecast series. After the series wraps, join us on February 6 for the HW+ Virtual 2023 Forecast Event. The event is exclusively for HW+ members , and you can go here to register. Home Prices will fall, but don’t expect 2010. months nationally.
We created the weekly HousingMarket Tracker because housing data has been so wild since 2020. The housingmarket madness persisted last week as inventory fell and higher mortgage rates took a bigger bite out of purchase application data. Weekly inventory change (Feb.
A few months ago, the United States housingmarket failed Econ 101. metropolitan areas in February 2022, based on year-over-year growth in median listing price according to the residential real estate listing website, Realtor.com. The table also reports the year-over-year percent change in newlistings for each market.
We have often discussed that the housingmarket dynamics changed starting Nov. So the fact that housing demand stabilized and inventory is now negative year over year needs the context that 2022 was a once-in-a-lifetime event. We had newlistings growth from 2021 to 2022, but that’s not the case this year.
The weekly data shows some good news for the housingmarket ! With mortgage rates also falling, I am hopeful that more people will list their homes and buy another, so we can get back to a more functional housingmarket. This is good news for the housingmarket. The week ahead.
Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active inventory grew 3,180 weekly , and newlisting data fell week to week and is still trending at an all-time low in 2023. However, I am grateful we even saw some traditional spring inventory growth this year because newlisting data is trending at all-time lows.
I would feel much better about the inventory situation if we added an additional 3,000-8,000 houses to the weekly data line from current levels. However, the real positive story here is that even with newlisting data trending at an all-time low, we are getting the growth in active listings we traditionally see in the spring and summer.
UPCOMING (PUBLIC) SPEAKING GIGS: 01/31/24 Joel Wright & Mike Gobbi Event 9am (on Zoom here) 02/01/24 Gateway Event (private) 2/09/24 PCAR WCR Event […] The post The spring housingmarket is waking up & random stats first appeared on Sacramento Appraisal Blog.
One of the biggest questions in real estate right now is how rising interest rates will impact the housingmarket. The market has been so hot, many worry that rising rates will finally be the catalyst to pop the bubble. The post Mike Simonsen: How rising rates impact the housingmarket appeared first on HousingWire.
This article is part of our 2022 – 2023 HousingMarket Update series. After the series wraps, join us on February 6 for the HW+ Virtual 2023 HousingMarket Update. The event is exclusively for HW+ members , and you can go here to register. The median price of newlistings is currently $379,900.
Real estate agents in the leafy suburbs of Bergen County, New Jersey say the current housingmarket — with historically low inventory and record-high prices — is actually more challenging than the multiple offer chaos they sweated through during the pandemic. “At Altos considers any score above 30 to be a seller’s market.
We have had two historic events that created a waterfall dive in demand recently; we now have precise data showing newlisting data declining with those events, which shows how important that data line is to housing demand. This is the biggest story in housing. . economic history. . economic history. .
The housingmarket was crazy again last week. Mortgage rates fell as the banking crisis got worse and purchase application data grew for the second week in a row, but the big question is: Did we hit the seasonal bottom in housing inventory? I am hoping it’s just a one-week event. Weekly inventory increased by 1,734.
We were up year over year in inventory , but we were at a 25 year low on newlistings.” 23, 2024, the 90-day average for single family listings in the state was 9,927, down from 14,314 single family listings in late February 2020. “It We have a pretty strong market heading into spring,” Fischer said. “I
This article is part of our housingmarket update series. At the end of this series, you can join us on May 10 for a HousingMarket Update webinar. To register for the HW+ event, go here. The impact on housingmarkets. To contact the editor responsible for this story: Brena Nath at Brena@hwmedia.com.
housingmarket , we just experienced an event that most people never thought could happen. The Federal Reserve wanted a housing reset , and it got a housing recession, with activity falling the fastest since the brief pause during COVID-19. During that period, we saw newlisting data decline.
Things are hapenning fast with mortgage rates, which is why I update HousingWire’s Mortgage Rate Center page with analysis every weekday morning — looking at how the bond market reacts to economic data or an event that can move rates. Weekly housing inventory data Usually, I would jump for joy at last week’s inventory growth.
While weekly inventory is still falling, we have year-over-year growth in total active listing and newlistings data. We might have an average year in housing compared to the past four years! For the first time in a while, this was a good week for newlisting data. What is all this data pointing to?
There’s a showdown at the housingmarket corral between homebuyers and sellers. When I came up with the “ savagely unhealthy housingmarket ” label in February of this year, it was based on the premise that the housing inflation story that we have had to deal with since 2020 was a historical event.
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Many months ago, I talked about the softer labor market and how that should make mortgage rates fall, which it has. And I feel much better about the housingmarket now with more inventory, which I talked about on CNBC recently. 2024 is the second-lowest newlisting year recorded in history.
I have been slightly disappointed in the newlisting data only because I was sure we would get a print above 80,000 this year and was hoping for a range of 95,000-110,000 in the peak seasonal period. Remember, for next week, newlistings data will take a Memorial Day hit lower as it does each year, and then it rebounds.
The savagely unhealthy housingmarket theme of mine is running in full force now as we have gotten no relief on home prices and now have a mega jump in mortgage rates. . Since the summer of 2020, I have talked about what could change the housingmarket, which was a 10-year yield above 1.94%, which means rates over 4%.
While I didn’t get my minimum target of 80,000 newlistings during this year’s peak seasonal weeks, I am pleased we saw growth. I did get a bit excited two weeks ago with the pick-up of newlistings as mortgage rates fell, but we didn’t get as good a follow-through this week. Weekly inventory change (Aug.
Agents and LOs are grappling with heavily damaged housingmarkets in the Southeast. Housingmarkets in the Southeast are reeling from a one-two punch of devastating hurricanes that are believed to have caused at least $100 billion in damage. There were 775 newlistings in Tampa on Sept.
We saw some good growth this week, and hopefully, in 2024, we can close the gap and get back to 2021-2022 data on newlistings. That is the critical period for newlisting data to grow; remember, most sellers are buyers. Weekly inventory change (Nov. 10) : Inventory rose from 566,882 to 566,941 Same week last year (Nov.
Given our current economic data and without a new critical global event, this range should stick. Weekly housing inventory data The positive story for housing in 2024 has been the inventory growth we have seen year-over-year. We haven’t broken either yet. It’s a plus for mortgage rates that the U.S.
Over the past two years, housing demand has improved when the 10-year yield falls enough to get mortgage rates near 6%. Mortgage spreads I cannot emphasize enough how positive this year’s mortgage spreads have been for the housingmarket and the general economy. Weekly inventory change (Dec.
Mortgage spreads were a negative storyline in 2023, as the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and the resulting banking crisis pushed them to new cycle highs. We haven’t had any banking crisis events this year, and the Federal Reserve is starting its rate-cut cycle soon. Weekly inventory change (Aug.
The conversation starts with Dwiggins and Robinson posing a question about the current state of the housingmarket amid economic turmoil. Campbell says that global equity markets are focused on interest rates more so than any other worldly factors. A recession is good for housing,” Campbell says.
Summary Planning your open houseMarketing your open house Hosting your open house Open house follow-up ideas The full picture Open house ideas: Planning your next event Not every one of your clients wants or needs to hold an open house, but you can certainly play up your open houseevents to help you reach your real estate career goals.
Keeping HousingMarket Results From The Public Is Never Justified: An Expansive View. When the Covid-19 crisis began halfway through March, the Manhattan housingmarket was placed on “pause,” as were many housingmarkets around the country. Transparency is always the right strategy.
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