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Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell played the Grinch last week for the housingmarket, sending mortgage rates higher after his remarks at the Fed presser on Wednesday. However, we need lower mortgage rates to grow sales in a bigger fashion in 2025. However, this year, mortgage rates rose during this timeframe.
Despite the frequency of departures, real estate agents in the state say the housingmarket remains strong. On the balance, there are still more buyers with their eye on a purchase than there are houses on the market. Statewide, the housingmarket has a 90-day average Altos Market Action Index score of 44.18
Earlier this year, when mortgage rates soared to 7.26%, a cloud of worry hung over the housingmarket many feared that home sales would tumble in 2025, fueled by concerns about inflation and tariffs. But when it seemed doom and gloom would prevail, the 10-year yield dropped, pulling mortgage rates lower in a lovely slow dance.
Mortgage rates have reached the lowest levels of the year today as the 10-year yield dropped significantly on tariff news. The stock market reacted negatively to the news regarding tariffs, resulting in significant selling and a shift towards the bond market. Mortgage rates have reached their low point of the year.
Despite 2025 housingmarket predictions changing fast , there are still key themes and trends for real estate leaders to watch to best serve their clients and business. See what she had to say below and register today for the Housing Economic Summit on Feb. HW: What housing trends do you think will continue in 2025 and why?
The housingmarket got some much needed relief in the fall when mortgage rates began to drop, but it was short lived. Despite two interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, mortgage rates rose again and remain stubbornly high.
Weve now been in the post-pandemic housingmarket recession market as long as we were in the pandemic boom. Does the housingmarket start to get back to normal? The number of unsold homes on the market is finally getting closer to 2019 levels. The MBAs mortgage applications data has been surprisingly strong.
Its late December so all the 2025 mortgage rate forecasts have been published. Most housingmarket analysts expect mortgage rates to spend the year with a 6 handle. The most optimistic predictions assume 2025 will see mostly low 6s for the 30-year fixed rate mortgage. Unfortunately, all of them are already wrong.
The market reacted badly to the FOMC statement and remarks by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell during the Q&A presser, sending the 10-year yield and mortgage rates higher. What he got is higher mortgage rates again. I’ve been cautious about getting to sub-6% mortgage rates until the labor breaks. So what gives?
Robert Gordon, a senior vice president at the American Property Casualty Insurance Association , told the Journal that mortgage lenders need to be more involved in these processes. But the dynamics are evolving, and the fallout from storms like Helene and Milton are playing havoc with the intersection between mortgage and insurance.
Mortgage rates continued their ascent this week after Fridays jobs report showed that employers added more positions than expected in December, which is likely to cement a pause on interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve later this month. when the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) wraps up its next meeting on Jan. in November.
Mortgage rates fell this week and they are now far from the levels widely discussed after the election. With the final jobs report for 2024, mortgage rates made a nice move lower today, and its been a positive story this week. Economic data has played a significant role in the market, unlike speculative theories.
Department of Housing & Urban Development (HUD) will co-host the “MortgageMarket Resilience and Access to Credit Summit” on Tuesday, October 15 at HUD’s headquarters. Click here for a complete event agenda and participant details. Click here for a complete event agenda and participant details.
Higher treasury yields have pushed mortgage rates higher, but will higher rates cool the housingmarket? HW+ includes weekly long-form digital content, HousingWire Magazine, access to HousingStack, and free admission to all HousingWire virtual events. The post Will higher mortgage rates cool the housingmarket?
Since the weaker CPI data was released in November, bond yields and mortgage rates have been heading lower. The question then was: What would lower mortgage rates do to this data? Now, with five weeks of data in front of us, we can say they have stabilized the market. Mortgage rates went from a low of 2.5%
A large majority of homeowners (88%) have concerns about selling their homes, with financial uncertainty and housingmarket conditions ranking among their top fears, according to a recent survey by Clever Real Estate. Among those with mortgages, 47% reported having locked in an interest rate below 4%.
The years 2020-2024 will have the best housing demographics ever recorded in U.S. history, with the lowest mortgage rates recorded in history. So far this year, the weekly Mortgage Bankers Association purchase application data compared to last year looks like this: +3%; +10%; +15%; +16%; +16%; +17%.
Housing demand continues to remain quite strong for those fortunate enough to work in industries that are currently shielded from job loss, while also being more amenable to remote work. HW+ includes weekly long-form digital content, HousingWire Magazine, access to HousingStack, and free admission to all HousingWire virtual events.
The mortgage servicing landscape has long been a crucible of change, where today’s decisions lay the groundwork for the industry’s future. By bringing together decision-making executives from across the nation, the NMSA drives the conversation on shaping the American housing industry for the benefit of homeowners.
With it behind us, let’s look ahead at several housingmarket trends that are likely in 2021 and beyond. First, exceptionally low mortgage rates are likely to be around for an extended period. 2020 was a truly unprecedented year.
This is the fourth installment of our economist Q&A series, as we work to answer the top 2021 housingmarket questions. The 2021 housingmarket forecasts have focused on everything from home prices to mortgage rates. Every Tuesday in December, HousingWire interviewed a top economist in the HW+ Slack channel.
We’ve all been wondering what 5% plus mortgage rates would do to the hot housingmarket, and now we’ve got that and a bag of chips. As a result, I’ve been rooting for mortgage rates to rise to create a balancing impact on this housingmarket. Have higher rates worked?
This article is part of our 2022 – 2023 HousingMarket Forecast series. After the series wraps, join us on February 6 for the HW+ Virtual 2023 Forecast Event. The event is exclusively for HW+ members , and you can go here to register. The multifamily market is also seeing the effects of the potential recession.
According to the National Association of Realtors, existing home sales for April’s housingmarket came in at 5,8500,000. housingmarket for 2020 to 2024 is that home prices could escalate to an unhealthy level. Exclusive access to the HW+ Slack community and virtual events. My biggest fear for the U.S.
The Federal Reserve didnt raise or cut interest rates today, but the meeting highlighted something I have been emphasizing since 2022: the Fed is shaping its policy around the labor market more than inflation. However, the Fed only cut rates when they believed the labor market was softening in the second half of 2024.
When you hear people say that the current housingmarket is like 2008 all over again, you may want to remind them of the huge differences between this market and that one. The previous economic expansion, from 2010-2019, wasn’t a housing bubble. Because of this I am calling this the unhealthiest housingmarket post-2010.
Although there is no doubt that business practice changes outlined in the National Association of Realtors’ (NAR) nationwide commission lawsuit settlement agreement are going to impact how real estate industry professionals operate, economists aren’t too sure they’ll have much bearing on the housingmarket. “I
For the housingmarket, the COVID crisis started in earnest the week of March 23, as that is the last week we saw positive year-over-year data in 2020 before COVID-19 really took us for a ride. housingmarket has been that home prices could escalate to an unhealthy level in the years 2020-2024. year over year.
If you bought into the theories being peddled by this crash-cult crowd (who, by the way, have been infecting the discourse of economics since the creation of social media and YouTube channels) then you would have believed that the second housingmarket bubble crash was imminent during 2020. housingmarket. But the U.S.
Mortgage relief is on the horizon for U.S. homebuyers as a strong economy bolsters the housingmarket, according to the Realtor.com 2024 Forecast Update. and 4.6%, respectively, despite ongoing challenges from elevated mortgage rates. and 4.6%, respectively, despite ongoing challenges from elevated mortgage rates.
From this stronghold I have been able to see past the chaos and view the economy and the future of the housingmarket through the lens of my core economic principles. entered into a period of the best demographics for housing ever recorded. Here’s what I think that means for the 2021 housingmarket.
The financial and housingmarkets are still trying to sort out the banking crisis and whether we have seen the last Fed rate hike in this cycle. These events led to lower mortgage rates and increased purchase application data last week, but decreased housing inventory.
A recent article published by CNBC showed that internet searches for the term “housing crash” had gone up 2,450% in the past month. A lot of folks are concerned about a housingmarket crash. For the majority of mortgage holders, the loan is the cost of shelter. I understand the concern. Already a member?
After the series wraps, join us on February 8 for the HW+ Virtual 2022 Forecast Event. Bringing together some of the top economists and researchers in housing, the event will provide an in-depth look at the top predictions for this year, along with a roundtable discussion on how these insights apply to your business.
The following Q&A comes from the HW+ exclusive Slack channel, where HousingWire’s Lead Analyst Logan Mohtashami answered questions on what to make of the latest housing data, his forecast for the rest of this year, and whether or not the housingmarket is returning to normal. This was my big fear. Become a member today.
These positive signs were followed by a long-awaited dip in mortgage rates, which fell for four consecutive weeks through the end of June. In combination with high rates , supply constraints continue to result in high housing costs , placing further pressure on affordability. In fact, new housing starts faced a 5.5% from the 3.4%
Mortgage rates were near 7% last week but purchase applications were still able to pull out an 8% week-to-week gain. Active housing inventory grew while new listing data fell. Mortgage rates hardly budged last week, even with the Federal Reserve ‘s announcement it was pausing rate hikes and CPI inflation reports.
Just when I thought days on market were returning to normal, that number for existing homes fell back down to 22 days. If the days on the market are at a teenager level or even lower, it’s never a good sign for the housingmarket. housingmarket inventory channels have changed due to how the U.S.
This article is part of our 2022-23 HousingMarket Forecast series. After the series wraps, join us on February 6 for the HW+ Virtual 2023 Forecast Event. The event is exclusively for HW+ members , and you can go here to register. But more recently, market conditions have done an about-face. at the end of 2022.
The 2023 housingmarket faced one of the same roadblocks we saw in 2022: mortgage rates were too high for home sales growth. Now that we’re in 2024, the Federal Reserve ‘s rate hike cycle is over, so let’s look at what that means for housing demand and home prices. Instead, they closed 2023 at 6.67%.
In the last few months in my articles for HousingWire, I have written that monthly supply has been rising and that this increasing supply was the most critical metric for the housingmarket, specifically the new home sales market. months in the housingmarket at the current sales rate. Become a member today.
Demand for housing was strong in early 2020, before the COVID-19 crisis hit. Mandated shut-down measures and the fear of what COVID would do to our economy temporarily immobilized the housingmarket, evinced by nine weeks of declines in the weekly purchase applications data on a year-over-year basis.
With mortgage rates forecast to remain above 6%, inventory expected to remain tight, and home prices predicted to stabilize at their current highs, its looking like the housingmarket wont see much of a thaw in 2025, Fannie Maes Economic and Strategic Research (ESR) Group says in a recent report.
And now, with the COVID-19 vaccine circulating and the economy slowly regaining strength, Zillow researchers say millions of additional households could enter the housingmarket in 2021. Specifically, housingmarkets like Portland, Maine , Bay City, Mich. markets; by December 2020, prices were already up 23.6%
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