July, 2022

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With home sales down, why are home prices still up?

Housing Wire

Looking at the housing market in the years 2020-2024, one risk i identified early on was that home prices could accelerate more in this period than we saw in the previous expansion if inventory channels broke to all-time lows. I talked about having a 23% price-growth model for the housing market in the years 2020-2024 as a critical marker of balanced growth versus overheating, especially as inventory had been falling for years right into our critical demographic patch.

Inventory 540
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Buyers take power from sellers. It’s their turn.

Sacramento Appraisal Blog

Finally. Buyers are gaining power. And sellers are losing it. I have some new visuals to show what the market is doing right now. These are for Sacramento, but I suspect many areas look similar. UPCOMING (PUBLIC) SPEAKING GIGS: 7/20/2022 Beer & Stats at Out of Bounds (sign up (for real estate agents)) 7/26/2022 Navigating […].

Sellers 484
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Market Correction or Seller Panic?

Appraisal Buzz

Unless you’re living under a rock, you have heard that interest rates have been rapidly increasing since Q1 of 2022. The average 30-year fixed rate mortgage rate was its lowest ever at 2.65% on December 31, 2021. It consistently climbed to 3.76% as of March 3, 2022, and as of the date I’m writing this, it is 5.81%. Assuming a $250,000 loan was committed on December 31, 2021, your monthly payment was approximately $1,007 exclusive of escrow for real estate taxes and insurance.

Sellers 435
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Do Appraisal Gap Clauses Impact Appraisals?

Cleveland Appraisal Blog

I recently gave a presentation and was asked if appraisal gap clauses impact the way appraisers are developing their opinion of value? In other words, do appraisal gap clauses cause appraisers to be more “conservative”? An appraisal gap clause can be written into a contract. It states that the buyer will still purchase the home at the contract price, even if the appraised value is lower than the contract price by a certain amount.

Appraisal 397
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Smart Inspections

The Appraiser Coach

I was recently contacted by an individual with a question. This woman said that she has been using an iPad for years to do her mobile inspections, but had heard. Read More.

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Builder Confidence Plunges as Affordability Woes Mount

Eyes on Housing

Builder confidence plunged in July as high inflation and increased interest rates stalled the housing market by dramatically slowing sales and buyer traffic. In a further sign of a weakening housing market, builder confidence in the market for newly built single-family homes posted its seventh straight monthly decline in July, falling 12 points to 55, according to the National Association.

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A sharp change in the housing market

Sacramento Appraisal Blog

A quick change in rates has led to a quick change in the housing market. We didn’t see much difference right away in the stats, but we are finally getting some good numbers now. Let me show you what I mean. UPCOMING (PUBLIC) SPEAKING GIGS: 7/15/2022 Lunch & Learn Big Market Update (sign up here)) […].

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Accurity Consolidated Sets Impressive Goals, Shatters Records

Appraisal Buzz

HOUSTON, TX (July 6, 2022) – Accurity Consolidated is once again turning heads and taking its place as the highlight of appraisal industry conversations. The company’s innovative team of appraisers continue to set impressive goals and break records that are simply unheard of among the competition. Since launching in 2020, Accurity has made it a mission to push the boundaries of what appraisal teams can accomplish through industry-leading turn times and service levels provided to clients.

Appraisal 397
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Is A Cubicasa Scan an Inspection?

Cleveland Appraisal Blog

In one Facebook group the other day, (yes, I’m back on Facebook ) one member mentioned they feel that a person who scans a property to provide an appraiser with a floor plan should be licensed. What do you think? In this article, I thought I would share my thoughts on this and whether scanning a property with Cubicasa is considered to be an appraisal inspection.

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Less Isn’t Always More

The Appraiser Coach

I’ve been asked how much should be filled out on site during a mobile appraisal. I know there’s a lot of ways out there to do this; there are almost. Read More.

Appraisal 370
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Why Price Indexing?

George Dell

Market-specific price indexing is powerful and underused! It improves accuracy and precision of appraisals. It enables an objective market analysis. It forms a natural path from traditional, judgment-based appraisal to informative, evidence-based professional analyses. Best of all, it enables a sense of pride in appraisal work, while making it more fun!

Appraisal 195
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The housing market recession continues, despite starts data

Housing Wire

real estate investors and affordable homes. The June housing starts data beat estimates with positive revisions, however, this doesn’t change the housing market recession call that I made last month. Knowing that the housing cycle was at risk back in March of this year when the 10-year yield broke above 1.94%, I was mindful of when I was going to raise the fifth recession red flag.

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Is the housing market getting back to normal?

Sacramento Appraisal Blog

“The housing market is getting back to normal.” I hear that quite a bit, but is it true? Well, yes and no. Let me explain. UPCOMING (PUBLIC) SPEAKING GIGS: 7/15/2022 Lunch & Learn Market Update (sign up (for real estate agents)) 7/20/2022 Beer & Stats at Out of Bounds (sign up (for real estate agents)) 7/26/2022 […].

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Dennis Hermonstyne Jr. Leads Compliance Programs at Freddie Mac

Appraisal Buzz

Dennis Hermonstyne Jr. is joining Freddie Mac as senior vice president and chief compliance officer (CCO) as of September 19. He brings over 20 years of experience managing compliance programs for national banks and international financial services companies to Freddie Mac. Hermonstyne will be a member of the company’s senior operating committee and report directly to CEO Michael DeVito and work closely with chief risk officer Anil Hinduja.

Appraisal 370
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Tips for Moving Out of State: Here’s What You Need to Know for Your Big Move

Cleveland Appraisal Blog

In recent years, with the advent of remote work, many are moving to different states. This week, I welcome back guest writer June Duncan who shares some tips for those planning on moving out of state. Enjoy! If you’re moving out of state, you can be sure that it will probably be a big adjustment to have to get used to. Moreover, it’ll probably be a big change to wrap your head around because you’ll probably be moving somewhere very different from where you are right now in terms of l

Appraisal 342
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What does another good job report mean for a recession?

Housing Wire

What does it mean to get a positive job report with all the talk about a recession, which ramped up starting in January 2022? Let’s look at the U.S. jobs and economic numbers as five of my six recession red flags are up today. The June data shows that we added another 372,000 jobs as we get closer to the employment numbers before COVID-19. We did have 74,000 negative revisions to the previous reports, however, the internals of this jobs report is the most interesting aspect.

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Existing home sales are still savagely unhealthy

Housing Wire

The savagely unhealthy housing market is continuing as we get closer to August. But, there is one bright spot — inventory is rising. We still have the unhealthy dynamics of noticeable sales declines, but prices are still growing year over year. This has been a concern of mine after the summer of 2020 as inventory levels were breaking all-time lows, facilitating unhealthy home price growth during a more prominent demographic patch in U.S. history.

Inventory 518
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New home sales make it clear: Housing is in a recession

Housing Wire

Tuesday’s report on new home sales came in as a miss of estimates and prior revisions were all negative. This data line confirms what we all know to be the case: The housing market, at least as it relates to construction, is in a recession. What I have always tried to do with my economic work is to connect the dots or show a pathway to why something could happen.

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Sprout Mortgage to shutter

Housing Wire

Non-QM lender Sprout Mortgage is shutting down operations, multiple workers said on Wednesday. The company informed workers of the shut down in a conference call on Wednesday, a former staffer said. Sprout had already instituted several rounds of job cuts in the months leading up to the shutdown, the ex-employee said. The closure of Long Island-based Sprout, headed by industry veteran Michael Strauss, represents the second non-QM mortgage lender to close in recent weeks amid historic volatility.

Mortgage 511
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Will mortgage lending get tighter in the next recession?

Housing Wire

As recession talk becomes more prevalent, some people are concerned that mortgage credit lending will get much tighter. This typically happens in a recession, however, the notion that credit lending in America will collapse as it did from 2005 to 2008 couldn’t be more incorrect, as we haven’t had a credit boom in the period between 2008-2022. One of the biggest reasons home sales crashed from their peak in 2005 was that the credit available to facilitate that boom in lending simply collaps

Lending 501
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Housing inventory nationwide rises for the first time in years

Housing Wire

Fast-rising home prices and interest rates coupled with a slipping economy helped to cool the nation’s housing market in June leading to a nearly 2% increase in the number of homes on the market. That marks the first month since July 2019 (pre-pandemic) that housing inventory increased year over year. The home-inventory bump dovetails with other data indicating the nation’s housing market lost some steam this past month, according to a June housing-market report from Seattle-based Redfin.

Inventory 488
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8 of 10 consumers: “Economy is on the wrong track”

Housing Wire

Roughly eight in 10 consumers participating in a recent survey are frustrated with the housing market, inflation and the increasingly worsening economy — reflecting record-setting dissatisfaction from respondents of Fannie Mae ‘s Home Purchase Sentiment Index (HPSI). The index, which tracks consumer confidence in the housing market, fell 3.4 points from May to June, dropping to 64.8 — its second-lowest reading in a decade.

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Home price growth expected to dip as demand normalizes

Housing Wire

Home price appreciation, which skyrocketed during the pandemic, is showing signs of slowing, according to a monthly report published by CoreLogic Tuesday. In May, home prices increased by 20.2% year-over-year, the report said. But come next May, the data vendor predicts home price appreciation will dip to 5%. The recent hikes in mortgage interest rates by the Federal Reserve has contributed to the expected cool down of home prices, according to the report.

Sellers 488
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Purchase mortgage rates fall 40 bps amid recession fears

Housing Wire

Purchase mortgage rates this week continued their recent downward trend, dropping 40 basis points to 5.30%, according to the latest Freddie Mac PMMS Index. A year ago at this time, 30-year fixed rate purchase rates were at 2.90%. The PMMS, a government-sponsored enterprise index, accounts solely for purchase mortgages reported by lenders during the past three days.

Mortgage 482
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Despite headwinds, these mortgage companies are hiring

Housing Wire

new jobs hiring, housing jobs, recruiting for mortgage industry. Based on the headlines, one might assume the mortgage business is a complete disaster. Origination volume is down about 50% from last year, thousands of layoffs are reported each week, and gloomy prognosticators say recession will make for a long winter. Some mortgage companies will merge to stay afloat, and many others will go under.

Mortgage 476
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After 50 bps fee backlash, FHFA will review capital rule

Housing Wire

The Fed eral Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) will review the enterprise regulatory capital framework in the “near term,” officials said — after getting an earful from industry players since unveiling a new securities fee. For now, however, the new 50 basis point fee charged on securities backed by one enterprise and later secured by the other, is here to stay.

Investors 475
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FHA borrower fee gridlock draws ire of industry

Housing Wire

The Federal Housing Administration ’s (FHA) decision to withhold a mortgage insurance premium cut has confounded mortgage policy experts and industry stakeholders. HUD officials earlier this year said cuts to borrower fees depended on the number of borrowers behind on their payments. But during a Thursday press briefing, HUD officials said they are weighing “budgetary implications, tradeoffs within appropriations process and FHA’s role in the broader housing system,” when considering cuts to mor

Insurance 468
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The Fed admits the economy is slowing

Housing Wire

The Federal Reserve hiked rates 0.75% on Wednesday, which was mostly expected by market participants before the announcement. The question is, will the Fed keep aggressively hiking rates if the economic data worsens? I say this because I’ve raised all but one of my six recession red flags. I need to wait for one more report to officially raise the last flag, but it is certain to happen in August.

Marketing 459
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Marcia Davies to speak at HW Annual Oct. 3-5

Housing Wire

Women are not only dominating in the mortgage and real estate industry, but also they are making room at the table for a new generation of women to do the same. To help fuel this growth for future and current women, HousingWire is thrilled to have Marcia Davies, a HousingWire Women of Influence and the founder of mPower — an organization that helps women in the real estate finance industry expand their reach — at the Women of Influence Forum.

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Milo reaches $10M crypto-mortgage milestone

Housing Wire

Miami-based fintech Milo has closed $10 million in cryptocurrency mortgages since unveiling the product earlier this year, the company announced early Tuesday. The lender’s 30-year crypto mortgage is designed to make it easy for investors to use their digital holdings to acquire homes in the U.S. Through the crypto-lending program, Milo allows borrowers to pledge cryptocurrency through regulated custodians — crypto platforms such as Coinbase or Gemini — and thereby finance as much as 100 percent

Mortgage 459
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Wells Fargo: Our mortgage business will “naturally” decline

Housing Wire

Wells Fargo ‘s second-quarter earnings reflect the broader challenges mortgage lenders face in such a turbulent market – in just six months, a rapid rise in mortgage rates has eroded consumer demand, shocked capital markets and forced mass industry layoffs. And those fundamental challenges are not going away anytime soon. The third-biggest U.S. mortgage lender by volume on Friday reported a decline in originations, a decrease in gain-on-sale margins and lower revenues from the re-securitiz

Business 459
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Ex-workers sue Sprout Mortgage over unpaid salaries

Housing Wire

Just two days after it abruptly shut down its operations, non-QM lender Sprout Mortgage became the target of a class-action-seeking lawsuit. Two former employees are suing the Long Island-based Sprout, its affiliated company Recovco Mortgage Management LLC and chief executive officer Michael Strauss, alleging they laid off around 100 employees at the New York office on Wednesday without giving legally required written notice and failed to pay their paychecks due the following day.

Mortgage 459
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GSEs bolster diversity with senior hires

Housing Wire

Both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac this week made two senior hires that increase diversity in leadership at the enterprises, where the leadership skews toward white and male. At Freddie Mac, Dennis Hermonstyne Jr., who previously worked at Santander Bank , will assume the role of senior vice president and chief compliance officer. Starting Sept. 19, he will report directly to Freddie Mac CEO Michael DeVito, and work closely with Anil Hinduja, Freddie Mac’s chief risk officer.

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State of the mortgage industry half-time report

Housing Wire

Adjusting to today’s market can be dizzying after the last few years of historically low interest rates and high refinance business. However, the lenders and loan officers who will be most successful in the second half of 2022 will be those who pivot quickly, understanding both the nuances of the market and the best strategies to help solve problems for today’s homeowners, homebuyers, homesellers, Realtors and financial advisors.

Mortgage 448