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Looking at the housing market in the years 2020-2024, one risk i identified early on was that home prices could accelerate more in this period than we saw in the previous expansion if inventory channels broke to all-time lows. I talked about having a 23% price-growth model for the housing market in the years 2020-2024 as a critical marker of balanced growth versus overheating, especially as inventory had been falling for years right into our critical demographic patch.
Finally. Buyers are gaining power. And sellers are losing it. I have some new visuals to show what the market is doing right now. These are for Sacramento, but I suspect many areas look similar. UPCOMING (PUBLIC) SPEAKING GIGS: 7/20/2022 Beer & Stats at Out of Bounds (sign up (for real estate agents)) 7/26/2022 Navigating […].
Unless you’re living under a rock, you have heard that interest rates have been rapidly increasing since Q1 of 2022. The average 30-year fixed rate mortgage rate was its lowest ever at 2.65% on December 31, 2021. It consistently climbed to 3.76% as of March 3, 2022, and as of the date I’m writing this, it is 5.81%. Assuming a $250,000 loan was committed on December 31, 2021, your monthly payment was approximately $1,007 exclusive of escrow for real estate taxes and insurance.
I recently gave a presentation and was asked if appraisal gap clauses impact the way appraisers are developing their opinion of value? In other words, do appraisal gap clauses cause appraisers to be more “conservative”? An appraisal gap clause can be written into a contract. It states that the buyer will still purchase the home at the contract price, even if the appraised value is lower than the contract price by a certain amount.
Finance teams find Trellis to be particularly effective in conducting comprehensive due diligence on both individuals and businesses. With our court data solution, financial experts can access critical litigation insights, making it an invaluable resource for informed decision-making in the financial sector.
I was recently contacted by an individual with a question. This woman said that she has been using an iPad for years to do her mobile inspections, but had heard. Read More.
Builder confidence plunged in July as high inflation and increased interest rates stalled the housing market by dramatically slowing sales and buyer traffic. In a further sign of a weakening housing market, builder confidence in the market for newly built single-family homes posted its seventh straight monthly decline in July, falling 12 points to 55, according to the National Association.
Builder confidence plunged in July as high inflation and increased interest rates stalled the housing market by dramatically slowing sales and buyer traffic. In a further sign of a weakening housing market, builder confidence in the market for newly built single-family homes posted its seventh straight monthly decline in July, falling 12 points to 55, according to the National Association.
The U.S. House of Representatives passed a bill late Wednesday creating federal minimum standards, which would allow notaries nationwide to perform remote online notarizations. The legislation passed the House with a vote of 336-90. A key to advancing the universal adoption of fully electronic mortgages is the creation of remote online notarization (RON) standards across all 50 states.
“The housing market is getting back to normal.” I hear that quite a bit, but is it true? Well, yes and no. Let me explain. UPCOMING (PUBLIC) SPEAKING GIGS: 7/15/2022 Lunch & Learn Market Update (sign up (for real estate agents)) 7/20/2022 Beer & Stats at Out of Bounds (sign up (for real estate agents)) 7/26/2022 […].
HOUSTON, TX (July 6, 2022) – Accurity Consolidated is once again turning heads and taking its place as the highlight of appraisal industry conversations. The company’s innovative team of appraisers continue to set impressive goals and break records that are simply unheard of among the competition. Since launching in 2020, Accurity has made it a mission to push the boundaries of what appraisal teams can accomplish through industry-leading turn times and service levels provided to clients.
In one Facebook group the other day, (yes, I’m back on Facebook ) one member mentioned they feel that a person who scans a property to provide an appraiser with a floor plan should be licensed. What do you think? In this article, I thought I would share my thoughts on this and whether scanning a property with Cubicasa is considered to be an appraisal inspection.
Construction projects are high-stakes operations where even minor inefficiencies can lead to costly delays, safety concerns, and budget overruns. Managing risk in construction has always been a challenge, but as projects grow in complexity, traditional methods no longer cut it. Enter Digital Transformation - a game changer approach that replaces inefficiency with AI-powered analytics, real-time monitoring, and automated workflows to proactively manage risk.
I’ve been asked how much should be filled out on site during a mobile appraisal. I know there’s a lot of ways out there to do this; there are almost. Read More.
Market-specific price indexing is powerful and underused! It improves accuracy and precision of appraisals. It enables an objective market analysis. It forms a natural path from traditional, judgment-based appraisal to informative, evidence-based professional analyses. Best of all, it enables a sense of pride in appraisal work, while making it more fun!
real estate investors and affordable homes. The June housing starts data beat estimates with positive revisions, however, this doesn’t change the housing market recession call that I made last month. Knowing that the housing cycle was at risk back in March of this year when the 10-year yield broke above 1.94%, I was mindful of when I was going to raise the fifth recession red flag.
A quick change in rates has led to a quick change in the housing market. We didn’t see much difference right away in the stats, but we are finally getting some good numbers now. Let me show you what I mean. UPCOMING (PUBLIC) SPEAKING GIGS: 7/15/2022 Lunch & Learn Big Market Update (sign up here)) […].
Trellis is a state trial court research and analytics platform that provides Real Estate Professionals (Buyers, Foreclosure, Loan Modification, etc.) with LEADS on Pre-Foreclosures, Lis Pendes, Distressed Assets and more — to help uncover **new** opportunities and grow their business. The process is quick and easy — and all in real time. Trellis will supply you with a link to the relevant dockets, a Leads sheet and access to its UI where applicable.
Dennis Hermonstyne Jr. is joining Freddie Mac as senior vice president and chief compliance officer (CCO) as of September 19. He brings over 20 years of experience managing compliance programs for national banks and international financial services companies to Freddie Mac. Hermonstyne will be a member of the company’s senior operating committee and report directly to CEO Michael DeVito and work closely with chief risk officer Anil Hinduja.
In recent years, with the advent of remote work, many are moving to different states. This week, I welcome back guest writer June Duncan who shares some tips for those planning on moving out of state. Enjoy! If you’re moving out of state, you can be sure that it will probably be a big adjustment to have to get used to. Moreover, it’ll probably be a big change to wrap your head around because you’ll probably be moving somewhere very different from where you are right now in terms of l
What does it mean to get a positive job report with all the talk about a recession, which ramped up starting in January 2022? Let’s look at the U.S. jobs and economic numbers as five of my six recession red flags are up today. The June data shows that we added another 372,000 jobs as we get closer to the employment numbers before COVID-19. We did have 74,000 negative revisions to the previous reports, however, the internals of this jobs report is the most interesting aspect.
The savagely unhealthy housing market is continuing as we get closer to August. But, there is one bright spot — inventory is rising. We still have the unhealthy dynamics of noticeable sales declines, but prices are still growing year over year. This has been a concern of mine after the summer of 2020 as inventory levels were breaking all-time lows, facilitating unhealthy home price growth during a more prominent demographic patch in U.S. history.
Tuesday’s report on new home sales came in as a miss of estimates and prior revisions were all negative. This data line confirms what we all know to be the case: The housing market, at least as it relates to construction, is in a recession. What I have always tried to do with my economic work is to connect the dots or show a pathway to why something could happen.
Non-QM lender Sprout Mortgage is shutting down operations, multiple workers said on Wednesday. The company informed workers of the shut down in a conference call on Wednesday, a former staffer said. Sprout had already instituted several rounds of job cuts in the months leading up to the shutdown, the ex-employee said. The closure of Long Island-based Sprout, headed by industry veteran Michael Strauss, represents the second non-QM mortgage lender to close in recent weeks amid historic volatility.
As recession talk becomes more prevalent, some people are concerned that mortgage credit lending will get much tighter. This typically happens in a recession, however, the notion that credit lending in America will collapse as it did from 2005 to 2008 couldn’t be more incorrect, as we haven’t had a credit boom in the period between 2008-2022. One of the biggest reasons home sales crashed from their peak in 2005 was that the credit available to facilitate that boom in lending simply collaps
Fast-rising home prices and interest rates coupled with a slipping economy helped to cool the nation’s housing market in June leading to a nearly 2% increase in the number of homes on the market. That marks the first month since July 2019 (pre-pandemic) that housing inventory increased year over year. The home-inventory bump dovetails with other data indicating the nation’s housing market lost some steam this past month, according to a June housing-market report from Seattle-based Redfin.
Roughly eight in 10 consumers participating in a recent survey are frustrated with the housing market, inflation and the increasingly worsening economy — reflecting record-setting dissatisfaction from respondents of Fannie Mae ‘s Home Purchase Sentiment Index (HPSI). The index, which tracks consumer confidence in the housing market, fell 3.4 points from May to June, dropping to 64.8 — its second-lowest reading in a decade.
Home price appreciation, which skyrocketed during the pandemic, is showing signs of slowing, according to a monthly report published by CoreLogic Tuesday. In May, home prices increased by 20.2% year-over-year, the report said. But come next May, the data vendor predicts home price appreciation will dip to 5%. The recent hikes in mortgage interest rates by the Federal Reserve has contributed to the expected cool down of home prices, according to the report.
Purchase mortgage rates this week continued their recent downward trend, dropping 40 basis points to 5.30%, according to the latest Freddie Mac PMMS Index. A year ago at this time, 30-year fixed rate purchase rates were at 2.90%. The PMMS, a government-sponsored enterprise index, accounts solely for purchase mortgages reported by lenders during the past three days.
new jobs hiring, housing jobs, recruiting for mortgage industry. Based on the headlines, one might assume the mortgage business is a complete disaster. Origination volume is down about 50% from last year, thousands of layoffs are reported each week, and gloomy prognosticators say recession will make for a long winter. Some mortgage companies will merge to stay afloat, and many others will go under.
The Fed eral Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) will review the enterprise regulatory capital framework in the “near term,” officials said — after getting an earful from industry players since unveiling a new securities fee. For now, however, the new 50 basis point fee charged on securities backed by one enterprise and later secured by the other, is here to stay.
Finally. We’ve seen a massive change with housing inventory. But is it because sellers are rushing to list their homes? Nope. That’s not the culprit. Let’s talk about supply and some things on my mind about today’s market. UPCOMING (PUBLIC) SPEAKING GIGS: 7/26/22 Navigating the Shift (sign up here (for real estate community)) 8/11/22 Realtist […].
The Federal Housing Administration ’s (FHA) decision to withhold a mortgage insurance premium cut has confounded mortgage policy experts and industry stakeholders. HUD officials earlier this year said cuts to borrower fees depended on the number of borrowers behind on their payments. But during a Thursday press briefing, HUD officials said they are weighing “budgetary implications, tradeoffs within appropriations process and FHA’s role in the broader housing system,” when considering cuts to mor
The Federal Reserve hiked rates 0.75% on Wednesday, which was mostly expected by market participants before the announcement. The question is, will the Fed keep aggressively hiking rates if the economic data worsens? I say this because I’ve raised all but one of my six recession red flags. I need to wait for one more report to officially raise the last flag, but it is certain to happen in August.
Women are not only dominating in the mortgage and real estate industry, but also they are making room at the table for a new generation of women to do the same. To help fuel this growth for future and current women, HousingWire is thrilled to have Marcia Davies, a HousingWire Women of Influence and the founder of mPower — an organization that helps women in the real estate finance industry expand their reach — at the Women of Influence Forum.
Miami-based fintech Milo has closed $10 million in cryptocurrency mortgages since unveiling the product earlier this year, the company announced early Tuesday. The lender’s 30-year crypto mortgage is designed to make it easy for investors to use their digital holdings to acquire homes in the U.S. Through the crypto-lending program, Milo allows borrowers to pledge cryptocurrency through regulated custodians — crypto platforms such as Coinbase or Gemini — and thereby finance as much as 100 percent
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