May, 2022

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The housing market has shifted

Sacramento Appraisal Blog

The housing market has shifted over the past month. That’s what the stats are showing, and it’s what we’re hearing from the trenches. Today I want to highlight what’s been happening in Sacramento, and unpack what I mean by “shift” too since this word can be sensationalized. If you’re not local, what are you seeing […].

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This savagely unhealthy housing market needs higher rates

Housing Wire

The National Association of Realtors reported Thursday that existing home sales for April came in at 5.61 million , with double-digit home-price growth driving a housing market that is still savagely unhealthy. However, this year has seen one big game-changer: the 10-year yield finally cracked over 1.94%, which drove mortgage rates over 4%. This is something that I said would change the tone of housing, and we are seeing that result this year as sales decline and inventory picks up.

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Will the Infrastructure Bill Affect the Real Estate Market?

Appraisal Buzz

The housing market has experienced a turbulent few years, so what can industry experts expect in the future? You can pay attention to many indicators, but the recent infrastructure bill will reveal the most crucial information. These are a few ways it will affect real estate in the coming months. 1. Construction Sites Will Stay on Schedule. Federal plans can move slowly, but that doesn’t mean ?

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Living Room vs Family Room

The Appraiser Coach

Have you ever walked into a house and thought, what room did I just walk into? Identifying and analyzing rooms will make a big difference for your customers and for. Read More.

Training 370
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Essential Home Moving Tips for Seniors

Cleveland Appraisal Blog

Howdy friends! I hope that you’re doing well! I have a special post from a first-time guest blogger, Betty White. If you’re a senior and considering moving, this article offers some tips that may make things a little easier. I hope that you enjoy her article! Essential Home Moving Tips for Seniors. Are you newly retired or nearing retirement?

Appraisal 221
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Builder Confidence Plunges on Rising Interest Rates, Growing Affordability Woes

Eyes on Housing

In a sign that the housing market is now slowing, builder confidence took a steep drop in May as growing affordability challenges in the form of rapidly rising interest rates, double-digit price increases for material costs and ongoing home price appreciation are taking a toll on buyer demand. Builder confidence in the market for newly built single-family homes fell eight.

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Purchase apps are at 2009 level: where’s the inventory?

Housing Wire

It’s an excellent time to discuss housing inventory. The housing market shifted in March of this year. As the 10-year yield broke above 1.94% and mortgage rates rose, we saw the impact on housing data. Since the summer of 2020, this has been my main talking point on what can cool down housing ; it’s a 10-year yield above 1.94% , meaning rates above 4%.

Inventory 526
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A Log Home Valuation

Appraisal Buzz

It is no secret that log homes do not appraise well. In the past, almost every major log home magazine has posted an article on the topic. The question is raised as to what is the real problem with log home valuation and what is the problem with appraisers working in the niche log home market? Many appraisers in urban areas like Chicago believe that the log home market is irrelevant and is not worth exploring.

Valuation 396
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Delegate, Delegate, Delegate!

The Appraiser Coach

I was in a group meeting recently where we were talking with small business owners and trying to help them with some of the problems they were facing. One. Read More.

Business 369
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Bias: Personal or Analytic?

George Dell

Bias and prejudice are always relevant topics. Recently these have received more attention. In asking the questions we present in the Analogue Blog, we find that three concepts/actions produce the greatest response, to create divisiveness and deepening anger in an argument. The three concepts of ignorant argument: 1) use the word “bias,” badly; 2) state […].

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Gains for Custom Home Building

Eyes on Housing

NAHB’s analysis of Census Data from the Quarterly Starts and Completions by Purpose and Design survey indicates custom home building posted a year-over-years gain for the first quarter of 2022. There were 46,000 total custom building starts during the first quarter of the year. This marks a 28% increase from the first quarter of 2021. Over the last four quarters, custom housing.

Design 217
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Saying goodbye to the hottest housing market ever

Sacramento Appraisal Blog

The housing market sizzle has faded and we’ve entered a different season. We’ve basically said goodbye to the most aggressive housing market ever, and we’re in a new market now. Granted, the housing trend still feels elevated from normal, so it’s an error to call this market cold. Yet there is no mistaking a different […].

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Lenders see appraisal modernization as a top priority

Housing Wire

A Fannie Mae survey published in mid-May found that mortgage lenders see value in appraisal modernization, specifically in the implementation of non-traditional appraisals and inspection-based appraisal waivers. However, they have several more pressing priorities when it comes to what they’re investing in. Out of 200 senior mortgage executives surveyed, who represent 188 lending institutions, 94% think that appraisal modernization efforts will simplify the origination process.

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Trainees Become Appraisers at Accurity Consolidated

Appraisal Buzz

HOUSTON, TX (May 25, 2022) – Before opening its doors in January of 2020, Accurity Consolidated laid out very specific goals to create a large wave of revival in the appraisal industry. Educating new appraisers to freshen the industry with speed and innovation was near the top of the company’s to-do list, and Accurity is proud to announce talented appraisers in training have been reaching certification at a rapid pace – ready to do their part in the movement unfolding in the realm of real estate

Appraisal 370
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Less Isn’t Always More

The Appraiser Coach

I’ve been asked how much should be filled out on site during a mobile appraisal. I know there’s a lot of ways out there to do this; there are almost. Read More.

Appraisal 284
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Part IV: Do We Need a Neighborhood Section?

George Dell

The neighborhood section of appraisal reports is pretty much protocol. We have asked how a report on the neighborhood may or may not contribute to valuation value or reliability (risk) estimates. We continue to consider how traditional practice helps or hinders adoption of modern process technologies. As always, we have found it is important to […].

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Building Materials Prices Move Higher, Up 19% Year-over-Year

Eyes on Housing

According to the latest Producer Price Index (PPI) report released today by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the prices of goods used in residential construction ex-energy (not seasonally adjusted) climbed 0.5% in April, following upwardly revised increases of 1.9% and 2.4% in March and February, respectively. This adds up to an 4.9% increase in building materials prices since the start.

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Dude, stop obsessing over home prices

Sacramento Appraisal Blog

What are prices doing? That’s always the question, and I get it. But there are bigger fish to fry to understand what the housing market is doing. A shift: Over the past few weeks there has been a shift in demand, which is why this conversation is so important. This isn’t about doom and gloom. […].

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Housing starts data lags reality of higher mortgage rates

Housing Wire

The U.S. Census Bureau released their new residential construction report for April, showing a miss on the estimate and a negative revisions data line, which I believe is lagging behind the current market reality. Housing starts came in at 1.724 million , and housing permits came in at 1.819 million — both are still very healthy numbers. However, the sting of higher mortgage rates is hitting the single-family construction data, and the real story is that the housing completion data, which has be

Mortgage 493
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The Appraiser Behind the Buzztoons

Appraisal Buzz

[link]. Today’s Buzzcast interview is with Steve Sanders, Owner of Appraisal Source. We sat down with Steve and Jim Morrison, VP of Marketing and Sales for Allterra Group, to discuss his famous Appraisal Buzztoons. What is your background in the appraisal industry? Where can appraisers check out your Buzztoons? These questions and much more will be answered between Steve and Jim as they dive into this subject.

Appraisal 370
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When Your Server is Halfway Around the Globe…

The Appraiser Coach

I have a server. It’s not the racks, the room, and the computers buzzing that you may think of when you hear about a server. It’s just a large desktop. Read More.

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Part III: Do We Need a Neighborhood Section?

George Dell

Market area, District, Neighborhood – what do our directives say? Let’s take a look at standards, education, regulations, and the GSE (Government Sponsored Enterprises). First, let’s set a goal: What is the ideal comparable data to analyze? How big, how similar, and how competitive should it be? Read Part I and Part II of Do […]. The post Part III: Do We Need a Neighborhood Section?

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Townhouse Construction Growing

Eyes on Housing

According to NAHB analysis of the most recent Census data of Starts and Completions by Purpose and Design, during the first quarter of 2022 single-family attached starts totaled 36,000, which is 16% higher than the first quarter of 2021. Over the last four quarters, townhouse construction starts totaled 152,000 units, 25% higher than the prior four quarter total (122,000).

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Fastest market ever & price deceleration

Sacramento Appraisal Blog

The housing market has been changing these past couple of months. As I’ve been saying, it isn’t cold, but the temperature is surely different. Anyway, let’s talk about two things to watch in months ahead – price deceleration and days on market. Any thoughts? This post feels a bit nerdy or heady, but this stuff […].

Marketing 441
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Purchase mortgage rates drop to 5.25% as demand wanes

Housing Wire

Purchase mortgage rates this week averaged 5.25%, down five basis points from a week ago , as some individuals put the American homeownership dream on standby due to higher rates and surging home prices, according to the latest Freddie Mac PMMS. This time a year ago, the 30-year fixed-rate purchase rates were at 3%, the report shows. The government-sponsored enterprise (GSE) index accounts for just purchase mortgages reported by lenders during the past three days.

Mortgage 488
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The Mirage, Volcanoes, and the Strip!

Appraisal Buzz

In today’s Buzzcast, the Allterra Group gives you all of the details for the upcoming conference -Valuation Expo! Valuation Expo will be hosted at the Mirage Hotel, September 7-9! Save 50% ($450) on your General Session Pass when you become an Appraisal Buzz Premium Plus Member by May 18th! Check out all of the new sessions with leaders in the industry, earn your CE, renew your USPAP , and network with hundreds of attendees all while exploring all that Vegas has to offer!

Valuation 369
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The Workings of a Millionaire Mind

The Appraiser Coach

Principles of business cross boundaries of profession frequently, and the one shared today is inspired by Dr. Thomas Stanley, author of The Millionaire Next Door and The Millionaire Mind. If. Read More.

Business 195
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Can EBV Support Diversity and Fairness?

George Dell

Diversity can be a goal in itself when diversity means breaking down barriers of groupthink and apathy. An expansive concept. Fairness, on the other hand is elusive, demanding definition. Fairness depends on the very point of view it attempts to define. “Fair” is in the eye of the beholder. EBV (Evidence Based Valuation)© (or EBA, […]. The post Can EBV Support Diversity and Fairness?

Valuation 195
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New Single-Family Home Size Trends

Eyes on Housing

An expected impact of the virus crisis is a need for more residential space, as people use homes for more purposes including work. According to first quarter 2022 data from the Census Quarterly Starts and Completions by Purpose and Design and NAHB analysis, median single-family square floor area inched down to 2,310 square feet. Average (mean) square footage for new.

Design 199
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May Newsletter- Change on the Horizon?

DW Slater Company

Sunset in Sivells Bend, TX. As we have been reporting the last year, the North Texas markets have experienced extraordinary appreciation in housing with very little signs of slowing. The median sale prices have had double digit increases within the past year. This is on top of the increases that we have been experiencing within the past 5 years- Denton County alone has experienced a 77.45% increase in 5 years as the median sales price in May of 2017 was $270,500 and now it is $480,000.

Inventory 158
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Opinion: why innovation in a builder matters to homebuyers

Housing Wire

The real estate industry is in the stages of a seismic shift to fully digital experiences. A new generation of digitally native homebuyers and sellers are expecting online experiences , in every type of transaction, and more convenient and seamless ways to find, tour, purchase, and sell homes on their own terms. As a result, there are a growing number of tech-driven companies racing to meet the growing demand.

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Valuation Modernization and Appraisers

Appraisal Buzz

[link]. Today’s Buzzcast interview is with Cristy Conolly, EVP of Valuation Modernization at Class Valuation. We sat down with Cristy and Joan Trice, Founder of Allterra Group, LLC, to discuss what’s currently happening in the appraisal industry and what we can expect in the future. What can we expect in the coming years for the appraisal industry? What are the current market trends?

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Almost 45% of homeowners are now equity rich

Housing Wire

Soaring home prices continue to serve existing homeowners, with nearly 45% of all property owners now considered equity rich, a year-over-year jump that boosted 13% more homeowners into the prime position. A homeowner is considered equity rich when they have at least 50% equity in their home, a feat more easily accomplished when skyrocketing home price appreciation widens the gap between what someone owes on their mortgage and the value of their house.

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The housing industry will soon be up in ARMs

Housing Wire

If there’s a bet to be made on the future of the non-agency lending space, it’s that the adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) will become far more popular this year as purchase mortgages increasingly dominate a housing market pivoting to an up-rate environment. That’s the consensus forecast of a panel of non-agency industry experts who spoke at the Mortgage Bankers Association ’s (MBA’s) Secondary and Capital Markets Conference & Expo in New York City this week. .