January, 2023

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Can Expert Analysis Save Appraisers?

George Dell

Our blog this week, ‘Can Expert Analysis Save Appraisers?’ is a guest post from a long time friend and colleague, Timothy Andersen, MAI, MSc, CDEI, MNAA, The Appraiser’s Advocate. Analysis of what? Save appraisers from what? Clients want more than our opinions. They expect us to gather data, analyze them, and then interpret them. In […] The post Can Expert Analysis Save Appraisers?

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Homebuilders still need lower mortgage rates

Housing Wire

What is happening with homebuilders and the new home sales sector as we head into the spring housing market ? We have had some conflicting data points recently. On the one hand, cancelation rates have been rising. On the other hand, mortgage rates have gone down more than 1% since Oct. 20, 2022. The builders’ stock prices have done well as mortgage rates have fallen , and this illustrates the simplicity of the homebuilders’ position: their story is really about mortgage rates and moving pr

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Real estate trends to watch in 2023

Sacramento Appraisal Blog

What’s the real estate market going to do in 2023? Nobody has a crystal ball, but here are some emerging trends. Scroll quickly or digest slowly. UPCOMING (PUBLIC) SPEAKING GIGS: 1/12/23 McKissock Webinar (register here) 1/18/23 WCR Market Update in Cameron Park (register here) 1/19/23 Big market update at SAR on Zoom (register here) 1/20/23 […].

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The Cleveland Area Housing Market Was Skating Along… And Then This Happened

Cleveland Appraisal Blog

Welcome to 2023! I hope that you all had a nice time off over the past month. We all needed some rest from the crazy housing market we’ve experienced in recent years. Like most markets across the country, the Cleveland area housing market has been red hot for the past few years. Even before the pandemic’s incredible surge in housing demand, the market in Northeast Ohio was skating along nicely.

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Are You Saying No to Future Business?

The Appraiser Coach

I’ve begun to notice that retirement is starting to creep up on me a little bit, and I’m starting to wonder if I’m really ready. I recently decided to get. Read More.

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November Private Residential Spending Dips

Eyes on Housing

Private residential construction spending declined 0.5% in November, as spending on single-family construction plunged 2.9%. Private residential construction spending fell for the six consecutive month, standing at an annual pace of $868 billion. However, this total remains 5.3% higher compared to a year ago. The monthly decline is largely attributed to lower spending on single-family construction, which has also declined.

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Solid jobs report sends mortgage rates lower

Housing Wire

Can we have a soft landing in the economy? Friday’s job report shows there is a clear pathway to get there. Mortgage rates fell aggressively down to 6.20%, putting us at more than 1% below the highs of 2022. The bond market saw that wage growth was cooling down, leaving the Federal Reserve with few reasons to keep the rate hike story going much longer.

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How are appraisers handling concessions?

Sacramento Appraisal Blog

How are appraisers handling concessions to the buyer? Could a seller credit damage the chance of appraising at the purchase contract? These questions weren’t asked a year ago, but welcome to the 2023 housing market. UPCOMING (PUBLIC) SPEAKING GIGS: 1/18/23 WCR Market Update in Cameron Park (register here) 1/19/23 Big market update at SAR on […].

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All the Tips You Need to Make Moving to a New State Much Easier

Cleveland Appraisal Blog

Are you planning on moving to a new state? There’s so much to think about. Employment, the cost of the move, buying a home, and many other things. This week, I welcome a new guest blogger, Ryan Mackenzie, who shares tips for making a move more manageable. I hope you enjoy it! So you have decided to move to a new state. Good for you! This is a chance to meet new people and experience a new culture.

Appraisal 304
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P.U. – No Longer Just a Bad Smell

The Appraiser Coach

Years ago, I went on a nation-wide tour where I met with appraisers in several cities. We discussed what I do as an appraiser and business owner, and how they. Read More.

Business 256
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How Many Households Are Priced Out By Higher Mortgage Rates in 2022?

Eyes on Housing

Mortgage rates have increased rapidly in 2022, as the Federal Reserve continues to fight high inflation. The U.S. weekly 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rose from a slightly more than 3% in early 2022 to more than 7% in late October and leveled off at a rate of 6.42% as of the end of 2022. Mortgage payments have increased from $1,925 on.

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Errors Mistakes and Modeling Myths? Pt I

George Dell

Errors and mistakes can be “statistical.” They can be modeling Blunders. Or they can be of a third type: misjudging what the data is showing you. As we continue to grow the CAA (Community of Asset Analysts), we find that our body of useful algorithms and shared programs continues to deepen and widen. The accuracy […]. The post Errors Mistakes and Modeling Myths?

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How title companies are combating wire fraud

Housing Wire

Cyberattacks, particularly wire fraud through business email compromise, remain a major concern for the title industry. Attempted attacks increased significantly, according to a 2022 survey by the American Land Title Association , with 46% of respondents saying their employees receive at least one email a month attempting to change wire or payoff instructions.

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The housing market went from an ice bath to a hot shower

Sacramento Appraisal Blog

The housing market is getting hot again for the spring. It went from an ice bath in the fall to a hot shower so far in January. It’s not scalding like 2021, but it’s been a striking change. Let’s talk about this. UPCOMING (PUBLIC) SPEAKING GIGS: 2/8/23 SAFE Credit Union “Snacks & Facts” (for RE) […] The post The housing market went from an ice bath to a hot shower first appeared on Sacramento Appraisal Blog | Real Estate Appraiser.

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Was This Home Overimproved or Underimproved?

Cleveland Appraisal Blog

Have you heard of a property being overimproved, or super adequate? How about underimproved? Unless you’re in the property valuation profession, you may not have. What do these things indicate? The Appraisal of Real Estate, fifteenth edition on page 352, states that “…the relationship between land and improvements and the relationship between a property and its environment must be in balance for a property to achieve its optimum market value.

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Supporting Your International VA’s

The Appraiser Coach

Do you have a virtual assistant hired? Many appraisers have found this to be a great way to get needed tasks accomplished without having to do them yourself. You may have hired someone locally. And if that’s the case, you probably have provided the necessary resources and hardware for your employee to be successful, as any good employer would. Making sure they have double monitors, an updated laptop or desktop, strong hardware, and necessary supplies will help them accomplish those tasks you giv

Appraisal 195
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Material Shortages Ease, With Notable Exceptions

Eyes on Housing

In May of last year, Eye on Housing reported on historically widespread shortages of building materials. Since then, most of the shortages have eased; the major exceptions being shortages of HVAC equipment and certain categories of ceramic materials (ceramic tiles, clay bricks and cement-based building materials), which have gotten slightly worse. NAHB has been tracking shortages of building materials and.

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Viyaleta Kachan was 1 of the 21,434 Americans to launch a real estate career in 2022. Here’s her story

Inman

Inflation and rising interest rates tilted the housing market off its axis in 2022. Here's the story of one woman who joined the ranks of real estate agents last year — and thrived amid the chaos.

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Build-for-rent is a bet on the ‘new normal’ housing market

Housing Wire

One slice of the single-family home market that has gained traction over the past year in a topsy-turvy housing landscape is the build-for-rent sector — or BFR. Construction starts in the BFR market are being propelled by the ongoing demand for single-family rental units as high mortgage rates and limited for-sale inventory push home-purchase prospects further out of reach of many would-be homebuyers.

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Torturing housing stats to say what you want

Sacramento Appraisal Blog

If you torture the stats long enough, they’ll confess to anything. Have you heard that before? Well, it’s true in real estate. If we’re not careful, we can make numbers say anything, whether for a glowing or doom narrative. Today, I want to talk about the danger of annual stats right now, and then I […]. The post Torturing housing stats to say what you want first appeared on Sacramento Appraisal Blog | Real Estate Appraiser.

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Appraiser Countersuing Black Homeowners for Defamation

Appraiserblogs

The Maryland appraiser has filed a countersuit against the homeowners, claiming defamation. Appraisers, there have been several lawsuits filed against appraisers by borrowers who “don’t like your value, so I’m accusing you of discrimination” over the last year or so. These lawsuits all have the same theme, and it’s entirely possible that these actions are being coordinated by a consortium of ‘organizers’ and law firms.

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The Monster in the Closet

The Appraiser Coach

A good appraiser knows that delegation can be an efficient and productive choice for their business, but the thought of that choice is often accompanied by fear. This comes up.

Business 195
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Fewer Prospective Buyers Are Fully Engaged in Purchase Process

Eyes on Housing

Dwindling housing affordability in the fourth quarter of 2022 caused the share of prospective home buyers who are actively engaged in the purchase process (i.e. who have moved beyond just the planning phase) to drop to 46%, down from 59% a quarter earlier. The share of prospective buyers fully engaged in the buying process declined in every region between the.

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How luxury real estate is developing in the metaverse

Inman

The metaverse is quickly becoming a platform, or a collection of several platforms, where you can advertise, socialize, build, and explore. It’s no wonder we’ve started to imagine how to bring real estate to this realm.

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Logan Mohtashami’s 2023 housing market forecast

Housing Wire

The 2022 housing market was savagely unhealthy , with all-time lows in inventory leading to massive bidding wars and price spikes until the Fed put a screeching halt to all of it with rate hikes that resulted in the most significant one-year spike in mortgage rate history. Housing went into a recession in June and mortgage volume fell off a cliff. So where does all that drama leave us for 2023?

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It’s not just home prices. Rents are dropping too.

Sacramento Appraisal Blog

There is so much attention on home prices, but let’s talk about rents because they’re dropping too. Yep, you heard that right. Rents have been going down locally and in many markets across the country (not everywhere). Here are a few things on my mind. UPCOMING (PUBLIC) SPEAKING GIGS: 1/26/23 How to Crush Lead Gen […] The post It’s not just home prices.

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The mortgage industry is nervous about LLPA fee changes

Housing Wire

The Federal Housing Finance Agency this week made a series of significant changes to loan level pricing adjustment (LLPA) fees charged by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac on conventional/conforming mortgages. It’s generating concern among mortgage and real estate trade groups, who fear the tweaks will hurt qualified borrowers amid an existing affordability crisis.

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Housing Market Tracker: A notable drop in inventory

Housing Wire

The housing market saw inventory fall 4% last week from the week before. That’s a big one-week change. Does that mean we are heading back to all-time lows in inventory again for 2023? Traditionally, we do see housing inventory fall in the month of December, however, we clearly saw in the second half of 2022 that higher rates created more days on the market and inventory was lingering longer.

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Housing inventory falls under 1M again as sales collapse

Housing Wire

On Friday NAR reported that total housing inventory levels broke under 1 million in December, dropping to 970,00 units for a population of 330 million people. And existing home sales crashed in 2022 from a peak of around 6.5 million in January down to about 4 million in December, We now have total inventory levels near all-time lows again. In one of the most historical years in the U.S. housing market , we just experienced an event that most people never thought could happen.

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Debunking the housing inventory myth in preparation for 2023

Housing Wire

This article is part of our 2022 – 2023 Housing Market Update series. After the series wraps, join us on February 6 for the HW+ Virtual 2023 Housing Market Update. Bringing together some of the top economists and researchers in housing, the event will provide an in-depth look at the predictions for this year, along with a roundtable discussion on how these insights apply to your business.

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Housing Market Tracker: Weekly inventory adds 1,339 homes

Housing Wire

Here’s the rundown for the last week: Purchase application data has stabilized — the bleeding stopped. Housing inventory increased by 1,339 homes nationwide. This is a small number but could be the start of an important trend. Mortgage rates fell along with bond yields, showing that mortgage rates peaked on Oct. 20. The weekly data shows some good news for the housing market !

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Housing inventory up nearly 55% in December

Housing Wire

The housing inventory shortage dominated much of the conversation surrounding the housing market in 2022, but thanks to softening homebuyer demand, the number of active listings finished the year up 54.7% compared to the year prior, according to Realtor.com’s December Housing Report. Despite this sizable yearly increase, active housing inventory was down 33.4% compared to December 2019 and 38.2% compared to the December 2017-2019 average.

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Mortgage rates have peaked along with inflation

Housing Wire

Today’s inflation data has shown that the peak growth rate of inflation is behind us. This should also mean mortgage rates hit their highs. The key phrase I have stressed since I wrote about the case for mortgage rates to go lower on Oct. 27 is thinking 12 months out. The trend is your friend, and the month-to-month data has cooled off noticeably. That cooling happened even with the biggest inflation component — shelter inflation — still rising in the lagged modeled CPI data.

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Housing Market Recession

Housing Wire

This article is part of our 2022 – 2023 Housing Market Forecast series. After the series wraps, join us on February 6 for the HW+ Virtual 2023 Forecast Event. Bringing together some of the top economists and researchers in housing, the event will provide an in-depth look at the top predictions for this year, along with a roundtable discussion on how these insights apply to your business.