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Inventory is 19% higher than a year ago: Altos

Housing Wire

At HousingWire , we have a debate about whether home sellers will freeze up again this year as mortgage rates stay stubbornly high. We’ve had seller growth for 18 weeks in a row. More sellers means more sales. And as a result, as inventory builds , the sales growth trend shows signs of slowing. So that rule holds.

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Altos: Housing inventory could grow 40% this year

Housing Wire

Last fall when people were still expecting mortgage rates to be falling this year, it was common to assume rates would be in the low 6s or 5s this year and people asked me if lower rates would bring a flood of inventory. The only way inventory would grow in 2024 is if mortgage rates climbed. But the evidence is the opposite.

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Are home sellers finally coming back to the market?

Housing Wire

The defining characteristic of the 2023 housing market has been dramatically fewer home sellers than any recent year. In this week’s Altos Research video, I look at how home sellers and sales are up, but that doesn’t mean prices will climb in 2024. Housing inventory climbed late in the year as mortgage rates rose.

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Signs point to more inventory this spring: Altos

Housing Wire

Home sellers are starting to ease back into the market, new listings are finally exceeding the levels of a year ago. The longer we stay with mortgage rates higher, the more inventory will build closer to where it used to be. Higher mortgage rates means more inventory. Inventory ticked up this week. That’s a 1.2%

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Housing inventory is seeing unusual gains in November. Should we be worried? 

Housing Wire

Last week, I asserted that housing inventory growth had finished for the year. This week, the available inventory of unsold single-family homes crept up minimally. It looks like this is evidence that housing markets are returning to normal rather than a case of sellers panicking, but it’s worth keeping an eye on.

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Altos: More sellers and price reductions, but fewer homebuyers

Housing Wire

Inventory is rising across the country as home-buying affordability takes another hit. As demand slows, inventory grows. As a result, inventory is higher and future sales price indicators are also softer than they were a year ago. We still see more sellers than last year. This the first inventory increase of the year.

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Altos: Sellers are coming back to the housing market, can buyers keep up?

Housing Wire

Each week — for several months now — inventory levels of unsold homes on the market has been expanding compared to last year. Even as inventory declined this week, it’s relatively growing compared to a year ago. This week, inventory fell by half a percent. There are still notably not a lot of sellers. But it is growing.

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