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Originations forecast through 2026 ‘dampened’ by inflation, GDP and labor market growth

Housing Wire

Persistent economic trends that include inflation, a strong labor market and real gross domestic product (GDP) growth will continue to “dampen” mortgage origination activity through at least the end of 2026, according to the newest U.S. mortgage originations outlook from financial services forecasting and advisory company iEmergent.

Marketing 448
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The average retail mortgage lender lost $645 per loan in Q1 2024 — but that’s actually a good thing

Housing Wire

Independent mortgage banks (IMBs) and mortgage subsidiaries of chartered banks reported a pretax net loss of $645 on each loan they originated in the first quarter of 2024 — a decrease from the average loss of $2,109 per loan in Q4 2023, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association ’s (MBA) newest quarterly performance report.

Retail 476
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Pending Home Sales Climb to Highest Level Since March

Appraisal Buzz

“Contract signings rose across all regions of the country as buyers took advantage of the combination of lower mortgage rates in late summer and more inventory choices,” said Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist for NAR. Further gains are expected if the economy continues to add jobs, inventory levels grow, and mortgage rates hold steady.”

Contracts 418
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Home Price Growth to Decelerate Over the Next 24 Months

Appraisal Buzz

for 2026, as measured by the Fannie Mae Home Price Index (FNM-HPI). On average, the panelists expect existing home sales to remain sluggish for another year, new home sales to trend slightly upward, and mortgage rates to remain elevated but modestly decline over the course of the year to 6.3%. in 2025 and 3.6% for 2024, 3.1%

Inventory 394
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How analysts see 2024 shaping up for mortgage lenders

Housing Wire

Kyle Joseph, a specialty finance equity research analyst at Jefferies , believes that the worst of the current mortgage cycle may be behind us, a sentiment shared by most analysts covering this industry. Mortgage rates will moderate down to about 6% to 6.25%.” ” Kornfeld expects mortgage originations to range from $1.8

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What Fed rate cuts in 2024 will mean for homebuyers

Housing Wire

For 2026, Fed officials projected rates to fall below 3% by the end of 2026 through three more quarter percentage point reductions. What does this mean for mortgage rates? Mortgage rates should get better. ” Mortgage rates track the yield on 10-year U.S. When Treasury yields go down, so do mortgage rates.

Inventory 488
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6% mortgage rates are back (for select borrowers)

Housing Wire

After hitting a 23-year high of 8% in October, mortgage rates have cooled down to the lowest levels since July. The mortgage rate dip is welcome news for the housing market, but loan originators and industry executives emphasized that rates need to decline further and remain stable to reinvigorate buyers’ demand.

Mortgage 482