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2025 could be the last year of inventory shortage

Housing Wire

One reason that home prices have stayed elevated is that inventory nationally is still restricted. But if current trends continue, the inventory shortage will be effectively gone by next spring. In fact, while home prices are higher than a year ago, inventory has increased at the rate price appreciation has decreased.

Inventory 495
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What rising inventory means for the 2025 housing market

Housing Wire

As the year draws to a close, available unsold inventory of homes on the market is nearly 27% greater than a year ago. Ten states have more inventory unsold than in 2019, which was the last sort of normal year before the pandemic. Inventory is still very tight in places like Chicago and New England, but it is rising in these markets.

Inventory 418
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Originations forecast through 2026 ‘dampened’ by inflation, GDP and labor market growth

Housing Wire

Persistent economic trends that include inflation, a strong labor market and real gross domestic product (GDP) growth will continue to “dampen” mortgage origination activity through at least the end of 2026, according to the newest U.S. mortgage originations outlook from financial services forecasting and advisory company iEmergent.

Marketing 448
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Pending Home Sales Climb to Highest Level Since March

Appraisal Buzz

“Contract signings rose across all regions of the country as buyers took advantage of the combination of lower mortgage rates in late summer and more inventory choices,” said Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist for NAR. Further gains are expected if the economy continues to add jobs, inventory levels grow, and mortgage rates hold steady.”

Contracts 419
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Home Price Growth to Decelerate Over the Next 24 Months

Appraisal Buzz

for 2026, as measured by the Fannie Mae Home Price Index (FNM-HPI). The largest group, which represents roughly 80% of respondents, expects home price growth to decelerate, citing continued high mortgage rates, rising for-sale housing inventory, and slower wage growth as the main drivers. in 2025 and 3.6% for 2024, 3.1%

Inventory 398
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NAR’s existing-home sales forecast for 2025 gets a haircut

Housing Wire

NAR also updated its 2026 projections. The worst for inventory is over. It previously predicted home-price growth of 2% in 2025 and 2026, but it has revised these upward to 3% and 4%, respectively. These are downward revisions from the forecast they released in late 2024, which predicted existing-home sales in 2025 to hit 4.9

Realtors 281
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Fannie Mae Projects Mortgage Rate Drops on the Horizon

Appraisal Buzz

According to Fannie Maes Economic and Strategic Research (ESR) Group , mortgage rates are now expected to end 2025 and 2026 at 6.3% in 2026, modest downward revisions owing to weaker incoming data and greater clarity on trade policy. and 6.2%, respectively, downward revisions of three-tenths for each. in 2025 and 2.1%

Mortgage 436