This site uses cookies to improve your experience. To help us insure we adhere to various privacy regulations, please select your country/region of residence. If you do not select a country, we will assume you are from the United States. Select your Cookie Settings or view our Privacy Policy and Terms of Use.
Cookie Settings
Cookies and similar technologies are used on this website for proper function of the website, for tracking performance analytics and for marketing purposes. We and some of our third-party providers may use cookie data for various purposes. Please review the cookie settings below and choose your preference.
Used for the proper function of the website
Used for monitoring website traffic and interactions
Cookie Settings
Cookies and similar technologies are used on this website for proper function of the website, for tracking performance analytics and for marketing purposes. We and some of our third-party providers may use cookie data for various purposes. Please review the cookie settings below and choose your preference.
Strictly Necessary: Used for the proper function of the website
Performance/Analytics: Used for monitoring website traffic and interactions
One reason that home prices have stayed elevated is that inventory nationally is still restricted. But if current trends continue, the inventory shortage will be effectively gone by next spring. In fact, while home prices are higher than a year ago, inventory has increased at the rate price appreciation has decreased.
As the year draws to a close, available unsold inventory of homes on the market is nearly 27% greater than a year ago. Ten states have more inventory unsold than in 2019, which was the last sort of normal year before the pandemic. Inventory is still very tight in places like Chicago and New England, but it is rising in these markets.
Persistent economic trends that include inflation, a strong labor market and real gross domestic product (GDP) growth will continue to “dampen” mortgage origination activity through at least the end of 2026, according to the newest U.S. mortgage originations outlook from financial services forecasting and advisory company iEmergent.
“Contract signings rose across all regions of the country as buyers took advantage of the combination of lower mortgage rates in late summer and more inventory choices,” said Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist for NAR. Further gains are expected if the economy continues to add jobs, inventory levels grow, and mortgage rates hold steady.”
for 2026, as measured by the Fannie Mae Home Price Index (FNM-HPI). The largest group, which represents roughly 80% of respondents, expects home price growth to decelerate, citing continued high mortgage rates, rising for-sale housing inventory, and slower wage growth as the main drivers. in 2025 and 3.6% for 2024, 3.1%
NAR also updated its 2026 projections. The worst for inventory is over. It previously predicted home-price growth of 2% in 2025 and 2026, but it has revised these upward to 3% and 4%, respectively. These are downward revisions from the forecast they released in late 2024, which predicted existing-home sales in 2025 to hit 4.9
According to Fannie Maes Economic and Strategic Research (ESR) Group , mortgage rates are now expected to end 2025 and 2026 at 6.3% in 2026, modest downward revisions owing to weaker incoming data and greater clarity on trade policy. and 6.2%, respectively, downward revisions of three-tenths for each. in 2025 and 2.1%
For-sale inventory is now about 26% below the norms of 2018 and 2019, the smallest shortfall since September 2020. The ESR Group predicts that the broader economy will remain stable and expand at an above-trend pace through 2026 as it navigates elevated core inflationary pressures and heightened policy uncertainty.
Due to this, McKeveny and the folks at Zelman are expecting meaningful growth in home sales and origination volumes in 2026. Housing inventory is key Inventory is important in making the housing market more affordable, but it’s more complicated than just building more houses, McKeveny said. That hasn’t gone away.
Demand at distressed property auctionsfor both foreclosure auctions and bank-owned (REO) auctionshas drifted lower to end 2024 as market headwinds such as rising retail inventory and higher-for-longer mortgage rates intensified for the local community developers buying at auction.
That’s a factor too of higher inventory.” JBREC is not forecasting meaningful rent growth until 2026 and beyond, which will make it harder for new project developments to pencil.” “I would just say that the rental market is still performing a little bit more strongly than the residential or the for-sale market,” Knapp added.
With mortgage rates forecast to remain above 6%, inventory expected to remain tight, and home prices predicted to stabilize at their current highs, its looking like the housing market wont see much of a thaw in 2025, Fannie Maes Economic and Strategic Research (ESR) Group says in a recent report.
For 2026, Fed officials projected rates to fall below 3% by the end of 2026 through three more quarter percentage point reductions. While mortgage rates are expected to decrease, high home prices combined with low inventory still pose a challenge for potential homebuyers. “We in 2025, indicating four more 25 bps cuts.
Compass’s market share stands at roughly 5% and the company is targeting 30% market share in its top 30 MSAs by the end of 2026. I would not be surprised if the portals, assuming they are still on IDX feeds, all of a sudden have far less inventory than what is actually available in markets like these.
Housing inventory has also climbed from the low poitns of last year , although it remains well below pre-pandemic levels. trillion in 2026. in 2026, according to Fratantoni’s forecast. Fratantoni expects a major rebound for the mortgage market over the next two years. Mortgage rates should fall to 5.9% in 2025 and 5.7%
With this assumption — in addition to ongoing affordability issues and low inventory — HousingWire’s analysts foresee home-price appreciation of 3.5%, less than the 5% growth seen in typical years. This growth is in line with upward trends in inventory that began in 2022, when available homes for sale tanked to roughly 250,000.
And the youngest millennials (ages 28 to 43 this year) don’t turn 30 until 2026, so there is time for this trend to shift. Buyers in today’s market face high prices, high mortgage rates, and low levels of affordable inventory, making it exceptionally challenging to purchase a home as a first-time buyer.”
by the end of 2026. Rising Housing Inventory and a Potential Flood of Buyers With housing inventory rising 30 % over the past six months and new and existing homes currently topping 4.7 Further, we will do everything we can to support a strong labor market as we progress toward price stability.He by the end of 2024, 4.1%
Details of the latest membership count comes as the trade group works to implement a series of major rule changes stipulated by the Sitzer/Burnett commission lawsuit settlement agreement, as well as fewer market opportunities for members due to historically low levels of existing-home sales inventory.
Per the transaction, Mr. Cooper is acquiring all outstanding shares of Home Point and assuming $500 million in outstanding Home Point 5% senior notes due in February 2026. Amid high mortgage rates, low inventory and fierce competition, Homepoint’s overall origination came in at $27.7 billion in 2022, a 71.6%
Boomer behaivor This, by itself, offers hope for easing the real estate inventory crunch that continues to dampen velocity in the market, along with high interest rates. The Census Bureau estimates that homeownership by those 65 and older in 2026 will drop by 12 million, with a further drop of 15 million in the subsequent decade.
We have brought down expenses and continue to grow our agent count and inventory advantage,” Reffkin said. For example, Compass has access to off-market exclusives through Compass Private Exclusives and Coming Soon, which is particularly important in a low-inventory environment.” million homes in 2026,” Reffkin said.
Meanwhile, 2025 and 2026 will be off the charts. What does Ishbia think about surging mortgage rates , lack of housing inventory and monetary and policy pressures ? ” Ishbia says that the wholesale channel should reach 33% market share by 2026, compared to the current level of 22%. And 2025 and 2026 will be off the charts.
The company failed to adjust to a landscape of high mortgage rates, low inventory levels and fierce competition. The buyer will also assume $500 million in Home Point’s senior notes due in February 2026. The transaction with The Loan Store did not include the company’s MSR portfolio, which is the target of Mr. Cooper’s deal.
It might really be 2026,” George said. The macro challenge: Still not much inventory Analysts unanimously agree that inventory will continue to be a significant issue entering 2024. ” George agrees that inventory will remain a problem. I think people are still gonna be pretty locked in.
Most LOs don’t expect traditional rate-term refinance demand to return until the second half of 2025 and into 2026. And for originations business to pick up, a stability of low rates as well as a supply in inventory would have to work in tandem. “I Meanwhile, it will be a long time before the industry sees a traditional refi boom.
I believe the homeownership rate can get back to 66.21% at some point in the years 2022-2026.”. The one considerable risk for housing in the years 2020-2024 is that if demand picks up as it has, inventory breaks down to unhealthy levels. The lowest rate we have seen so far is 62.9%. These were the reasons I gave back then: 1.
The Fed now predicts that inflation will not come down to their 2% target until sometime in 2026. While a rate cut will give an immediate boost to purchasing power for potential homebuyers, the pent-up demand, limited available inventory, and high home prices mean that purchasing power increase may not mean much in practical terms.
This is particularly relevant in today’s market, where low inventory requires home seekers to act quickly. When you take that mission statement and make it applicable to our direct sphere of influence, we are focused on ensuring that EVERY mortgage applicant has the opportunity to optimize their credit score by the year 2026.
Concurrently, the Colorado River is also in the midst of one of the worst droughts seen in over 1,200 years, and Arizona, California and Nevada agreed last week to collectively conserve 3 million acre-feet of river water through 2026. The story is much the same in the Phoenix metro, which saw active home inventory fall 9.8%
According to their baseline forecast, core inflation will continue to decline and economic growth and employment increases will slow slightly in the upcoming year, but it wont achieve the Feds target until 2026. A divergent home price story is currently being driven by regional differences in for-sale inventory.
Highlights include: Industry Prep (ongoing) Industry training available on GSE websites: November 18, 2024 GSEs publish policy updates: June 4, 2025 ULDD Mandate: July 28, 2025 Limited Production: September 8, 2025 – January 25, 2026 Broad Production: January 26, 2026 – November 1, 2026 UAD 3.6 Mandate: November 2, 2026 UAD 2.6
ResiClub analyzed September inventory data just released from Realtor.com. Generally speaking, local housing markets where active inventory has returned to pre-pandemic levels have experienced softer home price growth (or outright price declines) over the past 24 months.
His prediction is that 2025 and 2026 “will be off the charts.” The ultra-low mortgage rates from 2020 to 2022 undoubtedly removed inventory from the board for probably the better part of the decade. Goldman Sachs economists predict that the cut will come by the end of June 2024.
As Anthony shared in his 2025 Predictions , I believe 2025 will mark the beginning of this recovery, with 2026 poised to be a historic year for the industry as sales normalize. For a deeper dive into New Hampshires performance, click here to read the 2024 New Hampshire Year in Review.
trillion in 2026 (previously $2.37 We now project the 30-year mortgage rate to end 2025 and 2026 near 6.5 million) and for 2026 to 5.25 The rate lock-in effect is also expected to cool off in the new year, adding more inventory to the market. trillion in 2025 (previously $1.97 trillion) and $2.27 trillion in 2024.
As Anthony noted in his 2025 Predictions , I believe 2025 will mark the beginning of this recovery, with 2026 poised to be a historic year for the industry as sales normalize. Many sellers hesitated to list due to low pre-pandemic mortgage rates, but necessity and life changes drove increased activity, making competitive pricing crucial.
As Anthony noted in his 2025 Predictions , I believe 2025 will mark the beginning of this recovery, with 2026 poised to be a historic year for the industry as sales normalize. Many sellers hesitated to list due to low pre-pandemic mortgage rates, but necessity and life changes drove increased activity, making competitive pricing crucial.
As Anthony shared in his 2025 Predictions , I believe 2025 will mark the beginning of this recovery, with 2026 poised to be a historic year for the industry as sales normalize. To learn more about Massachusettss performance, click here to read the2024 Massachusetts Year in Review.
As Anthony noted in his 2025 Predictions , I believe 2025 will mark the beginning of this recovery, with 2026 poised to be a historic year for the industry as sales normalize. Many sellers hesitated to list due to low pre-pandemic mortgage rates, but necessity and life changes drove increased activity, making competitive pricing crucial.
As Anthony noted in his 2025 Predictions , I believe 2025 will mark the beginning of this recovery, with 2026 poised to be a historic year for the industry as sales normalize. Many sellers hesitated to list due to low pre-pandemic mortgage rates, but necessity and life changes drove increased activity, making competitive pricing crucial.
As Anthony noted in his 2025 Predictions , I believe 2025 will mark the beginning of this recovery, with 2026 poised to be a historic year for the industry as sales normalize. Many sellers hesitated to list due to low pre-pandemic mortgage rates, but necessity and life changes drove increased activity, making competitive pricing crucial.
As Anthony mentioned in his 2025 Predictions , I believe 2025 will mark the beginning of this recovery, with 2026 poised to be a historic year for the industry as sales normalize. Even as costs climbed, homeownership remained exciting , offering financial security through stable payments, equity appreciation, and tax benefits.
As Anthony noted in his 2025 Predictions , I believe 2025 will mark the beginning of this recovery, with 2026 poised to be a historic year for the industry as sales normalize. Many sellers hesitated to list due to low pre-pandemic mortgage rates, but necessity and life changes drove increased activity, making competitive pricing crucial.
We organize all of the trending information in your field so you don't have to. Join 9,000+ users and stay up to date on the latest articles your peers are reading.
You know about us, now we want to get to know you!
Let's personalize your content
Let's get even more personalized
We recognize your account from another site in our network, please click 'Send Email' below to continue with verifying your account and setting a password.
Let's personalize your content