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All those 2025 mortgage rates forecasts are now wrong

Housing Wire

Its late December so all the 2025 mortgage rate forecasts have been published. Most housing market analysts expect mortgage rates to spend the year with a 6 handle. The most optimistic predictions assume 2025 will see mostly low 6s for the 30-year fixed rate mortgage. Unfortunately, all of them are already wrong.

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Better mortgage spreads are capping rates in 2025

Housing Wire

Another jobs week has come to an end, and amid the chaotic headlines about job numbers, tariffs , and the leadership of the Treasury , mortgage rates remained calm. Better mortgage spreads are limiting how high rates can rise in 2025. Today, I want to explain why this topic is essential as we look ahead to the rest of 2025.

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The two big housing market trends to watch in 2025

Housing Wire

However, there are two big trends that stand out as we launch into 2025 affordability and sellers in the market. Home prices finished 2024 up a few percent nationally and mortgage rates are at their highest level in seven months back over 7% as we head into January. In 2025, housing affordability in the U.S.

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The homebuilders’ 2025 supply and demand problem

Housing Wire

When mortgage rates decline, sales improve, but it becomes more challenging for builders and buyers when rates rise. This situation poses a risk to construction labor in 2025. As mortgage rates keep increasing along with supply, this doesnt bode well for housing starts growing meaningfully.

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2025 labor market holds key for mortgage rates

Housing Wire

This gives us a glimpse of what may happen over the next 10 months for mortgage rates, especially since, since Jan. However, there is a limit to the downside on mortgage rates until the labor market breaks, or we get more than 1% rate cuts from the Fed. Let’s put a framework for 2025 in play.

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Lower mortgage rates are spurring housing demand

Housing Wire

Mortgage rates recently hit a year-to-date low, coinciding with ongoing market disruptions from tariffs. In fact, if mortgage rates head toward 6%, we will have a positive year here. Last year, we saw mortgage rates increase from 6.63% to about 7.50%, leading to challenges in the purchase application data.

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Housing Market Forecast: Unpredictable Mortgage Rates to Shake Up 2025

Appraisal Buzz

As 2025 draws near, mortgage rates are once again in the news. Zillow anticipates a more active housing market with more buyers obtaining the upper hand in 2025. As the market gradually recovers, 2025 should bring more sales and relatively moderate increases in property values. increase in property values in 2025.