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Home prices in 2025 are a couple percentage points above where they were last year at this time. One reason that home prices have stayed elevated is that inventory nationally is still restricted. But if current trends continue, the inventory shortage will be effectively gone by next spring. is more like 5% per year.
As the year draws to a close, available unsold inventory of homes on the market is nearly 27% greater than a year ago. Ten states have more inventory unsold than in 2019, which was the last sort of normal year before the pandemic. Inventory is still very tight in places like Chicago and New England, but it is rising in these markets.
However, there are two big trends that stand out as we launch into 2025 affordability and sellers in the market. In 2025, housing affordability in the U.S. That growth is in jeopardy if we stay at the high end of the mortgage rate range into the first quarter 2025. The elephant in the room is affordability.
Timing is crucial in a difficult real estate market, and this year, the Realtor.com Best Time to Sell study indicates that the best time for sellers to discover the best balance of market circumstances is between April 13 and April 19. Reduced rivalry between sellers: This week would have 13.2% more than the average week of the year.
That’s 12% more sellers than a year ago. This is the trend that will be the theme for 2025. It seems more sellers are coming out every week and that will keep inventory pushing upward. Sellers are up, but sales are down. First thing to note is that California has very restricted inventory.
Rising housing inventory levels in 2024 may not be the positive sign of market health that they appear to be. High inventory levels contribute to another problem as active listings are remaining unsold for longer periods. Redfin refers to these listings as “stale inventory.” ” According to the report, 54.5%
As we look into 2025, the question everyone is asking is: Do we have a new era starting? We know inventory has been climbing all year. The northern cities have tight inventory and rising prices, some of the Sunbelt cities have the most inventory in many years, and some markets even have falling prices, too.
What will the housing market look like in 2025? We already see many signals for what to expect, including last week’s data on inventory , new listings and price reductions, which I analyze below. For a more comprehensive look, read our 2025 Housing Market Forecast covering home prices, home sales volumes and more.
Despite 2025 housing market predictions changing fast , there are still key themes and trends for real estate leaders to watch to best serve their clients and business. HW: What housing trends do you think will continue in 2025 and why? JL: Housing inventory has been climbing in recent months.
Key Takeaways Interest rates should continue to decrease in 2025. Housing inventory will likely still be low in 2025, and demand could increase. Will Interest Rates Go Down in 2025? Good news: Mortgage rates will likely continue going down in 2025! Will the Housing Market Crash in 2025?
Recently, weve shared that the inventory of unsold homes is growing. There are already plenty of markets nationwide where the inventory of unsold homes has built up over the past few years and home prices have ticked down. Lets take a look at the data for the third week of January 2025. this week is $421,000. It is negative.
Redfin cited a number of reasons for this increase in the nations housing inventory, including: The mortgage rate lock-in effect is fading: A number of homeowners who scored low mortgage rates during the pandemic have been staying put because moving would mean taking on a higher rate. month-over-month, and 4.7% year-over-year.
Potential home sellers notice weak demand, fewer offers and price reductions, prompting them to back away from the market. As such, housing inventory isn’t shrinking. If potential sellers avoid the market, this will keep a lid on supply growth. This week, the new listings stat has grown with slightly more sellers.
As 2025 draws near, mortgage rates are once again in the news. Zillow anticipates a more active housing market with more buyers obtaining the upper hand in 2025. More inventory should shake loose in 2025, giving buyers a bit more room to breathe.” increase in property values in 2025. Zillow predicts 4.3
Inventory of unsold homes on the market ticked down fractionally this week. Its not uncommon for January to have a little up and down in the inventory numbers. If inventory were jumping each week, that would be notable, but its not. Lets take a look at the data for the final week of January 2025. A shrinking U.S.
According to the Realtor.com January Monthly Housing Report, January saw a positive shift in seller activity despite recent hikes in mortgage rates, with the number of newly listed homes increasing 37.5% By the end of the year, that percentage is predicted to drop to 75%, according to the 2025 Realtor.com Housing Forecast. 1.2% +54.9%
If 2024 was a rollercoaster, 2025 is shaping up to be a championship gameand every buyer , seller and homeowner has a shot at winning big. Whether youre looking to buy your first home, upgrade or simply gain clarity on the current market , this guide is your insiders playbook to tackle 2025 with confidence. The key takeaway?
Auction.com has released its 2025 Distressed Market Outlook , which forecasts foreclosure auction volume decreasing 8% in 2025 as a baseline scenario. Those two scenarios have foreclosure auction volume increasing in 2025. This data provides forward-looking insight into retail housing market trends.
Altos Research tracks every home for sale in the country every week all the active inventory and pending sales as they happen as well as prices and supply and demand metrics Lets look at this weeks data. Inventory fell There are 635,000 single-family homes unsold on the market now. In 2018, mortgage rates and inventory rose all year.
Active inventory typically decreases at this time of year, but in 2024 it did not drop below 1 million. For me, the highlight of 2024 was the growth in active inventory. That situation is not present in todays housing market as active inventory is almost 1 million, not 4 million like in 2007. Also, the monthly supply is 3.3
The unsold inventory of homes on the market across the country is 28% greater than last year at this time. Withdrawals keep a lid on inventory growth. That suggests a shadow inventory of homes that want to be sold but the market isnt there for it. Are there any signs of sales growing for 2025? Something to watch.
We track inventory and home sales very closely, so the biggest surprise this year has been the resiliency of home prices. With just a few local market exceptions, home prices nationally will finish the year up again and will go into 2025 with some upward momentum. Our model had expected inventory to climb just a bit this week.
Its quite obvious that stubbornly high mortgage rates slowed down early season homebuyers in the first quarter of 2025. Last week at HousingWires Housing Economic Summit in Dallas, I shared the data on why I expect that the same 6% threshold will be what were facing in 2025. Inventory grew faster last year.
High mortgage rates, low inventory and sky-high prices resulted in historically low sales at a time when agents are already wrestling with the changes related to the $418 million antitrust settlement signed by the National Association of Realtors (NAR). In the current climate, homebuilders have advantages over existing-home sellers.
Sales are slow, so inventory of unsold homes is building. Condo inventory is growing faster than single family. Lets look at the Altos Research data for this week, the middle of January 2025. Inventory is up There are now 632,000 single-family homes unsold on the market around the U.S. Thats up 1.25% from last week.
Weekly housing inventory data Last week saw another slight decline in active listing and soon, the holidays will kick in. The seasonal decline is well underway, and it looks like the 739,434 level will be the peak of inventory for 2024. Weekly inventory change (Nov. Weekly inventory change (Nov.
Inventory is past peak for the year, so the momentum looks to keep the trends in a positive direction for now. Inventory drops again There are 736,000 single-family homes unsold on the market in the U.S. The inventory peak came a month earlier than in 2023. Mortgage rates were super high and inventory was building.
Buyers, sellers and practitioners in the housing market pay close attention to the headlines that emerge from various changes in market activity, and sometimes those headlines can lead to fear. That fear trickles through to homebuyers and sellers, often leading them to stay on the sidelines. in 2025, but this could change.
More buyers have entered the market as the economy continues to add jobs, housing inventory grows compared to a year ago, and consumers get used to a new normal of mortgage rates between 6% and 7%. million units in total housing inventory, which was 2.9% At the current sales pace, unsold inventory is at a 3.8-month
During the conversation, the group discuss real estate market challenges, the value of being a part of an association, and growth areas for associations in 2025. To kick off the live conversation, Velt asks a question about the current challenges facing the housing market in 2025. This episode has been edited for length and clarity.
This suggests that completed foreclosure auctions may also slightly increase in Q1 of 2025, according to new Auction.com data. This suggests that local community developers who were purchasing distressed properties at auction gained more confidence in the 2025 real estate market after the election results. in Q4 of 2023 and 54.4%
Jones explained that pending home sales, also known as contract signings, measure the first official stage of a home sale transaction—when a buyer and seller have reached an agreement on terms and price. Further gains are expected if the economy continues to add jobs, inventory levels grow, and mortgage rates hold steady.”
For example, according to HousingWires Mortgage Rates Center , interest rates for 30-year mortgages grew from 7% to 7.36% between December 26, 2024, and January 24, 2025. Beyond that, Deephaven allows up to 3% seller concessions at closing. Construction loans Inventory levels in the real estate market arent what they used to be.
“It is expected that we will see slower price growth in early 2025 as inventory increases and affordability continues to be a constraint.” “Mortgage rates nearing 7% in January seem to have affected buyers more than sellers,” Zillow senior economist Kara Ng said.
The defining characteristic of the 2023 housing market has been dramatically fewer home sellers than any recent year. In this week’s Altos Research video, I look at how home sellers and sales are up, but that doesn’t mean prices will climb in 2024. Housing inventory climbed late in the year as mortgage rates rose.
If trends hold this year, sellers could see an average price increase of $4,800 compared to an average week and $27,000 more than a listing in early 2025. While market conditions were relatively stable in 2024 due to low inventory and buyer hesitation, an uptick in demand could accelerate the pace of home sales this spring.
Unsold inventory of homes for sale has been on the rise all year. It hasn’t turned the corner yet — inventory rose across the country this week — but at less than 1% rate. There are some signs that inventory growth is slowing with newly lower mortgage rates and the end of the summer. There’s no sign of any big surge in sellers.
real estate market were for inventory growth, sales growth and home-price growth across the U.S. Of my initial expectations this year — rising inventory, rising sales rates, rising prices — only rising inventory remains clear at this moment as we finish Q1 with rising interest rates. As we started 2024, the signals in the U.S.
The past year may have been a turbulent one for HomeServices of America , but according to executive vice president Chris Kelly, this just means the company is in an even better position heading into 2025. We are not going not going to head into 2025 in a full market recovery. It makes working with our team so much better,” he said.
Given the current housing inventory crisis, it might surprise people to realize this: we built too many homes during the housing bubble years. Yes, but this is where my work is much different from other housing economists and why we need to think of inventory in a new, modern 21st-century mindset. Wait, what?
As 2025 approaches, the U.S. Despite Fed cuts, mortgage rates remain stubborn One of the most glaring contradictions as we head into 2025 is the persistence of high mortgage rates despite efforts by the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in late 2024. Some sellers are also reconsidering their choices.
in February of previous year, indicating that sellers are becoming more accustomed to the present market conditions. over the previous year, making 2019 February the most active month for sellers since 2021. Sellers also listed their homes at higher rates than the previous year, with the number of newly listed homes rising 4.2%
It was the 10th straight month of annualized growth and for-sale inventory is now at its highest level since May 2020. The widely anticipated Fed rate cut has already ushered in lower mortgage rates, but it seems that some buyers and sellers are waiting for additional declines,“ Realtor.com chief economist Danielle Hale said in a statement.
Home sellers are returning to the market, but buyers are hesitant, according to a recent Zillow market report. Inventory, New Listings and Pending Sales Overview New listings increased by 7.9% Inventory (the number of listings active at any time during the month) in May increased by 7.4% Inventory levels are 33.8%
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