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2025 could be the last year of inventory shortage

Housing Wire

Home prices in 2025 are a couple percentage points above where they were last year at this time. One reason that home prices have stayed elevated is that inventory nationally is still restricted. But if current trends continue, the inventory shortage will be effectively gone by next spring. is more like 5% per year.

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The two big housing market trends to watch in 2025

Housing Wire

However, there are two big trends that stand out as we launch into 2025 affordability and sellers in the market. In 2025, housing affordability in the U.S. That growth is in jeopardy if we stay at the high end of the mortgage rate range into the first quarter 2025. The elephant in the room is affordability.

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What rising inventory means for the 2025 housing market

Housing Wire

As the year draws to a close, available unsold inventory of homes on the market is nearly 27% greater than a year ago. Ten states have more inventory unsold than in 2019, which was the last sort of normal year before the pandemic. Inventory is still very tight in places like Chicago and New England, but it is rising in these markets.

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Better mortgage spreads are capping rates in 2025

Housing Wire

Better mortgage spreads are limiting how high rates can rise in 2025. Today, I want to explain why this topic is essential as we look ahead to the rest of 2025. However, spreads have improved in 2024 and 2025, which is helping to limit how high mortgage rates can go this year. In 2023, spreads reached as high as 3.10%.

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Housing inventory is up, but so are unsold listings. Are renters to blame?

Housing Wire

Rising housing inventory levels in 2024 may not be the positive sign of market health that they appear to be. High inventory levels contribute to another problem as active listings are remaining unsold for longer periods. Redfin refers to these listings as “stale inventory.” ” According to the report, 54.5%

Inventory 488
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What to expect from the 2025 housing market

Housing Wire

What will the housing market look like in 2025? We already see many signals for what to expect, including last week’s data on inventory , new listings and price reductions, which I analyze below. For a more comprehensive look, read our 2025 Housing Market Forecast covering home prices, home sales volumes and more.

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Pending home sales rise again as buyers capitalize on more inventory

Housing Wire

NAR’s Pending Homes Sales Index (PHSI) report is a forward-looking source that predicts home sales based on contract signings. “Despite higher mortgage rates in November and persistent affordability challengers, buyers took advantage of more inventory as pending home sales reached the highest level in nearly two years.

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