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However, there are two big trends that stand out as we launch into 2025 affordability and sellers in the market. In 2025, housing affordability in the U.S. That growth is in jeopardy if we stay at the high end of the mortgage rate range into the first quarter 2025. The elephant in the room is affordability.
Home prices in 2025 are a couple percentage points above where they were last year at this time. There are fewer immediate sales that go directly into contract. Lets say we see a massive spike in unemployment this spring in 2025. This week the median price of the new contracts came in at $385,000. more than a year ago.
Better mortgage spreads are limiting how high rates can rise in 2025. Today, I want to explain why this topic is essential as we look ahead to the rest of 2025. However, spreads have improved in 2024 and 2025, which is helping to limit how high mortgage rates can go this year. In 2023, spreads reached as high as 3.10%.
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What will the housing market look like in 2025? For a more comprehensive look, read our 2025 Housing Market Forecast covering home prices, home sales volumes and more. One of the conclusions of our forecast is that we’ll see inventory growth in 2025 again, with about 17% more homes on the market by the end of next year.
And 2025 is poised to continue the trend of rising inventory across the country. Well probably finish 2025 with 15% more homes available than we have now. How will that impact home prices in 2025? Lets look at last weeks data and see if we can tease out the signals for impact on the 2025 housing market.
As we look into 2025, the question everyone is asking is: Do we have a new era starting? We expect that growth to continue in 2025. As we look at 2025, it seems there is late year momentum, maybe its from buyers who waited until after the election and are now ready to act? home price gains in 2025. Two and a half years.
The appeals court said that this was because the contracts signed by the sellers were not directly signed by HomeServices. In a status report filed on Monday, the plaintiffs and the sole remaining defendant in the suit, HomeServices of America , each indicated they would be available for a three- to four-week trial starting Jan.
Lets take a look at the data for the third week of January 2025. In 2025, the price appreciation curve is flatter still. Meanwhile, the median price of the new contracts pending this week came in at $384,700, which was a slight jump from last week. Heres one bright spot 2025 is the third year of flattish home-price changes.
Denver-based brokerage franchise Motto Mortgage , owned by RE/MAX , has accused broker shop UMortgage of “tortious interference” in its contract with a former franchisee called TRB Solutions, whose controlling member was Breon Price, the top-producing loan officer. According to a lawsuit filed in March in a U.S
The National Association of Realtors’ (NAR) board of directors voted to leave member dues unchanged in 2025. During the meeting, NAR’s board approved a recommendation from its finance committee to keep annual dues at $156 per person in 2025. In 2023, NAR raised dues from $150 to $156. represent themselves 2.
Home negotiations technology platform Indigo just received a large investment to expand its operations in 2025. The company announced this week that it secured $8 million in funding to offer better insights and cohesiveness to real estate agents. Indigo is a search platform that allows buyers to bid on agent-approved listings.
on a seasonally adjusted basis from last week, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Associations (MBA) weekly mortgage applications survey for the week ending March 7, 2025. While the average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages decreased to 6.67%, every other loan type saw rates decrease. for several weeks.
March figures to be a crucial month for gauging consumer interest in the 2025 housing market. The takeaway from the pending sales numbers is that it takes roughly 35 days on average for sales to close, so homes in contract now will generally close in March, Simonsen wrote.
Given the Department of Justice s ongoing legal battle with the National Association of Realtors (NAR), Sue Yannaccone the president and CEO of Anywhere Brands and Anywhere Advisors knows that the legal landscape for real estate in 2025 will continue to be a challenge. Across the real estate industry, growth is a common goal for 2025.
In 2025, mortgage rates have ranged between 7.26%-6.64%. Weekly pending sales The latest weekly pending contract data from Altos offers valuable insights into current trends in housing demand. With that in mind, read my labor model for 2025 after the jobs report on how you get there! ” Labor over inflation, anyone?
increase in the Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI), a measure of future home sales based on contract signings, to 75.8, The amount of contract activity in 2001 is represented by an index of 100. Year-over-year, contract signings grew in the Northeast and West and were unchanged in the Midwest and South. September saw a 7.4%
Compared to a month prior, contract signings fell 5.5% An index reading of 100 is equal to the level of contract signings in 2001. After four straight months of gains in contract signings, one step back is not welcome news, but it is not entirely surprising, Lawrence Yun, NARs chief economist, said in a statement. in the West.
10-year yield and mortgage rates In my 2025 forecast, I anticipate the following ranges: Mortgage rates will be between 5.75% and 7.25% The 10-year yield will fluctuate between 3.80% and 4.70% So far in 2025, we have consistently been near the upper end of the year’s forecast.
For comparison, the index is benchmarked at a reading of 100 based on 2001 contract activity. New home sales , another measure of contract signings, rose 8% in December on the back of declining mortgage rates. increase between 2024 and 2025 to a pace of 5.35 increase between 2024 and 2025 to a pace of 5.35 in November.
from 2023, and the brokerage said that similar growth is expected in 2025. Redfin senior economist Sheharyar Bokhari believes that prices will continue to rise in 2025, an opinion shared by many industry observers. “Buyer activity has been dropping for several weeks and there are now fewer homes in contract than a year ago.
This is the trend that will be the theme for 2025. Were expecting inventory to grow for 2025 and end the year with about 15% more homes on the market. If mortgage rates stay in the 7s for long, we expect inventory to grow faster, and well have to revise our 2025 inventory forecast higher. That means 4.2
Indicator of prospective home sales based on contract signings, the Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI) dropped to 70.8 The level of contract activity in 2001 is represented by an index of 100. million in 2025. Per the report, every U.S. region had decreases over the previous year. Pending transactions were down 6.6%
Thats not true now, so we should expect inventory to begin building for the year in February 2025. The total number of unsold homes on the market to start 2025 is just 18% fewer than at the start of 2018, seven years ago. Since theres no sign of mortgage rates falling substantially, we expect inventory to keep climbing throughout 2025.
Join us at The Gathering 2025 in Denver, CO, June 8-11. And more importantly, if you haven’t moved on or committed to contracts that are too rooted in the past, chances are your P&L statement isn’t looking so great. Go here to lock in special pricing with your registration. Nobody’s talking about that anymore.
More inventory should be a sign of the market’s return to normalcy, according to Mohtashami, as the market enters 2025 with 27% more inventory compared to early 2024. The homes that went under contract took 43 days to do so the slowest pace since 2019. ” According to the report, 54.5%
The average interest rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage shrunk down to 6.73%, while the average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with jumbo loan balances also saw a decrease to 6.83% from 7.00% Both 15-year fixed-rate mortgages and 5/1 ARMs saw rate decreases to 6.12% from 6.25% and 5.85% from 6.05%, respectively.
Its quite obvious that stubbornly high mortgage rates slowed down early season homebuyers in the first quarter of 2025. Last week at HousingWires Housing Economic Summit in Dallas, I shared the data on why I expect that the same 6% threshold will be what were facing in 2025. This is after Q4 2024 was 5% above the year prior.
We can track demand faster with our weekly pending contract prints, so it shouldn’t have been a surprise that we had some growth in today’s report. This is something to think about for 2025. Home prices firming up with higher inventory and mortgage rates just getting toward 6% is a lesson learned in 2024 for 2025.
NAR’s Pending Homes Sales Index (PHSI) report is a forward-looking source that predicts home sales based on contract signings. ” In a statement, Bright MLS chief economist Lisa Sturtevant forecasted a jump in sales activity in early 2025. million in 2025. The report found that pending home sales jumped 2.2%
Lets take a look at the data for the final week of January 2025. Home prices contract The median price for home sales contracts entered this week was at $389,700. This might reverse the trend and push home prices higher in 2025. Weve forecasted 15% gains in inventory for the calendar year 2025 over 2024.
An index of 100 is equal to the level of contract activity in 2001. Pending sales are a forward-looking indicator of home sales based on contract signings, so two consecutive months of declining pending home sales suggest a negative outlook for sales activity,” Odeta Kushi , First American’ s deputy chief economist, said in a statement.
Year-over-year, contract signings increased in all four U.S. NARs Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI)a forward-looking indicator of home sales based on contract signingsadvanced 2.2% A PHSI reading of 100 is equal to the level of contract activity in 2001. regions, with the West leading the pack. in November. a year earlier.
Yes, demand will slow if unemployment climbs, but it’s probably 2025 before we see the bulk of that. Contracts growing We continue to see the new contracts grow each week: There were 7.7% more new contracts started this week than the same week a year ago.
New contracts for home purchases are coming in very low this month. Buyer activity has been dropping for several weeks and there are now fewer homes in contract than a year ago. Buyer activity has been dropping for several weeks and there are now fewer homes in contract than a year ago. When will that be? I have no idea.
on a seasonally adjusted basis from last week, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association s (MBA) weekly mortgage applications survey for the week ending January 31, 2025. Mortgage applications increased 2.2% On an unadjusted basis, the index measuring applications increased 19% compared with the previous week.
But this year, buyers jumped on mortgage rates that dipped in early October, bringing more contracts which closed in November.Assuming December sales are generally good, 2024 U.S. Homes with November closings generally went under contract in September and October, when shoppers benefited from an uptick in newly-listed for-sale homes.
trillion in origination volume in 2025, up from a projected $1.70 The survey of 1,180 real estate agents across six Mid-Atlantic states and the District of Columbia found that 14% of sellers in June saw a contract fall through due to a buyer’s inability to secure financing, which was up from 11% in May. in 2024 and to 6.4%
Proceeds from the offering will be used to repay a portion of the Company’s secured term notes due 2025 and for other general corporate purposes,” Pennymac said in an 8-K filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). million to Black Knight in damages related to a breach of contract claim. In total, $1.8
Despite this, we had positive data on existing home sales , purchase applications, and our weekly pending contract figures. However, we need lower mortgage rates to grow sales in a bigger fashion in 2025. Purchase application data Purchase application data rose 1% weekly and is up 6% year over year, even with a higher bar to work from.
This could represent a glimmer of hope for mortgage lenders heading into 2025. MBA’s report also examined the average contract interest rates for several loan types. The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) recently announced plans to raise 2025 conforming loan limits to $806,500 for one-unit properties 5.2%
This indicates slow market stabilization and continued inventory growth throughout 2025. If you are assuming that inventory will surge in 2025, this trend may prompt you to think twice. Of the 64,000 total sellers this week, almost 10,000 are already under contract. But Im growing less optimistic that well get there in 2025.
Hopefully, you can customize these recommendations to your brand, ensuring that your direct mail marketing efforts stay relevant and effective in 2025 and beyond. We also include tips to ensure they reach the right prospects with the right message at the right time.
The parties announced on Thursday that Change will remain a certified CDFI until the lender’s next application related to the fiscal year 2025 is determined.
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