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However, there are two big trends that stand out as we launch into 2025 affordability and sellers in the market. There are a few markets in the South where home prices have inched down recently and every bit helps buyers but those prices have not adjusted much, and theres no sign of any major correction in the works.
Home prices in 2025 are a couple percentage points above where they were last year at this time. There are obviously fewer buyers who can afford these prices. In 2024, we saw a notable increase in buyer demand when mortgage rates got close to 6%. There are fewer immediate sales that go directly into contract.
What will the housing market look like in 2025? For a more comprehensive look, read our 2025 Housing Market Forecast covering home prices, home sales volumes and more. Mortgage rates continue to move higher and that’s impacting buyers. Frankly, it feels like the housing market is contracting a bit now in November.
NAR’s Pending Homes Sales Index (PHSI) report is a forward-looking source that predicts home sales based on contract signings. “Despite higher mortgage rates in November and persistent affordability challengers, buyers took advantage of more inventory as pending home sales reached the highest level in nearly two years.
And 2025 is poised to continue the trend of rising inventory across the country. Well probably finish 2025 with 15% more homes available than we have now. How will that impact home prices in 2025? Lets look at last weeks data and see if we can tease out the signals for impact on the 2025 housing market.
Lets take a look at the data for the third week of January 2025. In 2022, it was the end of the post-pandemic boom and buyers were rushing to get a home before mortgage rates climbed, so there was steep price appreciation in the first half of the year. In 2025, the price appreciation curve is flatter still. It is negative.
As we look into 2025, the question everyone is asking is: Do we have a new era starting? We expect that growth to continue in 2025. During this period, there were fewer sellers and many more buyers. We see slight growth not explosive growth for home sales in 2025. home price gains in 2025. Two and a half years.
Home negotiations technology platform Indigo just received a large investment to expand its operations in 2025. Indigo is a search platform that allows buyers to bid on agent-approved listings. The Home Checkout feature validates buyer offers before the transaction continues.
March figures to be a crucial month for gauging consumer interest in the 2025 housing market. The takeaway from the pending sales numbers is that it takes roughly 35 days on average for sales to close, so homes in contract now will generally close in March, Simonsen wrote. First-time buyers dont have that problem.
increase in the Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI), a measure of future home sales based on contract signings, to 75.8, The amount of contract activity in 2001 is represented by an index of 100. Year-over-year, contract signings grew in the Northeast and West and were unchanged in the Midwest and South. September saw a 7.4%
Compared to a month prior, contract signings fell 5.5% An index reading of 100 is equal to the level of contract signings in 2001. After four straight months of gains in contract signings, one step back is not welcome news, but it is not entirely surprising, Lawrence Yun, NARs chief economist, said in a statement. in the West.
More inventory should be a sign of the market’s return to normalcy, according to Mohtashami, as the market enters 2025 with 27% more inventory compared to early 2024. The homes that went under contract took 43 days to do so the slowest pace since 2019. ” According to the report, 54.5%
from one week earlier on a seasonally adjusted basis as buyers pounced on lower rates , according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Associations (MBA) weekly mortgage applications survey for the week ending Feb. Mortgage applications increased 20.4% On an unadjusted basis, applications increased 22% compared with the previous week.
In those times, we just had far more buyers than sellers. Thats not true now, so we should expect inventory to begin building for the year in February 2025. The total number of unsold homes on the market to start 2025 is just 18% fewer than at the start of 2018, seven years ago. Buyer competition led to all kinds of craziness.
More buyers have entered the market as the economy continues to add jobs, housing inventory grows compared to a year ago, and consumers get used to a new normal of mortgage rates between 6% and 7%. has been a difficult market for would-be home buyers. Buyers should still expect to encounter a competitive market in the year ahead.
Its quite obvious that stubbornly high mortgage rates slowed down early season homebuyers in the first quarter of 2025. But we didnt really see any change in the buyer demand metrics until rates got closer to 6%. There are 324,000 single-family homes in contract to sell right now. Thats a pretty notable swing.
New contracts for home purchases are coming in very low this month. Buyer activity has been dropping for several weeks and there are now fewer homes in contract than a year ago. Buyer activity has been dropping for several weeks and there are now fewer homes in contract than a year ago. When will that be?
Lets take a look at the data for the final week of January 2025. At this time, of year theres new inventory and new buyers are shopping. In recent weeks, we can see that those buyers are waiting. Home prices contract The median price for home sales contracts entered this week was at $389,700. is basically zero.
This week, we count 14% more homes in the contract pending stage now than a year ago. Last year at this time, the market was in deep retrenchment — both buyers and sellers were walking away. We counted 63,000 new contracts started for single-family homes this week. This week, both sellers and buyers both accelerated.
of homes that went under contract last month. Economic uncertainty: With tariffs, reductions in the federal workforce, return to office mandates, and mortgage rate uncertainty, a lot is up in the air for a lot of Americans right now, and Redfin agents report this is giving buyers (and sellers) cold feet. Thats up from 13.4%
With just a few local market exceptions, home prices nationally will finish the year up again and will go into 2025 with some upward momentum. The median price of the homes that went into contract this week — these are the new purchase offers with contracts pending — is now 6% greater than last year.
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The index includes sales of properties that went under contract in October, so it doesn’t quite capture what’s currently happening in the housing market. “It is expected that we will see slower price growth in early 2025 as inventory increases and affordability continues to be a constraint.”
Are there any signs of sales growing for 2025? See the purple line for 2025 keeps coming in just below 2024. This year, if current trends hold, we could already be past that point in 2025. That is, theyre no longer listed for sale and theyre not in contract. in 2025 over the previous year. Something to watch.
The shift in seller activity could mark a turning point in the high mortgage rate-induced standoff between buyers and sellers, saidDanielle Hale, Chief Economist at Realtor.com. By the end of the year, that percentage is predicted to drop to 75%, according to the 2025 Realtor.com Housing Forecast. 10.7% -0.7% pp Northeast 7.8%
Prospective buyers have been cautious because theyve seen homes sitting on the market and theyve heard interest rates and prices may drop. When the market isnt competitive, some buyers think they should wait for costs to go down, said Jordan Hammond, a Redfin Premier agent in Raleigh, NC. The market had 5.2 year-over-year.
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Home sellers are returning to the market, but buyers are hesitant, according to a recent Zillow market report. In May, new property listings exceeded sales, allowing buyer competition and price rise to slow—and more price relief is expected. However, buyers aren’t matching sellers’ enthusiasm; sales in May were 6% lower than last year.
Increasing for-sale inventory in some markets has provided prospective buyers more options as we approach the spring homebuying season. The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with jumbo loan balances decreased to 7.00% from 7.03%. Mortgage applications decreased by 1.2%
from 2023, and the brokerage said that similar growth is expected in 2025. Redfin senior economist Sheharyar Bokhari believes that prices will continue to rise in 2025, an opinion shared by many industry observers. Recent data from Altos Research found that buyer activity ramped down as mortgage rates reached 7%. in November.
Indicator of prospective home sales based on contract signings, the Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI) dropped to 70.8 The level of contract activity in 2001 is represented by an index of 100. A continued dearth of inventory, high home prices and stable mortgage interest rates have kept would-be home buyers at bay this spring.”
For comparison, the index is benchmarked at a reading of 100 based on 2001 contract activity. New home sales , another measure of contract signings, rose 8% in December on the back of declining mortgage rates. increase between 2024 and 2025 to a pace of 5.35 increase between 2024 and 2025 to a pace of 5.35 in November.
Year-over-year, contract signings increased in all four U.S. Despite higher mortgage rates in November and persistent affordability challengers, buyers took advantage of more inventory as pending home sales reached the highest level in nearly two years, said First American Deputy Chief Economist Odeta Kushi. in November.
An index of 100 is equal to the level of contract activity in 2001. Pending sales are a forward-looking indicator of home sales based on contract signings, so two consecutive months of declining pending home sales suggest a negative outlook for sales activity,” Odeta Kushi , First American’ s deputy chief economist, said in a statement.
Rates are falling now and if that continues, buyers will jump and inventory will fall well into the first quarter of 2024. Yes, demand will slow if unemployment climbs, but it’s probably 2025 before we see the bulk of that. As of now, there are no signs of increased sellers growing out of balance with the number of buyers.
trillion in origination volume in 2025, up from a projected $1.70 The survey of 1,180 real estate agents across six Mid-Atlantic states and the District of Columbia found that 14% of sellers in June saw a contract fall through due to a buyer’s inability to secure financing, which was up from 11% in May. in 2024 and to 6.4%
While it’s unclear exactly how home buyers and sellers are reacting to the situation, a startup tech company called Rayse is “pushing back on the settlement” with a new communication platform that allows prospective buyers to track what their agents are doing in real time.
This article originally appeared in the February 2025 edition of MortgagePoint magazine, online now. The mortgage industry has experienced significant contraction over the past two years, adjusting operations to align with the reduced demand for refinance and purchase financing. by the end of 2025, and 3.1% by the end of 2026.
How tech solutions are transforming the 2025 real estate landscape The real estate industry is evolving rapidly, and with 2025 on the horizon, the technological advancements, and general market, show no signs of slowing down. Traditional methods are not only time-consuming but also prone to errors.
Proceeds from the offering will be used to repay a portion of the Company’s secured term notes due 2025 and for other general corporate purposes,” Pennymac said in an 8-K filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). million to Black Knight in damages related to a breach of contract claim. For example, Freedom raised $1.3
So while we can see currently the prices of home sales holding up, the signals for the end of 2024 and into 2025 seem to suggest we’re heading for flat home prices. We can measure home sales in real time by tracking all the homes that moved to contract pending status this week. There were another 15,000 condos into contract.
But while falling interest rates are putting a floor on demand, there’s still no sign of any rush of buyers. We haven’t seen any uptick in buyer urgency, as measured by immediate sales. Pending home sales stay the same There were 64,000 new contracts pending this week for single-family homes. 76,000 total sales this week is 2.5%
Gauging a Cyclical Housing Market While affordability issues still plague many prospective home buyers, impacted by a phenomenon called the “lock-in effect,” where mortgage rates are prompting many to stay put instead of selling and buying another home at a higher rate. elementor – v3.23.0 – 05-08-2024 */.elementor-widget-text-editor.elementor-drop-cap-view-stacked.elementor-drop-cap{background-color:#69727d;color:#fff}.elementor-widget-text-editor.elementor-drop-cap-view-fram
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