Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 22, 2024

Mortgage interest rates above 6% continued to impact potential homebuyers’ purchase power, while also contributing to a lock-in effect among would-be home sellers who bought their homes years ago with a mortgage rate of 3% to 4.5%,” the association explained in an announcement. ” Closed sales of single-family homes grew 0.6%

New Listings 397

New Listings Real Estate Realtors Inventory 397

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 23, 2024

It has been almost two months since mortgage rates spiked again, and my initial thought was this would tank housing demand. We had a positive 18-week period with purchase applications before mortgage rates started rising in September. Initially, the data showed more robust performance as mortgage rates approached 6%.

Mortgage 470

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Contracts 470

Housing Wire

JUNE 29, 2024

The rules of supply and demand economics always end up winning and weekly new listing data is key. New listing data is growing year over year, but it will be the second-lowest new listing data ever recorded in history. For the fifth time this year, inventory hit my target level with elevated mortgage rates.

New Listings 368

New Listings Inventory Contracts Sellers 368

Housing Wire

JANUARY 1, 2024

The 2023 housing market faced one of the same roadblocks we saw in 2022: mortgage rates were too high for home sales growth. Now that we’re in 2024, the Federal Reserve ‘s rate hike cycle is over, so let’s look at what that means for housing demand and home prices. If the 10-year yield gets above 4.25%, the U.S.

Housing Market 522

Housing Market Marketing New Listings Construction 522

Housing Wire

JULY 13, 2024

In 2023, following the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank , the spreads between the 30-year mortgage and 10-year yield were at their worst, leading to new cycle highs. This meant mortgage rates were significantly higher than average. Mortgage spreads Last year, the 10-year yield hit 5% and mortgage rates got above 8%.

Mortgage 484

Mortgage New Listings Inventory Contracts 484

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 4, 2023

Now that Thanksgiving is behind us and December is well under way, we can start looking ahead to the 2024 housing market. New listings and home sales remain low this week while available inventory of unsold homes is finally falling across the country after rising with mortgage rates late into November.

Housing Market 497

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 497

Housing Wire

JANUARY 29, 2024

Most economists forecast mortgage rates to decline in 2024, stoking optimism about the housing market. According to the newest Bloomberg Markets Live Pulse Survey (MLIV Pulse), the rate on the 30-year fixed mortgage will fall to 5.5% On the bright side, new listings rose 2.2% by the end of this year. With the U.S.

Mortgage 414

Mortgage Inventory Investors Housing Market 414

Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2024

Mortgage rates had a chance to break to new highs this year, but the Federal Reserve took a moderate tone at the last Fed meeting. We saw the benefit of lower mortgage rates with the last two existing home sales reports, which showed growth. Then mortgage rates rose, facilitating five weeks of negative purchase application data.

Mortgage 504

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 504

Housing Wire

AUGUST 17, 2024

Have lower mortgage rates already started to slow down housing inventory? Now, with mortgage rates dropping below that 7.25% level recently, inventory hasn’t been able to hit that growth model once. However, 2024 looks much healthier than 2023 data, as we desperately needed to get off those historically low levels of active listings.

Inventory 499

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Contracts 499

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 15, 2024

An often misguided premise I see on social media is that lower mortgage rates are doing nothing for housing demand. Purchase application data First, purchase apps is the fastest way to look for positive or negative data at higher or lower mortgage rates. That’s ok — very few people are looking at the data without an agenda.

Mortgage 510

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Retail 510

Housing Wire

MARCH 2, 2024

The mortgage rate lockdown premise says that if rates rise, inventory can’t grow meaningfully. The idea is that nobody will trade their low mortgage rates to buy another home — even though this happened every week last year. With mortgage rates higher, will this stop inventory from growing year over year?

Inventory 531

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 531

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 7, 2024

Mortgage rates have made almost a 2% move lower from the highs of 2023. Now that the jobs week data is in, the question is: can mortgage rates go even lower? Let’s take a look at 2024 and see how much lower we can go. The answer is yes, but we will need more economic weakness, better spreads and a more dovish Fed.

Mortgage 518

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Marketing 518

Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2024

Housing inventory, new listing data and mortgage rates are all rising, but the price cut data percentages are falling. I will watch for rising mortgage rates to see if they change the weekly data. I will watch for rising mortgage rates to see if they change the weekly data. So far, so good in 2024.

Inventory 531

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 531

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 17, 2024

Will mortgage rates break toward 8% again, making another 2024 data line that looks like a carbon copy of 2023? It’s not part of my 2024 forecast, but since the Federal Reserve likes playing with fire , let’s look at where we are with mortgage rates and their impact on weekly housing data.

Mortgage 493

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 493

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 30, 2024

Despite initial concerns that tariffs would push mortgage rates up to 8% and reduce housing demand, this week has brought some encouraging news. The 10-year yield has remained stable at a crucial technical level and even reversed direction, resulting in improved mortgage rates. This is what happened in the last two years.

Mortgage 490

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Contracts 490

Housing Wire

AUGUST 4, 2024

Mortgage rates moved massively lower last week without any Federal Reserve rate cuts, primarily because the labor market is getting softer. Can mortgage rates go even lower? As we can see below, when the market priced economic weakness earlier in 2024, it took the 10-year yield down toward 3.80% but didn’t break that level.

Mortgage 483

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 483

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 1, 2024

Have we seen the peak in housing inventory for 2024? The best part about 2024 has been that higher mortgage rates have created an inventory buffer, so if the economy gets softer and rates fall, we have many more homes to work with than we had in 2020-2023. 2024 is the second-lowest new listing year recorded in history.

Inventory 492

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 492

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 28, 2024

Housing demand is very seasonal, so the fact that our pending contract data is firming up lately just shows that lower mortgage rates have stabilized and firmed up demand recently. It will likely take mortgage rates to go under 6% and stay there for an extended period to get real sustained demand growth from record-low sales levels.

Mortgage 493

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Contracts 493

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 7, 2024

Last week, we witnessed a Santa Claus rally in mortgage rates alongside improved housing demand. When mortgage rates began to decline in June, there was a traditional lag between purchase applications and sales. Let’s see how the year ends, but since mortgage rates rose, the data has been positive for the last eight weeks.

New Listings 483

New Listings Inventory Contracts Housing Market 483

Housing Wire

JUNE 8, 2024

Given last week’s surprising jobs report, how much longer will we have to deal with higher mortgage rates ? It’s essential to track the labor data along with inflation because the key to getting lower mortgage rates for longer lies with the labor data more than inflation.

Mortgage 474

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Contracts 474

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 27, 2023

You also know that new listings are up over last year, too. New listings volume is up, too. There were 58,000 new listings this week, with 10,000 of those homes already under contract as immediate sales. However, if mortgage rates were to jump again, we could see sales slip, so it’s a delicate balance.

New Listings 485

New Listings Contracts Inventory Housing Market 485

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 14, 2023

The holidays have come early for the mortgage industry. Mortgage rates fell below the 7% threshold this week as markets prepared for Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s announcement on Wednesday. The 30-year, fixed mortgage rate averaged 6.95% for the week ending Dec. on Thursday.

Mortgage 488

Mortgage New Listings Loan Officers Inventory 488

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 5, 2024

18 and mortgage rates and bond yields headed higher. But, we have to remember that mortgage rates had already made an almost 2% move lower since the highs of 2023 without rate cuts, as the bond market always gets ahead of the Fed. This explains the rise in mortgage rates since the Fed cut rates.

Mortgage 464

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Retail 464

Housing Wire

JUNE 15, 2024

Since May 29, we’ve witnessed a decline in the 10-year yield, which has been favorable for mortgage rates. 10-year yield and mortgage rates After the intense jobs week data , we ran straight into CPI and PPI inflation week, with a Fed meeting thrown in! Once mortgage rates began rising in 2024, some demand was removed.

Mortgage 451

Mortgage Inventory Marketing New Listings 451

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 14, 2024

The holiday season is here, and despite higher mortgage rates last week, housing demand is displaying some festive resilience. Lets look at this weeks Tracker data to see if this trend can continue for the rest of 2024. Additionally, our pending contracts are still reflecting double-digit year-over-year growth.

Mortgage 395

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Contracts 395

Housing Wire

MAY 4, 2024

My model for inventory growth with higher mortgage rates came crashing down last week. After two weeks of significant increases , inventory growth slowed dramatically and is far from my 11,000-17,000 growth model with mortgage rates over 7.25%. I wish new listings were growing faster, but I will call it a victory nonetheless.

Inventory 404

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Marketing 404

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 30, 2024

All the housing market data for 2024 is in, and its fair to say that the housing market surprised us again! Home prices finished 2024 up a few percent nationally and mortgage rates are at their highest level in seven months back over 7% as we head into January. The elephant in the room is affordability.

Housing Market 439

Housing Market Marketing New Listings Inventory 439

Housing Wire

MARCH 9, 2024

We survived jobs week and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell talking to Congress, with mortgage rates ending the week below 7%. But will mortgage rates keep heading lower? Mortgage rates and the 10-year yield The 10-year yield is the key for all my housing work, so I focus on it religiously. We haven’t broken either yet.

Mortgage 438

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 438

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 9, 2023

The most underreported housing story I’ve seen this year is that even with mortgage rates rising to 8%, the number of homes that took price cuts before they sold was 4% below 2022 levels. This happened even with higher home prices and higher mortgage rates in 2023. Weekly inventory change (Dec.

Mortgage 510

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 510

Appraisal Buzz

DECEMBER 18, 2024

Manchester, NH, Zillow s most favored city for 2024, was a hit with an influx of homebuyers this year. cities, such as page-view traffic, home value increase, and the speed at which properties sell, in order to identify the most popular markets in 2024. Zillow examined housing variables that represent consumer demand in U.S.

Architecture 370

Architecture Home Value New Listings Contracts 370

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 24, 2024

Mortgage rates have risen recently but they could be much worse than they are today. Mortgage rates and the 10-year yield The 10-year yield is the key for housing in 2024. In my 2024 forecast , I put the 10-year yield range between 3.21%-4.25% , with a critical line in the sand at 3.37%. That hasn’t happened.

Mortgage 445

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 445

Housing Wire

JULY 6, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data While inventory growth this week slowed to 6,803 — well below my weekly target level of 11,000 -17,000 with elevated mortgage rates — the fact that we hit this target level five times this year versus zero last year is a big reason why 2024 has been a much better year for housing than 2023.

Housing Market 440

Housing Market Mortgage Inventory Marketing 440

Housing Wire

JUNE 1, 2024

Mortgage rates have been a bit more volatile recently due to hawkish Federal Reserve statements and inflation data, which has impacted some of the recent movement in the 10-year yield. So, what does this all mean for the housing market and the future of mortgage rates? Once mortgage rates began rising in 2024, some demand was removed.

Mortgage 417

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 417

Housing Wire

JULY 15, 2024

If we look at the housing market right now, sales are down, new listings are down and prices are decelerating. Good inflation data came in last week, the bond market rallied and mortgage rates took a notable dip below 7% for the first time in months. Maybe we’re finally past the peak of mortgage rates ? and stay there.

Housing Market 468

Housing Market New Listings Marketing Mortgage 468

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 21, 2024

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell played the Grinch last week for the housing market, sending mortgage rates higher after his remarks at the Fed presser on Wednesday. However, we need lower mortgage rates to grow sales in a bigger fashion in 2025. However, this year, mortgage rates rose during this timeframe.

Housing Market 411

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 411

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 25, 2023

Lower mortgage rates tend to take housing supply off the market and demand has been picking up lately as rates have fallen. However, the recent drop in housing inventory has more to do with seasonality factors than lower mortgage rates. The question now is what will inventory look like in the spring if mortgage rates keep falling?

Inventory 514

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Buyers 514

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 2, 2023

Mortgage rates almost fell below 7%, the 10-year yield is below 4.25% again, and people are seriously talking about Fed rate cuts in 2024. Mortgage rates have fallen by almost 1% in a short time, and it has created four straight weeks of positive purchase application data. Mortgage rates and the 10-year yield We are back!

Mortgage 542

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 542