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Mortgage rates recently hit a year-to-date low, coinciding with ongoing market disruptions from tariffs. The more encouraging story, however, is that the spring season is shaping up positively for the housing market. In fact, if mortgage rates head toward 6%, we will have a positive year here.
Earlier this year, when mortgage rates soared to 7.26%, a cloud of worry hung over the housing market many feared that home sales would tumble in 2025, fueled by concerns about inflation and tariffs. But when it seemed doom and gloom would prevail, the 10-year yield dropped, pulling mortgage rates lower in a lovely slow dance.
The labor market is showing signs of softness but is not breaking down yet, which has kept mortgage rates higher for longer. Since 2022, my guiding principle has been that the labor market is more important than inflation in determining mortgage rates. percent, the U.S.
housing market slowed down in the third quarter due to rising home prices and higher mortgage rates , investor purchases also ramped down, according to a new report by Redfin. year over year in Q3 2024, representing a small change after four years of fluctuations. billion worth of properties in Q3 2024, up 3.4%
Existing home sales ended the year on a positive note , which aligns with our weekly Housing Market Tracker data, but something surprising is that home prices firmed up late in the year as well. However, housing demand surged when mortgage rates fell in the early 1980s during a recession. A few key notes on the charts below 1.
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell played the Grinch last week for the housing market, sending mortgage rates higher after his remarks at the Fed presser on Wednesday. However, we need lower mortgage rates to grow sales in a bigger fashion in 2025. However, this year, mortgage rates rose during this timeframe.
It has been almost two months since mortgage rates spiked again, and my initial thought was this would tank housing demand. We had a positive 18-week period with purchase applications before mortgage rates started rising in September. Initially, the data showed more robust performance as mortgage rates approached 6%.
All the housing market data for 2024 is in, and its fair to say that the housing market surprised us again! However, there are two big trends that stand out as we launch into 2025 affordability and sellers in the market. In the last few months, the market finally saw some sales growth over the previous year.
On Friday, Fannie Mae reported $17 billion in net income in 2024, down slightly from its $17.4 billion in the fourth quarter of 2024, marking its 28th consecutive quarter of positive earnings. In 2024, Fannie Mae provided $381 billion of liquidity to the single-family and multifamily mortgagemarkets.
As 2025 draws near, mortgage rates are once again in the news. Zillow anticipates a more active housing market with more buyers obtaining the upper hand in 2025. Buying a home in 2024 was surprisingly competitive given how high the affordability hurdle became,” said Skylar Olsen, Zillow Chief Economist. Zillow predicts 4.3
Homeowners 62 and older saw their collective home equity levels drop by 1% in Q4 2024 to a total of $13.95 That’s according to the latest edition of the Reverse MortgageMarket Index (RMMI), a quarterly report compiled by the National Reverse Mortgage Lenders Association (NRMLA) in conjunction with data analytics firm RiskSpan.
Institutional home-buying activity remained subdued last year as transactional players including iBuyers , flippers, and sales leaseback firms dominated the market. A shift toward short-term holders The largest institutional buyers of 2024 were predominantly firms that only held properties temporarily.
Todays housing starts data exceeded estimates; however, a closer examination of the report with the builder confidence reveals that the recent rise in mortgage rates , approaching 7.25%, has negatively affected builder sentiment. Since late 2022, our analysis indicates that mortgage rates in the 6%-6.5% While rates in the 6-6.5%
Its late December so all the 2025 mortgage rate forecasts have been published. Most housing market analysts expect mortgage rates to spend the year with a 6 handle. The most optimistic predictions assume 2025 will see mostly low 6s for the 30-year fixed rate mortgage. Unfortunately, all of them are already wrong.
High mortgage rates have not significantly dented housing demand due to greater numbers of cash transactions. According to Bright MLS chief economist Lisa Sturtevant, 2024 marked a 30-year low for pending home sales. However, with mortgage rates rising in December and pushing above 7% in January, buyers and sellers are hesitant.
Reverse mortgage business and mortgage business generally is not where people want it to be. That was a repeated idea shared by a group of reverse mortgage professionals when asked to assess what they see as the biggest industry challenges of the year. I think that’s true from an industry standpoint.
Reverse mortgage leader Finance of America (FOA) recorded a quarter-over-quarter loss in the fourth quarter of 2024, but still notched a full-year profit. at the close of the market on March 11 to $17.89 But by the markets close that evening, the share price rose to $21.75. at the opening bell on March 12.
Another jobs week has come to an end, and amid the chaotic headlines about job numbers, tariffs , and the leadership of the Treasury , mortgage rates remained calm. Better mortgage spreads are limiting how high rates can rise in 2025. Mortgage spreads refer to the difference between the 10-year yield and the 30-year mortgage rate.
metropolitan areas analyzed experienced annualized home-price gains in the fourth quarter of 2024, according to data published Thursday by the National Association of Realtors (NAR). NAR found that 201 of 226 metro areas (89%) saw sale prices for single-family homes rise on a yearly basis in Q4 2024, up from 87% in the prior quarter.
fell in 2024, continuing a downward trend as real estate investors grapple with tight profit margins. According to Attom s 2024 U.S. The home-flipping industry saw investors shy away even more in 2024 amid the extended period of languishing profits. Conversely, a handful of smaller markets saw an uptick in flipping activity.
Annual property insurance costs for mortgaged single-family homes rose by a record $276 (or 14%) to $2,290 in 2024, per the latest Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) Mortgage Monitor Report released Monday. Locations that saw the largest percentage increases in 2024 were Seattle (+22%), Salt Lake City (+22%) and Los Angeles (+20%).
The luxury real estate market is on a growth trend early in 2025. Sothebys International Realty recently released its 2024 performance report. According to the report, Sothebys did $157 billion in global sales in 2024, and its U.S. According to the report, global expansion was a staple of Sothebys growth strategy in 2024.
Mortgage applications for new-home purchases increased 7.2% year over year in November, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association ‘s (MBA) builder application survey that was released Tuesday. Applications decreased by 12% from October 2024. That estimate is down 4.6% from the October pace of 747,000 units.
The 10-year yield and mortgage rates have been on a wild ride lately, even testing my top-end forecast at 7.25%, but today, the 10-year yield fell after remarks by Fed President Chris Waller about whether the Fed would do even more rate cuts than the market was anticipating. It’s not booming. It’s not falling.”
Home sales in 2024 have been well below historic norms. Higher prices, higher mortgage rates and limited inventory are making for a slow market among buyers and sellers alike. Price growth is slowing down so there’s less flippers in the market. But even investors have purchased fewer homes this year.
Mortgage rates are declining, and recent purchase application data shows a promising 9% week-to-week increase and a 2% rise compared to the previous year. Does this indicate that the housing market is beginning to wake up just in time for spring? It is important to note that mortgage rates rose to around 6% in late 2022 and early 2023.
The October 2024 results for the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices were issued today by the S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI). In October 2024, the leading indicator of U.S. a modest decrease from the previous 2024 annual gains. Our forecasts suggest that markets in Florida are at most risk of price declines in 2025.
Home prices firmed up in today’s existing home sales report , but we caught on to this trend two months ago with our Housing Market Tracker. Traditionally, home prices soften in the second half of the year and I had counted on this for my price forecast , which predicted 2.33% home-price growth for 2024.
The Tech Trendsetters are made up of the top product and technology leaders who have been essential in bringing innovative tech solutions to market for mortgage and real estate clients. Congratulations to the 2024 Tech Trendsetter honorees! This year, 75 honorees were selected. Take a look at the full list below.
The Federal Reserve didnt raise or cut interest rates today, but the meeting highlighted something I have been emphasizing since 2022: the Fed is shaping its policy around the labor market more than inflation. However, the Fed only cut rates when they believed the labor market was softening in the second half of 2024.
loanDepot on Wednesday released its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024. The earnings report showcased a mixed picture for the Irvine, California -based mortgage lender. In Q3 2024, the company returned to a state of profitability after an 11-quarter streak of financial losses.
March figures to be a crucial month for gauging consumer interest in the 2025 housing market. The pace of home sales remains near a 30-year low point as home prices and mortgage rates keep potential borrowers in wait-and-see mode. But mortgage rates have posted an unusually large decline in the past week.
The company’s Auction Market Dispatch for third-quarter 2024 included a survey conducted in late September of more than 140 active buyers on the platform. While 45% said current market conditions were not impacting their desire to purchase distressed property, 34% said conditions were detrimental to their decisions.
Mortgage applications increased 11.2% on a seasonally adjusted basis from last week, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Associations (MBA) weekly mortgage applications survey for the week ending March 7, 2025. The refinance share of mortgage activity increased to 45.6% of total applications from 43.8% from 16.7%
As low inventory levels, elevated mortgage rates and rising home prices keep the housing industry stagnant, short-term real estate investors — aka fix-and-flippers — faced market turmoil during the third quarter of 2024. An index score above 50 indicates market expansion, while a score below 50 indicates contraction.
A 60 basis point increase in mortgage rates in October has strangled mortgage demand, particularly for refinancings , according to the latest survey data from the Mortgage Bankers Association. Mortgage applications overall decreased 0.1% The refinance share of mortgage activity decreased to 43.1% the previous week.
The bond market and stock futures rose when the initial discussions about the 10% tariffs hit the market. Since we believe in the close relationship between the 10-year yield and mortgage rates , we expect mortgage rates to decrease tomorrow if bond yields continue to decline. But the real game changer? Housing data!
ATTOM has released its latest Special Housing Market Impact Risk Report , a study examining county-level housing markets around the U.S. that are more or less vulnerable to declines, based on home affordability, equity, and other measures in the third quarter of 2024. They included four in the Washington, D.C.
After decreasing for seven consecutive weeks, mortgage rates remained basically flat this week, with the average rate for a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage at 6.65%, up slightly from 6.63% last week, according to Freddie Macs Primary MortgageMarket Survey. A year ago at this time, the average rate for a 30-year was 6.74%.
As housing affordability reached its lowest point since 2006, one group stood out in defying market trendssingle women. In 2024, the homeownership rate among single women rose slightly to 51.9%, up from 51.8% Each mortgage payment serves as a form of forced savings, helping homeowners build wealth over time. among single men.
At the end of 2024, I wrote that the homebuilding sector could be a potential wildcard for 2025 and that was before the new tariffs on building materials and firing of federal workers. If mortgage rates don’t drop, we may see this sector facing supply issues and shrinking profit margins. Why is this important?
Homebuyers faced worsening affordability conditions in January as the median monthly mortgage payment for purchase applicants increased to $2,205, a 3.7% jump from Decembers $2,127, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA). in December, signaling that mortgage payments have risen at a faster pace than rental costs.
The stagnant 2024 housing market is one the real estate industry cant wait to get away from, but not so for the niche luxury market. in the first half of 2024, and the median luxury home price jumped by 14.2%. in the first half of 2024, and the median luxury home price jumped by 14.2%. Thats compared to a 12.9%
Dramatic mortgage rate movements are destined to play a major role in the coming year, according to Zillow ‘s newest forecast , which also calls for declining mortgage rates to be a catalyst for home-sales growth and home-price appreciation in 2025. Zillow says that 2024 will finish with 4.06 million in 2025.
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