Housing Wire

APRIL 27, 2024

Active weekly housing inventory growth slowed slightly last week, but it’s still running at a healthier clip than in 2023. I have a simple model with mortgage rates being above 7.25%: weekly inventory data should grow between 11,000-17,000 per week. We have now seen it for two weeks as inventory grew by 13,247. 2022: 19.2%

Inventory 501

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 501

Housing Wire

MAY 18, 2024

New listings data has been moving lower over the last few weeks. But, we need to see more growth in new listings data just to grow from 2023 levels. 2023 new listings data was the lowest ever on record, so it’s already a low bar.

New Listings 432

New Listings Inventory Mortgage Contracts 432

Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2024

Housing inventory, new listing data and mortgage rates are all rising, but the price cut data percentages are falling. Weekly housing inventory data Here is a look at the first week of the year: Weekly inventory change (Jan. 12-19) : Inventory rose from 505,223 to 506,414 Same week last year (Jan.

Inventory 531

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 531

Housing Wire

JULY 20, 2024

We finally have six weeks of numbers that hit my housing inventory growth model perfectly in 2024. Last year, with higher mortgage rates , we had zero weeks at this level so I am now giving 2024 inventory growth a grade of A. So far the weekly high print in 2024 is only 72,329.

Inventory 513

Inventory New Listings Contracts Mortgage 513

Housing Wire

MAY 28, 2024

It’s the end of May and unsold inventory on the market is increasing across the U.S. Every state in the country has more homes on the market now than a year ago and, in many places, new construction is being completed and added to inventory, so it’s not just resale inventory that’s growing.

Inventory 503

Inventory New Listings Contracts Sellers 503

Housing Wire

MARCH 11, 2024

Last fall when people were still expecting mortgage rates to be falling this year, it was common to assume rates would be in the low 6s or 5s this year and people asked me if lower rates would bring a flood of inventory. The only way inventory would grow in 2024 is if mortgage rates climbed. But the evidence is the opposite.

Inventory 505

Inventory Sellers New Listings Real Estate 505

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 1, 2024

Have we seen the peak in housing inventory for 2024? The best part about 2024 has been that higher mortgage rates have created an inventory buffer, so if the economy gets softer and rates fall, we have many more homes to work with than we had in 2020-2023. Weekly inventory change (Aug. Weekly inventory change (Aug.

Inventory 492

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 492

Housing Wire

JANUARY 13, 2024

Last week, housing inventory grew and the number of price cuts fell, which is expected at this time of the year. I hope the next thing we see is housing inventory grow at the level it typically does in January or February instead of being delayed until March or April. So let’s hope for more home sellers in 2024.

Inventory 513

Inventory New Listings Retail Mortgage 513

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 30, 2023

Going into 2023, people thought housing inventory would skyrocket, home prices would crash, and we would see the housing market of 2008 all over again. Looking back on 2023, the inventory story was a big surprise even as mortgage rates headed toward 8%, as the data below will show. Weekly inventory change (Dec.

Inventory 484

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 484

Housing Wire

JANUARY 6, 2024

Now that mortgage rates have fallen and as we start the brand new year, we need to focus on this data line more. I believe we should get more sellers in 2024 than in 2023, but that doesn’t necessarily mean home prices will fall. Here are the year-over-year price-cut percentages from the first week of the year: 2024 32.8%

Inventory 537

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 537

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 4, 2023

Now that Thanksgiving is behind us and December is well under way, we can start looking ahead to the 2024 housing market. New listings and home sales remain low this week while available inventory of unsold homes is finally falling across the country after rising with mortgage rates late into November. Inventory is 1.2%

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 497

Housing Wire

APRIL 20, 2024

Housing inventory finally hit my target level of growth last week with mortgage rates now over 7.25% , something I couldn’t get all last year. Of course, what is different this year versus last year is that new listing data is growing yearly instead of trending at the lowest levels recorded in history. 2022: 18.7%

Inventory 463

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Finance 463

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 10, 2024

So far in 2024, fewer homes are taking price cuts than in 2023, and this trend is on the verge of breaking below the 2023 lows in price cuts percentages. While weekly inventory is still falling, we have year-over-year growth in total active listing and new listings data.

Inventory 501

Inventory New Listings Retail Mortgage 501

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 26, 2024

Since mid-2022 when mortgage rates headed higher , two facts have been apparent: new listings data has been trending at the lowest levels ever recorded in history and inventory has been able to grow from record low levels thanks to mortgage rates staying elevated. Weekly inventory change (Oct.

Inventory 479

Inventory Sellers New Listings Mortgage 479

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 13, 2024

Housing inventory, which saw an excellent pickup a few weeks ago, has been slowing down and last week we saw a slight decline. Has seasonality finally kicked in or did back-to-back hurricanes slow things enough to influence inventory data? Since then, inventory growth has been slowing down and even declined last week.

Inventory 437

Inventory New Listings Retail Mortgage 437

Housing Wire

APRIL 1, 2024

New listing volume last week was 18% more than a year ago. Total available inventory is gradually climbing about 1% per week — last year it was still declining in April. As we roll into the second quarter, we should have accelerating inventory growth each week. All of these signals point to rising home sales in 2024.

Inventory 473

Inventory New Listings Contracts Sellers 473

Housing Wire

JUNE 29, 2024

Housing inventory is growing, but national home prices aren’t dropping dramatically, as the recent S&P CoreLogic Case Shiller index clearly showed. The rules of supply and demand economics always end up winning and weekly new listing data is key. Last week, we saw a positive inventory growth of 11,638 !

New Listings 368

New Listings Inventory Contracts Sellers 368

Housing Wire

MARCH 30, 2024

The best housing story in 2024 is that inventory is growing — both active inventory and new listings. With mortgage rates at the current levels, inventory is still below my expectations, but it’s still such a positive story that I had to discuss it on CNBC last week. 2022: 17.2%

Inventory 404

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Housing Market 404

Housing Wire

MAY 4, 2024

My model for inventory growth with higher mortgage rates came crashing down last week. After two weeks of significant increases , inventory growth slowed dramatically and is far from my 11,000-17,000 growth model with mortgage rates over 7.25%. I wish new listings were growing faster, but I will call it a victory nonetheless.

Inventory 404

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Marketing 404

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 22, 2024

The hope is that a potential cooling of interest rates will contribute to a stronger market in 2024, according to Florida Realtors President Gia Arvin, a broker-owner with Matchmaker Realty in Gainesville. “New listings of single-family homes were up 16.7% ” Closed sales of single-family homes grew 0.6%

New Listings 397

New Listings Real Estate Realtors Inventory 397

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 22, 2024

Have we seen the bottom in mortgage rates for 2024 after a crazy roller coaster ride so far this year? My 2024 forecast had a mortgage rate range of 7.25%-5.75%. With the 10-year yield at 3.74% as of Friday, we have some room left to reach the very bottom of the 2024 forecast before the year is out.

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Mortgage Inventory New Listings Contracts 482

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 25, 2023

However, the recent drop in housing inventory has more to do with seasonality factors than lower mortgage rates. Higher mortgage rates did push inventory higher during the seasonal period when it would normally be declining. The question now is what will inventory look like in the spring if mortgage rates keep falling?

Inventory 514

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Buyers 514

Housing Wire

MAY 8, 2024

Housing credit channels directly impact housing inventory channels. Home prices escalated out of control after 2020 and when we look at why that happened, we can see that housing credit mattered more to inventory data than most people realize. This matters because inventory was already heading toward all-time lows before COVID-19.

Inventory 445

Inventory Law New Listings Sellers 445

Housing Wire

JULY 8, 2024

There have been a few markets; however, that have defied the national trends where inventory has stayed tighter and demand keeps rolling in. Available inventory of unsold homes in the U.S. real estate market as we’re now in the second half of 2024. In the past two years, we’ve had rising mortgage rates and rising inventory.

Inventory 444

Inventory Contracts Sellers New Listings 444

Housing Wire

JANUARY 16, 2024

Home sellers are starting to ease back into the market, new listings are finally exceeding the levels of a year ago. The longer we stay with mortgage rates higher, the more inventory will build closer to where it used to be. Higher mortgage rates means more inventory. Inventory ticked up this week. It’s not a boom.

Inventory 424

Inventory New Listings Sellers Contracts 424

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 16, 2024

As the year draws to a close, available unsold inventory of homes on the market is nearly 27% greater than a year ago. Ten states have more inventory unsold than in 2019, which was the last sort of normal year before the pandemic. Inventory is still very tight in places like Chicago and New England, but it is rising in these markets.

Inventory 384

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Sellers 384

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 28, 2023

31, 2022, that mortgage rates would hit 8% in 2023, you would reasonably assume housing inventory would sky rocket higher, home prices would fall noticeably, and the number of price cuts would be higher year over year. Last year, the seasonal peak for inventory was Oct. Weekly inventory change (Oct. Weekly inventory change (Oct.

Inventory 492

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Marketing 492

Housing Wire

APRIL 6, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data — both active inventory and new listings — are prone to one-week moves that deviate from a trend, especially if people are going Easter egg hunting. So, the fact that active inventory and new listings data fell last week isn’t a big deal.

Inventory 424

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Housing Market 424

Housing Wire

APRIL 8, 2024

With the Easter holiday last week, data for housing inventory , new listings and the pace of new contracts started all took a breather from their growth pace. Here’s how 2024 is shaping up: There are now more listings, more active inventory and more sales than a year ago. That’s down 8.5%

Inventory 445

Inventory Contracts New Listings Sellers 445

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 7, 2024

But, we observed an improvement in our weekly pending contract data and even today, despite elevated rates, the trend remains better than what we experienced in 2023 and most of 2024. Weekly housing inventory data Housing inventory fell last week, which is typical at this time of year. Weekly inventory change (Nov.

New Listings 483

New Listings Inventory Contracts Housing Market 483

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 27, 2023

If you follow real estate data closely, you’ll know that inventory rose late into November. You also know that new listings are up over last year, too. Inventory (finally) peaks for the year Housing inventory was down by 0.7% Inventory hit 566,000 homes on the market, meaning there are 0.5% Short on time?

New Listings 485

New Listings Contracts Inventory Housing Market 485

Housing Wire

MARCH 18, 2024

As we started 2024, the signals in the U.S. real estate market were for inventory growth, sales growth and home-price growth across the U.S. Rates are off their recent peak of a couple weeks ago, but the latest economic news is still very strong, and the markets are growing less sanguine about interest rates easing significantly soon.

Inventory 386

Inventory New Listings Sellers Contracts 386

Housing Wire

APRIL 20, 2023

months’ worth of housing inventory in the U.S. If we are trending below 4 million — a possibility with new listing data trending at all-time lows — then we have much weaker demand than people think. NAR: Total housing inventory registered at the end of March was 980,000 units, up 1.0% Unsold inventory sits at a 2.6-month

Inventory 515

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 515

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 16, 2023

Available inventory of unsold homes rose by 1.8% The leading indicators for sales prices show that 2023 will end with home price gains of 1-2% over 2022, but the 2024 outlook is weakening and depends on your view of mortgage rates in Q1 and whether home prices will appreciate next year. Will we see inventory growth YoY by November?

Inventory 442

Inventory Contracts Sellers New Listings 442

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 11, 2023

Total housing inventory growth has been slow in 2023, but with rising mortgage rates over the last few months, inventory has grown a bit faster than average. The question now is: Have we hit the seasonal peak in inventory for 2023? Last year, according to Altos Research , the seasonal peak for housing inventory was Oct.

Inventory 441

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Retail 441

Housing Wire

JANUARY 1, 2024

Now that we’re in 2024, the Federal Reserve ‘s rate hike cycle is over, so let’s look at what that means for housing demand and home prices. Here’s my forecast for 2024: 10-year yield and mortgage rates For 2024, the 10-year yield range will be similar to 2023, but with a few different variables to watch.

Housing Market 522

Housing Market Marketing New Listings Construction 522

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 30, 2024

All the housing market data for 2024 is in, and its fair to say that the housing market surprised us again! Home prices finished 2024 up a few percent nationally and mortgage rates are at their highest level in seven months back over 7% as we head into January. Inventory is increasing in basically every market around the country.

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Housing Market Marketing New Listings Inventory 439