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Lower mortgage rates are spurring housing demand

Housing Wire

Additionally, our weekly pending contract data and new listings are trending positively compared to last year. If mortgage spreads were as bad as the worst levels in 2023, mortgage rates would be around 7.25% today. The more encouraging story, however, is that the spring season is shaping up positively for the housing market.

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Lower mortgage rates spark housing demand heading into spring

Housing Wire

Last year, when mortgage rates ranged from 6.75% to 7.50%, the weekly data looked like this: 14 negative prints 2 flat prints 2 positive prints There was no year-over-year growth to report when comparing 2024 and 2023. And remember, mortgage rates fell to around 6% in late 2022 and early 2023.

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How are mortgage rates affecting housing demand?

Housing Wire

However, the 10-year yield has managed to maintain its position, and the downtrend observed in the charts since the 10-year yield was at 5% in 2023 is still in place. Mortgage spreads The mortgage spread situation has shown improvement in 2024, in contrast to its negative performance in 2023. Weekly inventory change (Nov.

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The two big housing market trends to watch in 2025

Housing Wire

The three years in the post-pandemic housing market have been marked by very few sellers 60,000 new listings in a given week vs. 80,000 in years’ past. New listings are low As we look deeper into the supply side of the market, there were 32,500 new listings unsold this week. Each line is a year.

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New listings data falls for third week in a row 

Housing Wire

New listings data has been moving lower over the last few weeks. But, we need to see more growth in new listings data just to grow from 2023 levels. 2023 new listings data was the lowest ever on record, so it’s already a low bar. We have a much more normal marketplace in 2023 and 2024.

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New listings have peaked for 2024: It’s the second-lowest year on record

Housing Wire

One of my critical forecasts for 2024 was the growth of new listings data and active inventory, even with higher mortgage rates. However, the new listings data has slightly disappointed me. New listings data I am pleased that we’ve seen new listings data grow year over year — it’s a big step forward.

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New listings data unfazed by 8% mortgage rates

Housing Wire

New listing data appears unafraid of the mortgage rate ghost story over the last few months. Unlike last year, when new listings data had a noticeable move lower once mortgage rates reached 6%, 8% mortgage rates haven’t had any noticeable impact on the latest new listings data.