Housing Wire

JANUARY 12, 2023

This article is part of our 2022 – 2023 Housing Market Update series. After the series wraps, join us on February 6 for the HW+ Virtual 2023 Housing Market Update. planting us firmly in the first days of 2023 where higher rates and prices threaten to completely paralyze the housing market.

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Inventory Investors Construction Housing Market 530

Housing Wire

APRIL 20, 2024

Housing inventory finally hit my target level of growth last week with mortgage rates now over 7.25% , something I couldn’t get all last year. Weekly housing inventory data Higher mortgage rates with duration will likely lead to higher inventory, which we have seen repeatedly for the past 10 years. 2022: 18.7%

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Inventory New Listings Mortgage Finance 510

Housing Wire

MAY 25, 2024

The mortgage rate lockdown premise holds that very few people will list their homes when mortgage rates are this high, thus suppressing inventory. 2024 has had healthy inventory growth despite mortgage rates above 7%. Each time, inventory has squared right into the model as long as rates stay elevated.

Inventory 510

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Marketing 510

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 23, 2024

And while the slower sales pace may not be great news for real estate professionals, it has resulted in an uptick in inventory , which is good news for homebuyers. For-sale inventory at the end of September was 1.39 month supply of unsold inventory, up from 4.2 months in September 2023. from September 2023.

Inventory 374

Inventory Realtors Buyers Real Estate 374

Appraisal Buzz

AUGUST 8, 2024

The Single-Family Rental (SFR) inventory and days-on-market continue to climb gradually, according to HouseCanary, Inc. ‘s As a result, and in line with earlier data, the steady increase in days-on-market and inventory levels, along with the continued demand for rentals as an alternative to house ownership, led to a minor 2.3%

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Inventory Development Real Estate Tenants 397

Housing Wire

JANUARY 28, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data Here is a look at last week: Weekly inventory change (Jan. 19-26) : Inventory fell from 506,414 to 503,233 Same week last year (Jan. Weekly housing inventory data Here is a look at last week: Weekly inventory change (Jan. So, inventory falling looks normal.

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Inventory New Listings Mortgage Marketing 524

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 16, 2023

What’s going on with housing inventory ? In reality, the volatility in housing inventory is due to the Labor Day holiday, the start of school and the fact that new listings are trending at the lowest levels ever. Weekly housing inventory Some of the volatility with new listings data has also hit the active listings data.

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Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 502

Housing Wire

MAY 4, 2024

My model for inventory growth with higher mortgage rates came crashing down last week. After two weeks of significant increases , inventory growth slowed dramatically and is far from my 11,000-17,000 growth model with mortgage rates over 7.25%. Let’s delve into the weekly data to see what we can uncover.

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Inventory Mortgage New Listings Marketing 477

Housing Wire

MARCH 2, 2024

The mortgage rate lockdown premise says that if rates rise, inventory can’t grow meaningfully. Let’s take a look at the inventory data this year to test this premise, since for many months it has been a working theory of mine that new listings data behavior last year marked a bottom and even going into 2024 we should see more sellers.

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Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 535

Housing Wire

MARCH 30, 2024

The best housing story in 2024 is that inventory is growing — both active inventory and new listings. With mortgage rates at the current levels, inventory is still below my expectations, but it’s still such a positive story that I had to discuss it on CNBC last week. Still, new listing data is a positive story.

Inventory 477

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Housing Market 477

Housing Wire

JUNE 18, 2024

By now everyone knows that unsold inventory of homes on the market is climbing. But is that unsold inventory surging? Inventory is up this week There are now 621,000 single-family homes unsold on the market around the U.S. In the last few weeks, Inventory is no longer growing compared to last year. Now there are 37.6%

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Inventory Contracts Housing Market New Listings 444

Housing Wire

MARCH 11, 2024

Last fall when people were still expecting mortgage rates to be falling this year, it was common to assume rates would be in the low 6s or 5s this year and people asked me if lower rates would bring a flood of inventory. The only way inventory would grow in 2024 is if mortgage rates climbed. That’s 15% growth over the pace of 2023.

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Inventory New Listings Sellers Real Estate 516

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 11, 2023

Total housing inventory growth has been slow in 2023, but with rising mortgage rates over the last few months, inventory has grown a bit faster than average. The question now is: Have we hit the seasonal peak in inventory for 2023? We might have reached the peak in inventory this week.

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Inventory New Listings Mortgage Retail 498

Housing Wire

MAY 28, 2024

It’s the end of May and unsold inventory on the market is increasing across the U.S. Every state in the country has more homes on the market now than a year ago and, in many places, new construction is being completed and added to inventory, so it’s not just resale inventory that’s growing. Higher rates create more inventory.

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Inventory New Listings Contracts Sellers 533

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 28, 2023

31, 2022, that mortgage rates would hit 8% in 2023, you would reasonably assume housing inventory would sky rocket higher, home prices would fall noticeably, and the number of price cuts would be higher year over year. Last year, the seasonal peak for inventory was Oct. Weekly inventory change (Oct.

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Inventory Mortgage New Listings Marketing 516

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 4, 2024

How will mortgage rates impact seasonal inventory in 2024? In the last four years, we have had abnormal seasonal inventory data, meaning that the spring inventory bottom happens later in the year. This is due to demand rising late in one year, pushing through the early part of the next year and preventing inventory growth.

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Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 521

Housing Wire

JULY 9, 2023

The slow zombie crawl of housing inventory went lower last week as inventory was negative week to week. As we can see in the chart below, it’s been so slow that year-over-year inventory is now negative versus 2022. As we can see below, there is a big difference between 2023 data for this week versus 2022 data.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 499

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 25, 2023

However, the recent drop in housing inventory has more to do with seasonality factors than lower mortgage rates. Higher mortgage rates did push inventory higher during the seasonal period when it would normally be declining. The question now is what will inventory look like in the spring if mortgage rates keep falling?

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Inventory Mortgage New Listings Buyers 536

Housing Wire

JUNE 21, 2024

Both existing housing inventory and home prices have been rising together year over year, which might seem odd at first glance since existing home sales are trending near all-time lows. When you connect the dots, this is a short and simple answer to why housing inventory and home prices are both rising. Sales descended 2.8%

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Inventory Housing Market New Listings Contracts 478

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 7, 2023

Unfortunately, those higher mortgage rates didn’t spur inventory growth this week, so we didn’t even get the benefit we would usually see when rates rise. Not only has that not happened, but in the last two weeks, with mortgage rates pushing even higher, active inventory only grew by 2,286 single-family homes.

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Inventory New Listings Mortgage Marketing 502

Housing Wire

JULY 8, 2024

There have been a few markets; however, that have defied the national trends where inventory has stayed tighter and demand keeps rolling in. Available inventory of unsold homes in the U.S. After June 2023, mortgage rates climbed from the 6s into the 7s on the way to 8% by October. Inventory is rising everywhere in the country.

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Inventory Contracts Sellers New Listings 482

Housing Wire

JULY 24, 2024

The drop in sales is causing a rapid rise in unsold inventory. The median price stayed flat in June, registering at $417,300, a $300 drop from June 2023 and a 2.5% The median price stayed flat in June, registering at $417,300, a $300 drop from June 2023 and a 2.5% Though new home inventory in June remained elevated at a 9.3-month

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Inventory Construction Realtors Marketing 440

Housing Wire

APRIL 23, 2023

Since 2020, the seasonal bottom for housing inventory has arrived several months later than normal, making it more complicated to track housing inventory data. Still, we have some promising signs that we might have finally hit the inventory bottom for 2023. Again, I am a bit mindful here due to Easter.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 545

Housing Wire

JANUARY 16, 2024

The longer we stay with mortgage rates higher, the more inventory will build closer to where it used to be. Higher mortgage rates means more inventory. If mortgage rates fall into the 5s this spring, you should expect the available inventory to decline as demand picks up rapidly. Inventory ticked up this week.

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Inventory New Listings Sellers Contracts 479

Housing Wire

JULY 19, 2024

They say everything is bigger in Texas — and apparently that includes housing inventory growth. months in Q2 2023 to 4.6 Sales were down 3% compared to Q2 2023, falling to 93,417. Houston inventory was up 42.5% While available homes for sale are growing all over the country , it’s happening at a dramatic scale in Texas.

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Inventory Realtors Housing Market Buyers 471

Housing Wire

JULY 29, 2024

in June compared to a year ago, indicating that rising inventory still needs further saturation before making a meaningful dent in affordability. While inventory nationally and in most markets is higher than one year ago, it remains low from a historical perspective,” First American chief economist Mark Fleming said in a statement.

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Inventory Marketing Buyers Housing Market 481

Housing Wire

JANUARY 13, 2024

Last week, housing inventory grew and the number of price cuts fell, which is expected at this time of the year. I hope the next thing we see is housing inventory grow at the level it typically does in January or February instead of being delayed until March or April. So let’s hope for more home sellers in 2024. 2022 21.7%

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Inventory New Listings Retail Mortgage 534

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 10, 2024

So far in 2024, fewer homes are taking price cuts than in 2023, and this trend is on the verge of breaking below the 2023 lows in price cuts percentages. While weekly inventory is still falling, we have year-over-year growth in total active listing and new listings data.

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Inventory New Listings Retail Mortgage 520

Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2024

Housing inventory, new listing data and mortgage rates are all rising, but the price cut data percentages are falling. However, at the current trend, we will break below the lows in the price cut percentage data that we saw in 2023 in the spring of this year. 12-19) : Inventory rose from 505,223 to 506,414 Same week last year (Jan.

Inventory 541

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 541

Housing Wire

AUGUST 29, 2024

Unsold inventory of homes on the market has been climbing in the U.S. In general, inventory rises with rates because more expensive money slows demand. When demand slows, inventory grows. Inventory is climbing but it’s still pretty restricted. And importantly, inventory isn’t growing everywhere equally.

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Inventory Real Estate Housing Market Construction 482

Housing Wire

JUNE 4, 2023

Last week we saw a noticeable slowdown in housing inventory growth that I hope has more to do with a holiday week than a trend. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active inventory grew 3,180 weekly , and new listing data fell week to week and is still trending at an all-time low in 2023.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 464

Appraisal Buzz

SEPTEMBER 13, 2024

With buyer demand notably slow this year, the inventory of unsold homes is expected to continue its climb through the end of Q3, and possibly into Q4, according to a recent study from Altos Research. Looking forward, the real estate market is likely to remain challenging for sellers as inventory grows and buyer demand stays muted.

Inventory 397

Inventory Real Estate Marketing New Listings 397

Housing Wire

APRIL 30, 2023

The spring housing market music is playing, and purchase application data and active listing inventory rose together last week. The fear of not having an increase in inventory this spring should be put to rest. Since 2020, the seasonal inventory bump has happened later than usual — not until March or April.

Inventory 524

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 524

Housing Wire

MAY 7, 2023

Just when I thought it was safe to say we were getting more traditional spring housing inventory , we hit a snag last week, as active inventory and new listings declined. Weekly housing inventory The numbers this week are unfortunate: inventory should be growing like it does at this time every year.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 505

Housing Wire

JULY 2, 2023

Housing inventory finally broke under 2022 levels last week. Since May 15, that trend has continued to the point that inventory in America is now negative year over year. 9, 2022, and today you can see the final result of that dynamic shift as inventory is now negative versus the 2022 data — all before July 4th.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 482

Housing Wire

APRIL 16, 2023

The seasonal housing inventory bottom evaded us again last week as active listings fell and new listing inventory decreased. Purchase application data rose again, with more positive than negative data in 2023. This is one reason housing inventory has taken so long to bottom out. The answer is no!

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 538

Housing Wire

APRIL 6, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data — both active inventory and new listings — are prone to one-week moves that deviate from a trend, especially if people are going Easter egg hunting. So, the fact that active inventory and new listings data fell last week isn’t a big deal. However, for now, this is a plus for the U.S. 2022: 17.6%

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Inventory New Listings Mortgage Housing Market 486