Housing Wire

DECEMBER 21, 2024

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell played the Grinch last week for the housing market, sending mortgage rates higher after his remarks at the Fed presser on Wednesday. Weekly pending sales The latest weekly pending contract data from Altos Research offers an exciting glimpse into the real-time dynamics of housing demand.

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Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 1, 2024

Have we seen the peak in housing inventory for 2024? The best part about 2024 has been that higher mortgage rates have created an inventory buffer, so if the economy gets softer and rates fall, we have many more homes to work with than we had in 2020-2023. Weekly inventory change (Aug.

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Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 538

Housing Wire

MARCH 2, 2024

The mortgage rate lockdown premise says that if rates rise, inventory can’t grow meaningfully. Let’s take a look at the inventory data this year to test this premise, since for many months it has been a working theory of mine that new listings data behavior last year marked a bottom and even going into 2024 we should see more sellers.

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Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 535

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 4, 2023

Now that Thanksgiving is behind us and December is well under way, we can start looking ahead to the 2024 housing market. New listings and home sales remain low this week while available inventory of unsold homes is finally falling across the country after rising with mortgage rates late into November. Inventory is 1.2%

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 505

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 30, 2024

is the highest level for the PHSI since February 2023, according to NAR. “Despite higher mortgage rates in November and persistent affordability challengers, buyers took advantage of more inventory as pending home sales reached the highest level in nearly two years. compared to November 2023. month over month and 6.9%

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Housing Wire

JULY 20, 2024

We finally have six weeks of numbers that hit my housing inventory growth model perfectly in 2024. Last year, with higher mortgage rates , we had zero weeks at this level so I am now giving 2024 inventory growth a grade of A. have higher inventory than the national data.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 30, 2024

The best housing story in 2024 is that inventory is growing — both active inventory and new listings. With mortgage rates at the current levels, inventory is still below my expectations, but it’s still such a positive story that I had to discuss it on CNBC last week. Still, new listing data is a positive story.

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Inventory New Listings Mortgage Housing Market 501

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 19, 2024

The COVID-19 pandemic turned previously sleepy cities into boomtowns.Expanded or permanent work-from-home policies gave people more flexibility in where to live, and those in uber-expensive markets like San Francisco and Manhattan took advantage by moving to areas where they could get more space for less money.

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Inventory Valuation Housing Market Marketing 468

Housing Wire

APRIL 20, 2024

Housing inventory finally hit my target level of growth last week with mortgage rates now over 7.25% , something I couldn’t get all last year. Weekly housing inventory data Higher mortgage rates with duration will likely lead to higher inventory, which we have seen repeatedly for the past 10 years. 2022: 18.7%

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Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 4, 2024

How will mortgage rates impact seasonal inventory in 2024? In the last four years, we have had abnormal seasonal inventory data, meaning that the spring inventory bottom happens later in the year. This is due to demand rising late in one year, pushing through the early part of the next year and preventing inventory growth.

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Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 523

Housing Wire

JANUARY 28, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data Here is a look at last week: Weekly inventory change (Jan. 19-26) : Inventory fell from 506,414 to 503,233 Same week last year (Jan. Weekly housing inventory data Here is a look at last week: Weekly inventory change (Jan. So, inventory falling looks normal.

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Inventory New Listings Mortgage Marketing 525

Housing Wire

AUGUST 17, 2024

Have lower mortgage rates already started to slow down housing inventory? I have a simple weekly growth model with the Altos inventory data: when rates are high, over 7.25%, inventory should grow between 11,000-17,000 weekly. Still, I would consider the last month of inventory growth healthy.

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Inventory Mortgage New Listings Contracts 518

Housing Wire

JULY 6, 2024

Now that we are halfway through the year, we can see that active inventory in America is growing, unlike what happened in 2023. This is precisely what the doctor ordered for the housing market. Let’s take a half-time look at the inventory levels in America today. have higher inventory data than the national data.

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Housing Market Mortgage Inventory Marketing 476

Housing Wire

MAY 25, 2024

The mortgage rate lockdown premise holds that very few people will list their homes when mortgage rates are this high, thus suppressing inventory. 2024 has had healthy inventory growth despite mortgage rates above 7%. Each time, inventory has squared right into the model as long as rates stay elevated.

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Inventory Mortgage New Listings Marketing 521

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 10, 2024

So far in 2024, fewer homes are taking price cuts than in 2023, and this trend is on the verge of breaking below the 2023 lows in price cuts percentages. While weekly inventory is still falling, we have year-over-year growth in total active listing and new listings data.

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Inventory New Listings Retail Mortgage 521

Housing Wire

MAY 4, 2024

My model for inventory growth with higher mortgage rates came crashing down last week. After two weeks of significant increases , inventory growth slowed dramatically and is far from my 11,000-17,000 growth model with mortgage rates over 7.25%. Let’s delve into the weekly data to see what we can uncover.

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Inventory Mortgage New Listings Marketing 501

Housing Wire

JUNE 21, 2024

Both existing housing inventory and home prices have been rising together year over year, which might seem odd at first glance since existing home sales are trending near all-time lows. Let’s keep it simple: total active listings are still below 2019 levels nationally, and the days on market are under 30 days today.

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Inventory Housing Market New Listings Contracts 482

Housing Wire

JUNE 18, 2024

I’ve been highly tuned in looking for signals that the housing market is slowing. By now everyone knows that unsold inventory of homes on the market is climbing. But is that unsold inventory surging? No need to fear, a housing market crash is not imminent. Higher rates lead to more inventory.

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Inventory Contracts Housing Market New Listings 448

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 18, 2024

What will the housing market look like in 2025? We already see many signals for what to expect, including last week’s data on inventory , new listings and price reductions, which I analyze below. For a more comprehensive look, read our 2025 Housing Market Forecast covering home prices, home sales volumes and more.

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Housing Market New Listings Marketing Inventory 448

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 13, 2024

Housing inventory, which saw an excellent pickup a few weeks ago, has been slowing down and last week we saw a slight decline. Has seasonality finally kicked in or did back-to-back hurricanes slow things enough to influence inventory data? Since then, inventory growth has been slowing down and even declined last week.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 11, 2024

Last fall when people were still expecting mortgage rates to be falling this year, it was common to assume rates would be in the low 6s or 5s this year and people asked me if lower rates would bring a flood of inventory. The only way inventory would grow in 2024 is if mortgage rates climbed. That’s 15% growth over the pace of 2023.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 6, 2023

held up in 2023, sales volume in the housing market cratered. The industry is in a deep housing recession this year. If we get lucky with mortgage rates, though, we might just be at the bottom of the housing market recession right now. To get the weekly picture of the housing market, watch the video above.

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory Contracts 516

Housing Wire

JANUARY 1, 2024

The 2023 housing market faced one of the same roadblocks we saw in 2022: mortgage rates were too high for home sales growth. Now that we’re in 2024, the Federal Reserve ‘s rate hike cycle is over, so let’s look at what that means for housing demand and home prices. Instead, they closed 2023 at 6.67%.

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Housing Market Marketing New Listings Construction 531

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 21, 2024

Relatively cheap housing, low taxes, looser COVID-19 restrictions and an influx of major employers turned Texas housing markets into hotspots after the pandemic began in March 2020. In May 2023, the annualized decline bottomed out at a hefty 13.2%. Inventory growth peaked at a shocking 345.8% in April 2023.

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Appraisal Buzz

DECEMBER 30, 2024

If youre thinking about buying or selling a house and wondering about the housing market, youre not the only one. The real estate market has seen a lot of unusual trends in the past couple of years, so it makes sense that youd want the latest market update before you make any major decisions!

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Housing Wire

APRIL 6, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data — both active inventory and new listings — are prone to one-week moves that deviate from a trend, especially if people are going Easter egg hunting. So, the fact that active inventory and new listings data fell last week isn’t a big deal. However, for now, this is a plus for the U.S.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 22, 2023

Going more in-depth than a Fed meeting, our virtual Housing Market Update event provides you with the strategy-building insights needed to operate in 2024. It’s a savagely unhealthy housing market out there, and these economists unpack what that means for you. Register for the virtual event on Dec.

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory Sellers 501

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 9, 2024

Weve now been in the post-pandemic housing market recession market as long as we were in the pandemic boom. Does the housing market start to get back to normal? We know inventory has been climbing all year. But, the market change isnt evenly distributed. Inventory is growing Lets start with supply.

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory Sellers 418

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 26, 2024

Since mid-2022 when mortgage rates headed higher , two facts have been apparent: new listings data has been trending at the lowest levels ever recorded in history and inventory has been able to grow from record low levels thanks to mortgage rates staying elevated. As you can see, we have made progress in inventory growth year after year.

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Inventory Sellers New Listings Mortgage 523

Housing Wire

MAY 28, 2024

It’s the end of May and unsold inventory on the market is increasing across the U.S. Every state in the country has more homes on the market now than a year ago and, in many places, new construction is being completed and added to inventory, so it’s not just resale inventory that’s growing.

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Inventory New Listings Contracts Sellers 534

Housing Wire

JULY 19, 2024

They say everything is bigger in Texas — and apparently that includes housing inventory growth. months in Q2 2023 to 4.6 Sales were down 3% compared to Q2 2023, falling to 93,417. Houston inventory was up 42.5% compared to the same period last year. It grew from 3.1 year over year to $345,000.

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Inventory Realtors Housing Market Buyers 476

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 27, 2023

After experiencing a temporary hiccup between July 2022 to January 2023, the U.S. housing market is back on track , stronger than ever, with a total estimated value of $52 trillion, according to a new analysis by Orphe Divounguy, a senior economist at Zillow Group. housing market has surged by more than $2.6

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Housing Wire

OCTOBER 28, 2023

31, 2022, that mortgage rates would hit 8% in 2023, you would reasonably assume housing inventory would sky rocket higher, home prices would fall noticeably, and the number of price cuts would be higher year over year. Last year, the seasonal peak for inventory was Oct. Weekly inventory change (Oct.

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Inventory Mortgage New Listings Marketing 516

Housing Wire

MARCH 16, 2024

Since November 2023, we have had 10 positive and five negative purchase application prints after making holiday adjustments. Weekly housing inventory data The one positive story for me in housing this year is that inventory is growing year over year for both active inventory and new listing data.

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Housing Wire

OCTOBER 23, 2024

And while the slower sales pace may not be great news for real estate professionals, it has resulted in an uptick in inventory , which is good news for homebuyers. For-sale inventory at the end of September was 1.39 month supply of unsold inventory, up from 4.2 months in September 2023. from September 2023.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 25, 2023

However, the recent drop in housing inventory has more to do with seasonality factors than lower mortgage rates. Higher mortgage rates did push inventory higher during the seasonal period when it would normally be declining. The question now is what will inventory look like in the spring if mortgage rates keep falling?

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Appraisal Buzz

AUGUST 14, 2024

homebuyers as a strong economy bolsters the housing market, according to the Realtor.com 2024 Forecast Update. The report predicts a year-end rise in both for-sale inventory and the median sales price of existing homes, projecting increases of 14.5% Mortgage relief is on the horizon for U.S. The forecast anticipates a 14.5%

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