Housing Wire

MARCH 11, 2024

Last fall when people were still expecting mortgage rates to be falling this year, it was common to assume rates would be in the low 6s or 5s this year and people asked me if lower rates would bring a flood of inventory. The only way inventory would grow in 2024 is if mortgage rates climbed. That’s 15% growth over the pace of 2023.

Inventory 516

Inventory Sellers New Listings Real Estate 516

Housing Wire

JULY 8, 2024

There have been a few markets; however, that have defied the national trends where inventory has stayed tighter and demand keeps rolling in. Available inventory of unsold homes in the U.S. After June 2023, mortgage rates climbed from the 6s into the 7s on the way to 8% by October. Inventory is rising everywhere in the country.

Inventory 482

Inventory Contracts Sellers New Listings 482

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 13, 2024

Housing inventory, which saw an excellent pickup a few weeks ago, has been slowing down and last week we saw a slight decline. Has seasonality finally kicked in or did back-to-back hurricanes slow things enough to influence inventory data? Since then, inventory growth has been slowing down and even declined last week.

Inventory 511

Inventory New Listings Retail Mortgage 511

Housing Wire

JUNE 18, 2024

By now everyone knows that unsold inventory of homes on the market is climbing. But is that unsold inventory surging? Inventory is up this week There are now 621,000 single-family homes unsold on the market around the U.S. In the last few weeks, Inventory is no longer growing compared to last year. Now there are 37.6%

Inventory 448

Inventory Contracts Housing Market New Listings 448

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 16, 2023

Available inventory of unsold homes rose by 1.8% The leading indicators for sales prices show that 2023 will end with home price gains of 1-2% over 2022, but the 2024 outlook is weakening and depends on your view of mortgage rates in Q1 and whether home prices will appreciate next year. Will we see inventory growth YoY by November?

Inventory 482

Inventory Contracts Sellers New Listings 482

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 26, 2024

Since mid-2022 when mortgage rates headed higher , two facts have been apparent: new listings data has been trending at the lowest levels ever recorded in history and inventory has been able to grow from record low levels thanks to mortgage rates staying elevated. As you can see, we have made progress in inventory growth year after year.

Inventory 523

Inventory Sellers New Listings Mortgage 523

Housing Wire

APRIL 15, 2024

Higher mortgage rates have forced available inventory to climb all year. Housing inventory There are now 526,000 single-family homes active unsold on the market. jump in unsold inventory in a week is very notable. As mortgage rates rise, inventory rises. Or, to put it another way: demand slows, inventory grows.

Inventory 459

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 459

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 16, 2024

As the year draws to a close, available unsold inventory of homes on the market is nearly 27% greater than a year ago. Almost every market in the country has more homes available now than at the end of 2023. Ten states have more inventory unsold than in 2019, which was the last sort of normal year before the pandemic.

Inventory 369

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Sellers 369

Housing Wire

JUNE 21, 2024

Both existing housing inventory and home prices have been rising together year over year, which might seem odd at first glance since existing home sales are trending near all-time lows. When you connect the dots, this is a short and simple answer to why housing inventory and home prices are both rising. Sales descended 2.8%

Inventory 482

Inventory Housing Market New Listings Contracts 482

Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2023

On Friday NAR reported that total housing inventory levels broke under 1 million in December, dropping to 970,00 units for a population of 330 million people. million in January down to about 4 million in December, We now have total inventory levels near all-time lows again. In one of the most historical years in the U.S.

Inventory 541

Inventory Housing Market New Listings Marketing 541

Housing Wire

MARCH 18, 2024

real estate market were for inventory growth, sales growth and home-price growth across the U.S. Of my initial expectations this year — rising inventory, rising sales rates, rising prices — only rising inventory remains clear at this moment as we finish Q1 with rising interest rates. As we started 2024, the signals in the U.S.

Inventory 468

Inventory New Listings Sellers Contracts 468

Housing Wire

JUNE 24, 2024

Inventory grew by almost 14,000 homes this week. Available inventory of unsold homes continues to grow but that growth in seems a bit less intense than it could be. He expects the second half of the year to see even more inventory growth. Inventory increases by 2.2% Sellers can just wait it out, and it looks like the U.S.

Inventory 457

Inventory Sellers New Listings Property Taxes 457

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 20, 2023

Last week, I asserted that housing inventory growth had finished for the year. This week, the available inventory of unsold single-family homes crept up minimally. Housing inventory inches up There were 570,000 single-family homes on the market, or 0.5% Turns out I was wrong! After all, more sellers means more sales in 2024.

Inventory 476

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Sellers 476

Housing Wire

AUGUST 19, 2024

Unsold inventory of homes for sale has been on the rise all year. It hasn’t turned the corner yet — inventory rose across the country this week — but at less than 1% rate. There are some signs that inventory growth is slowing with newly lower mortgage rates and the end of the summer. Texas inventory grew by 1.5%

Inventory 435

Inventory New Listings Sellers Buyers 435

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 26, 2023

Available inventory of homes for sale is on the rise in late September, which is very unusual for this time of year. In fact, inventory is growing faster than this time a year ago. What’s happening with inventory? Normally by this point in September, available inventory is declining slightly each week.

Inventory 505

Inventory Contracts New Listings Mortgage 505

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 23, 2024

Weekly pending sales The Altos Research weekly pending contract data provides insights into real-time demand. Even today, the pending contract data remains resilient despite higher home prices and mortgage rates than last year. Weekly inventory change (Nov. Weekly inventory change (Nov.

Mortgage 514

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Contracts 514

Housing Wire

AUGUST 29, 2024

Unsold inventory of homes on the market has been climbing in the U.S. In general, inventory rises with rates because more expensive money slows demand. When demand slows, inventory grows. Inventory is climbing but it’s still pretty restricted. And importantly, inventory isn’t growing everywhere equally.

Inventory 482

Inventory Real Estate Housing Market Construction 482

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 30, 2024

However, the recent peak in the 10-year yield was around 5% in 2023, and the downtrend from that level is intact for now. Mortgage spreads The mortgage spread situation has improved in 2024, especially compared to the tough times in 2023. If spreads had remained as high as in 2023, mortgage rates today would be about 0.60% higher.

Mortgage 518

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Contracts 518

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 7, 2024

We also see growth in our pending contract data compared to 2022 and 2023. Weekly pending sales The weekly pending contract data from Altos Research offers an insightful look into real-time housing demand. Mortgage spreads The mortgage spread situation has improved a lot this year, especially compared to the tough times in 2023.

New Listings 505

New Listings Inventory Contracts Housing Market 505

Housing Wire

MARCH 26, 2023

These events led to lower mortgage rates and increased purchase application data last week, but decreased housing inventory. Active inventory fell 1,109, and new listing data made a lovely comeback week to week but was still noticeably down year over year. In a regular market, they would be closer to 5.25%. million.

Inventory 476

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 476

Housing Wire

MARCH 22, 2024

Unlike many other metropolitan areas across the country , the housing market in Southwest Florida is comparably flush with for-sale inventory. “I We are seeing a healthy increase in inventory, which we really needed.” Smith attributes the uptick in inventory to a bump in new listings. From 2022 to 2023 alone, rates rose 15%.

Insurance 448

Insurance Inventory Marketing Real Estate 448

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 4, 2020

More importantly, he said the current environment may even holdup into 2023. “We However, Nothaft expects that mortgages originated today, with a contract rate of 3% or lower, are more likely to have a relatively long life and lenders will not see them coming into refinance anytime soon. “That’s a lot of mortgages.

Mortgage 518

Mortgage Contracts Construction Inventory 518

Appraisal Buzz

AUGUST 30, 2024

A forward-looking measure of home sales based on contract signings, the Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI) fell to 70.2 The level of contract activity in 2001 is represented by an index of 100. “A from July 2023 to 64.6, from July 2023 to 56.2. “In in July, the lowest level since the index’s inception in 2001. July saw a 3.8%

Contracts 312

Contracts Realtors Inventory Buyers 312

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 16, 2022

After the series wraps, join us on February 6 for the HW+ Virtual 2023 Forecast Event. The last year has been a completely split housing market — one that started with the lowest inventory NAR has recorded dating back to 1999 and one with low mortgage rates. One projection for 2023 is an easier buying market for first-time buyers.

Buyers 497

Buyers Realtors Inventory Sellers 497

Appraisal Buzz

SEPTEMBER 13, 2024

With buyer demand notably slow this year, the inventory of unsold homes is expected to continue its climb through the end of Q3, and possibly into Q4, according to a recent study from Altos Research. Pending sales have remained relatively flat, with around 67,000 new contracts being initiated as of July.

Inventory 397

Inventory Real Estate Marketing New Listings 397

Housing Wire

AUGUST 7, 2023

As a result, the available inventory of homes for sale is slightly higher each week. With fewer transactions, inventory is building just a bit as we approach the end of the summer. When will inventory peak for the year? Inventory Inventory is still climbing just a bit each week as we approach the end of the season.

Inventory 369

Inventory New Listings Contracts Sellers 369

Housing Wire

MAY 4, 2023

On the other hand, inventory is still low, and homes are still selling fast, often with multiple offers. Sales and new pending contracts are below pre-pandemic levels. What can we expect in 2023? At the same time, there are some key trends I think will characterize the housing market in 2023. Buyer disappointment.

Housing Market 448

Housing Market Marketing Inventory Buyers 448

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 28, 2024

Housing demand is very seasonal, so the fact that our pending contract data is firming up lately just shows that lower mortgage rates have stabilized and firmed up demand recently. Weekly pending sales Below is the Altos Research weekly pending contract data to show real-time demand. Weekly inventory change (Sept.

Mortgage 525

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Contracts 525

Housing Wire

JANUARY 22, 2024

Those metrics, specifically the pace of new listings and new sales contracts, slowed this week. New listings and new contracts both still show a bit of improvement over 2023, but the growth rates have slid back down. The state of California had 20% more contracts started last week than the same week a year ago.

Real Estate 488

Real Estate New Listings Contracts Inventory 488

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 12, 2022

The forecast for the housing market in 2023 gets worse by the month, with the latest report predicting a million-plus decline in existing home sales. trillion in 2023, according to the government-sponsored enterprise. Looking ahead to the full year 2023, Fannie Mae expects an average home price decline of 1.5%. million in 2023.

Contracts 448

Contracts Modernization Housing Market Mortgage 448

Housing Wire

JUNE 3, 2024

These are the homes that go into contract immediately after listing. Inventory continues to build There are now 605,000 single-family homes on the market. Inventory continues to build each week as mortgage rates stay over 7%. Inventory rose by 1.7% Higher interest rates that lead to greater inventory.

Inventory 516

Inventory Contracts New Listings Sellers 516

Housing Wire

AUGUST 21, 2023

Buyers in this real estate market notice these affordability changes, and so we can see in the data fewer home purchase offers, slightly climbing unsold inventory, and slightly more price reductions for the homes that are on the market. Rising rates make more inventory. So how much inventory will we add this fall?

Inventory 370

Inventory Contracts Buyers Sellers 370

Housing Wire

JULY 13, 2024

In 2023, following the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank , the spreads between the 30-year mortgage and 10-year yield were at their worst, leading to new cycle highs. If we took the worst levels of the spreads from 2023 and incorporated those today, mortgage rates would be 0.48% higher right now.

Mortgage 514

Mortgage New Listings Inventory Contracts 514

Housing Wire

JULY 6, 2024

Now that we are halfway through the year, we can see that active inventory in America is growing, unlike what happened in 2023. We are currently up to 652,573 single-family homes, and while that isn’t close to average active inventory levels, it’s a much better place today than in 2022.

Housing Market 476

Housing Market Mortgage Inventory Marketing 476

Housing Wire

JUNE 15, 2024

Mortgage spreads The spread between the 30-year mortgage rate and the 10-year yield has been an issue since 2022 and things got worse after the March 2023 banking crisis. If we took the worst levels of the spreads from 2023 and incorporated those today, mortgage rates would be 0.52% higher.

Mortgage 508

Mortgage Inventory Marketing New Listings 508

Housing Wire

APRIL 29, 2024

The bearish take is that there are many more sellers than buyers and inventory is rising. In addition to a higher number of new listings, there were also more new contracts started this week than in any week in 2023. Housing inventory There are now 556,000 single-family homes on the market. Mortgage rates are at 7.5%

Sellers 508

Sellers Marketing Inventory Contracts 508

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 27, 2023

If you follow real estate data closely, you’ll know that inventory rose late into November. Inventory (finally) peaks for the year Housing inventory was down by 0.7% Inventory hit 566,000 homes on the market, meaning there are 0.5% You also know that new listings are up over last year, too. Short on time? from last week.

New Listings 508

New Listings Contracts Inventory Housing Market 508