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CoreLogic home-price report shows slowest appreciation rate since July 2023

Housing Wire

That is the slowest rate of growth since July 2023. But high mortgage rates and affordability challenges put a damper on home-price growth in August. That’s according to CoreLogic ’s Home Price Index, which showed that prices rose 3.9% during the year ending August 2024.

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CFPB reports ‘significant’ drop in mortgage applications, originations in 2023

Housing Wire

Mortgage application and origination activity dropped by roughly one-third from 2022 to 2023 as high interest rates depressed broader industry activity. The number of applications and originations continued their downward trend in 2023, with applications decreasing by 30% and originations decreasing by 32% from 2022, the report stated.

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How are mortgage rates affecting housing demand?

Housing Wire

However, the 10-year yield has managed to maintain its position, and the downtrend observed in the charts since the 10-year yield was at 5% in 2023 is still in place. Mortgage spreads The mortgage spread situation has shown improvement in 2024, in contrast to its negative performance in 2023.

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Housing inventory falls as mortgage rates drop

Housing Wire

The best part about 2024 has been that higher mortgage rates have created an inventory buffer, so if the economy gets softer and rates fall, we have many more homes to work with than we had in 2020-2023. 2023: 36% 2022: 39% Weekly pending sales Below is the Altos Research weekly pending contract data to show real-time demand.

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Housing demand still showing double-digit growth

Housing Wire

We also see growth in our pending contract data compared to 2022 and 2023. But, we observed an improvement in our weekly pending contract data and even today, despite elevated rates, the trend remains better than what we experienced in 2023 and most of 2024. 2022: 42% The week ahead: Inflation week!

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Will we see a Santa Claus rally in mortgage rates?

Housing Wire

However, the recent peak in the 10-year yield was around 5% in 2023, and the downtrend from that level is intact for now. Mortgage spreads The mortgage spread situation has improved in 2024, especially compared to the tough times in 2023. If spreads had remained as high as in 2023, mortgage rates today would be about 0.60% higher.

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Housing demand firming up with lower mortgage rates

Housing Wire

2024: 362,620 2023: 340,526 2022: 380,823 Purchase application data Even as mortgage rates ticked up just a smidge this week, the winning streak of consecutive positive purchase apps continues with five weeks of gains. Mortgage spreads The mortgage spread story has been positive in 2024, whereas it was negative in 2023.

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