Housing Wire

DECEMBER 21, 2024

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell played the Grinch last week for the housing market, sending mortgage rates higher after his remarks at the Fed presser on Wednesday. However, we need lower mortgage rates to grow sales in a bigger fashion in 2025. However, this year, mortgage rates rose during this timeframe.

Housing Market 505

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 505

Housing Wire

MARCH 8, 2024

Everyone was waiting to see if this week’s jobs report would send mortgage rates higher, which is what happened last month. For now, we can say the labor market isn’t tight anymore, but it’s also not breaking. I wrote that we should get back all the jobs lost to COVID-19 by September of 2022.

Marketing 511

Marketing Mortgage Transportation Insurance 511

Housing Wire

JANUARY 17, 2025

Todays housing starts data exceeded estimates; however, a closer examination of the report with the builder confidence reveals that the recent rise in mortgage rates , approaching 7.25%, has negatively affected builder sentiment. Since late 2022, our analysis indicates that mortgage rates in the 6%-6.5%

Mortgage 468

Mortgage Housing Market Construction Marketing 468

Housing Wire

JULY 15, 2024

If we look at the housing market right now, sales are down, new listings are down and prices are decelerating. Good inflation data came in last week, the bond market rallied and mortgage rates took a notable dip below 7% for the first time in months. Maybe we’re finally past the peak of mortgage rates ? Inventory is 38.5%

Housing Market 497

Housing Market New Listings Marketing Mortgage 497

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 7, 2024

Ironically, a strong employment situation in the country drives the bond market to higher rates. After the recent lows with mortgage rates this week, the 30-year fixed rate jumped back up over 6.5%. The purchase market is slower to respond, and the data now is still showing the positive impact of lower rates of recent weeks.

Housing Market 476

Housing Market Marketing Mortgage Contracts 476

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 6, 2023

Falling mortgage rates last week brought increased demand. 1 compared to the previous week , according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA). The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 7.17% last week. Refinance applications exceeded their 2022 levels for the second week in a row, a first since late 2021.

Mortgage 521

Mortgage Marketing Inventory Finance 521

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 23, 2024

It has been almost two months since mortgage rates spiked again, and my initial thought was this would tank housing demand. We had a positive 18-week period with purchase applications before mortgage rates started rising in September. Initially, the data showed more robust performance as mortgage rates approached 6%.

Mortgage 514

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Contracts 514

Housing Wire

JULY 9, 2024

Mortgage rates held steady over the past week despite recent signs of relief from the labor market, according to HousingWire’s Mortgage Rates Center. In large part because of the lack of clarity as to when the Federal Reserve will begin cutting the benchmark rate, mortgage rates remained above the 7% level.

Mortgage 459

Mortgage Marketing 459

Housing Wire

APRIL 23, 2024

New home sales have been one of the brighter housing stories since the home sales crash in 2022 — as we can see in the chart below, new home sales have been able to grow since then. This is one reason why the homebuilder stocks have done so well since November of 2022. The monthly supply of new homes is still at an elevated level of 8.3

Inventory 514

Inventory Construction Mortgage Buyers 514

Housing Wire

JANUARY 7, 2025

The new year has arrived, but little has changed regarding the direction of mortgage rates and their impact on the U.S. housing market. At HousingWire s Mortgage Rates Center on Tuesday, the 30-year fixed rate averaged 7.09%. ” Mortgage rates have continued to rise since the Federal Reserve meeting on Dec.

Housing Market 429

Housing Market Mortgage Marketing Inventory 429

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 23, 2023

housing market and that they need to be pro-housing again. Even with all the drama we have dealt with in 2022-2023, the housing market stayed intact and never broke. This got tested in 2023 with 8% mortgage rates ; not only did that not happen, but the new listing data was very stable, meaning it was forming a bottom.

Housing Market 538

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 538

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 7, 2024

Mortgage rates have made almost a 2% move lower from the highs of 2023. Now that the jobs week data is in, the question is: can mortgage rates go even lower? While the Fed can be old and slow, the bond market, thankfully, is doing a lot of the heavy lifting and has already priced in a lot of Fed easing policy.

Mortgage 533

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Marketing 533

Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2024

Mortgage rates had a chance to break to new highs this year, but the Federal Reserve took a moderate tone at the last Fed meeting. We saw the benefit of lower mortgage rates with the last two existing home sales reports, which showed growth. Then mortgage rates rose, facilitating five weeks of negative purchase application data.

Mortgage 521

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 521

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 28, 2024

Housing demand is very seasonal, so the fact that our pending contract data is firming up lately just shows that lower mortgage rates have stabilized and firmed up demand recently. It will likely take mortgage rates to go under 6% and stay there for an extended period to get real sustained demand growth from record-low sales levels.

Mortgage 525

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Contracts 525

Housing Wire

AUGUST 4, 2024

Mortgage rates moved massively lower last week without any Federal Reserve rate cuts, primarily because the labor market is getting softer. Can mortgage rates go even lower? As we can see below, when the market priced economic weakness earlier in 2024, it took the 10-year yield down toward 3.80% but didn’t break that level.

Mortgage 518

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 518

Housing Wire

JANUARY 2, 2025

Today, the jobless claims data again showed why mortgage rates continue to be elevated, confirming that the labor market isnt breaking. The labor market is getting softer but hasnt broken yet, as it has before every recession post World War II. Mortgage rates are expected to range between 5.75% and 7.25%.

Mortgage 505

Mortgage Construction Housing Market Marketing 505

Housing Wire

APRIL 27, 2024

I have a simple model with mortgage rates being above 7.25%: weekly inventory data should grow between 11,000-17,000 per week. When mortgage rates increase, demand falls and the price-cut percentage grows. 2022: 19.2% The mortgage spread data got worse last week. Last year, we never hit that target.

Inventory 514

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 514

Housing Wire

JULY 13, 2024

In 2023, following the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank , the spreads between the 30-year mortgage and 10-year yield were at their worst, leading to new cycle highs. This meant mortgage rates were significantly higher than average. Mortgage spreads Last year, the 10-year yield hit 5% and mortgage rates got above 8%.

Mortgage 514

Mortgage New Listings Inventory Contracts 514

Housing Wire

AUGUST 13, 2024

Refinance activity last week hit its highest level since August 2022, when mortgage rates were closer to 5%. Refinance activity received a major boost last week as mortgage rates declined on the back of expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates and a possible recession looms. for the week ending Aug.

Mortgage 493

Mortgage Government Marketing 493

Housing Wire

JANUARY 8, 2025

Heading into the 2025 housing market, we havent had this many homeowners with mortgage rates over 6% since 2016. of outstanding mortgages, around 8.7 million borrowers, carry a mortgage with an interest rate over 6%. had these cheap mortgages. People with expensive mortgages are more likely to sell their house.

Mortgage 488

Mortgage Inventory Finance Sellers 488

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 1, 2024

The best part about 2024 has been that higher mortgage rates have created an inventory buffer, so if the economy gets softer and rates fall, we have many more homes to work with than we had in 2020-2023. However, as mortgage rates have fallen recently , I haven’t been able to hit my targets, which isn’t a surprise.

Inventory 538

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 538

Appraisal Buzz

NOVEMBER 26, 2024

As 2025 draws near, mortgage rates are once again in the news. Zillow anticipates a more active housing market with more buyers obtaining the upper hand in 2025. As the market gradually recovers, 2025 should bring more sales and relatively moderate increases in property values. increase in property values in 2025.

Housing Market 396

Housing Market Tenants Marketing Mortgage 396

Housing Wire

APRIL 29, 2024

It’s still April, so there could be as many as eight more weeks of seller growth in the spring housing market. Mortgage rates are at 7.5% Mortgage rates are now topping 7.5%, the highest levels seen this year. housing market at the end of April 2024. Two years ago, inventory was jumping along with mortgage rates.

Sellers 508

Sellers Marketing Inventory Contracts 508

Housing Wire

JANUARY 1, 2024

The 2023 housing market faced one of the same roadblocks we saw in 2022: mortgage rates were too high for home sales growth. Every Saturday I publish a weekly housing market tracker with forward-looking data and insights so you can adjust quickly to market conditions. If the 10-year yield gets above 4.25%, the U.S.

Housing Market 531

Housing Market Marketing New Listings Construction 531

Housing Wire

MAY 25, 2024

The mortgage rate lockdown premise holds that very few people will list their homes when mortgage rates are this high, thus suppressing inventory. 2024 has had healthy inventory growth despite mortgage rates above 7%. When mortgage rates increase, demand falls, and the price-cut percentage grows.

Inventory 521

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Marketing 521

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 22, 2024

Have we seen the bottom in mortgage rates for 2024 after a crazy roller coaster ride so far this year? My 2024 forecast had a mortgage rate range of 7.25%-5.75%. To get to the lower end of this range, we needed to see two things: the labor market getting softer and the mortgage spreads improving. year over year.

Mortgage 525

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Contracts 525

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 17, 2024

Will mortgage rates break toward 8% again, making another 2024 data line that looks like a carbon copy of 2023? It’s not part of my 2024 forecast, but since the Federal Reserve likes playing with fire , let’s look at where we are with mortgage rates and their impact on weekly housing data. Serious mortgage rate talk!

Mortgage 536

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 536

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 4, 2024

How will mortgage rates impact seasonal inventory in 2024? Also, when mortgage rates rise, the inventory peak happens later in the year. I am a very pro-housing supply person and will feel much better about the housing market when we return to pre-COVID-19 levels for total active listings.

Inventory 523

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 523

Housing Wire

MARCH 2, 2024

The mortgage rate lockdown premise says that if rates rise, inventory can’t grow meaningfully. The idea is that nobody will trade their low mortgage rates to buy another home — even though this happened every week last year. With mortgage rates higher, will this stop inventory from growing year over year?

Inventory 535

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 535

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 15, 2024

An often misguided premise I see on social media is that lower mortgage rates are doing nothing for housing demand. Purchase application data First, purchase apps is the fastest way to look for positive or negative data at higher or lower mortgage rates. That’s ok — very few people are looking at the data without an agenda.

Mortgage 521

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Retail 521

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 5, 2024

18 and mortgage rates and bond yields headed higher. But, we have to remember that mortgage rates had already made an almost 2% move lower since the highs of 2023 without rate cuts, as the bond market always gets ahead of the Fed. This explains the rise in mortgage rates since the Fed cut rates.

Mortgage 511

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Retail 511

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 30, 2024

Despite initial concerns that tariffs would push mortgage rates up to 8% and reduce housing demand, this week has brought some encouraging news. The 10-year yield has remained stable at a crucial technical level and even reversed direction, resulting in improved mortgage rates. This is what happened in the last two years.

Mortgage 518

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Contracts 518

Housing Wire

JUNE 8, 2024

Given last week’s surprising jobs report, how much longer will we have to deal with higher mortgage rates ? It’s essential to track the labor data along with inflation because the key to getting lower mortgage rates for longer lies with the labor data more than inflation. Still, the labor market hasn’t broken yet.

Mortgage 508

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Contracts 508

Housing Wire

AUGUST 14, 2024

Industry-leading reverse mortgage lender Finance of America (FOA) detailed some of its ambitions in appealing to senior borrowers, which includes new TV commercials that feature former American Advisors Group (AAG) turned FOA spokesman Tom Selleck.

Finance 435

Finance Marketing Mortgage Retail 435

Housing Wire

JUNE 1, 2024

Mortgage rates have been a bit more volatile recently due to hawkish Federal Reserve statements and inflation data, which has impacted some of the recent movement in the 10-year yield. So, what does this all mean for the housing market and the future of mortgage rates? But now we have the big jobs week coming up!

Mortgage 520

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 520

Appraisal Buzz

OCTOBER 16, 2024

According to the Realtor.com September Rental Report, there remains a geographical gap in the rental market despite a national trend of overall rent declines. Despite a nationwide decline in rent, nine of the ten Midwestern markets included in the 50-metro survey experienced year-over-year increases in rent in September.

Sellers 418

Sellers Buyers Marketing Mortgage 418

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 16, 2024

The COVID-19 pandemic turned a number of nontraditional cities into housing market hotspots. While some of those markets have since seen a reversal of fortunes, 2025 may bring a few more surprises. Locked-in mortgages have been widely credited with cutting off housing inventory.

Housing Market 418

Housing Market Marketing Inventory Realtors 418