Housing Wire

DECEMBER 21, 2024

While it’s common to see a seasonal dip in volume at this time of year, theres a silver lining: we’ve been observing solid year-over-year growth when comparing our data to 2022 and 2023. Weekly housing inventory data As we enter the year’s final weeks, we usually see a drop in housing inventory.

Housing Market 505

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 505

Housing Wire

MARCH 18, 2025

New home sales arent crashing anymore New home sales peaked in October of 2020 with 1,031,000 new home sales and then in 2022 that number crashed all the way down to 519,000 by June. However, after that decline and when mortgage rates started to fall late in 2022 home sales rebounded all the way back to 741,0000.

Construction 436

Construction Inventory Housing Market Mortgage 436

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 28, 2024

We track inventory and home sales very closely, so the biggest surprise this year has been the resiliency of home prices. Inventory ticked down this week Inventory ticked down to 738,000 from 739,000 last week. Our model had expected inventory to climb just a bit this week. They have not.

Inventory 476

Inventory New Listings Sellers Contracts 476

Housing Wire

APRIL 15, 2025

Unsold inventory of homes on the market has been rising for years and is already at the highest level since 2019 nationally. Total unsold inventory is up, and the weekly pace of new sellers adding to that inventory is up too. We saw this in September 2022, again in September 2023, in May 2024, and in February 2025.

Housing Market 435

Housing Market Marketing Inventory Sellers 435

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 30, 2024

Inventory continues to contract There are now 651,000 single-family homes unsold on the market across the U.S. Well see another week of inventory contraction this week with New Years mid-week. Some years, when demand is stronger, the available inventory of unsold homes keeps shrinking until February or March.

Housing Market 543

Housing Market Marketing New Listings Inventory 543

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 1, 2024

Have we seen the peak in housing inventory for 2024? The best part about 2024 has been that higher mortgage rates have created an inventory buffer, so if the economy gets softer and rates fall, we have many more homes to work with than we had in 2020-2023. Weekly inventory change (Aug.

Inventory 538

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 538

Housing Wire

APRIL 27, 2024

Active weekly housing inventory growth slowed slightly last week, but it’s still running at a healthier clip than in 2023. I have a simple model with mortgage rates being above 7.25%: weekly inventory data should grow between 11,000-17,000 per week. We have now seen it for two weeks as inventory grew by 13,247. 2022: 19.2%

Inventory 514

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 514

Housing Wire

MARCH 15, 2025

And remember, mortgage rates fell to around 6% in late 2022 and early 2023. Weekly housing inventory data Spring is finally here, and you know what that means it’s time for the usual inventory boost that happens every year! By early 2024, mortgage rates increased slightly to 6.63%.

Mortgage 537

Mortgage New Listings Inventory Housing Market 537

Housing Wire

JULY 20, 2024

We finally have six weeks of numbers that hit my housing inventory growth model perfectly in 2024. Last year, with higher mortgage rates , we had zero weeks at this level so I am now giving 2024 inventory growth a grade of A. have higher inventory than the national data. I recently spoke about this in an interview on CNBC.

Inventory 526

Inventory New Listings Contracts Mortgage 526

Housing Wire

MAY 25, 2024

The mortgage rate lockdown premise holds that very few people will list their homes when mortgage rates are this high, thus suppressing inventory. 2024 has had healthy inventory growth despite mortgage rates above 7%. Each time, inventory has squared right into the model as long as rates stay elevated.

Inventory 521

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Marketing 521

Housing Wire

JANUARY 24, 2025

Notably, we compared the data from 2022 and 2023 and noticed positive year-over-year data starting in October 2024, which you can see in the chart below. Active inventory typically decreases at this time of year, but in 2024 it did not drop below 1 million. For me, the highlight of 2024 was the growth in active inventory.

Inventory 482

Inventory Housing Market Sellers Marketing 482

Housing Wire

MAY 28, 2024

It’s the end of May and unsold inventory on the market is increasing across the U.S. Every state in the country has more homes on the market now than a year ago and, in many places, new construction is being completed and added to inventory, so it’s not just resale inventory that’s growing. Higher rates create more inventory.

Inventory 534

Inventory New Listings Contracts Sellers 534

Housing Wire

AUGUST 17, 2024

Have lower mortgage rates already started to slow down housing inventory? I have a simple weekly growth model with the Altos inventory data: when rates are high, over 7.25%, inventory should grow between 11,000-17,000 weekly. Still, I would consider the last month of inventory growth healthy.

Inventory 518

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Contracts 518

Housing Wire

MAY 4, 2024

My model for inventory growth with higher mortgage rates came crashing down last week. After two weeks of significant increases , inventory growth slowed dramatically and is far from my 11,000-17,000 growth model with mortgage rates over 7.25%. Let’s delve into the weekly data to see what we can uncover.

Inventory 501

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Marketing 501

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 30, 2023

Going into 2023, people thought housing inventory would skyrocket, home prices would crash, and we would see the housing market of 2008 all over again. We created this weekly tracker at the end of 2022 to give people a live weekly outlook on everything that drives the housing market and which factors to follow.

Inventory 521

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 521

Appraisal Buzz

NOVEMBER 1, 2024

at the beginning of 2022 and 30.5% For a number of factors, the proportion of newly constructed homes for sale has decreased from its peak, including: The market has seen an increase in existing inventory. The total supply of inventory of single-family homes is up 22% over the previous year. in Q2 of 2022. in Q1 of 2022.

Construction 370

Construction Inventory Real Estate Agent Agents 370

Housing Wire

JANUARY 28, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data Here is a look at last week: Weekly inventory change (Jan. 19-26) : Inventory fell from 506,414 to 503,233 Same week last year (Jan. Weekly housing inventory data Here is a look at last week: Weekly inventory change (Jan. So, inventory falling looks normal.

Inventory 525

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Marketing 525

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 4, 2024

As high mortgage rates reshape the housing market, existing homes are making up a larger percentage of for-sale inventory, and homebuyers are taking notice. market share, while first-quarter 2022 saw a record high of 34.4%. The available inventory of existing homes rose by 22% year over year in Q3 2034.

Marketing 370

Marketing Inventory Construction Realtors 370

Housing Wire

MAY 8, 2024

Housing credit channels directly impact housing inventory channels. Home prices escalated out of control after 2020 and when we look at why that happened, we can see that housing credit mattered more to inventory data than most people realize. This matters because inventory was already heading toward all-time lows before COVID-19.

Inventory 518

Inventory New Listings Law Sellers 518

Housing Wire

APRIL 5, 2025

Weekly housing inventory data Spring is upon us, and for me, the most compelling story in housing for 2024 and 2025 has been the inventory growth. Witnessing a solid week of inventory growth brings a smile to my face. Although we haven’t returned to normal levels yet, I appreciate our progress.

Mortgage 533

Mortgage New Listings Inventory Contracts 533

Housing Wire

JANUARY 13, 2024

Last week, housing inventory grew and the number of price cuts fell, which is expected at this time of the year. I hope the next thing we see is housing inventory grow at the level it typically does in January or February instead of being delayed until March or April. 2022 21.7% 2022 21.7%

Inventory 534

Inventory New Listings Retail Mortgage 534

Housing Wire

MARCH 31, 2025

This is measurable in both the total unsold inventory and the number of new listings each week. Because each week we have 815% more sellers than last year, the total inventory will continue to build unless and until demand shifts dramatically, which would require notably lower mortgage rates. A crash is not underway. Thats up 1.1%

New Listings 472

New Listings Inventory Housing Market Sellers 472

Housing Wire

APRIL 20, 2024

Housing inventory finally hit my target level of growth last week with mortgage rates now over 7.25% , something I couldn’t get all last year. Weekly housing inventory data Higher mortgage rates with duration will likely lead to higher inventory, which we have seen repeatedly for the past 10 years. 2022: 18.7%

Inventory 514

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Finance 514

Housing Wire

MARCH 2, 2024

The mortgage rate lockdown premise says that if rates rise, inventory can’t grow meaningfully. Let’s take a look at the inventory data this year to test this premise, since for many months it has been a working theory of mine that new listings data behavior last year marked a bottom and even going into 2024 we should see more sellers.

Inventory 535

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 535

Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2024

Housing inventory, new listing data and mortgage rates are all rising, but the price cut data percentages are falling. Weekly housing inventory data Here is a look at the first week of the year: Weekly inventory change (Jan. 12-19) : Inventory rose from 505,223 to 506,414 Same week last year (Jan.

Inventory 541

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 541

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 28, 2023

31, 2022, that mortgage rates would hit 8% in 2023, you would reasonably assume housing inventory would sky rocket higher, home prices would fall noticeably, and the number of price cuts would be higher year over year. Last year, the seasonal peak for inventory was Oct. Weekly inventory change (Oct.

Inventory 516

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Marketing 516

Housing Wire

MARCH 30, 2024

The best housing story in 2024 is that inventory is growing — both active inventory and new listings. With mortgage rates at the current levels, inventory is still below my expectations, but it’s still such a positive story that I had to discuss it on CNBC last week. 2022: 17.2%

Inventory 501

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Housing Market 501

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 25, 2023

However, the recent drop in housing inventory has more to do with seasonality factors than lower mortgage rates. Higher mortgage rates did push inventory higher during the seasonal period when it would normally be declining. The question now is what will inventory look like in the spring if mortgage rates keep falling?

Inventory 537

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Buyers 537

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 8, 2025

Weekly pending contracts for the past week over the past several years: 2025: 288,605 2024: 297,402 2023: 283,689 Weekly housing inventory data The highlight of 2024 for me was the growth in housing inventory as we began to return to normal levels. Weekly inventory change (Jan.

Mortgage 492

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Contracts 492

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 4, 2024

How will mortgage rates impact seasonal inventory in 2024? In the last four years, we have had abnormal seasonal inventory data, meaning that the spring inventory bottom happens later in the year. This is due to demand rising late in one year, pushing through the early part of the next year and preventing inventory growth.

Inventory 523

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 523

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 9, 2024

We know inventory has been climbing all year. The northern cities have tight inventory and rising prices, some of the Sunbelt cities have the most inventory in many years, and some markets even have falling prices, too. Inventory is growing Lets start with supply. Inventory shrank every year for most of the decade.

Housing Market 418

Housing Market Marketing Inventory Sellers 418

Housing Wire

MARCH 8, 2025

It is important to note that mortgage rates rose to around 6% in late 2022 and early 2023. Weekly housing inventory data The best story for housing is the housing inventory growth we’ve seen since the historically low levels we saw in 2022. Weekly inventory change (Feb.

Mortgage 451

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 451

Housing Wire

JANUARY 6, 2025

Altos Research tracks every home for sale in the country every week all the active inventory and pending sales as they happen as well as prices and supply and demand metrics Lets look at this weeks data. Inventory fell There are 635,000 single-family homes unsold on the market now. In 2018, mortgage rates and inventory rose all year.

Inventory 448

Inventory New Listings Contracts Sellers 448

Housing Wire

JUNE 21, 2024

Both existing housing inventory and home prices have been rising together year over year, which might seem odd at first glance since existing home sales are trending near all-time lows. Existing home sales aren’t crashing as they did in 2022, when we saw home-price declines in the second half of 2022.

Inventory 482

Inventory Housing Market New Listings Contracts 482

Housing Wire

JULY 8, 2024

There have been a few markets; however, that have defied the national trends where inventory has stayed tighter and demand keeps rolling in. Available inventory of unsold homes in the U.S. Inventory rose just over 1% this week Available inventory of unsold single-family homes rose by just over 1% this week to 653,000.

Inventory 482

Inventory Contracts Sellers New Listings 482

Housing Wire

MARCH 10, 2025

The unsold inventory of homes on the market across the country is 28% greater than last year at this time. Withdrawals keep a lid on inventory growth. That suggests a shadow inventory of homes that want to be sold but the market isnt there for it. Inventory of unsold homes is climbing. Each bar is a week.

Inventory 425

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Sellers 425

Housing Wire

JANUARY 27, 2025

Recently, weve shared that the inventory of unsold homes is growing. There are already plenty of markets nationwide where the inventory of unsold homes has built up over the past few years and home prices have ticked down. But by June, prices peaked for the year while remaining below the June 2022 peak.

Inventory 396

Inventory Sellers New Listings Contracts 396