Housing Wire

MAY 15, 2024

This is an excerpt of a HousingWire Research report titled: What Everyone Needs to Know about Mortgage Rate Lock-in, by Altos President Mike Simonsen. In the 24 months beginning March 2022, the U.S. housing market saw dramatic changes in affordability as mortgage rates skyrocketed 500 basis points.

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 2, 2024

This implies that there are more than enough buyers at these prices and these mortgage rates to keep activity happening in housing. While a robust housing market is generally a positive thing, this is not all good news to every person. Each week sellers are easing back into the market a little more than last year.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 9, 2024

Weve now been in the post-pandemic housing market recession market as long as we were in the pandemic boom. Does the housing market start to get back to normal? The number of unsold homes on the market is finally getting closer to 2019 levels. The MBAs mortgage applications data has been surprisingly strong.

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Housing Wire

APRIL 27, 2024

Active weekly housing inventory growth slowed slightly last week, but it’s still running at a healthier clip than in 2023. I have a simple model with mortgage rates being above 7.25%: weekly inventory data should grow between 11,000-17,000 per week. When mortgage rates increase, demand falls and the price-cut percentage grows.

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Appraisal Buzz

OCTOBER 11, 2024

Do rising mortgage rates necessarily trigger an economic recession or vice versa? With six of 10 distinct housing recessions since the 1970s preceding an economic recession (as determined by the National Bureau of Economic Research Business), it is tempting to answer, “yes.” A housing recession does not necessarily kick things off.”

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 23, 2024

It has been almost two months since mortgage rates spiked again, and my initial thought was this would tank housing demand. We had a positive 18-week period with purchase applications before mortgage rates started rising in September. Initially, the data showed more robust performance as mortgage rates approached 6%.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 21, 2024

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell played the Grinch last week for the housing market, sending mortgage rates higher after his remarks at the Fed presser on Wednesday. However, we need lower mortgage rates to grow sales in a bigger fashion in 2025. However, this year, mortgage rates rose during this timeframe.

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Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 17, 2024

Like the vast majority of the country, the city’s housing market has been stymied by high mortgage rates, low inventory and mismatched expectations between buyers and sellers. From March 2020 to July 2022, the median home price rose 23% before hitting a brief lull. 25 statewide in 2023 transaction volume.

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Housing Market Marketing Sellers Buyers 477

Housing Wire

APRIL 12, 2024

After heating up like the rest of the country, the Louisiana housing market has continued to cool since interest rates began to rise in the second half of 2022. From 2022 to 2023 alone, rates jumped 21.2%. He paid $4,700 in 2022, $11,500 in 2023 and received a quote of $28,000 for 2024. “The

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Housing Wire

JULY 29, 2024

I wonder whether the 2024 housing market is beyond saving? Are we past the opportunity for declining mortgage rates to help demand and pick up home sales growth? housing market at the end of July 2024. Right now, there are 40% more homes unsold on the market than last year at the end of July. If we’re lucky?

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Housing Wire

AUGUST 4, 2024

Mortgage rates moved massively lower last week without any Federal Reserve rate cuts, primarily because the labor market is getting softer. Can mortgage rates go even lower? As we can see below, when the market priced economic weakness earlier in 2024, it took the 10-year yield down toward 3.80% but didn’t break that level.

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Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 518

Housing Wire

JUNE 20, 2024

On the sell side, agents say that low mortgage rates from a purchase or refinance transaction in late 2020 or early 2021 are keeping many potential sellers in their home. “A Despite the state’s tight inventory, the housing market is not as hot as one might expect.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 16, 2024

The 10-year yield is at the same critical point as last year before the Fed went hawkish and sent mortgage rates to 8% and the 10-year yield to 5%. A serious 10-year yield and mortgage rate talk My work on housing moves around the 10-year yield and the economics that move that. Could this happen again?

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 12, 2024

Institutional sellers at distressed property auctions have gradually lowered pricing over the last six months as rising retail inventory and stubbornly high mortgage rates act as twin headwinds for buyers purchasing at these auctions. Register today to attend the Housing Economic Summit in Dallas, on Feb.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2024

Mortgage rates had a chance to break to new highs this year, but the Federal Reserve took a moderate tone at the last Fed meeting. We saw the benefit of lower mortgage rates with the last two existing home sales reports, which showed growth. Then mortgage rates rose, facilitating five weeks of negative purchase application data.

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Housing Wire

APRIL 23, 2024

New home sales have been one of the brighter housing stories since the home sales crash in 2022 — as we can see in the chart below, new home sales have been able to grow since then. This is one reason why the homebuilder stocks have done so well since November of 2022. months, as we can see in the chart below.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 30, 2024

Despite initial concerns that tariffs would push mortgage rates up to 8% and reduce housing demand, this week has brought some encouraging news. The 10-year yield has remained stable at a crucial technical level and even reversed direction, resulting in improved mortgage rates. This is what happened in the last two years.

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Mortgage Inventory New Listings Contracts 518

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 28, 2024

Housing demand is very seasonal, so the fact that our pending contract data is firming up lately just shows that lower mortgage rates have stabilized and firmed up demand recently. It will likely take mortgage rates to go under 6% and stay there for an extended period to get real sustained demand growth from record-low sales levels.

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Mortgage Inventory New Listings Contracts 525

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 1, 2024

Have we seen the peak in housing inventory for 2024? The best part about 2024 has been that higher mortgage rates have created an inventory buffer, so if the economy gets softer and rates fall, we have many more homes to work with than we had in 2020-2023. Weekly inventory change (Aug.

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Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 538

Housing Wire

MARCH 2, 2024

The mortgage rate lockdown premise says that if rates rise, inventory can’t grow meaningfully. The idea is that nobody will trade their low mortgage rates to buy another home — even though this happened every week last year. With mortgage rates higher, will this stop inventory from growing year over year?

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Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 535

Housing Wire

AUGUST 14, 2024

The loss of population has softened housing demand, as has the rapid rise in mortgage rates that began in the spring of 2022. In addition, a sizable amount of the inventory is new construction, and builders are able to offer better financing terms for buyers with their in-house mortgage businesses. year over year.

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Housing Wire

MAY 11, 2024

Mortgage rates and the bond market have fallen a bit recently and the spreads between the 10-year yield and 30-year mortgage rate have improved over last year’s levels. In the past two years, demand has always picked up whenever mortgage rates have moved lower with some duration.

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Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 482

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 21, 2023

The haunted house ride with the bond market and mortgage rates continued this week, but one housing data line hasn’t been spooked. New listing data appears unafraid of the mortgage rate ghost story over the last few months. In the same vein, the bond market is now very oversold.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 9, 2024

We survived jobs week and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell talking to Congress, with mortgage rates ending the week below 7%. But will mortgage rates keep heading lower? Mortgage rates and the 10-year yield The 10-year yield is the key for all my housing work, so I focus on it religiously.

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Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 505

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 17, 2024

Will mortgage rates break toward 8% again, making another 2024 data line that looks like a carbon copy of 2023? It’s not part of my 2024 forecast, but since the Federal Reserve likes playing with fire , let’s look at where we are with mortgage rates and their impact on weekly housing data. Serious mortgage rate talk!

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Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 536

Housing Wire

JUNE 1, 2024

Mortgage rates have been a bit more volatile recently due to hawkish Federal Reserve statements and inflation data, which has impacted some of the recent movement in the 10-year yield. So, what does this all mean for the housing market and the future of mortgage rates? But now we have the big jobs week coming up!

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Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 520

Housing Wire

APRIL 5, 2024

As of March 29, the San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont metropolitan area was the fourth-hottest housing market in the country. The Bay Area metro had a 90-day average Market Action Index score of 61.19, according to data from Altos Research. Altos considers anything above a Market Action Index of 30 to be a seller’s market.

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Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 4, 2024

How will mortgage rates impact seasonal inventory in 2024? Also, when mortgage rates rise, the inventory peak happens later in the year. Weekly housing inventory data One substantial positive story for 2024 is that we have more housing inventory year over year. Is the seasonal bottom going to happen later than I want?

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Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 523

Housing Wire

JULY 13, 2024

In 2023, following the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank , the spreads between the 30-year mortgage and 10-year yield were at their worst, leading to new cycle highs. This meant mortgage rates were significantly higher than average. Mortgage spreads Last year, the 10-year yield hit 5% and mortgage rates got above 8%.

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Mortgage New Listings Inventory Contracts 514

Housing Wire

APRIL 26, 2024

That figure was up 5% year over year and was only 3% below the peak price of $432,496 in May 2022. In Texas and Florida , however, key market signals show diverging trends. year over year in March, although growth in listings is expected to subside due to the lock-in effect of higher mortgage rates.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 22, 2024

housing market slowed down in the third quarter due to rising home prices and higher mortgage rates , investor purchases also ramped down, according to a new report by Redfin. in Q1 2022, when investors were taking advantage of low mortgage rates. As the U.S. Investors purchased $38.8 Now there’s a middle ground.

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Real Estate Investors HOA Housing Market 488

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 7, 2024

Mortgage rates have made almost a 2% move lower from the highs of 2023. Now that the jobs week data is in, the question is: can mortgage rates go even lower? While the Fed can be old and slow, the bond market, thankfully, is doing a lot of the heavy lifting and has already priced in a lot of Fed easing policy.

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Housing Wire

APRIL 13, 2024

Mortgage rates headed higher last week after the CPI inflation report , but now, with news of a wider war in the Middle East, should we expect even higher rates? Some argue that money will go into the safety of the bond market, while others say a wider war can lead to higher inflation and higher rates.

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2024

Housing inventory, new listing data and mortgage rates are all rising, but the price cut data percentages are falling. I will watch for rising mortgage rates to see if they change the weekly data. I will watch for rising mortgage rates to see if they change the weekly data. So far no damage to the data line yet.

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Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 541

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 16, 2024

The COVID-19 pandemic turned a number of nontraditional cities into housing market hotspots. While some of those markets have since seen a reversal of fortunes, 2025 may bring a few more surprises. Locked-in mortgages have been widely credited with cutting off housing inventory.

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Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 24, 2024

Mortgage rates have risen recently but they could be much worse than they are today. Mortgage rates and the 10-year yield The 10-year yield is the key for housing in 2024. The most important data line for me, along with mortgage rates , is jobless claims data because I value labor data over inflation.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 30, 2023

Going into 2023, people thought housing inventory would skyrocket, home prices would crash, and we would see the housing market of 2008 all over again. We created this weekly tracker at the end of 2022 to give people a live weekly outlook on everything that drives the housing market and which factors to follow.

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