Housing Wire

JANUARY 13, 2024

Last week, housing inventory grew and the number of price cuts fell, which is expected at this time of the year. I hope the next thing we see is housing inventory grow at the level it typically does in January or February instead of being delayed until March or April. So let’s hope for more home sellers in 2024. 2022 21.7%

Inventory 534

Inventory New Listings Retail Mortgage 534

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 19, 2024

Altos Research data of inventory by state reflects this trend. High mortgage rates have prompted homeowners with rates in the 3% to 4% range to stay put, stifling inventory and home sales across the nation. Comparing current levels of housing inventory to those of 2019 reveals that listings are down in almost every state.

Inventory 382

Inventory Valuation Housing Market Marketing 382

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 16, 2023

What’s going on with housing inventory ? The last four weeks of new listings data have been the most volatile since mortgage rates breached 6% in 2022. In reality, the volatility in housing inventory is due to the Labor Day holiday, the start of school and the fact that new listings are trending at the lowest levels ever.

Inventory 505

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 505

Housing Wire

MARCH 26, 2023

These events led to lower mortgage rates and increased purchase application data last week, but decreased housing inventory. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: The 10-year yield had a Lord of Rings battle at a critical technical level, pushing mortgage rates lower at the end of the week with no real break in the bond market.

Inventory 476

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 476

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 11, 2023

Total housing inventory growth has been slow in 2023, but with rising mortgage rates over the last few months, inventory has grown a bit faster than average. The question now is: Have we hit the seasonal peak in inventory for 2023? Last year, according to Altos Research , the seasonal peak for housing inventory was Oct.

Inventory 505

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Retail 505

Housing Wire

APRIL 16, 2023

The seasonal housing inventory bottom evaded us again last week as active listings fell and new listing inventory decreased. Mortgage rates didn’t move much last week, but the 10-year yield rose even though inflation data was tamer than expected, and we had a weaker retail sales report number. The answer is no!

Inventory 539

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 539

Housing Wire

APRIL 23, 2023

Since 2020, the seasonal bottom for housing inventory has arrived several months later than normal, making it more complicated to track housing inventory data. Still, we have some promising signs that we might have finally hit the inventory bottom for 2023. I hope the seasonal bottom was two weeks ago.

Inventory 545

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 545

Housing Wire

APRIL 30, 2023

The spring housing market music is playing, and purchase application data and active listing inventory rose together last week. The fear of not having an increase in inventory this spring should be put to rest. The other focus should be where mortgage rates go; only a little happened last week.

Inventory 525

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 525

Housing Wire

MAY 7, 2023

Just when I thought it was safe to say we were getting more traditional spring housing inventory , we hit a snag last week, as active inventory and new listings declined. We had a lot of drama over the week between Federal Reserve meetings and banking stress, and mortgage rates and purchase applications both fell.

Inventory 505

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 505

Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2023

On Friday NAR reported that total housing inventory levels broke under 1 million in December, dropping to 970,00 units for a population of 330 million people. million in January down to about 4 million in December, We now have total inventory levels near all-time lows again. from December 2021 ($358,800), as prices rose in all regions.

Inventory 541

Inventory Housing Market New Listings Marketing 541

Housing Wire

JULY 9, 2023

The slow zombie crawl of housing inventory went lower last week as inventory was negative week to week. In addition, mortgage rates rose to a yearly high as labor data stayed firm and purchase apps had their first negative week after three straight weeks of positive growth. The 10-year yield is close to yearly highs as the U.S.

Inventory 501

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 501

Housing Wire

AUGUST 10, 2022

One of the most important housing market stories in recent weeks has been the decline in new listings , which has slowed the growth rate of total inventory. One thing that I have stressed is that higher mortgage rates can create a slowdown in demand and thus allow more inventory to accumulate through a weakness in demand.

Inventory 526

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Sellers 526

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 8, 2021

2 million , we could be at risk of housing inventory falling to such low levels that I would have to categorize this housing market as unhealthy. 2020 and 2021 easily each have over 6.2 We can see that inventory falling to such low levels has created unhealthy home-price growth in both 2020 and 2021.

Inventory 525

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 525

Housing Wire

JANUARY 9, 2023

The housing market saw inventory fall 4% last week from the week before. Does that mean we are heading back to all-time lows in inventory again for 2023? During the last four weeks and especially this past week, we are seeing inventory decline faster than expected. Weekly housing inventory. Weekly inventory change: (Dec.

Inventory 542

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 542

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 7, 2023

Mortgage rates were scarier than Freddy Krueger last week, rising to a 23-year high as some of the labor data surprised to the upside. Unfortunately, those higher mortgage rates didn’t spur inventory growth this week, so we didn’t even get the benefit we would usually see when rates rise.

Inventory 508

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Marketing 508

Housing Wire

MARCH 6, 2023

The housing market faced some serious obstacles last week as the 10-year yield broke over 4%, mortgage rates rose to over 7%, purchase apps fell again and we are still trying to find the elusive seasonal bottom for housing inventory. I discussed my theory on why inventory bottoms out later in the year on this HousingWire Daily podcast.

Inventory 513

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 513

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 8, 2021

home prices are quickly shifting the affordability calculus for prospective homebuyers in 2021 — even though mortgage rates have remained near record lows. Despite average 30-year mortgage rates that have remained below 3% for most of 2021, the rapid home price increases are eroding affordability for average wage earners.

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Renovations Inventory Marketing Property Taxes 543

Housing Wire

APRIL 3, 2023

Housing demand grew and inventory levels fell again while mortgage rates rose. Mortgage rates rose to 6.57%. Active inventory fell by 3,141, and new listing data fell again and is still trending at all-time lows. The 10-year yield and mortgage rates Last week was interesting for the 10-year yield and mortgage rates.

Inventory 505

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 505

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 20, 2023

Another week down in 2023 and we’re seeing crazier action in the housing market as purchase application data fell, mortgage rates rose again, and weekly inventory took another dive with a noticeable move lower in new listing data. Mortgage rates hit 6.80%, marking the high point for 2023 so far. Weekly inventory change (Feb.10-Feb.

Inventory 435

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 435

Housing Wire

JANUARY 12, 2023

The housing inventory shortage dominated much of the conversation surrounding the housing market in 2022, but thanks to softening homebuyer demand, the number of active listings finished the year up 54.7% Despite this sizable yearly increase, active housing inventory was down 33.4% from December 2021. compared to December 2019.

Inventory 534

Inventory New Listings Buyers Sellers 534

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 7, 2024

With mortgage rates briefly topping 8% and home prices breaking records throughout the year, many would-be sellers simply decided not to bother listing their homes, exacerbating already tight inventories. Mortgage rates followed suit, walloping buyers’ purchasing power. New data from the U.S.

Inventory 459

Inventory Sellers Mortgage Marketing 459

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 29, 2021

in October — and since we are days away from December, we can officially label the 2021 housing crash bears as even worse than the 2020 housing crash bears. As we can see below, housing moderated, found a base and moved higher toward the second half of 2021. So far, 2020 and 2021 have come in as a noticeable beat in my eyes.

Inventory 532

Inventory Contracts Training Investors 532

Housing Wire

JUNE 4, 2023

Last week we saw a noticeable slowdown in housing inventory growth that I hope has more to do with a holiday week than a trend. Mortgage rates fell last week after the debt ceiling issues were resolved, but the damage from higher rates took its toll on purchase application data again.

Inventory 468

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 468

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 23, 2024

And while the slower sales pace may not be great news for real estate professionals, it has resulted in an uptick in inventory , which is good news for homebuyers. For-sale inventory at the end of September was 1.39 month supply of unsold inventory, up from 4.2 million, up 1.5% from August and up 23% from one year ago.

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Inventory Realtors Buyers Real Estate 465

Housing Wire

JULY 2, 2023

Housing inventory finally broke under 2022 levels last week. Mortgage rates rose last week after the better-than-anticipated jobless claims data but even with higher rates, we also had a third week of positive purchase application data. In March of 2022 we had the lowest inventory levels ever recorded in history.

Inventory 482

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 482

Housing Wire

MAY 26, 2022

It’s an excellent time to discuss housing inventory. As the 10-year yield broke above 1.94% and mortgage rates rose, we saw the impact on housing data. How can housing inventory be so low today when it skyrocketed back in 2009? Now don’t get me wrong: demand is better in 2020 and 2021 than in any single year from 2008 to 2019.

Inventory 526

Inventory Housing Market Construction Marketing 526

Housing Wire

AUGUST 20, 2023

Last week, mortgage rates hit a 21st-century high, the 10-year yield closed slightly higher than my peak forecast for 2023 , and housing inventory growth was still slow. Mortgage rates went from 7.19%% to 7.37%. Last year, the seasonal decline took longer than usual, but 2022 was an abnormal year with mortgage rates.

Inventory 370

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 370

Housing Wire

JUNE 25, 2023

Summer is here, and housing inventory is finally growing! The spring housing inventory was like a zombie rising from the grave, very slow, but the summer is showing some promise and let’s hope it continues. Mortgage rates were again in a small range, hanging near 7%. Purchase apps had a small week-to-week gain.

Inventory 435

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 435

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 18, 2022

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported today on two trends in existing home sales that we have seen for many months now: sales are declining while total inventory data has fallen directly for the three straight months. As mortgage rates rose more and more, the October to January data was going to show big negative prints.

Inventory 493

Inventory Marketing Housing Market New Listings 493

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 6, 2023

Despite mortgage rates briefly falling below the 6% threshold, both housing inventory and mortgage demand fell last week. However, we are going to see if 6% mortgage rates are good enough to create some growth in the future or if the housing market needs rates near 5%. Weekly inventory change (Jan.

Inventory 488

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 488

Housing Wire

MAY 1, 2024

That puts the national inventory up 31.9% Brokers and agents , mortgage officers and other housing professionals continue to compete for their share of tight volumes and would need major industry growth to get back to 2019 levels. year-over-year, extending a 24-week streak of year-over-year increases.

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Inventory Agents Marketing Mortgage 488

Housing Wire

JULY 6, 2023

The nation’s housing industry has entered a new normal in which the dynamics of the market appear perplexing — marked by high mortgage rates and high home prices, along with shrinking mortgage originations. trillion in mortgage originations in 2021. Fannie Mae recently projected originations for 2023 at $1.59

Inventory 488

Inventory Renovations Real Estate Government 488

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 26, 2023

Available inventory of homes for sale is on the rise in late September, which is very unusual for this time of year. In fact, inventory is growing faster than this time a year ago. What’s happening with inventory? Consumers are very sensitive to changes in mortgage rates , and rates are still rising. from last week.

Inventory 505

Inventory Contracts New Listings Mortgage 505

Housing Wire

JULY 29, 2022

That marks the first month since July 2019 (pre-pandemic) that housing inventory increased year over year. The home-inventory bump dovetails with other data indicating the nation’s housing market lost some steam this past month, according to a June housing-market report from Seattle-based Redfin. percentage points from June 2021.

Inventory 488

Inventory Housing Market Inspection Marketing 488

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 2, 2023

Mortgage rates almost fell below 7%, the 10-year yield is below 4.25% again, and people are seriously talking about Fed rate cuts in 2024. Mortgage rates have fallen by almost 1% in a short time, and it has created four straight weeks of positive purchase application data. Mortgage rates and the 10-year yield We are back!

Mortgage 543

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 543

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 4, 2023

After mortgage rates spiked to 8% in October, causing a riot in the real estate industry, we had an epic move lower in mortgage rates last week. Does this mean we’ve hit the peak in mortgage rates for this economic cycle? It looks like I will bat a whopping 0 in 2023 for my higher rates inventory growth level forecast.

Mortgage 511

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Real Estate 511

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 9, 2023

The most underreported housing story I’ve seen this year is that even with mortgage rates rising to 8%, the number of homes that took price cuts before they sold was 4% below 2022 levels. This happened even with higher home prices and higher mortgage rates in 2023. Now lets take a look at the weekly inventory data.

Mortgage 534

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 534