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The seasonal housinginventory bottom evaded us again last week as active listings fell and new listing inventory decreased. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active inventory fell 5,383 last week, and new listing data is still trending at all-time lows in 2023. The answer is no!
Can we now say that the housingmarket ‘s spring selling season is finally underway? Since 2020, the seasonal bottom for housinginventory has arrived several months later than normal, making it more complicated to track housinginventory data. Again, I am a bit mindful here due to Easter.
The housingmarket saw inventory fall 4% last week from the week before. Does that mean we are heading back to all-time lows in inventory again for 2023? During the last four weeks and especially this past week, we are seeing inventory decline faster than expected. Weekly housinginventory.
The spring housingmarket music is playing, and purchase application data and active listing inventory rose together last week. The fear of not having an increase in inventory this spring should be put to rest. Since 2020, the seasonal inventory bump has happened later than usual — not until March or April.
The slow zombie crawl of housinginventory went lower last week as inventory was negative week to week. This is truly a savagely unhealthy housingmarket as we have too many people chasing too few homes. As we can see in the chart below, it’s been so slow that year-over-year inventory is now negative versus 2022.
Just when I thought it was safe to say we were getting more traditional spring housinginventory , we hit a snag last week, as active inventory and new listings declined. Weekly housinginventory The numbers this week are unfortunate: inventory should be growing like it does at this time every year.
The housingmarket faced some serious obstacles last week as the 10-year yield broke over 4%, mortgage rates rose to over 7%, purchase apps fell again and we are still trying to find the elusive seasonal bottom for housinginventory. We still aren’t back to pre-COVID-19 housinginventory levels, as shown below.
Despite the frequency of departures, real estate agents in the state say the housingmarket remains strong. On the balance, there are still more buyers with their eye on a purchase than there are houses on the market. Statewide, the housingmarket has a 90-day average Altos Market Action Index score of 44.18
The housingmarket experienced more volatility last week, with housinginventory dropping as mortgage rates moved higher. Weekly housinginventory continues to decline, as we saw a decrease of 13,238 units, double the amount we had this time last year. Finally, all the positive data we have seen since Nov.
Last week was relatively calm for the housingmarket after the fiasco of the banking crisis. Housing demand grew and inventory levels fell again while mortgage rates rose. Active inventory fell by 3,141, and new listing data fell again and is still trending at all-time lows. Inventory is incredibly tight.
Housinginventory finally broke under 2022 levels last week. Since May 15, that trend has continued to the point that inventory in America is now negative year over year. We have often discussed that the housingmarket dynamics changed starting Nov.
A bullish housingmarket. What a year 2021 has been. economic recovery was a false story and that we were about to embark on a second housing bubble crash due to forbearance. economy continue to recover from the lows of April of 2020, but the 2021 economic data shows it has been one of the hottest years in many decades.
Despite mortgage rates briefly falling below the 6% threshold, both housinginventory and mortgage demand fell last week. Let’s dive into the trend lines of the housingmarket. The show-me part of the housingmarket starts with this bounce from an extreme bottom. Weekly inventory change (Jan.
The financial and housingmarkets are still trying to sort out the banking crisis and whether we have seen the last Fed rate hike in this cycle. These events led to lower mortgage rates and increased purchase application data last week, but decreased housinginventory. In a regular market, they would be closer to 5.25%.
Last week we saw a noticeable slowdown in housinginventory growth that I hope has more to do with a holiday week than a trend. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active inventory grew 3,180 weekly , and new listing data fell week to week and is still trending at an all-time low in 2023.
Summer is here, and housinginventory is finally growing! The spring housinginventory was like a zombie rising from the grave, very slow, but the summer is showing some promise and let’s hope it continues. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active inventory grew 8,886 weekly.
Though the demand for homes remained strong across the United States in August, there are clear signs that the housingmarket is past its peak. Still, the 69,563 homes that went into contract represented a 9% decrease from the high point set in May 2021. from 55% in early July 2021, according to Redfin.
housingmarket and that they need to be pro-housing again. Even with all the drama we have dealt with in 2022-2023, the housingmarket stayed intact and never broke. We never saw the Airbnb crash that dominated some of the housing headlines in 2023. Weekly inventory change : (Dec.15-22)
Going into 2023, people thought housinginventory would skyrocket, home prices would crash, and we would see the housingmarket of 2008 all over again. We created this weekly tracker at the end of 2022 to give people a live weekly outlook on everything that drives the housingmarket and which factors to follow.
Another week down in 2023 and we’re seeing crazier action in the housingmarket as purchase application data fell, mortgage rates rose again, and weekly inventory took another dive with a noticeable move lower in new listing data. Things are different post-2020, and inventory is bottoming out later in the year.
While demand is solid, the savagely unhealthy aspect of housing is continuing. Inventory has broken to all-time lows, but it doesn’t look like the year-over-year data will be positive at all this year unless demand softens up. NAR Research : Unsold inventory sits at a 1.7-month months in February 2021.
Now that we are almost in July, we can safely say the premise that once mortgage rates hit 4%, the mass panic selling of American homeowners who need to get out at all costs, driving total inventory up in the millions, hasn’t happened. NAR Research : The median existing-home price for all housing types in May was $407,600, up 14.8%
million , with double-digit home-price growth driving a housingmarket that is still savagely unhealthy. This is something that I said would change the tone of housing, and we are seeing that result this year as sales decline and inventory picks up. from April 2021 ($340,700), as prices increased in each region.
Early in 2021, when I was talking about how people should worry about home prices overheating, I had a glimmer of hope that maybe toward the end of 2021 we would be spared another seasonal collapse of inventory. Inventory always falls in the fall and winter, but I hoped it wouldn’t be a repeat of 2020. million and 6.16
On Friday NAR reported that total housinginventory levels broke under 1 million in December, dropping to 970,00 units for a population of 330 million people. million in January down to about 4 million in December, We now have total inventory levels near all-time lows again. The days on market were too low.
My biggest concern for housing in the years 2020-2024 was that if the demographic push in demand picks up and total home sales get over 6. 2 million , we could be at risk of housinginventory falling to such low levels that I would have to categorize this housingmarket as unhealthy.
The 2022 housingmarket was savagely unhealthy , with all-time lows in inventory leading to massive bidding wars and price spikes until the Fed put a screeching halt to all of it with rate hikes that resulted in the most significant one-year spike in mortgage rate history. HousingInventory. Home price s.
It’s an excellent time to discuss housinginventory. The housingmarket shifted in March of this year. As the 10-year yield broke above 1.94% and mortgage rates rose, we saw the impact on housing data. Yes, crazy to think, but this is a survey trend data line, and the housingmarket was in free-fall at that time.
The housingmarket welcomed the news of lower mortgage rates last week after four reports showed that the labor market isn’t as tight as it seems and that the fear of 1970s-entrenched inflation was a lousy narrative. Active inventory rose by 823 single-family homes and new listing data is trending at all-time lows.
However, the real story of 2022 is that the savagely unhealthy housingmarket continues as inventory is still lower than last year, sending home prices growth into double digits again. housingmarket; the 10-year is above 1.94%, something that didn’t happen in 2020 or 2021. Unsold inventory sits at a 2.0-month
Have we seen the peak in housinginventory for 2024? The best part about 2024 has been that higher mortgage rates have created an inventory buffer, so if the economy gets softer and rates fall, we have many more homes to work with than we had in 2020-2023. Weekly inventory change (Aug.
Here’s the housingmarket rundown for the last week: Purchase application data had a solid week-to-week gain of 25%. Housinginventory decreased by 566 units, which is not a significant decline. Last week’s housingmarket data provided mixed news. Weekly housinginventory fell, but not by much.
One of the most important housingmarket stories in recent weeks has been the decline in new listings , which has slowed the growth rate of total inventory. Once that happens, I can finally take the savagely unhealthy housingmarket theme off my talking points. What does this mean? million to 1.93
Florida was one of the hottest destinations during the pandemic, but the states housingmarket might be coming down to earth. According to a report from Redfin, for-sale inventory at the end of January in Florida was up 22.7% Redfin attributes the rise in inventory to several factors. year over year.
Active housinginventory grew while new listing data fell. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active inventory grew 8,041 weekly. This dynamic changed the housingmarket from one where home sales were crashing to one that is now stabilized. New listings data is another big story with housinginventory.
We finally have six weeks of numbers that hit my housinginventory growth model perfectly in 2024. Last year, with higher mortgage rates , we had zero weeks at this level so I am now giving 2024 inventory growth a grade of A. Yes, home prices are still rising in 2024, but the pace is significantly slower than in 2020 and 2021.
We’ve all been wondering what 5% plus mortgage rates would do to the hot housingmarket, and now we’ve got that and a bag of chips. As a result, I’ve been rooting for mortgage rates to rise to create a balancing impact on this housingmarket. Inventory is still showing negative year-over-year data.
What’s going on with housinginventory ? In reality, the volatility in housinginventory is due to the Labor Day holiday, the start of school and the fact that new listings are trending at the lowest levels ever. According to Altos Research : Weekly inventory change : (Sept.
New home sales continue to be a bright spot in a dismal housingmarket. Census Bureau and Department of Housing and Urban Development shows new-home sales registering at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 698,000, good for a 6.7% more than 2023 and the highest sales have been since 2021. rise year over year and 3.6%
As we approach the end of another hot year for the market, homebuyers and sellers are eagerly looking ahead to the 2022 housingmarket. Will the market continue its streak of strong growth, or are we finally about to see a slow down? I’ll also highlight which variables we should be watching for unexpected market shifts.
Since they were distressed forced sellers, inventory skyrocketed in 2006 and stayed very elevated in 2007 and 2008. Total inventory levels. NAR: Total Inventory levels 1.22 million Historically inventory levels range between 2 million and 2.5 Naturally, with those two variables in place, demand will collapse.
“Despite higher mortgage rates in November and persistent affordability challengers, buyers took advantage of more inventory as pending home sales reached the highest level in nearly two years. Buyers appear to be done waiting for rates to fall, prompting them to enter the market to take advantage of higher inventory levels.
Total housinginventory growth has been slow in 2023, but with rising mortgage rates over the last few months, inventory has grown a bit faster than average. The question now is: Have we hit the seasonal peak in inventory for 2023? Last year, according to Altos Research , the seasonal peak for housinginventory was Oct.
housingmarket is back on track , stronger than ever, with a total estimated value of $52 trillion, according to a new analysis by Orphe Divounguy, a senior economist at Zillow Group. housingmarket has surged by more than $2.6 After experiencing a temporary hiccup between July 2022 to January 2023, the U.S.
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