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Labor market report is good news for mortgage rates

Housing Wire

The labor market isn’t tight anymore and that will eventually be good news for mortgage rates. Let’s look at my labor economic model that started on April 7, 2020, and see where are we today. The current state of the labor market results from a series of events, with COVID-19 being a significant catalyst.

Marketing 513
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Mortgage rates fall as labor market normalizes

Housing Wire

Everyone was waiting to see if this week’s jobs report would send mortgage rates higher, which is what happened last month. For now, we can say the labor market isn’t tight anymore, but it’s also not breaking. I wrote the COVID-19 recovery model on April 7, 2020, and retired it on Dec. Today, we are at 157,808,000.

Marketing 511
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Mortgage rates ease as the labor market cools 

Housing Wire

Mortgage rates eased slightly last week after a cooler-than-expected jobs report. HousingWire’s Mortgage Rates Center showed the average 30-year fixed rate for conventional loans at 7.51% on Tuesday, slightly below the rate of 7.57% one week ago. By the end of the summer, it looks like inventory will finally be back above 2020 levels.

Marketing 468
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Second-home mortgage market slumped in 2023: Redfin

Housing Wire

In 2023, home purchases slowed across the board due to low levels of inventory, high mortgage rates and soaring home prices. Nationwide, 90,772 mortgages for second homes were originated in 2023, down 40% from a year earlier and down 65% from the height of the post-pandemic housing boom in 2021, according to a new report from Redfin.

Mortgage 459
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Pending Home Sales Fall to Lowest Level Since April 2020

Appraisal Buzz

Meanwhile, pending sales – a more current gauge of demand that includes both existing and newly-constructed homes – fell to the lowest level of any month on record aside from April 2020, when the pandemic brought the housing market to a halt. There are a few encouraging signs for homebuyers aside from the dip in mortgage rates.

Buyers 397
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Existing home sales market now close to balance with supply

Housing Wire

Today’s existing home sales report shows that the existing home market is now almost balanced. We are very close to getting this balance nationally and in some markets we’re already there. million as a balanced market, but this equation has a second variable tied to today’s housing economics: affordability.

Marketing 493
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Housing Market Tracker: Inventory finally rises

Housing Wire

Can we now say that the housing market ‘s spring selling season is finally underway? Since 2020, the seasonal bottom for housing inventory has arrived several months later than normal, making it more complicated to track housing inventory data. The red line is where NAR believes a balanced market is, at six months of supply.

Inventory 545