Housing Wire

MARCH 18, 2025

New home sales arent crashing anymore New home sales peaked in October of 2020 with 1,031,000 new home sales and then in 2022 that number crashed all the way down to 519,000 by June. However, once mortgage rates rose in 2022, the active inventory of existing homes never returned to normal. Reasons we havent seen layoffs yet 1.

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Housing Wire

APRIL 23, 2023

Since 2020, the seasonal bottom for housing inventory has arrived several months later than normal, making it more complicated to track housing inventory data. Still, we have some promising signs that we might have finally hit the inventory bottom for 2023. Again, I am a bit mindful here due to Easter.

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Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 1, 2024

Have we seen the peak in housing inventory for 2024? The best part about 2024 has been that higher mortgage rates have created an inventory buffer, so if the economy gets softer and rates fall, we have many more homes to work with than we had in 2020-2023. Weekly inventory change (Aug.

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Housing Wire

JULY 20, 2024

We finally have six weeks of numbers that hit my housing inventory growth model perfectly in 2024. Last year, with higher mortgage rates , we had zero weeks at this level so I am now giving 2024 inventory growth a grade of A. Yes, home prices are still rising in 2024, but the pace is significantly slower than in 2020 and 2021.

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Housing Wire

AUGUST 17, 2024

Have lower mortgage rates already started to slow down housing inventory? I have a simple weekly growth model with the Altos inventory data: when rates are high, over 7.25%, inventory should grow between 11,000-17,000 weekly. Still, I would consider the last month of inventory growth healthy.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 8, 2021

My biggest concern for housing in the years 2020-2024 was that if the demographic push in demand picks up and total home sales get over 6. 2 million , we could be at risk of housing inventory falling to such low levels that I would have to categorize this housing market as unhealthy. 2020 and 2021 easily each have over 6.2

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Housing Wire

APRIL 30, 2023

The spring housing market music is playing, and purchase application data and active listing inventory rose together last week. The fear of not having an increase in inventory this spring should be put to rest. Since 2020, the seasonal inventory bump has happened later than usual — not until March or April.

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Housing Wire

APRIL 20, 2023

months’ worth of housing inventory in the U.S. Now, post-2020, we have had three straight years of late-in-the-year runs in this data line to mess everything up. NAR: Total housing inventory registered at the end of March was 980,000 units, up 1.0% Unsold inventory sits at a 2.6-month We only have 2.6

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Housing Wire

APRIL 11, 2022

Given the current housing inventory crisis, it might surprise people to realize this: we built too many homes during the housing bubble years. Yes, but this is where my work is much different from other housing economists and why we need to think of inventory in a new, modern 21st-century mindset. Wait, what?

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Housing Wire

MAY 26, 2022

It’s an excellent time to discuss housing inventory. Since the summer of 2020, this has been my main talking point on what can cool down housing ; it’s a 10-year yield above 1.94% , meaning rates above 4%. How can housing inventory be so low today when it skyrocketed back in 2009? I don’t believe housing inventory below 1.52

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 19, 2024

And that number includes a huge caveat as June 2020 was at the height of the COVID-19 pandemic lockdowns. Elevated inventory has put downward pressure on prices this year, but November’s numbers foreshadow a potential tightening. The annualized rate is the highest seen since the tally of 4.22 While thats a 4.7% million, a 2.9%

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Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 13, 2023

The housing market experienced more volatility last week, with housing inventory dropping as mortgage rates moved higher. Weekly housing inventory continues to decline, as we saw a decrease of 13,238 units, double the amount we had this time last year. So, when I saw the slight inventory increase, I thought this was a good trend.

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 30, 2023

Housing inventory decreased by 6,468 units, a more pronounced decline from the previous week. Weekly housing inventory There is, again, another downside report on weekly inventory, as inventory has fallen noticeably again this week from the week prior. However, it has now fallen again, and inventory decreased by 6,468.

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Housing Wire

OCTOBER 8, 2021

In the most recent month with data available on that follow-up question, 66% surveyed said that it was a bad time to buy a home because prices are too high, up from just 12% who said prices were too high in July 2020. Meanwhile only 19% said it was a good time to buy because of low interest rates, down from 44% in July 2020.

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 9, 2023

The housing market saw inventory fall 4% last week from the week before. Does that mean we are heading back to all-time lows in inventory again for 2023? During the last four weeks and especially this past week, we are seeing inventory decline faster than expected. Weekly housing inventory. Weekly inventory change: (Dec.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 6, 2023

The housing market faced some serious obstacles last week as the 10-year yield broke over 4%, mortgage rates rose to over 7%, purchase apps fell again and we are still trying to find the elusive seasonal bottom for housing inventory. I discussed my theory on why inventory bottoms out later in the year on this HousingWire Daily podcast.

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2023

On Friday NAR reported that total housing inventory levels broke under 1 million in December, dropping to 970,00 units for a population of 330 million people. million in January down to about 4 million in December, We now have total inventory levels near all-time lows again. In one of the most historical years in the U.S.

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Housing Wire

JULY 23, 2024

Sinking sales, rapidly rising inventory and prices at all-time highs — this is the state of the market for existing homes. These two factors have caused unsold inventory to rise considerably, pushing months of supply to 4.1, the highest number since the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic in May 2020. It represents a 3.1%

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Housing Wire

MAY 7, 2023

Just when I thought it was safe to say we were getting more traditional spring housing inventory , we hit a snag last week, as active inventory and new listings declined. Weekly housing inventory The numbers this week are unfortunate: inventory should be growing like it does at this time every year.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 505

Housing Wire

JUNE 24, 2024

Inventory grew by almost 14,000 homes this week. Available inventory of unsold homes continues to grow but that growth in seems a bit less intense than it could be. He expects the second half of the year to see even more inventory growth. Inventory increases by 2.2% Sellers can just wait it out, and it looks like the U.S.

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 29, 2025

High mortgage rates, low inventory and sky-high prices resulted in historically low sales at a time when agents are already wrestling with the changes related to the $418 million antitrust settlement signed by the National Association of Realtors (NAR). Since the beginning of 2020, the average monthly change for existing-home sales is -0.27%.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 14, 2025

Weekly housing inventory continues upward Is inventory in the D.C This week’s inventory data gives us a vantage point into this weeks market dynamics. Inventory for single-family homes in the D.C ’s inventory level compared to 2024. Data and common sense show that federal job cuts are stressing D.C’s

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Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 6, 2023

Despite mortgage rates briefly falling below the 6% threshold, both housing inventory and mortgage demand fell last week. Weekly Housing Inventory A few weeks ago, I was encouraged that we had a slight increase in inventory and a small decline the following week. This week inventory fell 8,664 units from the previous week.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 9, 2024

We know inventory has been climbing all year. The northern cities have tight inventory and rising prices, some of the Sunbelt cities have the most inventory in many years, and some markets even have falling prices, too. Inventory is growing Lets start with supply. Inventory shrank every year for most of the decade.

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Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 7, 2024

With mortgage rates briefly topping 8% and home prices breaking records throughout the year, many would-be sellers simply decided not to bother listing their homes, exacerbating already tight inventories. This squeezed inventory even further throughout 2022 and 2023, pushing home prices to record highs month after month.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 18, 2022

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported today on two trends in existing home sales that we have seen for many months now: sales are declining while total inventory data has fallen directly for the three straight months. However, I knew the years 2020-2024 would see better demand from the bump in demographics.

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Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 3, 2025

Inventory of unsold homes on the market ticked down fractionally this week. Its not uncommon for January to have a little up and down in the inventory numbers. If inventory were jumping each week, that would be notable, but its not. At this time, of year theres new inventory and new buyers are shopping. There are 27.7%

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 26, 2024

Economists point to the October surge in mortgage rates and the rise in existing-home inventory as some of the factors behind the disappointing results for new-home sales. ​​”Some of the dip in new home sales in October is partially explained by political uncertainty ,” Bright MLS chief economist Lisa Sturtevant said in a statement.

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Housing Wire

JULY 29, 2022

That marks the first month since July 2019 (pre-pandemic) that housing inventory increased year over year. The home-inventory bump dovetails with other data indicating the nation’s housing market lost some steam this past month, according to a June housing-market report from Seattle-based Redfin. percentage points from June 2021.

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Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 20, 2023

Another week down in 2023 and we’re seeing crazier action in the housing market as purchase application data fell, mortgage rates rose again, and weekly inventory took another dive with a noticeable move lower in new listing data. Things are different post-2020, and inventory is bottoming out later in the year.

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Housing Wire

AUGUST 2, 2024

properties sold at foreclosure auction, showed that this trend is being fueled by rising levels of inventory on the retail market. Data from Altos Research found that the inventory of single-family homes for sale was up 40% year over year at the end of July.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 18, 2024

real estate market were for inventory growth, sales growth and home-price growth across the U.S. Of my initial expectations this year — rising inventory, rising sales rates, rising prices — only rising inventory remains clear at this moment as we finish Q1 with rising interest rates. As we started 2024, the signals in the U.S.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 17, 2024

More inventory can bring down prices, but some renters still struggle to meet the rental price hikes found in new construction. Another Redfin rental absorption report found that slightly over half of new apartments built in Q2 were rented out within three months the second-lowest seasonally adjusted share since mid-2020.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 14, 2024

No matter where you are in the state, real estate agents in Virginia are facing low inventory conditions that are creating frustrating scenarios for their buyers. “I According to Tiller, the tight inventory has caused homebuyers to spend up to six months searching for their new property, roughly double the time it took prior to the pandemic.

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Appraisal Buzz

JULY 24, 2024

year-over-year, the largest annual rise in a year and the highest share for any June since 2020. This trend is contributing to a glut of unsold inventory. The total number of homes for sale recorded its largest year-over-year gain in June, as listings remain on the market longer, causing inventory to accumulate.

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 17, 2025

The team was brokered at Douglas Elliman since 2020 and works across all sectors of the real estate market, from multimillion-dollar mansions to starter homes. Leahy cited access to exclusive inventory through Compass Private Exclusives as a reason for the move. ” In 2023, Leahy and her team did $167.6

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Housing Wire

JULY 5, 2023

Gerli cites data from a company called AllTheRooms to make the case that the Airbnb /short-term rental market is “crashing” and it will have a big impact on inventory. In some markets there are now 2-3x more homes listed on Airbnb than for sale, a situation that has robbed the housing market for inventory,” Gerli wrote in an email.

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