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Housing Market ‘Flirts With Recession’

Appraisal Buzz

Do rising mortgage rates necessarily trigger an economic recession or vice versa? With six of 10 distinct housing recessions since the 1970s preceding an economic recession (as determined by the National Bureau of Economic Research Business), it is tempting to answer, “yes.” A housing recession does not necessarily kick things off.”

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COVID couldn’t stop the U.S. housing market in 2020

Housing Wire

This also closed the books on 2020’s housing market as we finished out the year at 5,640,000 total existing-home sales — a 5.6% The COVID crisis of 2020 was responsible for a lot of abnormal metrics in the housing market. We saw hints of this prime housing market period as early as February of 2020.

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The 2021 housing market will be stronger than 2020

Housing Wire

This is the fourth installment of our economist Q&A series, as we work to answer the top 2021 housing market questions. The 2021 housing market forecasts have focused on everything from home prices to mortgage rates. Every Tuesday in December, HousingWire interviewed a top economist in the HW+ Slack channel.

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The downside of the hot 2020 housing market: rapid home-price growth

Housing Wire

Demand for housing was strong in early 2020, before the COVID-19 crisis hit. Mandated shut-down measures and the fear of what COVID would do to our economy temporarily immobilized the housing market, evinced by nine weeks of declines in the weekly purchase applications data on a year-over-year basis.

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Lower mortgage rates are stabilizing the housing market

Housing Wire

Since the weaker CPI data was released in November, bond yields and mortgage rates have been heading lower. The question then was: What would lower mortgage rates do to this data? Now, with five weeks of data in front of us, we can say they have stabilized the market. Mortgage rates went from a low of 2.5%

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Pending Home Sales Fall to Lowest Level Since April 2020

Appraisal Buzz

Meanwhile, pending sales – a more current gauge of demand that includes both existing and newly-constructed homes – fell to the lowest level of any month on record aside from April 2020, when the pandemic brought the housing market to a halt. There are a few encouraging signs for homebuyers aside from the dip in mortgage rates.

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Housing Market Tracker: Inventory drops as mortgage rates move higher

Housing Wire

The housing market experienced more volatility last week, with housing inventory dropping as mortgage rates moved higher. The start of 2023 has been good, considering mortgage rates have stayed above 6% most of the time. I am keeping an eye on how much growth we can get with mortgage rates over 6%.

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