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To avoid recession, the Fed needs a housing comeback

Housing Wire

One key data line that is flagging a path to recession is the loss of residential construction workers. Today, housing starts activity is at the levels we saw during the brief pandemic-fueled recession of 2020. Let’s look at today’s residential construction report and see where we are. Why is this happening?

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Unsold inventory is rising across the country

Housing Wire

Every state in the country has more homes on the market now than a year ago and, in many places, new construction is being completed and added to inventory, so it’s not just resale inventory that’s growing. There are more homes on the market now than anytime since August 2020. immediate sales).

Inventory 523
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Pending home sales surged in December: NAR

Housing Wire

It was the largest monthly jump in pending home sales since 2020. The trade group also predicts that rent growth will ease due to sizable growth in apartment construction over the past three years. Looking ahead Confronted with limited existing home inventory, many buyers have pivoted to newly constructed homes. in November.

Contracts 480
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Indiana’s housing market is primed to bounce back in 2024

Housing Wire

We were up year over year in inventory , but we were at a 25 year low on new listings.” 23, 2024, the 90-day average for single family listings in the state was 9,927, down from 14,314 single family listings in late February 2020. “It Very few new construction homes are going up in our area,” Diamond said.

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Sellers Slash List Prices as Buyers Face Record High Home Costs

Appraisal Buzz

There have only been two months in the last decade with fewer home sales: October 2023, when mortgage rates reached a 23-year high, and May 2020, when the pandemic brought the housing market to a halt and home sales to an all-time low. New listings: New listings rose most in San Jose, CA (32.7%), Seattle (31.2%) and Denver (31.1%).

Sellers 435
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Nearly All of U.S. Homes Sitting For at Least a Month 

Appraisal Buzz

That’s the lowest level in records dating back to 2012, with the exception of May 2020, when the pandemic brought the housing market to a standstill. Pending sales—a more current gauge of housing market activity that includes both existing and newly constructed homes—fell to the lowest level on record aside from April 2020.

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The housing market is losing steam

Housing Wire

This has dampened new home sales and quickened home-price growth.” ” Mark Palim, deputy chief economist at Fannie Mae , said anecdotal reports of builders delaying or turning down orders to clear a growing construction backlog appears to be borne out by the recent housing starts data. percent,” Palim said Tuesday.