Housing Wire

DECEMBER 29, 2022

As we close out 2022, it’s time to reflect on a historic year for the housing market, which was even crazier than the COVID-19 year of 2020. A few months ago, I was asked to go on CNBC and talk about why I call this a housing recession and why this year reminds me a lot of 2018, but much worse on the four items above.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 29, 2023

The region was responsible for almost 65% of the adjusted rate of home sales, up about 10 percentage points from the same month in 2018. Homebuilders are also pacing the number of homes they bring to market. The rate of homes under construction has roughly plateaued since April 2022. The figure – up 17.7%

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Housing Wire

JULY 26, 2022

This data line confirms what we all know to be the case: The housing market, at least as it relates to construction, is in a recession. Since the summer of 2020, I have genuinely believed the housing market could change once the 10-year yield broke over 1.94%. In response, they stalled construction for 30 months.

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Housing Wire

MAY 26, 2022

It’s an excellent time to discuss housing inventory. The housing market shifted in March of this year. As the 10-year yield broke above 1.94% and mortgage rates rose, we saw the impact on housing data. Yes, crazy to think, but this is a survey trend data line, and the housing market was in free-fall at that time.

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Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 21, 2022

Housing construction in the U.S. during the brief COVID-19 recession, to that recovery, and now in the new housing recession, is going to go down in history as one of those crazy data lines we lived through. million housing completions in the monthly report. months and below, this is an excellent market for the builders.

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Appraisal Buzz

NOVEMBER 14, 2024

Stowell currently sits on the Board of Directors at Toll Brothers, Pacific Mutual Holding Company, and HomeAid America, a non-profit organization whose mission is to help people experiencing or at risk of homelessness build new lives through construction, community engagement, and education. housing market.”

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Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2022

We finally got mortgage rates to rise, and for people like me who have been concerned about how unhealthy the housing market was last year — and it got a lot worse this year — it’s a blessing that was much needed. As you can see below, the new home sales market from 2018-2022 doesn’t look like the housing market we had from 2002-2005.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 7, 2020

housing market was the single best outperforming economic sector globally during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. Due to the solid demand for homes, housing supply for both new and existing homes are at all-time lows. For now, though, the low inventory means housing starts have legs to move higher. New Home Supply.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 25, 2020

I said that housing starts would never start a year at 1.5 Only then would we see enough demand from the new home sales market to warrant that much construction. months, then the market has issues, and builders will likely stall on construction. This happened in 2018 when mortgage rates reached 4.75% to 5%.

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Housing Wire

APRIL 19, 2022

Census Bureau released their report for March, showing a solid number of housing permits and starts — but these were boosted by multifamily construction. In addition, this data lags behind the current reality of a housing market dealing with much higher mortgage rates. From Census: Privately?owned percent (±12.3

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 3, 2020

1 midsized housing market to watch in 2020 , according to Zillow, because of its draw for young professionals, families, and retirees alike. In 2018, Forbes ranked the city No. The demand is clear — the Boise housing market has just 0.3 New construction continues to take more and more of our market,” Dopp said.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 25, 2021

Many economists speculate rising rates will be the key to quelling construction woes, even if it does eventually take a slight toll on demand. Even a slight quarter turn in rates will cause many borrowers to wait out the market. That’s a full 5% drop. As they do, home builders can seize the opportunity to catch up.

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Housing Wire

MAY 18, 2022

Census Bureau released their new residential construction report for April, showing a miss on the estimate and a negative revisions data line, which I believe is lagging behind the current market reality. Housing starts came in at 1.724 million , and housing permits came in at 1.819 million — both are still very healthy numbers.

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Housing Wire

AUGUST 13, 2024

Construction of accessory dwelling units (ADUs) is taking off, but is it bringing down housing costs? A new report from John Burns Real Estate Consulting casts doubt on it, citing uneven geographic distribution of deregulations and the high cost of construction. As a result, the most impactful ADUs are in new construction.

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 6, 2022

Bringing together some of the top economists and researchers in housing, the event will provide an in-depth look at the predictions for next year, along with a roundtable discussion on how these insights apply to your business. Measuring the housing deficit. Since 2018, the housing supply deficit has been growing.

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Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 18, 2023

The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB)/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) report showed that builder confidence fell 5 points in September to a reading of 45, following a six-point drop in August. Meanwhile, builders are faced with shortages of construction workers, buildable lots and distribution transformers, she added.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 3, 2023

million, falling somewhere between their March 2022 high (12 million) and their relative pre-pandemic November 2018 high (7.6 What to expect in the housing market ? In October, construction employment continued to trend up, adding 23,000 more jobs, aligning with the average monthly gain of 18,000 over the prior 12 months.

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Housing Wire

MAY 10, 2022

This article is part of our housing market economic update series. At the end of this series, you can join us on May 10 for a Housing Market Update webinar. The housing market is heading toward an inflection point — a rebalancing that will mean the end of the record-high price appreciation we’ve seen over the past year.

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Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 24, 2022

From the National Association of Home Builders : For many years I have stressed that the most important housing data I follow is the monthly supply of new homes. It gives an idea of what to expect for housing construction. adjusted estimate of new houses for sale at the end of January was 406,000. A good example was 2018.

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Housing Wire

OCTOBER 14, 2021

Compounding these generational struggles is the construction slowdown that came out of the Great Recession. The resulting housing shortage has only worsened over the course of the pandemic as homebuilders have faced supply and labor shortages. housing market,” Tucker said in a statement.

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Housing Wire

JULY 13, 2022

Looking at the housing market in the years 2020-2024, one risk i identified early on was that home prices could accelerate more in this period than we saw in the previous expansion if inventory channels broke to all-time lows. housing market as savagely unhealthy. Over the last two and a half years of U.S.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 24, 2021

months and above, the builders will pull back on construction. However, we are not that far from me raising a red flag on the new home sector as I did in 2018. From Census: The median sales price of new houses sold in October 2021 was $407,700. When supply is 6.5 Currently, the headline number is at 6.3 I explained my take here.

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Housing Wire

AUGUST 16, 2022

Tuesday’s housing starts report clearly shows that homebuilders are going to be done with single-family construction until mortgage rates fall. If it wasn’t for solid rental demand boosting multifamily construction this year — 18% year to date —this data line would have looked much worse.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 23, 2020

Exponential growth in any housing market data will eventually moderate. From the Census Bureau: “Sales of new single-family houses in November 2020 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 841,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. months, builders become cautious about oversupplying a market.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 7, 2024

“With broad expertise across the residential spectrum, including single-family homes, mixed-use communities, and projects meeting local governments’ affordability requirements, we will benefit from Scott’s deep understanding of the homebuilding process as lack of supply and new construction issues persist in the U.S. and HomeAid America.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 2, 2020

There are also a few areas where loan limits are calculated differently than the rest of the country due to the specific nature of those housing markets. Virgin Islands have a higher limit ceiling than the rest of the country to account for the higher costs of construction. In those areas, the 2020 FHA loan limit is $1,233,550.

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 19, 2023

The Census Bureau ‘s housing starts report for December shows that housing completions are still too slow, and we are running out of time this year as housing permits are set to fall until the homebuilders get rid of their excess supply. million until 2020-2024, when demand would finally warrant that type of construction.

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Housing Wire

MAY 24, 2022

A lot of the housing data was lagging the rate move, so it wasn’t apparent that higher rates impacted the data yet. Going back to the summer of 2020, the one factor that I said could change the housing market was the 10-year yield getting above 1.94%. However, the housing market changed once the 10-year yield broke over 1.94%.

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Housing Wire

APRIL 11, 2022

Yes, but this is where my work is much different from other housing economists and why we need to think of inventory in a new, modern 21st-century mindset. Then in 2018, when mortgage rates got to 5%, we had a supply shock for the builders, which in essence stalled out construction for 30 months. million to 1.93

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Housing Wire

MARCH 10, 2023

In the Seattle area, there was a 250% ADU construction increase in 2022 compared to 2019. In Seattle, a report designed for City Council outlines that during 2022, permitted ADU construction increased to 988 total units — a sharp rise from the 280 ADU construction permits issued in 2019.

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Housing Wire

AUGUST 23, 2022

The housing market is in a recession, something that the homebuilders and the National Association of Realtors now agree with me on, as this recent CNBC clip shows. family houses in July 2022 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 511,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. This is 12.6 percent (±16.9

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 23, 2022

We are, for now, bouncing off the bottom that we had back in 2018, which was historically low as well. In 2005, when the housing bubble peaked in sales at around 1.4 The housing market has been in a recession since June of this year, and we have other data lines that can be more useful in gauging the new home sales sector.

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Housing Wire

OCTOBER 29, 2020

Strong purchase demand is helping to lift the construction, manufacturing and transportation industries that build new homes and it is also leading to more consumer spending for owners, who are selling or improving their homes,” said Khater. The housing market is booming, as shown by the extremely strong pace of home sales last week.

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Appraisal Buzz

JUNE 11, 2024

Keeping stock of manufactured home supply According to 2021 American Housing Survey (AHS) , compiled by the U.S. Department of Housing & Urban Development (HUD) and U.S. Census Bureau, the nation’s manufactured housing market provides affordable housing to nearly 6.7 million households own the land and unit, 1.8

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Housing Wire

JUNE 16, 2022

Multifamily construction is different than single-family homes. From Census: Housing Completions Privately? family housing completions in May were at a rate of 1,043,000; this is 2.8 Housing completions have been one of the worst stories for the housing market. percent (±13.6

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Housing Wire

APRIL 21, 2022

A former Texas A&M cross country and track athlete and Episcopalian minister, Ballard in 2011 co-founded TreeHouse , a retailer to sell environmentally friendly home construction materials. But the company was out of business by 2018. There is something endearing in the 3-D printed wall’s construction. Khater wrote.

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Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 1, 2021

To explore how America can create the right kind of supply for today’s market, we first examined the attitudes and preferences of prospective homebuyers. Putting aside the yet unknown long-term effects of COVID-19, a healthy housing market needs to grow by providing opportunities for all generations, from Gen Z to seniors.

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