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Housing inventory fell last week. Have sellers called it quits?

Housing Wire

Since mid-2022 when mortgage rates headed higher , two facts have been apparent: new listings data has been trending at the lowest levels ever recorded in history and inventory has been able to grow from record low levels thanks to mortgage rates staying elevated. Let’s see what the data for last week tells us.

Inventory 511
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New listings have peaked for 2024: It’s the second-lowest year on record

Housing Wire

One of my critical forecasts for 2024 was the growth of new listings data and active inventory, even with higher mortgage rates. However, the new listings data has slightly disappointed me. New listings data I am pleased that we’ve seen new listings data grow year over year — it’s a big step forward.

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New listings data is growing and prices still aren’t crashing

Housing Wire

The rules of supply and demand economics always end up winning and weekly new listing data is key. New listing data is growing year over year, but it will be the second-lowest new listing data ever recorded in history. When mortgage rates increase, demand falls, and the price-cut percentage grows.

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Will the NAR settlement changes slow down home-buying?

Housing Wire

Since the buyer’s commission payout isn’t as transparent as before, I have been anticipating delays in the home-buying process as people adapted to the new rules. 2024 is the second-lowest new listing year recorded in history, but we still saw growth from last year, which is a positive. Weekly inventory change (Aug.

Inventory 437
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The mortgage rate lock-in didn’t start in 2022

Housing Wire

After an initial rush to get to market in Q2 2022, new listings volume fell precipitously. In July 2022, new listings volume per week dropped from 90,000 at the end of June to approximately 74,000 just after the July 4th holiday. That’s a swing of 17% fewer sellers in just a matter of days.

Mortgage 426
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Mortgage rates head lower, helped by better mortgage spreads

Housing Wire

The seasonal decline period is starting soon, so we should get accustomed to seeing a decline in new listing data as the year heads toward its end. It is a bit shocking to me that new listings this week are lower than even last year: This is the lowest new listing week ever recorded.

Mortgage 509
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Why home prices haven’t crashed even with high mortgage rates

Housing Wire

Here is the price cut percentage data for the same week in other years: 2023 38% 2022 42% 2021 27% As you can see, affordability is an issue, and the price cut percentage is higher now than in any period from 2015-2021, but still below 2022 levels. Now lets take a look at the weekly inventory data. the seasonal peak this year was on Nov.

Mortgage 530