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Additionally, our weekly pending contract data and newlistings are trending positively compared to last year. Last year, I estimated that a minimum of 80,000 homes would be listed every week during the peak seasonal months, and my prediction was only off by 5,000.
I wholeheartedly believed that newlistings would hit at least 80,000 during the season’s peak weeks this was the norm before the pandemic shook things up. To give you some perspective, during the years of the housing bubble crash, newlistings were soaring between 250,000 and 400,000 per week for many years.
24): Inventory fell from 569,898 to 565,875 The all-time inventory bottom was in 2022 at 240,497 The inventory peak for 2024 so far is 739,434 For some context, active listings for this week in 2015 were 1,104,310 Newlistings data While active inventory didn’t rise, we did get a nice boost in newlistings this last week.
Newlisting data appears unafraid of the mortgage rate ghost story over the last few months. Unlike last year, when newlistings data had a noticeable move lower once mortgage rates reached 6%, 8% mortgage rates haven’t had any noticeable impact on the latest newlistings data.
Newlistings data has been moving lower over the last few weeks. But, we need to see more growth in newlistings data just to grow from 2023 levels. 2023 newlistings data was the lowest ever on record, so it’s already a low bar.
One of my critical forecasts for 2024 was the growth of newlistings data and active inventory, even with higher mortgage rates. However, the newlistings data has slightly disappointed me. Newlistings data I am pleased that we’ve seen newlistings data grow year over year — it’s a big step forward.
The rules of supply and demand economics always end up winning and weekly newlisting data is key. Newlisting data is growing year over year, but it will be the second-lowest newlisting data ever recorded in history. When mortgage rates increase, demand falls, and the price-cut percentage grows.
21): Inventory fell from 538,767 to 528,601 The all-time inventory bottom was in 2022 at 240,497 The inventory peak for 2024 so far is 739,434 For some context, active listings for this week in 2015 were 1,013,245 NewListingsNewlistings data is showing a typical decline for this time of year.
The last two years were the two lowest newlistings data years in history. Weekly inventory change (Jan. 31-Feb 7): Inventory fell from 634,979 to 632,367 The same week last year (Feb. Last year, I had forecasted we would get at least 80,000 per week during the seasonal peak months, but It didnt happen.
Remember that 2023 had the lowest newlistings data ever and 2024 will have the second lowest. Here are newlistings for last week over the past several years: 2024: 62,876 2023: 57,229 2022: 59,458 Price-cut percentage In an average year, one-third of all homes take a price cut — this is standard housing activity.
For example, from 2015 to late 2019, inventory levels remained above 7,000 for single-family homes. Newlistings remain low as owners lock in Altos’s data for newlistings accounts for single-family homes that come to market without an immediate or pending contract. Whats the reason for this? housing market.
The last two years were the two lowest years for newlistings data in history, and they were also not healthy years for the latest listings data. Last year, I had high hopes that we would see at least 80,000 newlistings per week during the peak seasonal months, but unfortunately, that didnt come to fruition.
The last two years were the two lowest newlistings data years in history, and they were also not healthy years for the newlistings data. The last two years were the two lowest newlistings data years in history, and they were also not healthy years for the newlistings data.
NewlistingsNewlistings also dipped for the second week in a row. Theres probably some weather effects in there, and I expect to see a jump in the newlistings volume in next weeks data. There were just over 53,000 newlistings unsold, plus another 10,000 newlistings immediate sales.
Did the recent move in higher mortgage rates impact the newlistings data more than normal? I hope this isn’t the case, but we had a noticeable move lower in newlistings last week. Weekly active listings rose by only 6,618. The Fed spoke at Jackson Hole last Friday but that didn’t move mortgage rates much.
New Redfin data reported the largest gain since the end of last year occurred in the four weeks ending February 2, when newlistings of homes for sale in the U.S.increased 7.9% A larger pool of options is becoming available to homebuyers as a result of the increase in newlistings and the decline in sales.
The last four weeks of newlistings data have been the most volatile since mortgage rates breached 6% in 2022. One week, we had the biggest decline in newlistings data all year, which might indicate Americans are giving up on listing their homes. What’s going on with housing inventory ? 18: 60,295 Aug.
Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active listings rose by 8,546 , and newlisting data showed some growth. If that is the case, then this week’s gain in active inventory and newlistings needs to be taken with a grain of salt until we get next week’s data. However, I will take what I can now.
The seasonal decline period is starting soon, so we should get accustomed to seeing a decline in newlisting data as the year heads toward its end. It is a bit shocking to me that newlistings this week are lower than even last year: This is the lowest newlisting week ever recorded.
Newlistings data fell, however, active inventory grew. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Total active listings grew by 3,809 weekly, but newlistings are still trending at all-time lows. However, at this time last year, we saw some newlistings growth versus 2021 levels. million to 1.04
Since the buyer’s commission payout isn’t as transparent as before, I have been anticipating delays in the home-buying process as people adapted to the new rules. 2024 is the second-lowest newlisting year recorded in history, but we still saw growth from last year, which is a positive. Weekly inventory change (Aug.
Here is the price cut percentage data for the same week in other years: 2023 38% 2022 42% 2021 27% As you can see, affordability is an issue, and the price cut percentage is higher now than in any period from 2015-2021, but still below 2022 levels. Now lets take a look at the weekly inventory data. the seasonal peak this year was on Nov.
Since I believe most home sellers are also homebuyers, once newlistings created a new low level after mortgage rates reached over 6% in 2022, it added another layer of home demand falling off a cliff. What we want to see in 2024 is newlisting data growing in the spring season. Weekly inventory change (Dec.
Weekly housing inventory Since newlisting data was trending at all-time lows in 2023, some feared we wouldn’t see the typical spring inventory increase. After the last few weeks , we can put that fear aside: we are finally getting the seasonal increase in active listing. This link explains the difference and is worth a read.
I wish newlistings were growing faster, but I will call it a victory nonetheless. We saw a slight decline in newlistings data week to week. We saw a slight decline in newlistings data week to week. For now, I will chalk this up to the seasonal choppiness we sometimes see with inventory data.
On housing inventory , newlistings data saw a small decline last week, but active listings grew at a healthy clip. We have had some volatile weekly numbers in the newlistings data recently, but even with the mortgage rate spike, the decline was orderly, as it has been all year.
I have been slightly disappointed in the newlisting data only because I was sure we would get a print above 80,000 this year and was hoping for a range of 95,000-110,000 in the peak seasonal period. Remember, for next week, newlistings data will take a Memorial Day hit lower as it does each year, and then it rebounds.
While I didn’t get my minimum target of 80,000 newlistings during this year’s peak seasonal weeks, I am pleased we saw growth. While I didn’t get my minimum target of 80,000 newlistings during this year’s peak seasonal weeks, I am pleased we saw growth. Weekly inventory change (Aug.
Imagine a housing market with just 6% mortgage rates or lower — it would be growing like what we see in the new home sales market. The growth isn’t just in active inventory but also newlistings. Weekly housing inventory data The best housing story for 2024 so far is that inventory is growing yearly.
Of course, what is different this year versus last year is that newlisting data is growing yearly instead of trending at the lowest levels recorded in history. Last year, when mortgage rates headed toward 8% , we saw no negative hit to the latest listings data, meaning it didn’t take a new leg lower.
Weekly housing inventory data I can’t stress enough that the best story for 2024 has been that active inventory and newlisting data is growing. It doesn’t look like I will reach my assumed easy target of 80,000 newlistings. However, the real story is that we see year-over-year growth, which is a plus.
After an initial rush to get to market in Q2 2022, newlistings volume fell precipitously. In July 2022, newlistings volume per week dropped from 90,000 at the end of June to approximately 74,000 just after the July 4th holiday. By Q1 2015, more than 60% of American homeowners with mortgages had rates locked in under 5%.
Last week we saw a noticeable decline in newlistings and active inventory was barely positive. Newlisting data is getting interesting: two weeks ago, we had a noticeable decline from the trend and then a weekly rebound. Does this mean housing inventory has begun its seasonal decline?
18): Inventory fell from 569,571 to 564,571 The inventory bottom for 2022 was 240,194 The inventory peak for 2023 so far is 569,898 For context, active listings for this week in 2015 were 1,104,514 Newlistings data fell weekly but showed positive year-over-year growth. Weekly inventory change (Nov.
Remember that even though we are showing growth year over year — 2023 was the lowest levels of newlistings ever recorded in history. This week, the data did dive, but it was the traditional drop we see during the Memorial Day weekend and we will have a rebound in the data line next week.
This got tested in 2023 with 8% mortgage rates ; not only did that not happen, but the newlisting data was very stable, meaning it was forming a bottom. Historically speaking, 2021 and early 2022 were the two lowest ever in newlistings data. Weekly inventory change : (Dec.15-22)
As most sellers are buyers, seeing more sellers listing their homes has been good. The only thing about 2024 was that I was 100% sure we would see a seasonal peak print at a minimum of 80,000 and it’s starting to look more and more like it won’t happen this year as the seasonal decline in newlistings isn’t far away.
We should see the seasonal bottom soon and then the traditional increase in active inventory to match the growth in newlistings data. This also assumes that newlisting data stays on its path for growth year over year. However, 2023 was the lowest newlistings data pool ever, which was an unhealthy outcome.
The best housing story in 2024 is that inventory is growing — both active inventory and newlistings. Still, newlisting data is a positive story. Still, newlisting data is a positive story. As we head into April, let’s see where we’re at on the Inventory side as are officially into spring.
While I didn’t get my minimum target of 80,000 newlistings during the peak seasonal weeks this year, it was good to see growth. While I didn’t get my minimum target of 80,000 newlistings during the peak seasonal weeks this year, it was good to see growth. Weekly inventory change (July 26-Aug.
Just when I thought it was safe to say we were getting more traditional spring housing inventory , we hit a snag last week, as active inventory and newlistings declined. Newlisting data was trending at all-time lows in 2021 abd 2022 and now it’s creating a new all-time low trend in 2023.
Yes, we found the seasonal bottom for housing inventory on April 14, but this year’s rise in active listings has been tepid at best. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Total active listings grew 662 weekly, and newlisting data is still trending at all-time lows. This doesn’t appear to be the case for 2023.
Weekly housing inventory data The one positive story for me in housing this year is that inventory is growing year over year for both active inventory and newlisting data. Last year, II picked up on the trend that newlisting data was creating a historical bottom as the data line wasn’t heading lower with higher rates.
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