Housing Wire

DECEMBER 30, 2023

Going into 2023, people thought housing inventory would skyrocket, home prices would crash, and we would see the housing market of 2008 all over again. Looking back on 2023, the inventory story was a big surprise even as mortgage rates headed toward 8%, as the data below will show. Weekly inventory change (Dec.

Inventory 521

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 521

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 25, 2023

However, the recent drop in housing inventory has more to do with seasonality factors than lower mortgage rates. Higher mortgage rates did push inventory higher during the seasonal period when it would normally be declining. The question now is what will inventory look like in the spring if mortgage rates keep falling?

Inventory 537

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Buyers 537

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 11, 2023

Total housing inventory growth has been slow in 2023, but with rising mortgage rates over the last few months, inventory has grown a bit faster than average. The question now is: Have we hit the seasonal peak in inventory for 2023? Last year, according to Altos Research , the seasonal peak for housing inventory was Oct.

Inventory 505

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Retail 505

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 13, 2024

Housing inventory, which saw an excellent pickup a few weeks ago, has been slowing down and last week we saw a slight decline. Has seasonality finally kicked in or did back-to-back hurricanes slow things enough to influence inventory data? Since then, inventory growth has been slowing down and even declined last week.

Inventory 511

Inventory New Listings Retail Mortgage 511

Housing Wire

APRIL 11, 2022

Given the current housing inventory crisis, it might surprise people to realize this: we built too many homes during the housing bubble years. Yes, but this is where my work is much different from other housing economists and why we need to think of inventory in a new, modern 21st-century mindset. Wait, what?

Inventory 514

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Modernization 514

Housing Wire

APRIL 16, 2023

The seasonal housing inventory bottom evaded us again last week as active listings fell and new listing inventory decreased. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active inventory fell 5,383 last week, and new listing data is still trending at all-time lows in 2023. The answer is no!

Inventory 539

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 539

Housing Wire

APRIL 6, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data — both active inventory and new listings — are prone to one-week moves that deviate from a trend, especially if people are going Easter egg hunting. So, the fact that active inventory and new listings data fell last week isn’t a big deal.

Inventory 493

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Housing Market 493

Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2024

Housing inventory, new listing data and mortgage rates are all rising, but the price cut data percentages are falling. Weekly housing inventory data Here is a look at the first week of the year: Weekly inventory change (Jan. 12-19) : Inventory rose from 505,223 to 506,414 Same week last year (Jan. So far, so good in 2024.

Inventory 541

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 541

Housing Wire

JULY 2, 2023

Housing inventory finally broke under 2022 levels last week. Since May 15, that trend has continued to the point that inventory in America is now negative year over year. 9, 2022, and today you can see the final result of that dynamic shift as inventory is now negative versus the 2022 data — all before July 4th.

Inventory 482

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 482

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 18, 2022

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported today on two trends in existing home sales that we have seen for many months now: sales are declining while total inventory data has fallen directly for the three straight months. Total housing inventory fell in this report, the third report in a row that shows total inventory has decreased.

Inventory 493

Inventory Marketing Housing Market New Listings 493

Housing Wire

MARCH 29, 2022

Given the current housing inventory crisis, it might surprise people to realize this: we built too many homes during the housing bubble years. Yes, but this is where my work is much different from other housing economists and why we need to think of inventory in a new, modern 21st-century mindset. Wait, what?

Inventory 435

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Modernization 435

Housing Wire

JUNE 25, 2023

Summer is here, and housing inventory is finally growing! The spring housing inventory was like a zombie rising from the grave, very slow, but the summer is showing some promise and let’s hope it continues. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active inventory grew 8,886 weekly.

Inventory 435

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 435

Housing Wire

JANUARY 8, 2025

Available inventory of homes for sale fell each year as more and more borrowers had this cheap financing. 2016 ended with 14% less available inventory than the year before. Not coincidentally, inventory hit record lows none of those homeowners wanted to sell.This has long-term consequences. had these cheap mortgages.

Mortgage 488

Mortgage Inventory Finance Sellers 488

Housing Wire

AUGUST 20, 2023

Last week, mortgage rates hit a 21st-century high, the 10-year yield closed slightly higher than my peak forecast for 2023 , and housing inventory growth was still slow. Weekly housing inventory Mortgage rates have been near or above 7% for the last few months, and active listings growth has been slow during this tenure.

Inventory 370

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 370

Housing Wire

MARCH 5, 2024

Meanwhile, inventory levels have shown year-over-year growth despite the prevailing high mortgage rates. Most home sellers are buyers of homes, so the action we are seeing this year is a healthy step in the right direction to get more balance in the housing market ,” Mohtashami wrote on Saturday. Between Feb. Between Feb.

Mortgage 482

Mortgage Inventory Investors Sellers 482

Housing Wire

AUGUST 24, 2024

The last time we saw this kind of effect was when mortgage lenders had to start incorporating TRID in 2015 — it created a one-month crash in existing home sales because it just took a bit longer to close a deal. Last week housing inventory grew by 6,271. Weekly inventory change (Aug. Weekly inventory change (Aug.

Inventory 504

Inventory New Listings Sellers Mortgage 504

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 9, 2023

Weekly housing inventory data We will start with the price cut data percentage because it deserves a detailed explanation. Now lets take a look at the weekly inventory data. Last year, according to Altos Research , the seasonal peak for housing inventory was Oct. Weekly inventory change (Dec.

Mortgage 534

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 534

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 17, 2021

Despite several indicators of a slowing housing market, prospective home buyers should not get too excited – inventory remains limited and changes are in line with the traditional seasonal slowdown, according to RE/MAX ’s August national housing report. Low inventory is another indication of a still-scorching housing market.

Housing Market 511

Housing Market Marketing Inventory Buyers 511

Housing Wire

JUNE 15, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data As we head into the summer, I still can’t express enough gratitude for the growth in inventory this year. If mortgage rates keep falling and demand picks up, we will have a much better buffer with active inventory than in 2022 and 2023.

Mortgage 508

Mortgage Inventory Marketing New Listings 508

Housing Wire

MAY 15, 2024

That’s a swing of 17% fewer sellers in just a matter of days. What’s not measured in the FHFA paper is how by 2023, seller volume had already been declining for nearly a decade. By Q1 2015, more than 60% of American homeowners with mortgages had rates locked in under 5%. The lower rates go, the fewer home sellers we have.

Mortgage 459

Mortgage New Listings Inventory Sellers 459

Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data The best housing story for 2024 so far is that inventory is growing yearly. The growth isn’t just in active inventory but also new listings. We’re not seeing seller stress in the inventory data but just a typical increase in inventory when rates are higher, which looks perfectly normal.

Mortgage 521

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 521

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 23, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data Last week saw another slight decline in active listing and soon, the holidays will kick in. The seasonal decline is well underway, and it looks like the 739,434 level will be the peak of inventory for 2024. Weekly inventory change (Nov. Weekly inventory change (Nov.

Mortgage 514

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Contracts 514

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 2, 2023

Weekly housing inventory data It’s December, which means the seasonal decline in housing inventory is well underway, which means in 2023, I have batted a whopping zero on how much I predicted weekly inventory would grow with higher mortgage rates. Now, we see the seasonal inventory decline. Weekly inventory change (Nov.

Mortgage 543

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 543

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 23, 2023

Weekly housing inventory data We are near the end of the year, which means the seasonal decline in housing inventory will take hold until we find the seasonal bottom in inventory in 2024. However, one thing is sure: from 2020 to 2023 we never saw credit-stressed home sellers. Weekly inventory change : (Dec.15-22)

Housing Market 538

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 538

Housing Wire

JUNE 29, 2024

Housing inventory is growing, but national home prices aren’t dropping dramatically, as the recent S&P CoreLogic Case Shiller index clearly showed. Today, we will examine new listing data more extensively to provide a clear example of a stressed seller market and compare that to where we are today.

New Listings 415

New Listings Inventory Contracts Sellers 415

Housing Wire

JULY 27, 2024

One of my critical forecasts for 2024 was the growth of new listings data and active inventory, even with higher mortgage rates. Most sellers are buyers and the housing market needs standard new listing data for the rest of the year. have higher inventory than the national data. have higher inventory than the national data.

New Listings 518

New Listings Inventory Mortgage Sellers 518

Housing Wire

JUNE 10, 2024

What’s not measured in the FHFA paper is how by 2023, seller volume had already been declining for nearly a decade. By Q1 2015, more than 60% of American homeowners with mortgages had rates locked in under 5%. In that period, we can see seller volume decreasing as more and more Americans had mortgages under 5%.

Mortgage 468

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 468

Housing Wire

JUNE 1, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data The best story about housing in 2024 has been that we are finally growing inventory and getting off these savagely unhealthy low levels of active listings. Even though we didn’t hit my goal this week of inventory growth between 11,000 – 17,000, it was still a decent week at 10,374.

Mortgage 520

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 520

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 15, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data Higher rates lead to more inventory. My model has been simple for the last two years; as long as mortgage rates stay above 7.25%, inventory should grow in a normal range of 11,000-17,000 per week. Weekly inventory change (Sept. Weekly inventory change (Sept.

Mortgage 521

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Retail 521

Housing Wire

JUNE 22, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data Inventory hit another one of my target levels this week, making it four times this year! My rule of thumb has been that inventory should have some weekly positive prints between 11,000 and 17,000 as long as rates are above 7.25%. Last week we saw positive inventory growth of 13,593 !

Mortgage 482

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Contracts 482

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 28, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data Two weeks ago was the best week of inventory growth for me in 2024, as we hit my model range without higher mortgage rates; I gave it the chef’s kiss. We couldn’t pull that off this week as inventory growth slowed to 5,768. Weekly inventory change (Sept. Weekly inventory change (Sept.

Mortgage 525

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Contracts 525

Housing Wire

JANUARY 4, 2025

Weekly housing inventory data We are heading into 2025, and historically, housing inventory tends to bottom in March and April, at least following the COVID pandemic. In the last decade before that, we would see the lowest inventory in late January or February and then inventory would start rising.

New Listings 508

New Listings Inventory Contracts Mortgage 508

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 16, 2023

Weekly housing inventory data Weekly active listing data is declining now like it always does every year at this time due to seasonality. Higher mortgage rates resulted in higher inventory during part of the fall and forced the seasonal decline in inventory to start later this year. Weekly inventory change : (Dec.

Inventory 536

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Law 536

Housing Wire

JULY 13, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data This week’s data was hit with the July 4th bug. So, I will not make any statements about the decline in inventory week to week, except that it’s been affected by the holiday and we should get back on trend next week. have higher inventory data than the national data.

Mortgage 514

Mortgage New Listings Inventory Contracts 514

Housing Wire

JULY 6, 2024

Now that we are halfway through the year, we can see that active inventory in America is growing, unlike what happened in 2023. We are currently up to 652,573 single-family homes, and while that isn’t close to average active inventory levels, it’s a much better place today than in 2022.

Housing Market 476

Housing Market Mortgage Inventory Marketing 476

Housing Wire

AUGUST 4, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data The best story in 2024 has been inventory growth. We can’t have a functional housing market with the inventory levels we saw from 2020-2023. This year we’ve gotten enough inventory growth to create a buffer so we don’t have another savagely unhealthy housing market when mortgage rates fall.

Mortgage 518

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 518

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 22, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data The best story for me about housing this year has been the inventory growth. With the inventory growth we’re seeing and demand firming up, this is the best we could have hoped for in 2024. Weekly inventory change (Sept. Weekly inventory change (Sept.

Mortgage 525

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Contracts 525