Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 11, 2023

Total housing inventory growth has been slow in 2023, but with rising mortgage rates over the last few months, inventory has grown a bit faster than average. The question now is: Have we hit the seasonal peak in inventory for 2023? Last year, according to Altos Research , the seasonal peak for housing inventory was Oct.

Inventory 504

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Retail 504

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 25, 2023

However, the recent drop in housing inventory has more to do with seasonality factors than lower mortgage rates. Higher mortgage rates did push inventory higher during the seasonal period when it would normally be declining. The question now is what will inventory look like in the spring if mortgage rates keep falling?

Inventory 537

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Buyers 537

Housing Wire

APRIL 30, 2023

The spring housing market music is playing, and purchase application data and active listing inventory rose together last week. The fear of not having an increase in inventory this spring should be put to rest. Since 2020, the seasonal inventory bump has happened later than usual — not until March or April.

Inventory 525

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 525

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 4, 2024

How will mortgage rates impact seasonal inventory in 2024? In the last four years, we have had abnormal seasonal inventory data, meaning that the spring inventory bottom happens later in the year. This is due to demand rising late in one year, pushing through the early part of the next year and preventing inventory growth.

Inventory 523

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 523

Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2024

Housing inventory, new listing data and mortgage rates are all rising, but the price cut data percentages are falling. Weekly housing inventory data Here is a look at the first week of the year: Weekly inventory change (Jan. 12-19) : Inventory rose from 505,223 to 506,414 Same week last year (Jan. So far, so good in 2024.

Inventory 541

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 541

Housing Wire

APRIL 6, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data — both active inventory and new listings — are prone to one-week moves that deviate from a trend, especially if people are going Easter egg hunting. So, the fact that active inventory and new listings data fell last week isn’t a big deal.

Inventory 493

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Housing Market 493

Housing Wire

JULY 2, 2023

Housing inventory finally broke under 2022 levels last week. Since May 15, that trend has continued to the point that inventory in America is now negative year over year. 9, 2022, and today you can see the final result of that dynamic shift as inventory is now negative versus the 2022 data — all before July 4th.

Inventory 482

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 482

Housing Wire

AUGUST 20, 2023

Last week, mortgage rates hit a 21st-century high, the 10-year yield closed slightly higher than my peak forecast for 2023 , and housing inventory growth was still slow. Weekly housing inventory Mortgage rates have been near or above 7% for the last few months, and active listings growth has been slow during this tenure.

Inventory 370

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 370

Housing Wire

APRIL 16, 2023

The seasonal housing inventory bottom evaded us again last week as active listings fell and new listing inventory decreased. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active inventory fell 5,383 last week, and new listing data is still trending at all-time lows in 2023. The answer is no!

Inventory 539

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 539

Housing Wire

JUNE 25, 2023

Summer is here, and housing inventory is finally growing! The spring housing inventory was like a zombie rising from the grave, very slow, but the summer is showing some promise and let’s hope it continues. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active inventory grew 8,886 weekly.

Inventory 435

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 435

Housing Wire

APRIL 11, 2022

Given the current housing inventory crisis, it might surprise people to realize this: we built too many homes during the housing bubble years. Yes, but this is where my work is much different from other housing economists and why we need to think of inventory in a new, modern 21st-century mindset. Wait, what?

Inventory 514

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Modernization 514

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 18, 2022

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported today on two trends in existing home sales that we have seen for many months now: sales are declining while total inventory data has fallen directly for the three straight months. Total housing inventory fell in this report, the third report in a row that shows total inventory has decreased.

Inventory 493

Inventory Marketing Housing Market New Listings 493

Housing Wire

MARCH 29, 2022

Given the current housing inventory crisis, it might surprise people to realize this: we built too many homes during the housing bubble years. Yes, but this is where my work is much different from other housing economists and why we need to think of inventory in a new, modern 21st-century mindset. Wait, what?

Inventory 435

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Modernization 435

Housing Wire

AUGUST 24, 2024

The last time we saw this kind of effect was when mortgage lenders had to start incorporating TRID in 2015 — it created a one-month crash in existing home sales because it just took a bit longer to close a deal. Last week housing inventory grew by 6,271. Weekly inventory change (Aug. Weekly inventory change (Aug.

Inventory 496

Inventory New Listings Sellers Mortgage 496

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 19, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data Five weeks ago, we had the best week of inventory growth in 2024 as we hit my model range even without higher mortgage rates. Two weeks ago, inventory growth went slightly negative, with some impact due to the hurricanes on the East Coast. Last week, we had some inventory growth of 7,024 homes.

Inventory 522

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Contracts 522

Housing Wire

MARCH 5, 2024

Meanwhile, inventory levels have shown year-over-year growth despite the prevailing high mortgage rates. Most home sellers are buyers of homes, so the action we are seeing this year is a healthy step in the right direction to get more balance in the housing market ,” Mohtashami wrote on Saturday. Between Feb. Between Feb.

Mortgage 482

Mortgage Inventory Investors Sellers 482

Housing Wire

JUNE 15, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data As we head into the summer, I still can’t express enough gratitude for the growth in inventory this year. If mortgage rates keep falling and demand picks up, we will have a much better buffer with active inventory than in 2022 and 2023.

Mortgage 508

Mortgage Inventory Marketing New Listings 508

Housing Wire

MAY 15, 2024

That’s a swing of 17% fewer sellers in just a matter of days. What’s not measured in the FHFA paper is how by 2023, seller volume had already been declining for nearly a decade. By Q1 2015, more than 60% of American homeowners with mortgages had rates locked in under 5%. The lower rates go, the fewer home sellers we have.

Mortgage 458

Mortgage New Listings Inventory Sellers 458

Housing Wire

JUNE 29, 2024

Housing inventory is growing, but national home prices aren’t dropping dramatically, as the recent S&P CoreLogic Case Shiller index clearly showed. Today, we will examine new listing data more extensively to provide a clear example of a stressed seller market and compare that to where we are today.

New Listings 415

New Listings Inventory Contracts Sellers 415

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 9, 2023

Weekly housing inventory data We will start with the price cut data percentage because it deserves a detailed explanation. Now lets take a look at the weekly inventory data. Last year, according to Altos Research , the seasonal peak for housing inventory was Oct. Weekly inventory change (Dec.

Mortgage 534

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 534

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 15, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data Higher rates lead to more inventory. My model has been simple for the last two years; as long as mortgage rates stay above 7.25%, inventory should grow in a normal range of 11,000-17,000 per week. Weekly inventory change (Sept. Weekly inventory change (Sept.

Mortgage 521

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Retail 521

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 28, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data Two weeks ago was the best week of inventory growth for me in 2024, as we hit my model range without higher mortgage rates; I gave it the chef’s kiss. We couldn’t pull that off this week as inventory growth slowed to 5,768. Weekly inventory change (Sept. Weekly inventory change (Sept.

Mortgage 524

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Contracts 524

Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data The best housing story for 2024 so far is that inventory is growing yearly. The growth isn’t just in active inventory but also new listings. We’re not seeing seller stress in the inventory data but just a typical increase in inventory when rates are higher, which looks perfectly normal.

Mortgage 521

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 521

Housing Wire

JULY 27, 2024

One of my critical forecasts for 2024 was the growth of new listings data and active inventory, even with higher mortgage rates. Most sellers are buyers and the housing market needs standard new listing data for the rest of the year. have higher inventory than the national data. have higher inventory than the national data.

New Listings 518

New Listings Inventory Mortgage Sellers 518

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 5, 2024

2024: 354,816 2023: 326,593 2022: 358,740 Weekly housing inventory data Three weeks ago was the best week of inventory growth in 2024, as we hit my model range without higher mortgage rates: I gave it the chef’s kiss. We couldn’t pull that off two weeks ago and last week, inventory growth slowed to 3,273.

Mortgage 511

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Retail 511

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 22, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data The best story for me about housing this year has been the inventory growth. With the inventory growth we’re seeing and demand firming up, this is the best we could have hoped for in 2024. Weekly inventory change (Sept. Weekly inventory change (Sept.

Mortgage 524

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Contracts 524

Housing Wire

JULY 6, 2024

Now that we are halfway through the year, we can see that active inventory in America is growing, unlike what happened in 2023. We are currently up to 652,573 single-family homes, and while that isn’t close to average active inventory levels, it’s a much better place today than in 2022.

Housing Market 476

Housing Market Mortgage Inventory Marketing 476

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 23, 2023

Weekly housing inventory data We are near the end of the year, which means the seasonal decline in housing inventory will take hold until we find the seasonal bottom in inventory in 2024. However, one thing is sure: from 2020 to 2023 we never saw credit-stressed home sellers. Weekly inventory change : (Dec.15-22)

Housing Market 538

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 538

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 2, 2023

Weekly housing inventory data It’s December, which means the seasonal decline in housing inventory is well underway, which means in 2023, I have batted a whopping zero on how much I predicted weekly inventory would grow with higher mortgage rates. Now, we see the seasonal inventory decline. Weekly inventory change (Nov.

Mortgage 543

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 543

Housing Wire

JUNE 10, 2024

What’s not measured in the FHFA paper is how by 2023, seller volume had already been declining for nearly a decade. By Q1 2015, more than 60% of American homeowners with mortgages had rates locked in under 5%. In that period, we can see seller volume decreasing as more and more Americans had mortgages under 5%.

Mortgage 464

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 464

Housing Wire

AUGUST 4, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data The best story in 2024 has been inventory growth. We can’t have a functional housing market with the inventory levels we saw from 2020-2023. This year we’ve gotten enough inventory growth to create a buffer so we don’t have another savagely unhealthy housing market when mortgage rates fall.

Mortgage 518

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 518

Housing Wire

JULY 13, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data This week’s data was hit with the July 4th bug. So, I will not make any statements about the decline in inventory week to week, except that it’s been affected by the holiday and we should get back on trend next week. have higher inventory data than the national data.

Mortgage 514

Mortgage New Listings Inventory Contracts 514

Housing Wire

JUNE 22, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data Inventory hit another one of my target levels this week, making it four times this year! My rule of thumb has been that inventory should have some weekly positive prints between 11,000 and 17,000 as long as rates are above 7.25%. Last week we saw positive inventory growth of 13,593 !

Mortgage 476

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Contracts 476

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 16, 2023

Weekly housing inventory data Weekly active listing data is declining now like it always does every year at this time due to seasonality. Higher mortgage rates resulted in higher inventory during part of the fall and forced the seasonal decline in inventory to start later this year. Weekly inventory change : (Dec.

Inventory 536

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Law 536

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 17, 2021

Despite several indicators of a slowing housing market, prospective home buyers should not get too excited – inventory remains limited and changes are in line with the traditional seasonal slowdown, according to RE/MAX ’s August national housing report. Low inventory is another indication of a still-scorching housing market.

Housing Market 511

Housing Market Marketing Inventory Buyers 511

Housing Wire

JUNE 1, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data The best story about housing in 2024 has been that we are finally growing inventory and getting off these savagely unhealthy low levels of active listings. Even though we didn’t hit my goal this week of inventory growth between 11,000 – 17,000, it was still a decent week at 10,374.

Mortgage 514

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 514

Housing Wire

JANUARY 6, 2024

I believe we should get more sellers in 2024 than in 2023, but that doesn’t necessarily mean home prices will fall. However, one key for 2024 is finding the seasonal bottom in housing inventory sooner rather than later. We want to see active inventory bottom out in January and February — not March and April.

Inventory 542

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 542