Housing Wire

MAY 14, 2023

The rise of active listings in this spring housing market reminds me of a zombie slowly rising from its grave. Yes, we found the seasonal bottom for housing inventory on April 14, but this year’s rise in active listings has been tepid at best. Can you imagine the housing market at that point?

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Housing Wire

APRIL 9, 2023

The housing market welcomed the news of lower mortgage rates last week after four reports showed that the labor market isn’t as tight as it seems and that the fear of 1970s-entrenched inflation was a lousy narrative. Current housing Inventory is still not suitable for a healthy housing market. but now U.S.

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Housing Wire

JULY 6, 2024

This is precisely what the doctor ordered for the housing market. In March of 2022, we only had 240,000 active single-family homes available for sale, leading me to call the housing market savagely unhealthy as we simply had too many people chasing too few homes.

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Housing Wire

JULY 2, 2023

We have often discussed that the housing market dynamics changed starting Nov. The other big story with housing inventory is that new listing data has been trending negative year over year since the end of June 2022. Since May 15, that trend has continued to the point that inventory in America is now negative year over year.

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Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 27, 2023

We created the weekly Housing Market Tracker because housing data has been so wild since 2020. The housing market madness persisted last week as inventory fell and higher mortgage rates took a bigger bite out of purchase application data. A traditional seller is a conventional buyer most of the time.

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Housing Wire

JUNE 25, 2023

The affordability hit with higher mortgage rates has impacted new listings data since most sellers are buyers, thus facilitating an all-time low in new listings data. More importantly, it showed that the days on market dropped back to the teenager level, which means we are once again in a savagely unhealthy housing market.

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 9, 2023

This article is part of our 2022 – 2023 Housing Market Forecast series. Bringing together some of the top economists and researchers in housing, the event will provide an in-depth look at the predictions for this year, along with a roundtable discussion on how these insights apply to your business.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 19, 2023

The housing market was crazy again last week. Mortgage rates fell as the banking crisis got worse and purchase application data grew for the second week in a row, but the big question is: Did we hit the seasonal bottom in housing inventory? However, you don’t need to be a rocket scientist or have a Ph.D.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 5, 2024

Most home sellers are buyers of homes, so the action we are seeing this year is a healthy step in the right direction to get more balance in the housing market ,” Mohtashami wrote on Saturday. For context, active listings during the same time frame in 2015 were substantially higher at 958,304. Between Feb.

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 8, 2025

Heading into the 2025 housing market, we havent had this many homeowners with mortgage rates over 6% since 2016. Thats a lot more would-be home sellers when the time comes. But each year with higher rates means more willing home sellers. According to the latest FHFA data , as of Q3 2024, 17.2%

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Housing Wire

MAY 15, 2024

housing market saw dramatic changes in affordability as mortgage rates skyrocketed 500 basis points. After an initial rush to get to market in Q2 2022, new listings volume fell precipitously. After an initial rush to get to market in Q2 2022, new listings volume fell precipitously.

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Housing Wire

JUNE 10, 2024

For every 50 basis point change in mortgage rates, the monthly payment for this house would change by $112.In housing market saw dramatic changes in affordability as mortgage rates skyrocketed 500 basis points. What’s not measured in the FHFA paper is how by 2023, seller volume had already been declining for nearly a decade.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 30, 2023

Going into 2023, people thought housing inventory would skyrocket, home prices would crash, and we would see the housing market of 2008 all over again. We created this weekly tracker at the end of 2022 to give people a live weekly outlook on everything that drives the housing market and which factors to follow.

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Housing Wire

AUGUST 24, 2024

The last time we saw this kind of effect was when mortgage lenders had to start incorporating TRID in 2015 — it created a one-month crash in existing home sales because it just took a bit longer to close a deal. The following month, those sales rebounded as everyone finds a rhythm in how to operate. Weekly inventory change (Aug.

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Housing Wire

AUGUST 4, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data The best story in 2024 has been inventory growth. We can’t have a functional housing market with the inventory levels we saw from 2020-2023. This year we’ve gotten enough inventory growth to create a buffer so we don’t have another savagely unhealthy housing market when mortgage rates fall.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 18, 2022

On a positive note, however, the days on the market are no longer a teenager anymore: that metric grew from 18 days to 21 days. I cheer because the savagely unhealthy housing market theme I talked about back in February of this year was the same premise of the housing reset talking point the Federal Reserve uses.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 2, 2024

Let’s take a look at the inventory data this year to test this premise, since for many months it has been a working theory of mine that new listings data behavior last year marked a bottom and even going into 2024 we should see more sellers. With mortgage rates higher, will this stop inventory from growing year over year?

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Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2024

Imagine a housing market with just 6% mortgage rates or lower — it would be growing like what we see in the new home sales market. Weekly housing inventory data The best housing story for 2024 so far is that inventory is growing yearly. When mortgage rates fall, demand picks up.

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Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 521

Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2022

We finally got mortgage rates to rise, and for people like me who have been concerned about how unhealthy the housing market was last year — and it got a lot worse this year — it’s a blessing that was much needed. As you can see below, the new home sales market from 2018-2022 doesn’t look like the housing market we had from 2002-2005.

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Housing Wire

JUNE 1, 2024

So, what does this all mean for the housing market and the future of mortgage rates? One thing to remember with the labor data is that it’s no longer a tight labor market, but it hasn’t broken yet. But now we have the big jobs week coming up!

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Housing Wire

APRIL 11, 2022

Yes, but this is where my work is much different from other housing economists and why we need to think of inventory in a new, modern 21st-century mindset. We had a few years where sales missed expectations in 2013, 2014, and 2015. million total housing starts until 2020-2024, when demand would warrant that many housing starts.

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Housing Wire

JULY 20, 2024

We finally have six weeks of numbers that hit my housing inventory growth model perfectly in 2024. Low inventory has plagued the housing market since the pandemic, plummeting to all-time lows in March of 2022 when we only had 240,000 single-family homes available for sale. Today that number is 668,383.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 9, 2023

Here is the price cut percentage data for the same week in other years: 2023 38% 2022 42% 2021 27% As you can see, affordability is an issue, and the price cut percentage is higher now than in any period from 2015-2021, but still below 2022 levels. Last year, according to Altos Research , the seasonal peak for housing inventory was Oct.

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Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 534

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 23, 2024

24): Inventory fell from 569,898 to 565,875 The all-time inventory bottom was in 2022 at 240,497 The inventory peak for 2024 so far is 739,434 For some context, active listings for this week in 2015 were 1,104,310 New listings data While active inventory didn’t rise, we did get a nice boost in new listings this last week.

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Housing Wire

MAY 1, 2024

In a hostile housing market and a noisy industry environment, why is Zillow outperforming?” According to Barton, the “substance of the settlement” is a “very reasonable middle path forward for the industry, where commissions are communicated between sellers and buyers and both parties are better educated.” he posited.

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Housing Wire

JUNE 15, 2024

As most sellers are buyers, seeing more sellers listing their homes has been good. With more sellers who are buyers, we have a tad more demand this year. If mortgage rates head lower and stay lower, this contract data will grow, but we don’t see that growth in mortgage demand yet.

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Housing Wire

JULY 27, 2024

Most sellers are buyers and the housing market needs standard new listing data for the rest of the year. With more sellers who are buyers, we have a tad more demand this year. The last thing I want to see is a repeat of the second half of 2022 when we saw new listings data take a noticeable seasonal decline.

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 6, 2024

I believe we should get more sellers in 2024 than in 2023, but that doesn’t necessarily mean home prices will fall. This is why following the housing market tracker tied to the 10-year yield, mortgage rates, and purchase application data will be as critical as last year to tell you what’s going on in the housing market.

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Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 542

Housing Wire

JUNE 29, 2024

Today, we will examine new listing data more extensively to provide a clear example of a stressed seller market and compare that to where we are today. 2015 81,875 2016 80,293 2017 84,293 2018 98,972 2019 87,278 Now, let me show you what stressed sellers’ data looks like.

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Housing Wire

APRIL 6, 2024

housing market, and we should ignore the decline last week. Number of new listings last week, by year: 2024: 54,769 2023: 55,008 2022: 63,374 Price-cut percentage In an average year, one-third of all homes take a price cut; this is standard housing activity. This variable can change when we experience a recession or job loss.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 11, 2023

That is the critical period for new listing data to grow; remember, most sellers are buyers. 9, 2023, we can retire this data, as this was the date I believed the housing market dynamics shifted last year. Weekly inventory change (Nov. 10) : Inventory rose from 566,882 to 566,941 Same week last year (Nov. If we start from Nov.

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Inventory New Listings Mortgage Retail 505

Housing Wire

MARCH 29, 2022

Yes, but this is where my work is much different from other housing economists and why we need to think of inventory in a new, modern 21st-century mindset. We had a few years where sales missed expectations in 2013, 2014, and 2015. million total housing starts until 2020-2024, when demand would warrant that many housing starts.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing Modernization 435

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 28, 2024

However, considering the affordability challenges with the housing market , it’s good to see a flip in the housing data without rates getting under 6%. Since most sellers are buyers, we need this data line to get back to the pre-COVID-19 trend range, which it hasn’t been able to do since the second half of 2022.

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Mortgage Inventory New Listings Contracts 525

Housing Wire

APRIL 1, 2024

While many proptech companies have struggled to adapt to the slower housing market conditions and challenging venture capital environment, Flyhomes is viewing this as a time to grow. This assessment is crucial to transition from the bridge loan to refinance after the sale of the departing residence.”

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Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 4, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data One substantial positive story for 2024 is that we have more housing inventory year over year. I am a very pro-housing supply person and will feel much better about the housing market when we return to pre-COVID-19 levels for total active listings. But at least it’s positive!

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Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 523

Housing Wire

JANUARY 4, 2025

5): Inventory fell from 513,240 to 499,143 The all-time inventory bottom was in 2022 at 240,497 The inventory peak for 2024 was 739,434 For some context, active listings for the same week in 2015 were 959,028 New listings I am very excited about the new listings data this year. Weekly inventory change (Dec. Still, I was happy to see growth.

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Housing Wire

AUGUST 23, 2022

The housing market is in a recession, something that the homebuilders and the National Association of Realtors now agree with me on, as this recent CNBC clip shows. Over the years, I have tried to emphasize that the housing market in the U.S. We had missed sales estimates in 2013, 2014 and 2015. This is 12.6

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