Housing Wire

APRIL 30, 2023

The spring housing market music is playing, and purchase application data and active listing inventory rose together last week. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active listing rose 8,260 week to week, down a bit from last week’s gain, but I’m not complaining — anything on the plus side is positive.

Inventory 525

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 525

Housing Wire

MAY 21, 2023

It was a wild ride for the housing market last week! New listings data fell, however, active inventory grew. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Total active listings grew by 3,809 weekly, but new listings are still trending at all-time lows. Purchase application data fell 4.8% million to 1.04

Housing Market 511

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 511

Housing Wire

JULY 9, 2023

This is truly a savagely unhealthy housing market as we have too many people chasing too few homes. The weekly active listing data had a rare week-to-week decline. The other big story in housing has been that new listing data has been trending at the lowest levels recorded in history for 12 months.

Inventory 501

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 501

Housing Wire

APRIL 27, 2024

This isn’t saying too much since 2023 had the lowest recorded level of new listings ever, but it’s still a plus in my book.

Inventory 514

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 514

Housing Wire

APRIL 16, 2023

The seasonal housing inventory bottom evaded us again last week as active listings fell and new listing inventory decreased. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active inventory fell 5,383 last week, and new listing data is still trending at all-time lows in 2023.

Inventory 539

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 539

Housing Wire

MAY 14, 2023

The rise of active listings in this spring housing market reminds me of a zombie slowly rising from its grave. Yes, we found the seasonal bottom for housing inventory on April 14, but this year’s rise in active listings has been tepid at best. Can you imagine the housing market at that point?

Housing Market 488

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 488

Housing Wire

MAY 7, 2023

Just when I thought it was safe to say we were getting more traditional spring housing inventory , we hit a snag last week, as active inventory and new listings declined. However, one thing is for sure, housing is not going to crash due to large-scale panic-selling — a scare tactic of late 2021 that didn’t work then or now.

Inventory 505

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 505

Housing Wire

JUNE 18, 2023

Active housing inventory grew while new listing data fell. This dynamic changed the housing market from one where home sales were crashing to one that is now stabilized. 9 is a critical date because that’s when the housing market turned. I explain how this happened in this recent podcast.

Housing Market 505

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 505

Housing Wire

AUGUST 27, 2023

Did the recent move in higher mortgage rates impact the new listings data more than normal? I hope this isn’t the case, but we had a noticeable move lower in new listings last week. Weekly active listings rose by only 6,618. The Fed spoke at Jackson Hole last Friday but that didn’t move mortgage rates much.

New Listings 370

New Listings Mortgage Inventory Marketing 370

Housing Wire

APRIL 9, 2023

The housing market welcomed the news of lower mortgage rates last week after four reports showed that the labor market isn’t as tight as it seems and that the fear of 1970s-entrenched inflation was a lousy narrative. Active inventory rose by 823 single-family homes and new listing data is trending at all-time lows.

Housing Market 540

Housing Market Marketing Mortgage Inventory 540

Housing Wire

MARCH 26, 2023

The financial and housing markets are still trying to sort out the banking crisis and whether we have seen the last Fed rate hike in this cycle. These events led to lower mortgage rates and increased purchase application data last week, but decreased housing inventory. In a regular market, they would be closer to 5.25%.

Inventory 476

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 476

Housing Wire

MARCH 6, 2023

The housing market faced some serious obstacles last week as the 10-year yield broke over 4%, mortgage rates rose to over 7%, purchase apps fell again and we are still trying to find the elusive seasonal bottom for housing inventory. My 2023 inventory forecast needs a lot of help, as new listing data isn’t growing at all still.

Inventory 511

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 511

Housing Wire

JANUARY 5, 2023

The 2022 housing market was savagely unhealthy , with all-time lows in inventory leading to massive bidding wars and price spikes until the Fed put a screeching halt to all of it with rate hikes that resulted in the most significant one-year spike in mortgage rate history. Housing recession. That would be a positive for demand.

Housing Market 543

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 543

Housing Wire

JULY 2, 2023

We have often discussed that the housing market dynamics changed starting Nov. The other big story with housing inventory is that new listing data has been trending negative year over year since the end of June 2022. We had new listings growth from 2021 to 2022, but that’s not the case this year.

Inventory 482

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 482

Housing Wire

JULY 30, 2023

Tracking housing inventory this summer is like watching a zombie slowly walking on the beach. Last week inventory growth dropped and new listing data declined again. Two weeks ago we had some good movement with active listings growing almost 9,000 , but last week that fell to just 4,988, and new listings data also fell.

Housing Market 370

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 370

Housing Wire

MARCH 16, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data The one positive story for me in housing this year is that inventory is growing year over year for both active inventory and new listing data. Last year, II picked up on the trend that new listing data was creating a historical bottom as the data line wasn’t heading lower with higher rates.

Housing Market 510

Housing Market Inventory Marketing New Listings 510

Housing Wire

JUNE 25, 2023

I would feel much better about the inventory situation if we added an additional 3,000-8,000 houses to the weekly data line from current levels. However, the real positive story here is that even with new listing data trending at an all-time low, we are getting the growth in active listings we traditionally see in the spring and summer.

Inventory 435

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 435

Housing Wire

APRIL 3, 2023

Last week was relatively calm for the housing market after the fiasco of the banking crisis. Housing demand grew and inventory levels fell again while mortgage rates rose. Active inventory fell by 3,141, and new listing data fell again and is still trending at all-time lows. Mortgage rates rose to 6.57%.

Inventory 505

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 505

Housing Wire

JUNE 4, 2023

Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active inventory grew 3,180 weekly , and new listing data fell week to week and is still trending at an all-time low in 2023. However, I am grateful we even saw some traditional spring inventory growth this year because new listing data is trending at all-time lows.

Inventory 468

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 468

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 27, 2023

We created the weekly Housing Market Tracker because housing data has been so wild since 2020. The housing market madness persisted last week as inventory fell and higher mortgage rates took a bigger bite out of purchase application data. Weekly inventory change (Feb. NAR: Total Inventory levels are 980,000.

Housing Market 476

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 476

Housing Wire

JULY 16, 2023

In a normal market, mortgage rates would easily be under 6% with the 10-year yield where it is. Weekly housing inventory We had mild inventory growth last week and new listing data is trending at the lowest levels ever. In a few months, we will see the seasonal decline in active listings inventory that we see every year.

Housing Market 370

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 370

Housing Wire

MARCH 19, 2023

The housing market was crazy again last week. Mortgage rates fell as the banking crisis got worse and purchase application data grew for the second week in a row, but the big question is: Did we hit the seasonal bottom in housing inventory? Weekly inventory increased by 1,734. I am hoping it’s just a one-week event.

Housing Market 397

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 397

Housing Wire

JULY 23, 2023

However, last year was very abnormal: We had the biggest one-year sales crash ever, working from the lowest active listings data in March 2022. New listings had a good week, considering how the year has gone, which is a plus as this data line was down five straight weeks.

Inventory 370

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 370

Housing Wire

MARCH 12, 2023

Last week was wild, and not just for the housing market. Weekly inventory fell by 6201 , and new listing data is down noticeably from last year, which was different than last week. Using the NAR data, this was the premise of my forecast last year for housing inventory to break over 1.52 million in 2023.

Housing Market 370

Housing Market Mortgage Marketing Inventory 370

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 30, 2023

Going into 2023, people thought housing inventory would skyrocket, home prices would crash, and we would see the housing market of 2008 all over again. We created this weekly tracker at the end of 2022 to give people a live weekly outlook on everything that drives the housing market and which factors to follow.

Inventory 521

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 521

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 16, 2023

What’s going on with housing inventory ? The last four weeks of new listings data have been the most volatile since mortgage rates breached 6% in 2022. One week, we had the biggest decline in new listings data all year, which might indicate Americans are giving up on listing their homes.

Inventory 505

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 505

Housing Wire

AUGUST 4, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data The best story in 2024 has been inventory growth. We can’t have a functional housing market with the inventory levels we saw from 2020-2023. This year we’ve gotten enough inventory growth to create a buffer so we don’t have another savagely unhealthy housing market when mortgage rates fall.

Mortgage 518

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 518

Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2024

Imagine a housing market with just 6% mortgage rates or lower — it would be growing like what we see in the new home sales market. Weekly housing inventory data The best housing story for 2024 so far is that inventory is growing yearly. The growth isn’t just in active inventory but also new listings.

Mortgage 521

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 521

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 26, 2024

Since mid-2022 when mortgage rates headed higher , two facts have been apparent: new listings data has been trending at the lowest levels ever recorded in history and inventory has been able to grow from record low levels thanks to mortgage rates staying elevated. Let’s see what the data for last week tells us.

Inventory 523

Inventory Sellers New Listings Mortgage 523

Housing Wire

JULY 13, 2024

The seasonal decline period is starting soon, so we should get accustomed to seeing a decline in new listing data as the year heads toward its end. It is a bit shocking to me that new listings this week are lower than even last year: This is the lowest new listing week ever recorded.

Mortgage 514

Mortgage New Listings Inventory Contracts 514

Housing Wire

MAY 15, 2024

housing market saw dramatic changes in affordability as mortgage rates skyrocketed 500 basis points. After an initial rush to get to market in Q2 2022, new listings volume fell precipitously. By Q1 2015, more than 60% of American homeowners with mortgages had rates locked in under 5%.

Mortgage 458

Mortgage New Listings Inventory Sellers 458

Housing Wire

JUNE 1, 2024

So, what does this all mean for the housing market and the future of mortgage rates? Remember that even though we are showing growth year over year — 2023 was the lowest levels of new listings ever recorded in history. But now we have the big jobs week coming up!

Mortgage 514

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 514

Housing Wire

MARCH 2, 2024

Let’s take a look at the inventory data this year to test this premise, since for many months it has been a working theory of mine that new listings data behavior last year marked a bottom and even going into 2024 we should see more sellers. You can see our debate on this topic here.

Inventory 535

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 535

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 24, 2023

In addition, jobless claims data had another solid print, showing that the labor market hasn’t broken yet, which led to more selling of the 10-year yield. On housing inventory , new listings data saw a small decline last week, but active listings grew at a healthy clip.

Mortgage 500

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 500

Housing Wire

JANUARY 6, 2024

This is why following the housing market tracker tied to the 10-year yield, mortgage rates, and purchase application data will be as critical as last year to tell you what’s going on in the housing market. Weekly housing inventory data Here is a look at the first week of the year: Weekly inventory change (Dec.

Inventory 542

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 542

Housing Wire

APRIL 6, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data — both active inventory and new listings — are prone to one-week moves that deviate from a trend, especially if people are going Easter egg hunting. So, the fact that active inventory and new listings data fell last week isn’t a big deal. However, for now, this is a plus for the U.S.

Inventory 493

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Housing Market 493

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 28, 2024

However, considering the affordability challenges with the housing market , it’s good to see a flip in the housing data without rates getting under 6%. However, even though I was roughly off by 5,000 on my minimal new listings forecast in 2024 of 80,000 during the seasonal peak, this is still a positive year compared to 2023.

Mortgage 524

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Contracts 524