Housing Wire

APRIL 30, 2023

The spring housing market music is playing, and purchase application data and active listing inventory rose together last week. The other focus should be where mortgage rates go; only a little happened last week. However, even with that, the labor market, while getting softer, hasn’t broken yet.

Inventory 523

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 523

Housing Wire

MAY 21, 2023

It was a wild ride for the housing market last week! The 10-year yield rose noticeably, sending mortgage rates near 7% right in the heart of the spring selling season. Mortgage rates rose last week as we started the week at 6.55% but ended at 6.90%. New listings data fell, however, active inventory grew. million to 1.04

Housing Market 506

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 506

Housing Wire

JUNE 18, 2023

Mortgage rates were near 7% last week but purchase applications were still able to pull out an 8% week-to-week gain. Active housing inventory grew while new listing data fell. Mortgage rates hardly budged last week, even with the Federal Reserve ‘s announcement it was pausing rate hikes and CPI inflation reports.

Housing Market 490

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 490

Housing Wire

MAY 14, 2023

The rise of active listings in this spring housing market reminds me of a zombie slowly rising from its grave. Yes, we found the seasonal bottom for housing inventory on April 14, but this year’s rise in active listings has been tepid at best. That is no longer the case after the second half of 2022.

Housing Market 469

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 469

Housing Wire

JANUARY 2, 2023

The housing market has been wild the last few years, making weekly data more critical. This is why I’ve created the Housing Market Tracker — a weekly analysis of purchase apps, housing inventory and mortgage rates that will be published every Monday. Purchase application data.

Inventory 480

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 480

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 15, 2021

The reverse mortgage portion of the Federal Housing Administration’s Mutual Mortgage Insurance Fund (MMIF) has reached a positive capital ratio on the overall government-backed portfolio, according to an annual actuarial review of the fund’s finances and FHA’s Annual Report to Congress, both released Monday morning.

Mortgage 352

Mortgage Insurance Finance Development 352

Housing Wire

JANUARY 5, 2023

The 2022 housing market was savagely unhealthy , with all-time lows in inventory leading to massive bidding wars and price spikes until the Fed put a screeching halt to all of it with rate hikes that resulted in the most significant one-year spike in mortgage rate history. Mortgage rates. Home price s.

Housing Market 539

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 539

Housing Wire

MAY 7, 2023

We had a lot of drama over the week between Federal Reserve meetings and banking stress, and mortgage rates and purchase applications both fell. Mortgage rates fell last week as we started the week at 6.73%, got as low as 6.43% to end the week at 6.5%. We are roughly two months away from the seasonal decline in new listings.

Inventory 504

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 504

Housing Wire

APRIL 16, 2023

Mortgage rates didn’t move much last week, but the 10-year yield rose even though inflation data was tamer than expected, and we had a weaker retail sales report number. Mortgage rates didn’t move too much last week but ended the week on a higher note at 6.50%. This is one reason housing inventory has taken so long to bottom out.

Inventory 533

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 533

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 28, 2020

From this stronghold I have been able to see past the chaos and view the economy and the future of the housing market through the lens of my core economic principles. entered into a period of the best demographics for housing ever recorded. Here’s what I think that means for the 2021 housing market.

Housing Market 545

Housing Market Marketing Law Mortgage 545

Housing Wire

JULY 2, 2023

Mortgage rates rose last week after the better-than-anticipated jobless claims data but even with higher rates, we also had a third week of positive purchase application data. We have often discussed that the housing market dynamics changed starting Nov. However, I need to put some context into what happened in 2022.

Inventory 482

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 482

Housing Wire

AUGUST 4, 2024

Mortgage rates moved massively lower last week without any Federal Reserve rate cuts, primarily because the labor market is getting softer. Can mortgage rates go even lower? As we can see below, when the market priced economic weakness earlier in 2024, it took the 10-year yield down toward 3.80% but didn’t break that level.

Mortgage 511

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 511

Housing Wire

MARCH 12, 2023

Last week was wild, and not just for the housing market. Mortgage rates fell even though the jobs report was stronger than anticipated. They reversed their bearish take on bonds, and people started to buy the 10-year yield, causing mortgage rates to fall.

Housing Market 370

Housing Market Mortgage Marketing Inventory 370

Housing Wire

MARCH 8, 2023

It is no secret that the housing market is suffering from an ongoing inventory drought. Existing housing inventory fell by 11,021 homes week over week for the week ending March 6, according to data from Altos Research. At the end of 2022, multifamily housing starts represented 35.1% However, an average of 94.5%

Housing Market 459

Housing Market Marketing Inventory Construction 459

Housing Wire

APRIL 3, 2023

Last week was relatively calm for the housing market after the fiasco of the banking crisis. Housing demand grew and inventory levels fell again while mortgage rates rose. Mortgage rates rose to 6.57%. The 10-year yield and mortgage rates Last week was interesting for the 10-year yield and mortgage rates.

Inventory 501

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 501

Housing Wire

MARCH 6, 2023

The housing market faced some serious obstacles last week as the 10-year yield broke over 4%, mortgage rates rose to over 7%, purchase apps fell again and we are still trying to find the elusive seasonal bottom for housing inventory. What can bring mortgage rates down, even below 5.75%? 1 song of the year.

Inventory 468

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 468

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 27, 2023

We created the weekly Housing Market Tracker because housing data has been so wild since 2020. The housing market madness persisted last week as inventory fell and higher mortgage rates took a bigger bite out of purchase application data. How does the sharp increase in rates directly impact those homebuyers?

Housing Market 454

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 454

Housing Wire

JULY 16, 2023

We finally got a break on mortgage rates last week as the 10-year yield hit a critical level and quickly reversed lower, sending mortgage rates down. Weekly active listings rose by 5,569 Mortgage rates fell from 7.12% to a low of 6.87% , the recent high was 7.22% Purchase apps were up 2% from week to week. If we start from Nov.

Housing Market 369

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 369

Housing Wire

JULY 30, 2023

Tracking housing inventory this summer is like watching a zombie slowly walking on the beach. Strong labor data pushed up mortgage rates and purchase applications fell week to week. However, even with all that drama last week, we ended below 4% on the 10-year yield, and mortgage rates ranged from 6.99% to 7.12%.

Housing Market 360

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 360

Housing Wire

MARCH 5, 2024

Ahead of Friday’s national jobs report, mortgage rates have found stability after increasing for multiple weeks. Polly ’s average 30-year fixed rate for conventional loans was 7.17% on Tuesday, down from 7.24% one week earlier, according to HousingWire’s Mortgage Rates Center. one week earlier. Between Feb.

Mortgage 471

Mortgage Inventory Investors Sellers 471

Housing Wire

JUNE 25, 2023

The spring housing inventory was like a zombie rising from the grave, very slow, but the summer is showing some promise and let’s hope it continues. Mortgage rates were again in a small range, hanging near 7%. Also, we must remember that even in 2021, when we had 3% mortgage rates, new listing data was trending at all-time lows.

Inventory 435

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 435

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 28, 2024

Housing demand is very seasonal, so the fact that our pending contract data is firming up lately just shows that lower mortgage rates have stabilized and firmed up demand recently. It will likely take mortgage rates to go under 6% and stay there for an extended period to get real sustained demand growth from record-low sales levels.

Mortgage 511

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Contracts 511

Housing Wire

JUNE 4, 2023

Last week we saw a noticeable slowdown in housing inventory growth that I hope has more to do with a holiday week than a trend. Mortgage rates fell last week after the debt ceiling issues were resolved, but the damage from higher rates took its toll on purchase application data again.

Inventory 452

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 452

Housing Wire

MARCH 16, 2024

The 10-year yield is at the same critical point as last year before the Fed went hawkish and sent mortgage rates to 8% and the 10-year yield to 5%. A serious 10-year yield and mortgage rate talk My work on housing moves around the 10-year yield and the economics that move that. Could this happen again?

Housing Market 474

Housing Market Inventory Marketing New Listings 474

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 1, 2024

Have we seen the peak in housing inventory for 2024? The best part about 2024 has been that higher mortgage rates have created an inventory buffer, so if the economy gets softer and rates fall, we have many more homes to work with than we had in 2020-2023. Weekly inventory change (Aug. Weekly inventory change (Aug.

Inventory 524

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 524

Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2024

Mortgage rates had a chance to break to new highs this year, but the Federal Reserve took a moderate tone at the last Fed meeting. We saw the benefit of lower mortgage rates with the last two existing home sales reports, which showed growth. Then mortgage rates rose, facilitating five weeks of negative purchase application data.

Mortgage 519

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 519

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 21, 2023

The haunted house ride with the bond market and mortgage rates continued this week, but one housing data line hasn’t been spooked. New listing data appears unafraid of the mortgage rate ghost story over the last few months. In the same vein, the bond market is now very oversold.

New Listings 531

New Listings Mortgage Inventory Housing Market 531

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 15, 2024

An often misguided premise I see on social media is that lower mortgage rates are doing nothing for housing demand. However, the point of this tracker is to show you evidence that lower rates have already changed housing data. Weekly housing inventory data Higher rates lead to more inventory. More detail on that is here.

Mortgage 520

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Retail 520

Housing Wire

MAY 11, 2024

Mortgage rates and the bond market have fallen a bit recently and the spreads between the 10-year yield and 30-year mortgage rate have improved over last year’s levels. In the past two years, demand has always picked up whenever mortgage rates have moved lower with some duration.

Mortgage 450

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 450

Housing Wire

JULY 13, 2024

In 2023, following the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank , the spreads between the 30-year mortgage and 10-year yield were at their worst, leading to new cycle highs. This meant mortgage rates were significantly higher than average. Mortgage spreads Last year, the 10-year yield hit 5% and mortgage rates got above 8%.

Mortgage 509

Mortgage New Listings Inventory Contracts 509

Housing Wire

MARCH 19, 2023

The housing market was crazy again last week. Mortgage rates fell as the banking crisis got worse and purchase application data grew for the second week in a row, but the big question is: Did we hit the seasonal bottom in housing inventory? Weekly inventory increased by 1,734. The economic data was OK last week.

Housing Market 393

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 393

Housing Wire

JULY 23, 2023

Mortgage rates rose again and purchase apps saw a mild decline week to week. The one positive thing about new listing data is that even with mortgage rates near or above 7% for two months, we haven’t seen a noticeable drop recently. The growth rate of inflation falling is very important for housing and the U.S.

Inventory 366

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 366

Housing Wire

JUNE 1, 2024

Mortgage rates have been a bit more volatile recently due to hawkish Federal Reserve statements and inflation data, which has impacted some of the recent movement in the 10-year yield. So, what does this all mean for the housing market and the future of mortgage rates? But now we have the big jobs week coming up!

Mortgage 459

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 459

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 7, 2024

Mortgage rates have made almost a 2% move lower from the highs of 2023. Now that the jobs week data is in, the question is: can mortgage rates go even lower? While the Fed can be old and slow, the bond market, thankfully, is doing a lot of the heavy lifting and has already priced in a lot of Fed easing policy.

Mortgage 524

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Marketing 524

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 5, 2024

18 and mortgage rates and bond yields headed higher. But, we have to remember that mortgage rates had already made an almost 2% move lower since the highs of 2023 without rate cuts, as the bond market always gets ahead of the Fed. This explains the rise in mortgage rates since the Fed cut rates.

Mortgage 499

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Retail 499

Housing Wire

MARCH 2, 2024

The mortgage rate lockdown premise says that if rates rise, inventory can’t grow meaningfully. The idea is that nobody will trade their low mortgage rates to buy another home — even though this happened every week last year. With mortgage rates higher, will this stop inventory from growing year over year?

Inventory 535

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 535

Housing Wire

JUNE 10, 2024

Mortgage rate lock-in happens because even small changes in mortgage rates can make a big difference in costs. in April 2024 — with a 10% down payment, a typical mortgage would be approximately $350,000. For every 50 basis point change in mortgage rates, the monthly payment for this house would change by $112.In

Mortgage 413

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 413