Housing Wire

JULY 2, 2023

Housing inventory finally broke under 2022 levels last week. Since May 15, that trend has continued to the point that inventory in America is now negative year over year. We have often discussed that the housing market dynamics changed starting Nov.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 482

Housing Wire

MARCH 6, 2023

The housing market faced some serious obstacles last week as the 10-year yield broke over 4%, mortgage rates rose to over 7%, purchase apps fell again and we are still trying to find the elusive seasonal bottom for housing inventory. We still aren’t back to pre-COVID-19 housing inventory levels, as shown below.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 468

Housing Wire

APRIL 3, 2023

Last week was relatively calm for the housing market after the fiasco of the banking crisis. Housing demand grew and inventory levels fell again while mortgage rates rose. Active inventory fell by 3,141, and new listing data fell again and is still trending at all-time lows. Inventory is incredibly tight.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 501

Housing Wire

JUNE 25, 2023

Summer is here, and housing inventory is finally growing! The spring housing inventory was like a zombie rising from the grave, very slow, but the summer is showing some promise and let’s hope it continues. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active inventory grew 8,886 weekly.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 435

Housing Wire

JUNE 4, 2023

Last week we saw a noticeable slowdown in housing inventory growth that I hope has more to do with a holiday week than a trend. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active inventory grew 3,180 weekly , and new listing data fell week to week and is still trending at an all-time low in 2023.

Inventory 452

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 452

Housing Wire

MARCH 26, 2023

The financial and housing markets are still trying to sort out the banking crisis and whether we have seen the last Fed rate hike in this cycle. These events led to lower mortgage rates and increased purchase application data last week, but decreased housing inventory. In a regular market, they would be closer to 5.25%.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 474

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 1, 2024

Have we seen the peak in housing inventory for 2024? The best part about 2024 has been that higher mortgage rates have created an inventory buffer, so if the economy gets softer and rates fall, we have many more homes to work with than we had in 2020-2023. Weekly inventory change (Aug. Weekly inventory change (Aug.

Inventory 524

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 524

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 16, 2023

What’s going on with housing inventory ? In reality, the volatility in housing inventory is due to the Labor Day holiday, the start of school and the fact that new listings are trending at the lowest levels ever. According to Altos Research : Weekly inventory change : (Sept.

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Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 494

Housing Wire

JULY 20, 2024

We finally have six weeks of numbers that hit my housing inventory growth model perfectly in 2024. Last year, with higher mortgage rates , we had zero weeks at this level so I am now giving 2024 inventory growth a grade of A. have higher inventory than the national data.

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Inventory New Listings Contracts Mortgage 525

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 26, 2024

Since mid-2022 when mortgage rates headed higher , two facts have been apparent: new listings data has been trending at the lowest levels ever recorded in history and inventory has been able to grow from record low levels thanks to mortgage rates staying elevated. As you can see, we have made progress in inventory growth year after year.

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Inventory Sellers New Listings Mortgage 511

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 30, 2023

Going into 2023, people thought housing inventory would skyrocket, home prices would crash, and we would see the housing market of 2008 all over again. We created this weekly tracker at the end of 2022 to give people a live weekly outlook on everything that drives the housing market and which factors to follow.

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Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 513

Housing Wire

JULY 23, 2023

The slow rise of housing inventory this year has made the existing home sales market savagely unhealthy again. However, last week was good; we had less inventory growth than I would like to see, but it’s better than the past few weeks. Mortgage rates rose again and purchase apps saw a mild decline week to week.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 366

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 23, 2023

housing market and that they need to be pro-housing again. Even with all the drama we have dealt with in 2022-2023, the housing market stayed intact and never broke. We never saw the Airbnb crash that dominated some of the housing headlines in 2023. Weekly inventory change : (Dec.15-22)

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 531

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 13, 2024

Housing inventory, which saw an excellent pickup a few weeks ago, has been slowing down and last week we saw a slight decline. Has seasonality finally kicked in or did back-to-back hurricanes slow things enough to influence inventory data? Since then, inventory growth has been slowing down and even declined last week.

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Inventory New Listings Retail Mortgage 481

Housing Wire

JULY 6, 2024

Now that we are halfway through the year, we can see that active inventory in America is growing, unlike what happened in 2023. This is precisely what the doctor ordered for the housing market. Let’s take a half-time look at the inventory levels in America today. have higher inventory data than the national data.

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Housing Market Mortgage Inventory Marketing 473

Housing Wire

AUGUST 17, 2024

Have lower mortgage rates already started to slow down housing inventory? I have a simple weekly growth model with the Altos inventory data: when rates are high, over 7.25%, inventory should grow between 11,000-17,000 weekly. Still, I would consider the last month of inventory growth healthy.

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Inventory Mortgage New Listings Contracts 515

Housing Wire

MARCH 2, 2024

The mortgage rate lockdown premise says that if rates rise, inventory can’t grow meaningfully. Let’s take a look at the inventory data this year to test this premise, since for many months it has been a working theory of mine that new listings data behavior last year marked a bottom and even going into 2024 we should see more sellers.

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Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 535

Housing Wire

APRIL 20, 2024

Housing inventory finally hit my target level of growth last week with mortgage rates now over 7.25% , something I couldn’t get all last year. Weekly housing inventory data Higher mortgage rates with duration will likely lead to higher inventory, which we have seen repeatedly for the past 10 years. 2022: 18.7%

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Inventory New Listings Mortgage Finance 499

Housing Wire

MAY 25, 2024

The mortgage rate lockdown premise holds that very few people will list their homes when mortgage rates are this high, thus suppressing inventory. 2024 has had healthy inventory growth despite mortgage rates above 7%. Each time, inventory has squared right into the model as long as rates stay elevated.

Inventory 493

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Marketing 493

Housing Wire

MARCH 30, 2024

The best housing story in 2024 is that inventory is growing — both active inventory and new listings. With mortgage rates at the current levels, inventory is still below my expectations, but it’s still such a positive story that I had to discuss it on CNBC last week. 2022: 17.2% Want more context?

Inventory 452

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Housing Market 452

Housing Wire

JUNE 18, 2023

Active housing inventory grew while new listing data fell. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active inventory grew 8,041 weekly. This dynamic changed the housing market from one where home sales were crashing to one that is now stabilized. The recent growth broke that streak, but demand is still low.

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 490

Housing Wire

JANUARY 28, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data Here is a look at last week: Weekly inventory change (Jan. 19-26) : Inventory fell from 506,414 to 503,233 Same week last year (Jan. Weekly housing inventory data Here is a look at last week: Weekly inventory change (Jan. So, inventory falling looks normal.

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Inventory New Listings Mortgage Marketing 524

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 11, 2023

Total housing inventory growth has been slow in 2023, but with rising mortgage rates over the last few months, inventory has grown a bit faster than average. The question now is: Have we hit the seasonal peak in inventory for 2023? Last year, according to Altos Research , the seasonal peak for housing inventory was Oct.

Inventory 484

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Retail 484

Housing Wire

MAY 21, 2023

It was a wild ride for the housing market last week! New listings data fell, however, active inventory grew. Weekly housing inventory They say slow and steady wins the race; well, for housing inventory in 2023, it’s been terribly slow this spring. Purchase application data fell 4.8% million to 1.04

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 506

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 4, 2024

How will mortgage rates impact seasonal inventory in 2024? In the last four years, we have had abnormal seasonal inventory data, meaning that the spring inventory bottom happens later in the year. This is due to demand rising late in one year, pushing through the early part of the next year and preventing inventory growth.

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Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 516

Housing Wire

MAY 14, 2023

The rise of active listings in this spring housing market reminds me of a zombie slowly rising from its grave. Yes, we found the seasonal bottom for housing inventory on April 14, but this year’s rise in active listings has been tepid at best. This link explains the difference.

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 469

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 17, 2021

Despite several indicators of a slowing housing market, prospective home buyers should not get too excited – inventory remains limited and changes are in line with the traditional seasonal slowdown, according to RE/MAX ’s August national housing report. The report analyzes MLS data from 51 U.S. in August from July.

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory Buyers 511

Housing Wire

MAY 4, 2024

My model for inventory growth with higher mortgage rates came crashing down last week. After two weeks of significant increases , inventory growth slowed dramatically and is far from my 11,000-17,000 growth model with mortgage rates over 7.25%. Let’s delve into the weekly data to see what we can uncover.

Inventory 452

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Marketing 452

Housing Wire

APRIL 6, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data — both active inventory and new listings — are prone to one-week moves that deviate from a trend, especially if people are going Easter egg hunting. So, the fact that active inventory and new listings data fell last week isn’t a big deal. However, for now, this is a plus for the U.S.

Inventory 471

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Housing Market 471

Housing Wire

APRIL 9, 2023

The housing market welcomed the news of lower mortgage rates last week after four reports showed that the labor market isn’t as tight as it seems and that the fear of 1970s-entrenched inflation was a lousy narrative. Active inventory rose by 823 single-family homes and new listing data is trending at all-time lows.

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Housing Market Marketing Mortgage Inventory 540

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 10, 2024

While weekly inventory is still falling, we have year-over-year growth in total active listing and new listings data. Price-cut percentage Every year, one-third of all homes take a price cut before selling — this is a traditional housing activity. Last week, inventory fell week to week but was up over this time last year.

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Inventory New Listings Retail Mortgage 518

Housing Wire

MARCH 8, 2023

It is no secret that the housing market is suffering from an ongoing inventory drought. Existing housing inventory fell by 11,021 homes week over week for the week ending March 6, according to data from Altos Research. At the end of 2022, multifamily housing starts represented 35.1%

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory Construction 459

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 28, 2023

31, 2022, that mortgage rates would hit 8% in 2023, you would reasonably assume housing inventory would sky rocket higher, home prices would fall noticeably, and the number of price cuts would be higher year over year. Last year, the seasonal peak for inventory was Oct. Weekly inventory change (Oct.

Inventory 513

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Marketing 513

Housing Wire

JANUARY 5, 2023

The 2022 housing market was savagely unhealthy , with all-time lows in inventory leading to massive bidding wars and price spikes until the Fed put a screeching halt to all of it with rate hikes that resulted in the most significant one-year spike in mortgage rate history. Housing Inventory. Home price s.

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 539

Housing Wire

JANUARY 13, 2024

Last week, housing inventory grew and the number of price cuts fell, which is expected at this time of the year. I hope the next thing we see is housing inventory grow at the level it typically does in January or February instead of being delayed until March or April. So let’s hope for more home sellers in 2024.

Inventory 531

Inventory New Listings Retail Mortgage 531

Housing Wire

APRIL 11, 2022

Given the current housing inventory crisis, it might surprise people to realize this: we built too many homes during the housing bubble years. But we have a housing shortage, right? We had a few years where sales missed expectations in 2013, 2014, and 2015. So how should we look at the inventory situation?

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing Modernization 513

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 7, 2023

Unfortunately, those higher mortgage rates didn’t spur inventory growth this week, so we didn’t even get the benefit we would usually see when rates rise. Not only has that not happened, but in the last two weeks, with mortgage rates pushing even higher, active inventory only grew by 2,286 single-family homes.

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Inventory New Listings Mortgage Marketing 489