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The housing market is better positioned for lower mortgage rates

Housing Wire

This is precisely what the doctor ordered for the housing market. In March of 2022, we only had 240,000 active single-family homes available for sale, leading me to call the housing market savagely unhealthy as we simply had too many people chasing too few homes. Last week, we returned close to recent lows.

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Housing Market Tracker: Mortgage rates and inventory fall together

Housing Wire

The financial and housing markets are still trying to sort out the banking crisis and whether we have seen the last Fed rate hike in this cycle. These events led to lower mortgage rates and increased purchase application data last week, but decreased housing inventory. In a regular market, they would be closer to 5.25%.

Inventory 474
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Home equity is the bright gem of the housing market

Housing Wire

Stubborn inflation and high interest rates continue to wreak havoc on the mortgage-origination market, but there is one asset class in the housing market that is arguably flourishing in these hard times – home equity. Our previous best year for HELOCs was 2015, and that was about $320 million,” he added.

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Housing demand firming up with lower mortgage rates

Housing Wire

Housing demand is very seasonal, so the fact that our pending contract data is firming up lately just shows that lower mortgage rates have stabilized and firmed up demand recently. However, considering the affordability challenges with the housing market , it’s good to see a flip in the housing data without rates getting under 6%.

Mortgage 511
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Can mortgage rates go even lower? 

Housing Wire

Weekly housing inventory data The best story in 2024 has been inventory growth. We can’t have a functional housing market with the inventory levels we saw from 2020-2023. This year we’ve gotten enough inventory growth to create a buffer so we don’t have another savagely unhealthy housing market when mortgage rates fall.

Mortgage 511
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Housing inventory up almost 40% over last year

Housing Wire

We finally have six weeks of numbers that hit my housing inventory growth model perfectly in 2024. Low inventory has plagued the housing market since the pandemic, plummeting to all-time lows in March of 2022 when we only had 240,000 single-family homes available for sale. Today that number is 668,383.

Inventory 525
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New listings data is growing and prices still aren’t crashing

Housing Wire

2015 81,875 2016 80,293 2017 84,293 2018 98,972 2019 87,278 Now, let me show you what stressed sellers’ data looks like. The numbers speak for themselves and if anyone you know has been saying housing looks like 2008 for the past 10 years, I will tell you that the person doesn’t read.